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Alternate question

Thursday, Oct 22, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I kept meaning to post this all day and kept forgetting. Sorry…


Don’t forget to explain, and take a deep breath or five before commenting, please.

  30 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Additional mitigations announced for Region 1

Thursday, Oct 22, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Region 1 includes Rockford over to the Iowa border, but not the Quad Cities. Here’s Gov. Pritzker today…

I want to provide a brief update on the metrics of Region One in northwestern Illinois, where Rockford is, where Freeport is, which has been under Tier One of our resurgence mitigation plan since Saturday, October 3. Over the last few weeks, Region One has continued to see a surging positivity rate, now up to 11.9% as of this morning.

We’ve said all along that if things don’t turn around in a region after two weeks of resurgence mitigations, we may need to add more stringent measures to help usher in the progress that we need to see, to get things more open again eventually. That is now the case in Region One, which has seen its positivity rate rise nearly two percentage points since October 14 alone.

So starting Sunday, northwestern Illinois will need additional mitigations, such as tighter gathering caps of 10 individuals, instead of 25. And new restaurant and bar table caps of six instead of 10 when eating out. The existing mitigations that were already put in place in early October will remain.

Also both Region One, bordering Wisconsin and Iowa, and Region Four here next to Missouri, carry the additional responsibility of navigating a situation where the vast upsurge of cases in our neighboring states will continue to have a spillover effect on Illinois.

There is no easy fix to this. So as colder weather comes upon us and brings flu season, along with it, it’s imperative that we take extra caution and extra care. Because at the end of the day this is bigger than you. This is about all of us, and the communities that we call home.

Wear your mask. Watch your distance. Wash your hands and get your flu shot. We have to take care of each other.

Please pardon all transcription errors.

…Adding… More from the governor…

If we need to close down restaurants and bars or take away their liquor licenses, take away their gaming licenses, we will do that.

Because we are now headed into a peak that is beyond, potentially, where we were in March and April. I think you’re hearing now on national television, you’re seeing it in our surrounding states, Wisconsin, built out, not just one field house, they’re looking at multiple field hospitals rather because their hospitals are full.

We built them out in the spring because we thought perhaps we would end up in that situation. Thank God we were able to flatten the curve back in the spring. But now you can see, just look at the curves.

We’re working very hard, but we need everybody’s help in the public. We need the restaurant owners and bar owners to follow the mitigations, and to stop fighting and trying to find some flaw in the data, trying to find somebody who will say that a bar or restaurant is not a spreading location.

The truth of it is and I think every infectious disease expert that I’ve talked to and dozens and dozens of studies and I’ve held them up at the press conference yesterday, they exist. I’ve sent them out to legislators and all the elected officials, anybody who’s asked for them. Bars and restaurants are places where spreading takes place. They’re one of the top places and spreading takes place.

*** UPDATE *** From IDPH…

Bars and Restaurants

    • Reduce party size from 10 to six individuals

Meetings, Social Events and Gatherings

• Maximum indoor/outdoor gathering size of 10 individuals

    o Applicable to professional, religious, cultural and social group gatherings
    o Not applicable to students participating in-person classroom learning
    o This does not reduce the overall facility capacity dictated by general business guidance, such as office, retail, etc.
    o Not applicable to sports, see sports guidance

Indoor recreation

    • Maintain lesser of 25 people/25 percent of capacity
    • No groups more than 10 individuals
    • Does not apply to fitness

These mitigations do not apply to schools or polling places.

  18 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - This just in…

Thursday, Oct 22, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Question of the day

Thursday, Oct 22, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* As I mentioned to subscribers earlier, Rep. Stephanie Kifowit walked precincts yesterday with Rep. Terra Costa Howard

Rep. Kifowit, of course, has announced she’s running for House Speaker and Rep. Costa Howard has said she will not vote for Speaker Madigan’s reelection. A spokesperson for the freshman said Costa Howard has not yet determined who she will be supporting.

* The Question: Caption?

  26 Comments      


Lightfoot reverses course on bars

Thursday, Oct 22, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* WTTW early this morning

As officials scramble to cope with a significant increase in the number of confirmed cases of the coronavirus, Gov. J.B. Pritzker and Mayor Lori Lightfoot are at odds over the role that bars and restaurants are playing in fueling the spread.

When several Illinois regions have recorded spikes in cases of COVID-19 in recent weeks, Pritzker has ordered bars and restaurants to stop serving drinkers and diners indoors — eventually seeing the number of cases decline.

But nearly 72 hours after Lightfoot warned Chicago that the city had entered the second wave of the pandemic, no new restrictions had been ordered in the city, alarming aldermen, residents and infectious disease experts. […]

Lightfoot said Monday the surge in the number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 was unrelated to that decision, citing information developed by the city’s corps of contact tracers that determined that most new cases stemmed from contact with relatives or friends.

“I don’t think there is a cause and effect,” Lightfoot said.

* NBC 5 this afternoon…


  23 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - New TV ads, new disclosures and campaign updates

Thursday, Oct 22, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

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4,942 new cases, 44 additional deaths, 2,463 hospitalized, 5.7 percent positivity rate (but that number is actually much higher)

Thursday, Oct 22, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Press release…

The Illinois Department of Public Health (IDPH) today reported 4,942 new confirmed cases of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Illinois, including 44 additional deaths.

    - Carroll County: 1 female 90s
    - Christian County: 1 male 90s
    - Clay County: 1 female 70s
    - Cook County: 1 male 40s, 1 male 50s, 3 females 80s, 1 male 80s, 2 females 90s, 1 male 90s
    - DeWitt County: 1 male 70s
    - DuPage County: 1 male 40s, 1 female 80s
    - Effingham County: 1 male 90s
    - Jefferson County: 1 male 80s
    - Kane County: 1 female 70s
    - Knox County: 1 female 70s, 1 male 70s, 1 female 80s, 1 female 90s
    - LaSalle County: 1 female 80s
    - Marion County: 1 female 90s
    - McDonough County: 1 male 70s
    - Peoria County: 1 female 90s
    - Randolph County: 1 female 80s
    - Richland County: 1 male 80s
    - Sangamon County: 1 female 80s
    - Shelby County: 1 male 70s
    - St. Clair County: 1 male 90s
    - Tazewell County: 1 female 60s, 1 female 70s, 1 male 70s
    - Wayne County: 1 male 80s
    - White County: 1 female 80s
    - Winnebago County: 1 female 50s, 1 male 50s, 2 male 70s, 1 female 80s, 3 males 80s

Currently, IDPH is reporting a total of 360,159 cases, including 9,387 deaths, in 102 counties in Illinois. The age of cases ranges from younger than one to older than 100 years. The preliminary seven-day statewide positivity for cases as a percent of total test from October 15 – October 21 is 5.7%. Within the past 24 hours, laboratories have reported 80,977 specimens for a total of 7,031,082. As of last night, 2,463 people in Illinois were reported to be in the hospital with COVID-19. Of those, 525 patients were in the ICU and 212 patients with COVID-19 were on ventilators.

*All data are provisional and will change. In order to rapidly report COVID-19 information to the public, data are being reported in real-time. Information is constantly being entered into an electronic system and the number of cases and deaths can change as additional information is gathered. Information for deaths previously reported has changed, therefore, today’s numbers have been adjusted. For health questions about COVID-19, call the hotline at 1-800-889-3931 or email dph.sick@illinois.gov.

* From yesterday…


The governor needs to straighten out his numbers. These U of I test results are skewing things but good. If I wanted to live in Florida, where the governor is all happy talk while making his numbers look much better than they really are, I’d move there.

  17 Comments      


Illinois Restaurant Association cites misleading far-right talking points in push against mitigations

Thursday, Oct 22, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Press release…

Sam Toia, President and CEO, Illinois Restaurant Association

The Illinois Restaurant Association (IRA) cannot support the COVID-19 mitigation plan presented by Governor Pritzker’s office that ceases dine-in operations at restaurants across the state of Illinois. Moving backwards in this manner spells complete devastation for the restaurant industry. The extreme measures outlined by the Governor’s team will result in the permanent closure of countless restaurants statewide, eliminating thousands of jobs and desolating communities inhabited by millions of residents.

Since the onset of the pandemic, the restaurant industry - which is among the most highly regulated in health and safety - has quickly implemented and enforced enhanced procedures and policies with respect to sanitation, PPE, social distancing, timed reservation blocks, face coverings, hand sanitizer stations, signage and more. It’s alarming that restaurants are among the only businesses affected in the Governor’s most recent announcement given our unparalleled levels of safety.

We do not agree with the order to completely eliminate dine-in operations. The IRA wants to work with the Governor’s office on a pragmatic mitigation plan that supports the health and safety of our state without jeopardizing the livelihoods of the people and businesses that serve as the cornerstone of our communities. Earlier curfews and reduced occupancy levels are two examples of more reasonable measures.

We also have serious concerns over the consistency of the data the state is using to drive these devastating decisions to close our industry. By contrast, DuPage County has provided detailed statistics indicating that restaurants are linked to just 6% of outbreaks over the past seven months - yet their indoor dining was shut down. As the science surrounding COVID-19 has evolved, so must the metrics for mitigation.

Additionally, as restaurants are forced to close indoor dining and lay off their team members, they do so without any financial support. The funding opportunities currently available from the state of Illinois are only helping the smallest fraction of restaurant operations. The state needs to provide grants, waive licensing and permitting fees and delay tax payments, as well as advocate for relief at the federal level.

Conservative estimates indicate that at least 20 percent of restaurants will be forced to close their doors permanently. This means 120,000 jobs in Illinois, gone.

We cannot allow this to happen. Closing restaurants down now means closing them for good!

