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AccuWeather forecast
Monday, Nov 6, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller I’ve posted the Illinois weather map in the center column as well. Let’s use this post for local weather observations on Tuesday and musings on the weather’s impact on the big race.
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Late numbers
Monday, Nov 6, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Chew these over while you’re chewing on your nails waiting for everything to be over. * The latest polls in the governor’s race:
* All recent blog posts on polls can be found here. * The Hotline looks back at 1994 to check the generic ballot numbers:
* The most recent Fox poll has Democrats leading generic ballot by 13. Check out all the recent generic ballot polls here. Five out of the last 8 taken since 11/1 have Dems ahead by more than ten (one at 20). * But, the Hotline has this from a trusted GOP insider.
* Democracy Corps thinks otherwise. Click here for its pdf report of 50-race polling.
* Oy.
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Monday, Nov 6, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller
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In which I finally get to meet Tim Nieukirk…
Monday, Nov 6, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller I threw a party for a few pals in Chicago Saturday night. My usual pre-election thing. The highlight of the evening was a special appearance by write-in candidate Tim Nieukirk, his running mate Casey DeFauw and campaign manager Ryan Rudd. These guys have got it going on. It didn’t take long to figure out that the stir they’ve created was no accident. A lot of planning and a whole lot of work went into their YouTube candidacy. My favorite line of the evening was from DeFauw: “And that’s when I called Tim and said ‘Dude, we’re gonna nuke the Hamburglar.’” The man himself, Tim Nieukirk… Running mate Casey DeFauw, who directed all the spots… Campaign manager Ryan Rudd… Group hug… See all of Nieukirk’s “campaign ads” here. His MySpace page is here. They haven’t sold much Get Nieuked gear at their Cafe Press site, and since they’ve financed their entire “campaign” out of their own pockets it would be a good thing if you could go to their site and help them out. If they’ve made you laugh out loud during a miserably negative year when there wasn’t much to laugh about, the least you could do is buy a button or something. ![]()
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Question of the day
Monday, Nov 6, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller I’ll post more later today, but I wanted to get the QOTD out of the way first. Final election predictions. Statewide, congressional and Cook County president. Throw in any state legislative races that interest you. Please use exact percentages.
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More on those robocalls *** Updated x1 ***
Monday, Nov 6, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller The deceptive robocalls I told you about last week aren’t confined to Illinois. The calls, paid for by the National Republican Campaign Committee, are running in 53 US House races, according to the Boston Globe. The calls beging with “Hello, I’m calling with information about [Democratic candidate’s name here].” Lots of voters tend to hang up after the first sentence, but then they get another call right away from the system, leading some to believe that the Democratic candidate is bombarding them with idiotic calls. You can listen to some examples of the robocalls done against Tammy Duckworth by clicking here. Not everyone is blaming the innocent Democratic candidates, however.
Despite all the hooplah on Democratic blogs about the outrageousness of the robocall campaign, as is almost always the case with politics, neither side is completely clean. From Dennis Byrne’s column:
*** UPDATE *** Pioneer Press has a story up about the robocalls.
The media really needs to do something more on this. As other bloggers have noted, this is obviously an attempt at vote suppression.
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Green was a Red
Monday, Nov 6, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Just when you think it couldn’t get any goofier, Rich Whitney was red-baited. It turns out the Green Party candidate used to be a Red. The Topinka campaign and the Illinois GOP, anxious to herd Republican voters back into line, held a press conference after the Daily Herald broke the story.
You can say that again. Here’s part of the Republican press release:
Whitney did a pretty good job of handling himself, considering the subject matter and Topinka played good cop to the GOP’s bad cop:
Discuss.
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Morning shorts
Monday, Nov 6, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Pew: A nationwide Pew Research Center survey finds voting intentions shifting in the direction of Republican congressional candidates in the final days of the 2006 midterm campaign. The new survey finds a growing percentage of likely voters saying they will vote for GOP candidates. However, the Democrats still hold a 48% to 40% lead among registered voters, and a modest lead of 47%-43% among likely voters. * Daily Herald: If the analysts who track national politics for a living are to be believed, Republican House Speaker Dennis Hastert has two chances of holding onto power Tuesday: slim and none. * Obama: I regret deals with Rezko * Bernie predicts guv wins re-election, Democratic sweep * Door to door, face to face, race goes to wire - Duckworth, Roskam go to visit the voters * Washington: Dems are excited about voting this time * Stroger woos churchgoers as Peraica works the streets * Kristen McQueary: My daughter turned 1 in October. I recently received a lovely card in the mail from Gov. Rod Blagojevich and the first lady congratulating me on her birth and informing me of my right to breastfeed in public. Thanks, but we’re on milk and solid food, guys. Makes you think there’s an election around the corner or something. * Miller: Polls show voters never believed much Blagojevich ever said. But they do believe what they see and hear, and the Blagojevich campaign masterfully used Topinka’s own words against her. “I love you dearly,” she said to George Ryan at an emotional State Fair event in 2002. The now infamous video clip of her speech, along with the reportedly electronically altered sight of her bobbing her head up and down as Ryan spoke at the podium was replayed about a billion times on TV. The Blagojevich people have built almost their entire campaign around that clip, which makes the case for them that she was “George Ryan’s treasurer.” * Robaugh: Who you gonna vote for? * Comptroller debate turns ugly * Tribune: The Committee for Retention of Judges in Cook County, a joint effort of the judges and their supporters, raised $247,900 this year to support the 71 Circuit Court and appellate judges who will appear on ballots Tuesday. * Libeled by a campaign ad? Probably not - Few candidates sue; those who do usually lose * Garza picks up Jackson endorsement * For campaigns, home is where the rent is cheap, lease short * Former President Bill Clinton… has recorded radio ads and automated phone calls asking voters to support Blagojevich on Tuesday’s election.
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Topinka’s last TV ad
Sunday, Nov 5, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Christine Radogno quotes House Speaker Michael Madigan in her TV ad and Judy Baar Topinka points to Lisa Madigan’s refusal to endorse Rod Blagojevich in her last attack TV ad of the season. What a weird year. ![]() *** UPDATE *** Everybody seems to want to talk about this story in comments instead of the ad, so here you go.
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