|
Thursday Morning Wrap-up
Thursday, Nov 4, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller I’m taking the day off, but I’ll direct you to some stories that I paid attention to this morning. Rep. Ricca Slone (D-Peoria Heights) wants a recount. The Sun-Times and the Tribune both run stories about Cicero GOP Rep. Frank Aguilar’s stunning defeat. Neither paper, however, bothers to give its readers the breakdown of how well the rest of the Democratic ticket did in Cicero this year. Typical. Capitol Fax, which is on hiatus today, will have more on that race when it returns (which may be tomorrow, or not). Senator Dick Durbin’s potential for moving up the leadership ladder is discussed here and here. I can’t believe that the US Senate Democrats are about to make the same mistake that they made with Tom Daschle and elect Harry Reid, a Red-State Democrat, their next minority leader. Never make a potential target your leader. It doesn’t work. The Statehouse shooter was ruled unfit for trial. The inevitable Chicken Little story about the Illinois Republican Party appeared in the Tribune today, soon to be followed most definitely by every other media outlet. Some background on the Republican losses in Will County is here.
|
|
Rauschenberger tosses hat into ring
Wednesday, Nov 3, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller
ABC7 News learned that Elgin state senator Steve Rauschenberger is a willing possibility to lead the [Illinois Republican] party back into battle in 2006. The last time Rauschenberger demonstrated leadership was when he helped bring Alan Keyes to Illinois, which is why I wouldn’t be too sure that the moderate wing has listened much to Rauschenberger lately. And, frankly, aside from the fawning newspaper endorsements, he ran a pretty lousy US Senate campaign.
Somewhere along the way Rauschenberger apparently concluded that if he couldn’t make the run, then Alan Keyes - now known as the 27 percent embarrassment - would be a dandy alternative.
|
|
The Kerry map
Wednesday, Nov 3, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller As this map clearly shows, if it wasn’t for Chicago and suburban Cook County, Illinois would be a very red state indeed. The blue K’s are on counties that John Kerry won yesterday (because it’s a whole lot easier than putting a red W and winning percentages on 87 counties).
|
|
Negativity
Wednesday, Nov 3, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller I still say that Rep. Ricca Slone (D-Peoria Heights) dug her own political grave by being… Ricca Slone. But a Peoria-area subscriber has a different take on what turned out to be a super-close contest. The house “professionals” always make the same mistake in Peoria. They did it back in 1994 against [former state Rep. Jay] Ackerman. Negative does not sell well here - especially on abortion. This isn’t Chicago and it isn’t southern Illinois. Again, I think this loss is mostly Slone’s fault for alienating so many of her constituents, but these points are worth considering. Negatives don’t work everywhere, especially when they are cartoonish. Many of the attacks on Rep. Bill Grunloh’s Republican opponent were too over the top to be believable, as was the early mail against Rep. Beth Coulson (although, I will say to my dying day that Coulson protested way too much about a couple of silly mailers). The super-harsh negative TV attacks on Republican Supreme Court candidate Lloyd Karmeier obviously didn’t work. A terribly negative and completely false attack on Democratic Rep. Careen Gordon fatally backfired on the House Republicans. Of course, all of those candidates and their campaigns had numerous other flaws which led to their downfalls yesterday. I’m not trying to blame losses solely on negative ads. They worked very effectively for Grunloh’s opponent David Reis and most of the other winners yesterday. I do think, however that too often a bludgeon is used when a scalpel would more than suffice.
|
|
Where the hardcore lives
Wednesday, Nov 3, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller The ten counties that Alan Keyes won yesterday are marked with a dark red “K.” Counties where he took between 45 and 50 percent of the vote are labeled with the pinkish “K.” The counties that Barack Obama won with more than 65 percent are marked with the big blue “O.” (Click the map for a larger image) You can’t miss that big cluster of red K’s in the southeastern part of the state. That’s much of the area represented by Rep. Bill Grunloh (D-Effingham). Little wonder that the appointed Democrat got less than 38 percent of the vote yesterday.
|
|
TURNED INTO A NAIL-BITER
Wednesday, Nov 3, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller The AP has Rep. Ricca Slone losing to Aaron Schock by just 230 votes, with all precincts counted.
|
| « NEWER POSTS | PREVIOUS POSTS » |





If SJR had finished second, as the article claimed, and not the reality of a somewhat distant third behind 2nd-place finisher and notorious illegal immigrant basher Jim Oberweis, then Rauschenberger would have been the easy choice to replace the club-happy Jack Ryan and take on Barack Obama. 