The situation today is much different than it was in March through May, when restaurants were closed to all on-premises dining, Sam. Citing old statistics to make your case might win an uninformed debate, but sharing talking points with Amy Jacobson and others on the extreme far right about those DuPage County numbers is not a good look.

Much more recent numbers show that restaurants are the number two driver of outbreaks in DuPage, behind nursing homes. And, as I told subscribers this morning, if you want to control the spread in nursing homes and other congregate facilities, you have to control community spread

Mayor Tim Kabat was already on edge as thousands of students returned to La Crosse, Wis., to resume classes this fall at the city’s three colleges. When he saw young people packing downtown bars and restaurants in September, crowded closely and often unmasked, the longtime mayor’s worry turned to dread.

Now, more than a month later, La Crosse has endured a devastating spike in coronavirus cases — a wildfire of infection that first appeared predominantly in the student-age population, spread throughout the community and ultimately ravaged elderly residents who had previously managed to avoid the worst of the pandemic.

For most of 2020, La Crosse’s nursing homes had lost no one to covid-19. In recent weeks, the county has recorded 19 deaths, most of them in long-term care facilities. Everyone who died was over 60. Fifteen of the victims were 80 or older. The spike offers a vivid illustration of the perils of pushing a herd-immunity strategy, as infections among younger people can fuel broader community outbreaks that ultimately kill some of the most vulnerable residents. […]

Local efforts to contain the outbreak have been hamstrung by a statewide campaign to block public health measures, including mask requirements and limits on taverns, he added. “Your first responsibility as a local government is really to protect the health and safety and welfare of your residents,” he said. “When you feel like that’s not happening and you have few tools or resources available to change that, it’s more than frustrating.” […]

Recent data released by Johns Hopkins University and the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services shows that weekly cases in nursing homes rose nationwide in late September as the disease became more widespread in 38 states and the country entered its third coronavirus spike. That marked the first uptick in seven weeks in long-term care, after new cases dropped throughout August and early September.

All that being said, this is an absolute travesty. A coordinated, responsible federal response to this pandemic would have eased the suffering of people who work in and own restaurants. But with deaths, hospitalizations and positivity rates soaring here, what we do not need is one of the state’s leading business associations using false right-wing propaganda to make its case.

  32 Comments      


Act Now To Save Renewable Energy Jobs

Thursday, Oct 22, 2020 - Posted by Advertising Department

[The following is a paid advertisement.]

Illinois’ renewable energy program has hit a funding cliff, putting thousands of jobs and energy affordability at risk. Workers and the families they support need immediate action from our legislators. As Representative Will Davis said, “This is a time when Illinois desperately needs jobs, but the renewable industry in Illinois has lost an estimated 3,500 jobs in the last year.” Without immediate action from legislative leaders, the renewable energy industry will collapse. It is critical that the Governor and General Assembly act with urgency to expand our most affordable form of energy.

Learn more at https://www.pathto100.net/ Solar power is an affordable, local, and clean energy investment that benefits all Illinoisans.

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*** UPDATED x1 *** Bailey asks second court to declare Pritzker in contempt

Thursday, Oct 22, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Edgar County Watchdogs

Rep. Darren Bailey filed a Petition for Adjudication of Indirect Civil Contempt this morning against Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker in Sangamon County Circuit Court.

* He’s using the phrase “this court” loosely because it was a Clay County judge, not a Sangamon County judge, who issued these rulings

COMES NOW, Plaintiff, Darren Bailey, by and through his attorney, Thomas DeVore, of DeVore Law Offices, LLC, and as for his Petition for Adjudication of Indirect Civil Contempt against the Defendant, Jay Robert Pritzker (“Pritzker”), states as follows:

    1. On or about July 02, 2020, this Court declared Pritzker no longer had any emergency powers under Section 7 of the IEMAA after April 08, 2020.

    2. On or about July 02, 2020, this Court also declared any executive orders in effect after April 08, 2020 related to COVID-19 and finding their authority under the emergency powers of Section 7 of the IEMAA void.

    3. In complete disregard of this Court’s July 02, 2020 order, on October 02, 2020, Pritzker issued executive order 56 regarding COVID-19 and cites as authority his enumerated powers under Section 7 of the IEMAA.

    4. In complete disregard of this Court’s July 02, 2020 order, on October 16, 2020, Pritzker issued executive order 59 regarding COVID-19 and cites as authority his enumerated powers under Section 7 of the IEMAA.

    5. In complete disregard of this Court’s July 02, 2020 order, on October 21, 2020, Pritzker issued executive order 60 regarding COVID-19 and cites as authority his enumerated powers under Section 7 of the IEMAA.

    6. In complete disregard of this Court’s July 02, 2020 order, on October 21, 2020, Pritzker issued executive order 61 regarding COVID-19 and cites as authority his enumerated powers under Section 7 of the IEMAA.

    7. If all of the actions of Pritzker complained of herein could not be more derogatory to this Court’s authority and dignity, he specifically went on to issue executive orders 60 and 61 even after this Honorable Court, just two days prior, refused to vacate its July 02, 2020 grant of summary judgment which specifically declared on the merits he no longer had authority under Section 7 of the IEMAA to issue executive orders regarding COVID-19.

    8. These willful actions of the Defendant, Jay Robert Pritzker, constitute prima facie evidence of contemptuous acts which are calculated to embarrass, hinder, or obstruct this Honorable Court in its administration of justice, and are expressly calculated to derogate from its authority and dignity.

    9. Everyday citizens throughout this state who find themselves in front of our honorable courts are never allowed to take actions which will directly embarrass, hinder or obstruct the court’s authority and dignity; and our elected officials, even a governor, must unequivocally be held to the same standards of conduct as we hold our citizenry if we ever hope to maintain the sanctity of our system of justice in the eyes and hearts of the people.

He tried to pull this stunt in Clay County but the Illinois Supreme Court moved the case to Sangamon before the motion could be ruled on.

Also, Darren Bailey claiming that someone else is embarrassing the court’s dignity is about as rich as rich gets.

* Back to the filing

WHEREFORE, Plaintiff, Darren Bailey, respectfully prays for this Court to enter an order as follows:

    A. That, Jay Robert Pritzker, be adjudged in indirect civil contempt of this Court and be required to show cause, if any he can, why he should not be held in contempt of this Court and punished in a manner this Court finds proper for his willful and contumacious disregard with this Court’s order;

    B. That Jay Robert Pritzker be ordered to purge himself by rescinding the above- mentioned executive orders instanter;

    C. In the alternative, the Court craft any other just sanction which compels Jay Robert Pritzker to purge his contempt.

    D. That Jay Robert Pritzker be held liable for the Darren Bailey’s attorney fees he has incurred in enforcing the willful disregard of this Court’s order;

    E. That this Court enter any further orders which the Court deems just and equitable.

I’ve asked the attorney general’s office and the governor’s office for a response.

Discuss.

…Adding… From the AG’s office…

We are reviewing the motion. In the meantime, we will continue to defend the governor’s constitutional and statutory authority to protect the residents of Illinois from the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic – authority that has been affirmed by every judge to take up the issue, with one exception.

And that one exception was Clay County.

*** UPDATE *** Jordan Abudayyeh…

This was a legally baseless motion the first time Mr. DeVore filed it and it hasn’t improved with age. As the infection rate rises and leaders across the state are working to protect public health, this motion demonstrates that Bailey cares only about one thing – press attention. And he is willing to abuse the Court process to get it.

Background…

When Bailey and DeVore tried this during the summer, we noted that the Clay County Circuit Court order that they seek to enforce is, in fact, unenforceable for 2 reasons: (1) it is not a final, appealable order that resolves all the issues in the case, and (2) it does not contain any injunctive relief ordering the Governor to do or to stop doing anything. DeVore and Bailey could have used the two months since then to fix these deficiencies in their case. But they didn’t (surely because they knew they would lose). Instead, they are just making the same, utterly defective argument again.

  25 Comments      


*** UPDATED x2 *** ACLU warns of continuing problems in health care program for foster kids

Thursday, Oct 22, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* ACLU of Illinois…

Illinois is not meeting its promise to ensure children and families who receive health care through a new managed care system are not receiving the medical, psychiatric, and other health care they need in a timely fashion, according to testimony offered to an Illinois Senate committee today. The Senate Human Services Committee hosted a hearing today to update members on the experience of DCFS youth and families are faring with transition to a managed health care system known as YouthCare.

In testimony offered by the ACLU of Illinois, which has represented children in the care of DCFS through the B.H. litigation for nearly twenty years, the organization noted that while problems with access to health care for DCFS wards did not begin with the transition to YouthCare, the managed care system has not solved longstanding problems.

“Many of Illinois’ foster children simply are not receiving the care that they need at the time when they need it,” Heidi Dalenberg, Director of the Institutional Reform Project, ACLU of Illinois. “That was true before the rollout of the YouthCare plan. It remains true today.”

The ACLU pointed out that some flaws in the YouthCare system and network is creating real harm for children in DCFS care. Ms. Dalenberg related the story of one teen taken to a local emergency room in the midst of a mental health crisis, in true distress. Although all the medical professionals at the hospital agreed that the teen needed to be admitted to a psychiatric hospital, DCFS and YouthCare could not find a hospital for the teen to enter. After ten days, waiting in the emergency room, the youth was determined to be ready to be released – but never was provided the necessary psychiatric care.

“It would be sad if this were the only instance of this harm to a teen,” added Dalenberg. “It is not. We know that in the month of September alone, at least ten other foster children who experienced similar circumstances– being stuck at an emergency room because a placement was not found for them. YouthCare needs to address this today.”

The ACLU also shared results of a project it conducted in recent weeks to test the experience of families with finding care under YouthCare by calling physician offices in Belleville, Peoria and suburban Harvey. The ACLU tests revealed that a family calling a provider’s office for the first time would be able to secure an appointment for a child to see a physician in just 3 out of 10 calls during that first call.

Among other reasons that appointments were not available:

    • Phone numbers were out of service;
    • Doctor offices had closed;
    • Offices indicated that they had never heard of YouthCare;
    • Offices said they would not accept YouthCare (in error);
    • Offices said that they would not schedule new patients until after the COVID pandemic was ended; and,
    • Offices said they needed complete medical records – not in possession of the parents – before scheduling an appointment.

“The network cannot serve children if physicians can’t or won’t respond to the needs of these families. YouthCare and DCFS needs to fix this soon – so that no family gets unnecessarily refused,” said Dalenberg.

*** UPDATE 1 *** Evan Fazio, Director of Communications, IL Dept. of Healthcare and Family Services…

The ACLU testimony offered today failed to capture the full picture of what YouthCare has brought to the table in its first month and a half since launching with current Youth in Care. It is unacceptable that even a single child has trouble receiving appropriate medical care. The state has been working on this issue for quite some time, which is why having another partner in YouthCare is of enormous value to our vulnerable youth. YouthCare’s care coordinators are there every step of the way, working to solve the problem, making calls to providers so families don’t have to, and coordinating every aspect of care. In fact, YouthCare has resolved 98% of all rapid response inquiries. By any measure, families have far more opportunities for support and access to needed services for the children under their care with YouthCare than before.

Regarding the ACLU’s hypothetical network exercise, YouthCare members’ real-life experiences have not demonstrated any notable problems in this area. YouthCare continues to exceed network adequacy standards with over 52,000 providers, more than three times the number of providers under the previous system. And again, there is an added resource to help families when there are issues. When a foster parent needs to make an appointment or find a doctor for their child, they now have a care coordinator that they can call to get the appropriate care for their child. Before YouthCare, these families were forced to try to do all of this on their own.

All healthcare systems have challenges with providers not updating their information or front desk staff not knowing the provider is in network. YouthCare has been and continues to proactively address this topic through a multi-platform provider education campaign to reach and educate provider staff and collect demographic updates. To date, YouthCare has proactively completed 25,125 calls to collect provider updates to ensure the provider directory is updated. This issue is also alleviated through personal care coordinators, dedicated provider teams, and a six-month continuity of care period where providers do not need to be in network to be paid.

As today’s testimony from families working with the YouthCare system showed, this care has already provided tangible improvements in a number of children’s lives and in real time situations.

*** UPDATE 2 *** Ed Yohnka at the ACLU…

It is a little puzzling to see actual calls made to physician offices over several weeks labeled as “hypothetical.” The calls happened. They were real and they revealed a range of obstacles to parents and families in getting access to the care their children need. Is it surprising that faced with these obstacles, busy families and parents have not leapt immediately to report their frustrations and problems to the State. And, we would note that our findings confirmed earlier evidence developed by the Cook County Public Guardian’s Office.

The hearing would have benefited from a comprehensive report from YouthCare acknowledging that the transition did not go smoothly for everyone, and that while there are many more providers available for many children, there remain critical shortage areas that require cooperation and collaboration to remedy.

  20 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Unemployment benefit claims fall slightly nationally and in Illinois, but state level remains very high

Thursday, Oct 22, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* CNN

Claims for unemployment benefits inched lower last week, the Department of Labor said Thursday. Still millions of Americans continue to rely on government aid to make ends meet.

Last week, 787,000 workers claimed first-time benefits on a seasonally adjusted basis. That’s down from the prior week, which was revised significantly lower. Last week marked the first time jobless claims fell below 800,000 since mid-March.

But not everyone is eligible for regular state benefits. Pandemic Unemployment Assistance, which Congress created as part of the CARES Act in the spring, provides benefits for the self-employed and gig workers.

Last week, 345,440 people applied for PUA.

* CBS 2

The U.S. Department of Labor estimates 47,018 new unemployment claims were filed during the week of Oct. 12 in Illinois, according to the DOL’s weekly claims report released Thursday.

While this number is based on advanced estimates, the Illinois Department of Employment Security (IDES) will be releasing a final number later Thursday. […]

There were 47,528 new unemployment claims were filed across the state last week, the week of Oct. 5.

There were 29,390 new unemployment claims in Illinois the week of Sept. 21.

*** UPDATE *** IDES…

The number of nonfarm jobs decreased over-the-year in all fourteen Illinois metropolitan areas in September, with four metro areas at record low payrolls for that month, according to preliminary data released today by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and the Illinois Department of Employment Security (IDES). The unemployment rate increased over-the-year in all metro areas and posted a record high for the month of September in one metro area. The official, BLS approved sub-state unemployment rate and nonfarm jobs series begins in 1990. Data reported prior to 1990 are not directly comparable due to updates in methodology.

“As Illinois continues to make necessary adjustments and work through the COVID-19 mitigation plan, the Pritzker administration remains committed to providing unemployment benefits as a means of economic relief to claimants who are still in need of the Department’s services,” said Deputy Governor Dan Hynes. “We take our role in this pandemic seriously, and will continue to work with IDES to support working families and provide employment training and services to those who seek it.”

The number of nonfarm jobs decreased in all fourteen Illinois metropolitan areas. Total nonfarm jobs were down in Peoria (-10.5%, -17,900), Elgin (-8.8%, -23,200) and Lake-Kenosha (-7.6%, -32,000). In Chicago-Naperville-Arlington Heights, jobs were down 7.2% (-274,200). No industry sector saw job gains in a majority of metro areas.

Not seasonally adjusted data compares September 2020 with September 2019. The not seasonally adjusted Illinois rate was 9.8 percent in September 2020 and the highest September unemployment rate since 2011, when it was also 9.8 percent. The official, BLS approved, statewide unemployment rate series begins in 1976. Nationally, the not seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 7.7 percent in September 2020 and the highest September unemployment rate since 2011, when it was 8.8 percent. The unemployment rate identifies those individuals who are out of work and seeking employment.

  5 Comments      


Rate the new anti-Kilbride ad

Thursday, Oct 22, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Because… Madigan, of course

  22 Comments      


IML calls governor’s aid claim “ridiculous,” DCEO fires back

Thursday, Oct 22, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Illinois Municipal League…

The Illinois Municipal League (IML) is calling on the Illinois Department of Commerce and Economic Opportunity (DCEO) to speed up release of federal funds intended to aid communities during the coronavirus pandemic. So far, DCEO says it has released just $21 million of the nearly $150 million in funding set aside for Illinois municipalities through the Coronavirus Aid, Relief and Economic Security (CARES) ACT.

Delays in disbursing these funds severely limit economic recovery in cities, villages and towns, where local leaders are facing major budget shortfalls due to a sharp dip in revenue caused by the pandemic. Downstate and suburban communities have been hit especially hard, as they did not receive direct financial aid from the federal government and have been left with unclear information from the state about what costs qualify for reimbursement and when to expect aid.

“It has been a full seven months since the federal CARES Act was passed, yet instead of receiving the aid as intended municipalities have largely been left in the dark about what help, if any, they will receive. This makes it impossible for local officials to make crucial decisions about public services that help those most impacted by the pandemic,” said Brad Cole, IML Executive Director. “Local officials know their communities best, and as we see COVID cases rise, this aid is going to be even more crucial to the wellbeing of our local municipalities.”

Cole rejected comments made by Gov. J.B. Pritzker on Wednesday suggesting many municipalities have simply decided not to apply for the funding.

“The notion that municipalities are turning away money is ridiculous,” said Cole. “To the extent some communities have not submitted applications, it is because the state has made the process too cumbersome and difficult or those communities have been unable to get timely answers to their questions from DCEO.”

Municipal operations and finances have been greatly impacted by the pandemic. An IML survey from this summer found that 87 percent of responding municipalities have experienced revenue shortfalls of 20-30 percent when compared to last year due to the ongoing coronavirus pandemic. To make up for these shortfalls and in the absence of federal aid dollars, elected officials are being forced to make difficult decisions, which includes possible layoffs of personnel, reductions in municipal programs and services, delaying infrastructure projects and spending already-limited reserve funds.

The CARES Act, which passed Congress with overwhelming bipartisan support and was backed by every member of the Illinois Congressional Delegation, included provisions to grant federal aid to local governments during the pandemic. Further, state lawmakers also believed they were sending direct aid to local governments when voting for this year’s budget package.

* WTTW

Pritzker said the money has to go through the state, in case the feds audit how municipalities use the relief funding.

“We’re going to get audited for every dollar that we got from the federal government,” Pritzker said. “Every dollar has to be accounted for and that’s why the state is running the program that it is.”

That doesn’t pass the smell test for Cole, who said that each municipality should be liable for how the funds are spent.

Um, the feds will come to Illinois, not the municipalities, for any refunds.

* DCEO…

IML’s characterization that DCEO is holding back funds from local governments is simply inaccurate. To date, we’ve issued $21.5 million in checks to 114 local units of government, with another $36.5 million in the pipeline and we fully expect to release all of the funds in the program. After a ramping up period to get hundreds of municipalities signed up for the program– we are now at a pivotal point in which substantial reimbursement checks – some topping over $1 million – are being issued to local governments daily. In the past week alone – approved payouts have more than doubled for the program, suggesting the volume of payments local governments should expect to receive in the coming weeks alone. DCEO continues to work closely with legislators, counties, municipalities and many other units of government to support local officials with understanding of the stringent federal requirements and any assistance they need to apply for the maximum amount of reimbursements available to them under this program.

* Background…

DCEO has worked diligently to implement the program pursuant to this guidance in order to avoid putting our state at risk for being required to repay misspent funds, at a time of great fiscal challenges across our state budget.

We recognize that local governments have had numerous questions about how to navigate eligible costs, as stipulated in the federal guidelines. DCEO continues to advise on these scenarios, to coach governments on the rules and with applying, and to help local governments fold in as many costs as possible. Since the start of the program DCEO and the Local CURE administrator have fielded hundreds of calls, held dozens of webinars, handled and solved more than 350 help desk tickets, and responded to more than 1,300 email inquiries.

Additionally, US Treasury has released numerous revisions to its guidance in recent months which have meaningfully impacted how these funds can be used – including reimbursement due dates, eligibility of key expenses like public safety payrolls, and providing guidance on how local governments can seek reimbursement for the costs of adopting CDC and IDPH guidance, to name a few.

We have compromised with the IML and allocated a portion of the funding toward a $15 million local government economic support program. Moreover, today 94% of overall funding in this program is under obligated agreements with local governments, waiting for qualified submissions of COVID-19 related costs.

  17 Comments      


The trend is not our friend

Thursday, Oct 22, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Jake Griffin

State health officials Wednesday reported 69 more Illinois residents have died from COVID-19, the highest single-day total the state has seen since mid-June.

COVID-related deaths have been growing in recent weeks as the state has begun to experience an exponential growth of new cases of the respiratory disease that has caused four of the state’s 11 health regions to have additional restrictions imposed.

“We should understand that’s always the pattern,” Dr. Ngozi Ezike, head of the Illinois Department of Public Health, said at a media briefing Wednesday with the governor. “A certain number of cases will become hospitalizations, and a certain number of hospitalizations will go on to be deaths.”

The state’s death toll from the respiratory disease now stands at 9,345, and the state is now averaging 39 deaths a day over the past week. A month ago, the daily average of deaths for the week was 20, according to IDPH figures.

* Mitchell Armentrout

By the end of this week, COVID-19 restrictions ordered by Pritzker will be in place in four of the state’s 11 regions — including Chicago’s south and west suburbs in Kankakee, Will, Kane and DuPage counties — due to rising testing positivity rates.

All other regions are at or over 7% positivity and trending steadily upward toward the 8% threshold set by the Democratic governor that triggers restrictions. That includes Chicago and the rest of its suburbs.

“People are lowering their guard,” Pritzker said at his latest coronavirus briefing. “Wear the mask. If there’s nothing else that you hear me say, today and everyday, please wear the mask. Keep social distance.”

* Jamie Munks and Dan Petrella

Illinois on Wednesday recorded its highest daily coronavirus-related death toll since June as state officials released an early version of its plan for how a vaccine will be distributed once one is approved and available.

The plan “is designed to provide an equitable distribution across the state with priority access going to our most vulnerable populations, front-line health care workers and first responders who directly interact with and treat COVID patients, as well as staff and residents in long-term care facilities,” Pritzker said during his daily coronavirus news briefing.

The plan will “evolve as vaccine trials come to a conclusion and the FDA decides which to approve,” Pritzker said, noting that there are a range of unknowns around whether vaccinations will require multiple doses and if they will need cold or room temperature storage.

While President Donald Trump has vowed that a vaccination could be available soon, most experts think it won’t be until next year before that happens, a point backed up on Wednesday by Illinois Department of Public Health Director Dr. Ngozi Ezike.

* Sean Crawford

A bigger challenge might be getting enough people to willingly take it. Ezike acknowledged education will be needed to get buy-in from the broader population.

“Getting the vaccine is one step. Getting it into people’s arms is another. And so, we need both of those to get to a better state with this pandemic,” she said. “Once a safe and effective vaccine is available, CDC planning assumptions indicate 80 percent of the population would need to be immunized to achieve herd immunity.”

That could take a while. Along with the logisitics of getting the vaccine to people, there are also questions about production. Ezike added it could take “many, many months” before it is widely available.

Under Illinois’ plan, the vaccines will be free to all residents, although some health providers may charge a fee to give the shot.

  29 Comments      


Open thread

Thursday, Oct 22, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* As always, keep it Illinois-centric and be polite to each other. Also, while I have you, a few folks with iPhones have said the site is crashing their browsers. I think I’ve isolated the problem, but addressing it will probably have to wait until the weekend. Sorry about that. Anyway, carry on.

  23 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition and several campaign updates

Thursday, Oct 22, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Thursday, Oct 22, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

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*** LIVE COVERAGE ***

Thursday, Oct 22, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Follow along with ScribbleLive


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Caption contest!

Wednesday, Oct 21, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From Facebook

  68 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Campaign updates

Wednesday, Oct 21, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Kudos to CNI

Wednesday, Oct 21, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Capitol News Illinois has been doing a good job of covering some recent legislative hearings that nobody else has been paying much attention to. For instance

Health care experts appeared before Illinois lawmakers Monday to discuss disparities in access to hospitals and outcomes based on ZIP code.

Witnesses discussed solutions to financial obstacles facing safety-net hospitals, the lack of preventative care for underserved communities, and massive disparities in outcomes based on race and income at a joint hearing of the state Senate Public Health and Human Services committees.

Safety net hospital is a term for a medical center that generally provides health care for individuals regardless of their insurance status, legal status or ability to pay. The Illinois Department of Healthcare and Family Services determines whether or not a hospital qualifies for a safety net designation based on the percentage of inpatients using Medicaid.

Because the safety net model is not an inherently profitable one, safety net hospitals rely on government funding and are consistently financially challenged, leading to cuts in services such as pediatrics or obstetrics and gynecology, or, in some circumstances, closure of the facility.

In many parts of the state, safety net hospitals are the only locally accessible supplier of health care, particularly in low income, majority Black and majority Latino communities based in the south and west sides of Chicago and the Metro East area near St. Louis.

In 2014, there were 40 safety net hospitals in the state. According to IDHFS, 24 hospitals currently meet that designation.

* And

In Illinois and around the country, an increasing number of universities, investigators and researchers are turning up evidence of systemic racism in the financial sector that has plagued Black Americans for decades

In June, a report from Chicago radio station WBEZ-FM and the nonprofit news organization City Bureau found that for every dollar banks loaned in a white Chicago neighborhood, they only invested 12 cents in Black neighborhoods. A 2019 Duke University study estimates Black Chicagoans lost between $3 to $4 billion in the 1950s and 60s due to predatory housing contracts. A 2013 Pew report shows that nationally, African Americans lost 53 percent of their wealth between 2005 and 2009 due to the collapse of the housing market.

On Thursday, the Illinois Senate Executive and Commerce and Economic Development committees held a joint hearing on racial equity in lending and homeownership. The hearing was the latest in an ongoing series of hearings prompted by the Illinois Legislative Black Caucus agenda to end systemic racism.

“The time is long overdue for Black households to be met with policies that uplift them and provide them with access to better credit and lending opportunities,” state Sen. Mattie Hunter, a Chicago Democrat who chairs the Executive Committee, said. “It’s imperative that we work to close the wealth gap and level the playing field.”

* And

Lawmakers and renewable energy stakeholders are calling for legislative action on measures meant to bring funding to and diversify the clean energy industry in the state.

Members of a coalition backing the Path to 100 energy legislation made the calls in a virtual news conference Wednesday. Their legislation aims to raise a rate cap on energy bills from about 2 to 4 percent to provide funding for renewable projects, avoiding what Rep. Will Davis called the “solar cliff.”

“This is a time when Illinois desperately needs jobs, but the renewable industry in Illinois has lost an estimated 3,500 jobs in the last year,” Davis, a Hazel Crest Democrat, said in the news conference. “This is mainly because our state’s renewable energy program is running out of funding. Today, we are calling on the General Assembly to pass the Path to 100 Act to solve this crisis, and we are announcing a new diversity and equity plan that will be a key part of our renewable energy sector going forward.”

The diversity initiatives laid out Wednesday include funding workforce development programs for the industry through the Department of Commerce and Economic Opportunity and creating diversity hiring and contracting mandates for companies procuring Renewable Energy Credits through the Illinois Power Agency, among other actions. The coalition said it also aims to expand access to community solar initiatives and the Solar for All Program for low-income Illinoisans.

  4 Comments      


Before $550K DPI contribution, Kilbride vowed not to “accept one penny” from entities Madigan controls

Wednesday, Oct 21, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* As we’ve already discussed, the Democratic Party of Illinois has contributed $550,000 to Justice Tom Kilbride’s retention campaign. But this is what Kilbride said earlier this month

On Oct. 2, Kilbride told WBEZ he would not accept any funding from any Madigan-led political funds.

“We’re not going to accept one penny — and I say this respectfully — [from] Speaker Madigan or any of his entities,” Kilbride said then.

From his campaign

By law, Justice Kilbride is not allowed to solicit campaign contributions. To further maintain his impartiality, he has no role in fundraising – all such decisions are made by his treasurer – and no knowledge of the donors to his retention committee nor of those to the opposition committee.

* So, should Kilbride’s campaign refund the DPI contribution? Take the poll and then explain your answer in comments, please…


bike trails

  34 Comments      


4,342 new cases, 69 additional deaths, 2,338 hospitalized, 5.7 percent positivity rate

Wednesday, Oct 21, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Press release…

The Illinois Department of Public Health (IDPH) today reported 4,342 new confirmed cases of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Illinois, including 69 additional deaths.

    • Christian County: 1 female 80s
    • Clark County: 1 male 90s
    • Clay County: 1 male 80s
    • Clinton County: 1 male 80s
    • Cook County: 2 females 60s, 2 males 60s, 2 males 70s, 3 females 80s, 1 male 80s, 1 female 90s, 2 males 90s
    • DuPage County: 1 male 30s, 1 female 40s, 1 female 70s, 1 male 70s
    • Fayette County: 1 male 80s
    • Ford County: 1 male 50s, 1 female 90s
    • Franklin County: 1 male 80s, 1 male 90s
    • Fulton County: 1 male 90s
    • Hancock County: 1 male 60s
    • Jackson County: 1 male 70s
    • Kane County: 1 male 50s, 1 female 80s
    • Kendall County: 1 male 80s, 1 male 90s
    • Knox County: 1 female 50s, 1 female 70s, 1 male 90s
    • Lake County: 1 female 70s
    • Macon County:1 female 90s
    • Madison County: 1 male 80s
    • Marion County: 2 males 70s, 1 male 80s
    • McDonough County: 1 female 80s
    • Peoria County: 1 female 40s, 1 female 70s, 1 female 80s
    • Richland County: 1 male 80s
    • Saline County: 2 females 80s
    • Sangamon County: 1 male 80s
    • Shelby County: 1 female 60s, 1 male 70s
    • St. Clair County: 1 male 80s, 1 male 90s
    • Vermilion County: 1 female 70s
    • Whiteside County: 2 male 80s, 1 female 90s
    • Will County: 1 female 50s, 1 male 80s
    • Williamson County: 1 female 90s
    • Winnebago County: 1 male 60s, 1 male 70s, 1 female 80s, 1 female 90s, 1 female 100+
    • Woodford County: 2 females 90s, 1 male 90s

Currently, IDPH is reporting a total of 355,217 cases, including 9,345 deaths, in 102 counties in Illinois. The age of cases ranges from younger than one to older than 100 years. The preliminary seven-day statewide positivity for cases as a percent of total test from October 14 – October 20 is 5.7%. Within the past 24 hours, laboratories have reported 66,791 specimens for a total of 6,950,105. As of last night, 2,338 people in Illinois were reported to be in the hospital with COVID-19. Of those, 502 patients were in the ICU and 194 patients with COVID-19 were on ventilators.

*All data are provisional and will change. In order to rapidly report COVID-19 information to the public, data are being reported in real-time. Information is constantly being entered into an electronic system and the number of cases and deaths can change as additional information is gathered. Information for a death previously reported has changed, therefore, today’s numbers have been adjusted. For health questions about COVID-19, call the hotline at 1-800-889-3931 or email dph.sick@illinois.gov.

  22 Comments      


The unfiltered Todd Ricketts

Wednesday, Oct 21, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* There was a time when Todd Ricketts, a part-owner of the Chicago Cubs, was considered a top Republican prospect to run for Illinois governor. But his eager and aggressive fundraising and advocacy for President Trump isn’t going to help in a state which Trump lost by 17 points and is poised to lose by as much or more this time around. He’s also very close to former Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, which will fire up the unions to no end.

But I wasn’t aware that his internal filter is so loose. From a New Yorker profile by Alex Kotlowitz

Todd Ricketts can be surprisingly unfiltered. In comments on his Facebook page, Todd referred to covid-19 as the “the kung flu”—weeks before Trump used the demeaning phrase at a rally in Tulsa. In a post of a video in which New York Mayor Bill de Blasio urged residents to call the city if they witnessed large gatherings of people, Ricketts commented, “All snitches will be given priority when applying for jobs as security guards at the concentration camps that will be opening later this year.”

A good oppo firm could likely unearth much more.

Also, it’s probably time for another friendly reminder to get off Facebook.

  35 Comments      


Why don’t you just draw them a map? Oh, wait, you did

Wednesday, Oct 21, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From the Facebook page “We are open ‘up yours JB’”

If anyone knows a business staying open please list them

And then dozens of southern Illinoisans dutifully posted the names of restaurants and taverns which vow to remain open despite new mitigations imposed by IDPH - making it pretty darned easy for local and state public health officials to track and confront the scofflaws.

Some folks just don’t think ahead too well, I suppose.

Also, I saved a copy of the page just in case.

  36 Comments      


You likely can’t end it, so mend it

Wednesday, Oct 21, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I’ve been pushing reform groups to come up with some viable alternatives to the contribution caps law. The legislature will never go for eliminating it because that makes members vulnerable to big-spending individuals and groups. Reform for Illinois came up with some ideas and here’s a sampling

Unfortunately, the self-funding provision inadvertently created a loophole that was ripe for abuse. As reported by Reform for Illinois and the Better Government Association, it has now become common practice for legislative leaders in both parties to donate or loan $100,001 to their own campaigns, triggering the self-funding provision and opening the floodgates to uncapped megadonor and special interest contributions. As the above table shows, all four legislative leaders have removed limits in their own races this election cycle.

Legislative leaders don’t need the extra funds for themselves—none of them has faced a credible reelection threat in years. Instead, they use the money to further consolidate their power by transferring millions to grateful candidates either directly or using a state party committee as an intermediary. […]

Option 2: Raise—but do not remove—fundraising limits in a race where a candidate self-funds

Currently, when a candidate in a race donates or loans more than $100,000 to their own campaign, all donation limits for all candidates in the race are removed. As an alternative, Illinois could raise contribution limits without removing them entirely to give non-self-funding candidates the opportunity to raise more without flooding the race with vast amounts of money and elevating the role of megadonors.

This model of increased but not unlimited contributions was implemented at the federal level in the congressional Millionaire’s Amendment. (The Millionaire’s Amendment was only ruled unconstitutional because it applied different limits to wealthy and non-wealthy candidates. Symmetrically applied increased limits should be constitutional.) In Colorado, a proposed constitutional amendment to create a self-funding provision (which voters ultimately rejected) would not have removed contribution limits entirely but instead would have quintupled them, increasing the amount candidates could raise but still subjecting contributions to caps.

For example, Illinois could amend the self-funding provision to triple contribution limits, which would increase individual contributions from $5,800 to $17,400 and independent expenditure contributions from $57,800 to $173,400—substantial amounts, but still significantly less than the $864,200 that Mike Madigan received from the Engineers Political Education Committee in December 2019 shortly after he triggered the self-funding provision for his race.

This year, from the start of January through the end of August, the Friends of Michael J. Madigan campaign committee has received more than $4.6 million from 67 individuals, unions, businesses, and PACs. $4 million of its funds have come from 11 PACs that donated in excess of normal contribution limits. If contribution limits were tripled rather than eliminated, the committee would have raised about $2.2 million during that period.

Option 3: Raise the amount a candidate must self-fund to trigger the removal of contribution limits

Currently, contribution limits are lifted once a candidate gives a certain amount to their campaign: $250,001 for statewide races, and $100,001 for all other races. If these thresholds were higher, the self-funding provision would be more difficult to exploit. Candidates wishing to lift contribution limits on themselves would need to be able to donate or loan a significantly higher amount to their campaigns in order to do so.

The proposed self-funding rule considered in Colorado would have kicked in after a candidate contributed $1 million to their own campaign—a much higher trigger than Illinois’. With a higher trigger amount, Illinois could preserve the original purpose of the self-funding provision while making it more difficult—though certainly not impossible—to exploit.

Conversely, however, it could make the provision less effective at providing a safeguard for non-wealthy candidates to compete with self-funders. A candidate could donate $999,999 to their own campaign without triggering the self-funding provision. To match that, a non-self-funding candidate would need to find 173 individuals, 87 businesses, or 18 PACs willing to contribute their legal maximum amount.

A higher triggering amount would have to be carefully calibrated to deter abuse without hobbling non-wealthy candidates. But there is plenty of wiggle room between Illinois’ current thresholds and $1 million.

Option 4: Only remove contribution limits when candidates donate to their campaigns, rather than loan them money

Currently, any contribution to one’s own campaign committee will trigger the removal of contribution limits. That includes a loan. In December of 2019, State Senator Don Harmon loaned his committee $100,001, allowing it to collect as much money from individual donors as they were willing to give. The committee repaid the loan to Senator Harmon in June of this year. Similarly, in October of 2018, Senate Minority Leader Bill Brady loaned his campaign committee $100,001. Three days later, he received $500,000 from Kenneth Griffin. Brady repaid his loan with $1069.45 in interest two months later. (His committee has yet to repay the loan he just made to it this August.)

The barrier to blowing contribution limits is relatively low when candidates only need to loan their campaigns money and are confident that they will be able to repay them once they start raking in large donations. In practice, this means that the self-funding provision rewards wealthy candidates for being able to front a repayable loan of $100,001 to their campaigns. Non-wealthy candidates, meanwhile, would not have the ability to do so. This aspect of the self-funding provision is giving an additional fundraising option to wealthy candidates that they can choose when to trigger, the opposite of the spirit of the law.

Amending the self-funding provision so that it only triggers when candidates donate—rather than loan—money to their campaigns would not fully prevent abuse, but it could reduce its prevalence by increasing the cost of triggering it.* Furthermore, it would promote the spirit of the law, given that a candidate who temporarily loans their campaign money that will be paid back is not actually self-funding. On the other hand, it would give yet another advantage to even wealthier candidates—those who can afford to permanently lose $100,001 rather than just lend it.

Option 5: Limit party contributions to candidate committees

A major problem with Illinois’ self-funding provision is that it allows a candidate to raise unlimited funds and transfer them to a party committee, which can then donate unlimited amounts to its own candidates—even in races where contribution limits are still in place. This is only possible because Illinois does not place limits on the amount a party committee can donate to a candidate committee during the general election. (Contribution limits are in place during the primary but they are very high: $144,800 for Senate candidates and $86,900 for House candidates.) About half of states and the federal government impose some sort of limit on the amount that candidates may accept from political parties. Similarly, Illinois permits candidate committees to transfer unlimited funds to state party committees in general elections, meaning money flows without restriction in both directions.

Imposing limits on transfers between candidates and parties would reduce the incentive for a candidate to take advantage of the self-funding loophole to enrich their parties while leaving the provision available for candidates who need to raise additional funds to match a self-funder. Currently, the self-funding provision is most often used by legislative leaders in each party. Because leaders typically come from safe seats and do not often face competitive elections, they are free to fundraise aggressively and dole out unlimited donations to candidates in other races. Limits on party contributions to candidates—and vice versa—would reduce the effectiveness of this strategy.

Thoughts?

  12 Comments      


Question of the day

Wednesday, Oct 21, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Amanda Vinicky on the graduated income tax proposal

The nonpartisan Civic Federation on Tuesday came out against the change.

President Laurence Msall said the federation isn’t opposed to a progressive tax structure, but that it doesn’t believe that the rates set forth in the law attached to the change are progressive enough for those on either end of the economic spectrum.

“It really pits different classes of Illinois citizens against each other. It doesn’t protect any group of citizens,” Msall said. “Low income citizens will, under this plan, continue to bear roughly the same tax structure as many of the middle and upper class … The Civic Federation has been urging that the lowest rate should be tied in fairness to the highest rate. So different tax groups of taxpayers couldn’t be targeted.”

* The Question: Do you favor a change that would make it impossible to raise taxes on upper income folks without also raising taxes on the state’s lowest income earners? Take the poll and then explain your answer in comments, please…


survey software

  72 Comments      


Deanna Demuzio

Wednesday, Oct 21, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Sen. Andy Manar

I met Deanna Demuzio on a hot summer evening in 1995 at the Macoupin County Fair. I was in college—her husband Vince took a liking to me and invited me to the fair with him to watch the queen pageant. I was nervous that night driving to Carlinville from Bunker Hill. This was way out of my comfort zone and I didn’t know the Demuzios and they really didn’t know me. Vince was late getting to the fair so I found myself roaming aimlessly around the entrance to the grandstand—the only person wearing a pair of khakis and a polo shirt in the blazing heat. That must have made me stick out like a sore thumb. Debating in my head how long I should stick around, a woman walked up to me as if she was on a mission. Armed with a smile, she said in the most pleasant of voices “You must be Andy. I’ve heard so much about you.” She handed me my ticket and said “follow me.” As we made our way through he grandstand, Deanna must have sensed my nerves were shot. But I suddenly felt at-ease. Immediately I was struck by her warmth and grace, her smile, her ability to make me feel comfortable. I think that was perhaps her greatest attribute and that’s how I will always remember her. She was such a caring person.

Deanna Demuzio was a central figure throughout my life, always there to help, inspire, and mentor. And I by no means was alone in that regard. Deanna was admired by so many. She was a trailblazer and her name is synonymous with Carlinville and Macoupin County. Deanna was a fierce advocate for the things she believed in and represents the best that we all strive to be as public servants. Words cannot fully encapsulate all that she has given to causes greater than herself over the course of her lifetime.

The picture posted here was taken last year on the Floor of the Illinois Senate. Mayor and Senator Deanna Demuzio spent the day with me talking with many of her former colleagues and members of the staff that held her in such high regard. I really enjoyed that day and I think she did as well.

My deepest sympathies go out to Stephanie and the entire Demuzio family.

Rest in peace my friend. I will miss you. We all will miss you.

* Senate President Don Harmon…

“Deanna Demuzio dedicated her life to community and public service. Along the way, she made great friends and taught us all so much about how to be better. She fought hard to improve our education system after years spent working at Lewis and Clark Community College and to fight for better health care given how it affected her family. She took up all of this after tragically losing another great friend of Illinois, her husband, Senator Vince Demuzio.

“I was honored to know and work alongside her in the Illinois Senate. She will forever be remembered for her dedication and commitment to the people of Illinois. Anyone who knew Deanna and Vince automatically thinks of them whenever driving through Carlinville. My condolences to her family and friends.”

* Macoupin County Democratic Party Chairman Pam Monetti…

Former state Sen. and Mayor Deanna Demuzio was a part of the most dynamic Illinois political team in decades to come from Macoupin County. She learned from the best, especially when it came to working tirelessly for her constituents. Everywhere you look in Macoupin County you will find evidence of the Demuzio legacy. Deanna was a remarkable woman who didn’t know a stranger and if you told her you needed help, she would do everything she could to help. She was a true public servant to the end and the Macoupin County Democrat Party will miss her terribly. Our heartfelt condolences to her daughter, grandchildren and great grandchildren.

…Adding… Michael Madigan in his role as DPI Chairman…

Shirley and I are extremely saddened to hear of Deanna Demuzio’s passing. Deanna was a true leader - in Carlinville and across the state. Deanna cared deeply for her community, worked passionately to improve life for everyone around her and exemplified what it means to be a dedicated public servant. Deanna’s family, friends and everyone she touched in her incredible life are in our thoughts and prayers.

…Adding… Secretary of State Jesse White…

We have lost a wonderful and caring person with the passing of former State Senator and Carlinville Mayor Deanna Demuzio, and I have lost a dear friend,” said Illinois Secretary of State Jesse White. “I have been privileged and blessed to have known Deanna for many years and always found her to be kind, generous and thoughtful. As a public servant, she was committed to helping those in need and fighting for causes she believed in. I would be remiss not to mention that her son, Brad, who passed away in 2014, served with distinction as the director of the Illinois Secretary of State Police. The Demuzio family will always have a special place in my heart. My condolences to her family and to her many friends.

  9 Comments      


Madigan’s personal campaign transfers $3.5 million to his Democratic Majority committee

Wednesday, Oct 21, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Click here for the A-1.

  8 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Release the hounds

Wednesday, Oct 21, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* A.D. Quig

Patrick G. Ryan, the billionaire founder of Aon, has chipped in $1 million to the Coalition To Stop The Proposed Tax Hike Amendment, according to Illinois State Board of Elections records.

Ryan is now chairman and CEO of Ryan Specialty Group, an international holding company he founded “specializing in wholesale brokerage, insurance underwriting managers and other specialty services to brokers, agents and insurers,” according to its website. Forbes estimates his net worth at $3.2 billion. Ryan has also donated to Gery Chico’s 2011 mayoral bid, the Illinois Republican Party in 2005, 2006, and 2009 and Richard M. Daley’s campaign committee in 2006, according to state board records.

Citadel founder Ken Griffin has by far been the coalition’s biggest benefactor, chipping in just under $47 million total so far. But others on Illinois’ wealthiest list, including Craig Duchossois, Dick Uihlein, Muneer Satter, Jay Bergman and Sam Zell have donated as well.

Gov. J.B. Pritzker’s cousin, Col. Jennifer Pritzker, chipped in an additional $250,000 to the coalition’s cause, bringing her total donations to the group to $750,000.

* Ray Long

The Democratic Party of Illinois led by Speaker Michael Madigan has started to pour money into an effort to keep Illinois Supreme Court Justice Tom Kilbride on the bench with two weeks until Election Day.

Election records filed Tuesday night showed the Democrats put $550,000 into the Nov. 3 Kilbride retention campaign. That pushes the total political spending by both sides in the contest to nearly $7 million.

The contest is critical for Democrats because a Kilbride loss could jeopardize the party’s 4-3 majority on the state’s high court. With money from billionaire donors, Republicans are waging an anti-Kilbride campaign in hopes of knocking him off the court and getting a chance to capture the open seat in the 2022 election. […]

Madigan’s decision to pump in big money now may give anti-Kilbride forces even more reason to push the Madigan-Kilbride connection, Redfield said.

For Madigan, “the upside of being able to increase party spending outweighs the downside of the anti-Kilbride people being able to link him more directly to Madigan,” Redfield said.

…Adding… Jim Nowlan, Chairman of Citizens for Judicial Fairness…

Like he did in 2000 and in 2010, Mike Madigan is coming to the rescue of his favorite judge Tom Kilbride. The $550,000 Kilbride received from the Democratic Party of Illinois is just the latest in millions of contributions from Madigan and his allies. This is exactly why Kilbride must not be retained. We need to bring independence back to the judiciary, not another 10 years of Madigan control.

And from Ryan McLaughlin, spokesperson for the Kilbride for Supreme Court Judge Committee…

Wealthy individuals and special interests who want to own the Supreme Court are spending millions, including out-of-state dark money from unknown sources, to smear Justice Kilbride and mislead voters about his record. By law, Justice Kilbride is not allowed to solicit campaign contributions. To further maintain his impartiality, he has no role in fundraising – all such decisions are made by his treasurer – and no knowledge of the donors to his retention committee nor of those to the opposition committee. Justice Kilbride is proud to have support from Republicans, Democrats and Independents, and to have been endorsed by a bipartisan group of law enforcement leaders and police officers from across the district.

* Dan Petrella

The intensifying controversy surrounding Madigan, which includes calls for his resignation from a handful of House Democrats, hasn’t turned off the tap of campaign contributions. The four funds together raised nearly $4.3 million in the key preelection quarter, campaign finance records show. More than half of that, $2.4 million, was raised by Friends of Michael J. Madigan, which took in $1.7 million from labor unions and other political action committees.

The four funds ended the third quarter on Sept. 30 with nearly $20 million in the bank. […]

For comparison, the main campaign fund of House Republican leader Jim Durkin of Western Springs and two others supporting House GOP candidates raised nearly $1.2 million in the third quarter and spent more than $3 million, ending the period with less than $1 million in the bank. More than half of the money spent by Durkin’s campaign fund — $1.6 million — was transferred to the state GOP.

*** UPDATE *** Billionaire Ken Griffin just contributed $100K to Republican Pat O’Brien, who’s running for Cook County State’s Attorney. O’Brien disclosed a $196,800 haul this morning.

…Adding… State’s Attorney Kim Foxx reported $102K in contributions today. She’s reported about $350K in the past few days.

  65 Comments      


Open thread

Wednesday, Oct 21, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* This thread eventually got a little dark. Click here for the whole thing


I used to live not too far from there.

Anyway, keep it local and remain polite and calm. Thanks.

  22 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition and some campaign news

Wednesday, Oct 21, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Wednesday, Oct 21, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

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*** LIVE COVERAGE ***

Wednesday, Oct 21, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Follow along with ScribbleLive


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Pritzker: Will, Kankakee, DuPage and Kane counties heading for mitigation on Friday

Tuesday, Oct 20, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Those four counties make up two IDPH regions. A positivity rate of 8 percent or higher for three days straight is one way for regions to be put into mitigation.

Pritzker said of the 7 regions that currently are not under mitigation, five have a rolling average positivity rate at or above 7 percent, while two are at 6.5 percent.

Click here to watch the governor’s daily press conference.

…Adding… In case you need the reminder, here are the Tier One mitigations

Bars and restaurants

    • All bars and restaurants close at 11pm and may reopen no earlier than 6am the following day
    • No indoor service
    • All bar and restaurant patrons should be seated at tables outside
    • No ordering, seating, or congregating at bar (bar stools should be removed)
    • Tables should be 6 feet apart
    • No standing or congregating indoors or outdoors while waiting for a table or exiting
    • No dancing or standing indoors
    • Reservations required for each party
    • No seating of multiple parties at one table

Meetings, social events and gatherings (including weddings, funerals, potlucks, etc.)

    • Limit to lesser of 25 guests or 25% of overall room capacity both indoors and outdoors
    • No party buses
    • Gaming and Casinos close at 11:00pm, are limited to 25 percent capacity, and follow mitigations for bars and restaurants, if applicable

Nothing changes with schools, which set their own rules under broad state guidelines.

…Adding… Press release…

Governor Pritzker and the Illinois Department of Public Health (IDPH) are announcing COVID-19 resurgence mitigations will be implemented in Region 7 (Will and Kankakee counties) and Region 8 (Kane and DuPage counties), beginning at 12:01 a.m. on Friday, October 23, 2020. Both regions are seeing a 7-day rolling average test positivity rate of 8 percent or above for three consecutive days, which exceeds the threshold set for establishing mitigation measures under the state’s Restore Illinois Resurgence Plan.

The administration continues to distribute emergency relief for small businesses and communities impacted by the ongoing pandemic. In Regions 7 and 8, approximately $14 million has already been awarded for small businesses and community aid. Businesses in both regions, as well as other regions currently under additional mitigations, will receive priority consideration for the current round of Business Interruption Grants (BIG), with $220 million available to help offset costs and losses businesses have incurred as a result of the pandemic.

“By the end of this week, four regions will all be operating under the standard resurgence mitigations – that includes no indoor dining or indoor bar service and limiting in-person gatherings to no more than 25 individuals,” said Governor JB Pritzker. “As colder weather approaches and flu season is upon us, we’re going to see the rippling effects of these current unfortunate trends. The massive surge of cases in our neighboring states will continue to have a spillover effect. There is no easy fix for the effects of this virus on our economy and our public health. But we can and will manage through this. We’re Midwestern tough here in Illinois. We know how to deal with a crisis. And we know how to take care of each other.”

“We have seen regions move into mitigation measures, but also move back out,” said IDPH Director Dr. Ngozi Ezike. “Working together we can bring down the number of new cases and hospitalizations. Increases are being seen not only across Illinois, but across the country, and in many other countries around the world. Until there is a safe and effective vaccine and a significant proportion of the population has received it, we must all stay the course. What you do in your community affects those around you, so please, do your part and help slow the spread.”

“The actions we take today to slow the spread of this virus will define what happens in the coming days, weeks and months,” said Dr. Justin Macariola-Coad, Interim Chief Medical Officer at Advocate Sherman Hospital. “Wearing a mask, washing your hands, and keeping your distance from others will prevent the spread of this illness and save lives. The more we ignore taking these basic steps, the more people will get sick and the harder it will be on the health care system and our brave frontline clinical workers to keep up with the pandemic this winter and help care for our communities across the Northwest suburbs.”

  36 Comments      


Willie Wilson “honored” to have Rod Blagojevich endorsement

Tuesday, Oct 20, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Media advisory…

Wilson Honored to Receive the Endorsement of Former Governor Rod Blagojevich
WHO: Humanitarian & Businessman Dr. Willie Wilson, former Illinois Governor Rod Blagojevich WHAT: Dr. Wilson will receive the formal endorsement of former Gov. Rod Blagojevich in his race to
become the next U.S. Senator from Illinois
WHEN: Wednesday , October 21, 2020 at 10:00am
WHERE: Corner of Ogden and Harrison (Cook County Hospital)

WHY: Dr. Wilson stated: I am pleased to have the support of former Illinois Governor Rod Blagojevich. He did more to help African Americans, Latinos and senior citizens than any previous governor. He understands that Illinois needs a senator that will put people ahead of politics. His Seniors Ride Free program was very creative and helpful to senior citizens taking public transportation.

“We need a senator with new bold and fresh ideas. A senator that will listen to the people and not party bosses. Sen. Durbin over 37 years in office has forgotten about the people that sent him to Washington.

Dr. Wilson is a man of the people. He has used his resources to help seniors, children, people losing their homes because of high property taxes, and those who could not afford to post bail for misdemeanor offenses. Dr. Wilson will make us proud in Washington, DC. I am very pleased to endorse Dr. Wilson for the United States Senate,” says former Gov. Blagojevich.

“I pledge to bring federal resources to all communities in Illinois. Especially, those communities that have high levels of unemployment and violence. Also, I will advocate for Transportation resources to stimulate local economies and improve the infrastructure. I will utilize my position to advocate for lower federal taxes and property taxes with elected officials in Illinois,” says Dr. Wilson.

Dr. Wilson stated: Additionally, I will work to bring federal resources for local governments to deal with COVID-19. Our municipalities need money for Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) and their businesses that are struggling. As a businessman, I understand the importance of economic development, and connecting entrepreneurs to international business opportunities. Clearly, small businesses drive jobs and stabilize communities. I am committed to working with all elected officials across Illinois to improve the quality of life for all residents.

  27 Comments      


Republican state Senator says state mitigations should be based on hospitalizations, not positivity rates

Tuesday, Oct 20, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Illinois Radio Network

Gov. J.B. Pritzker announced new restrictions Monday for a region of southern Illinois and raised concerns about the spread of COVID-19 across the state.

Pritzker said Region 5, which includes Carbondale, Marion, and Harrisburg, had reported a 7-day positivity rate of 8% or more for 3 straight days. The region will have additional restrictions put into place on Thursday, including a ban on indoor service at bars and restaurants. Gatherings of more than 25 people also are restricted. […]

State Sen. Paul Schimpf, who represents a part of Region 5, said the governor is putting too much emphasis on positivity rates.

“I think it really is the wrong metric to be using when we are making a decision on whether or not to close businesses that are already struggling,” he said.

* So, I followed up and asked Sen. Schimpf (R-Waterloo) what metric the governor should be using…

I continue to be frustrated by Governor Pritzker’s misguided focus on an arbitrary positivity rate threshold that is neither meaningful nor reliable as an assessment of the actual local situation. These mitigations, which will close businesses and destroy livelihoods, should only be used when the hospitalization rates and ICU bed capacity data clearly show that it is absolutely necessary.

* And then I asked for a react from Jordan Abudayyeh…

Waiting for hospitalization rates to increase means there is more serious illness spreading, long term health consequences and unnecessary death. The Governor is committed to keeping people health and safe.

The resurgence mitigation plan put in place by the state does rely on both positivity rates and hospitalization rates. But, when a region’s positivity rate reaches 8 percent the region automatically triggers increased mitigations because that high of a positivity rate can quickly lead to uncontrolled spread without additional mitigation in place. We also know that hospitalization rates are a lagging indicator and often increase in the days and weeks after increased positivity rates are identified.

Right now, hospitalization rates are trending upward across the state. Waiting until hospitalization rates “clearly show that it is absolutely necessary” is not a measurable metric.

Thoughts?

* Related…

* COVID-19 ‘Long-Haulers’: Symptoms Persist for Some Patients

  31 Comments      


Question of the day

Tuesday, Oct 20, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The voting is over two weeks from today. Your thoughts as the campaign hits the home stretch?

  47 Comments      


Arduin resurfaces

Tuesday, Oct 20, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Center Square

The American Legislative Exchange Council released its first Governors ranking, the 2020 Laffer-ALEC Report on Economic Freedom. The scorecard ranked America’s 50 governors based on policy performance and executive leadership before and after the start of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Economic policy expert and co-author of the report, Stephen Moore, said Pritzker was ranked 44th in the country.

“Not only has Pritzker done just an awful job in terms of bringing that state back, but now they are talking about a massive tax increase that’s on the ballot sponsored by the governor which would, in my opinion, be the last nail in the coffin for the great Land of Lincoln,” Moore said. […]

Co-author Donna Arduin, who has served as budget director for several governors, including Arnold Schwarzenegger in California, said some states were in a better position to deal with the pandemic.

“I always advise my governors that you have to be prepared for some unknown crisis or disruption because they always come, and some governors were prepared for it and some were not,” Arduin said.

Pritzker did not respond to questions about the ranking.

Moore said the state-imposed lockdowns cost jobs and did nothing to save lives.

“Government lockdowns and unclear timetables have proven to be harmful to the health and economy of states,” Moore said. “It’s no surprise, states where governors mandated strict lockdowns and restricted individual freedom are in far worse shape than states that remained safely open.”

The top three governors on the scorecard are Greg Abbott of Texas, Brian Kemp of Georgia, and Kristi Noem of South Dakota. Gina Raimondo of Rhode Island was ranked the worst governor, followed by Mike Dunleavy of Alaska and Phil Murphy of New Jersey.

Lot to unpack there.

1) Stephen Moore is more of a pundit than an expert and co-wrote the book Trumponomics. He’s known for some nutty comments about women, admitted he didn’t understand what his duties would be on the Federal Reserve after being nominated to a slot (which was withdrawn because he was even too much for Senate Republicans), and has been known to get things wrong quite often.

2) Moore claiming that stay at home orders didn’t save lives is just crackpot goofiness.

3) Donna Arduin was once a business partner with Moore and Art Laffer. She is best known in Illinois for being Gov. Bruce Rauner’s disastrous “superstar” budget guru. If your memory needs refreshing, just click here. She was pushed out of her Alaska gig shortly after that post was published. It turns out, Arduin herself was often the “unknown crisis or disruption” that governors should prepare for.

4) The Alaska governor who saved his own hide from a fast-building recall attempt by booting Arduin is Mike Dunleavy, who was just coincidentally named one of the country’s worst governors by Arduin and Moore. Dunleavy, by the way, brought in Hans Zigmund to help clean up Arduin’s mess. Zigmund had experience with that task. He was Rauner’s last budget director who helped clean up what Arduin had helped mess up. Perhaps Hans should create a new consulting company and follow Arduin around the country.

* Jordan Abudayyeh…

I can assure you this administration is not interested in a ranking from the same ideologues who manufactured the state’s budget crisis under Bruce Rauner. Since taking office, the Governor has been focused on cleaning up the mess the previous administration left and rebuilding a hollowed out state government. Gov. Pritzker passed a balanced budget during his first six months in office that resulted in month to month surpluses, an accomplishment that eluded the previous administration and all of their budget “experts” for an entire term.

While that’s mostly true, there’s no hiding from the fact that the state budget is a freaking disaster right now. And if the graduated income tax goes down in flames, it’s all gonna get worse. Much, much worse.

  18 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Veto session and campaign updates

Tuesday, Oct 20, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

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3,714 new cases, 41 additional deaths, 2,261 in hospitals, 5.5 percent positivity rate

Tuesday, Oct 20, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Not good…

The Illinois Department of Public Health (IDPH) today reported 3,714 new confirmed cases of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Illinois, including 41 additional deaths.

    Boone County: 1 male 90s
    Clark County: 1 female 70s, 1 female 80s, 1 male 90s
    Cook County: 1 female 50s, 1 female 60s, 1 male 70s, 1 female 80s, 1 male 80s
    DuPage County: 1 female 70s
    Fayette County: 1 male 70s, 1 female 80s
    Henry County: 1 female 70s, 1 female 80s
    Jo Daviess County: 1 female 80s, 1 female 90s
    Kane County: 1 male 80s
    Lake County: 1 male 40s, 1 male 60s, 1 female 90s
    Macoupin County: 1 male 80s
    Marion County: 1 male 80s
    McLean County: 1 female 90s
    Peoria County: 2 female 80s
    Richland County: 1 male 80s
    Rock Island County: 1 male 70s
    Sangamon County: 3 female 80s, 2 male 80s, 1 male 90s
    Tazewell County: 1 male 50s, 1 80s
    Wayne County: 1 male 70s
    Will County: 1 male 70s, 1 female 80s, 1 female 90s
    Winnebago County: 1 male 70s, 1 male 80s

Currently, IDPH is reporting a total of 350,875 cases, including 9,277 deaths, in 102 counties in Illinois. The age of cases ranges from younger than one to older than 100 years. The preliminary seven-day statewide positivity for cases as a percent of total test from October 13 – October 19 is 5.5%. Within the past 24 hours, laboratories have reported 59,077 specimens for a total of 6,883,314. As of last night, 2,261 people in Illinois were reported to be in the hospital with COVID-19. Of those, 489 patients were in the ICU and 195 patients with COVID-19 were on ventilators.

*All data are provisional and will change. In order to rapidly report COVID-19 information to the public, data are being reported in real-time. Information is constantly being entered into an electronic system and the number of cases and deaths can change as additional information is gathered. For health questions about COVID-19, call the hotline at 1-800-889-3931 or email dph.sick@illinois.gov.

  15 Comments      


Once again, with feeling, attempts to game the testing system won’t work

Tuesday, Oct 20, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* WSIL TV

The leader of one of the largest towns in southern Illinois says getting more people to get tested will help get local communities released from new virus mitigations. […]

[Marion Mayor Mike Absher] says if more people get tested and don’t have the virus it will help bring down the area’s positivity rate.

“Please go get a test even if you are healthy,” Absher said. “I’m asking you to do this even if you feel perfectly healthy, no symptoms, no temperature anything like that.” […]

“If there are people that are carrying the virus and don’t know it. Finding that out so they can isolate while they get healthy will help control the spread of the virus to others and that will clearly help us all including this specific time where we need to get out from under these mitigations, so the restaurants and bars can fully open again. Because what we need is to get more people not only to test but to test negative. It simply helps us get below that 8 percent threshold,” Absher said.

This part is true: “If there are people that are carrying the virus and don’t know it. Finding that out so they can isolate while they get healthy will help control the spread of the virus to others and that will clearly help us all”

But if that is true, then this will likely not pan out: “Because what we need is to get more people not only to test but to test negative”

* As DeWitt County discovered the hard way, increased testing did not “allow the County to come off the Governor’s COVID warning list.” More testing found more positive cases and DeWitt is still on the IDPH warning list.

  11 Comments      


Civic Federation, which supported taxing retirement income last year, opposes graduated income tax amendment now

Tuesday, Oct 20, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Press release

This election cycle, Illinoisans have been presented with the option of amending the state constitution to allow for a graduated income tax. As proposed, the amendment represents a disappointing repeat of Illinois fiscal history. The enacted rate structure is far from best economic practice, the significant shift in the state’s tax code is not part of a comprehensive plan and the proceeds will provide very little assistance, if any, to struggling local governments and pension funds. Accordingly, the Civic Federation opposes the proposed Illinois constitutional amendment to allow for a graduated income tax.

While the Civic Federation is not opposed to the concept of a graduated income tax and understands the state’s need for more revenue, the rate structure enacted by the General Assembly is anything but ideal. Low income Illinoisans will continue to bear roughly the same tax rate as their middle and upper-middle class counterparts. As the Federation has long cautioned, the flat rate at the top of the structure is unusual and could cause tax avoidance behavior and increase revenue volatility at a time of economic uncertainty. Additionally, nothing in the package protects any one group of taxpayers from being overburdened now or in the future. A better rate structure would further reduce rates for the lowest income bracket(s), maintain only marginal rates and restrict the highest and lowest rates to within a certain percentage spread. The General Assembly’s structure meets none of these standards.

Since the tax rates were enacted 16 months ago, the General Assembly has not delivered on a number of opportunities to streamline and modernize state government. For years, the Federation has publicly encouraged the General Assembly to work toward consolidation of Illinois’ 7,000 local governments, modest changes to pension benefits and rationalization of the property tax system, among others. However, significant measures to cut costs or create efficiencies have not been enacted to accompany a significant change in the way Illinoisans will pay taxes. While the Federation has long recognized that cuts alone will not solve Illinois’ financial crisis, the lack of comprehensive plan to begin tackling it once-and-for-all is a disappointment.

Finally, the state will not share any but a miniscule portion of the proceeds of the proposed graduated income tax with Illinois’ many struggling local governments. An initial plan to share $237 million of the billions in proceeds was whittled down to $100 million, the future of which now remains uncertain. Another $100 million had been set aside for supplemental payments to Illinois’ five pension funds, but was not included in the state budget even if the amendment passes and in any event falls far short of a real solution.

While attractive in the abstract, the graduated income tax amendment and its accompanying rate structure are far from a panacea for Illinois’ many financial challenges. Further, the Federation remains concerned that with an influx of revenues, lawmakers may consider their work finished and abdicate their responsibility to make the hard decisions that would actually complete the work of the state shoring up its finances. For these reasons, the Civic Federation is unable to support the proposed graduated income tax amendment.

The governor has been saying that opponents of his “Fair Tax” have historically supported taxing retirement income, even though many opponents are now warning that taxing retirement income is a very real possibility if the tax is approved. Pritzker is right to a point. Not all groups have backed taxing retirement income, but the Civic Federation did, indeed, propose taxing the income just last year, as well as some services.

Also, if you click here, you’ll see that billionaire Ken Griffin is a Civic Federation trustee. Griffin is bankrolling most of the opposition to the graduated income tax proposal.

…Adding… Press release…

Vote Yes For Fairness Chairman Quentin Fulks released the following statement in response to the Civic Federation:

“Yet another organization made of the wealthiest people in the state has announced its opposition to the Fair Tax, which isn’t surprising considering they’re the select few our current tax system benefits. Members of the Civic Federation would rather keep the burden on our middle and lower-income families and implement a retirement tax on our seniors instead of finally paying their fair share.

“It’s clear that despite their rhetoric today, the wealthy only care about protecting their own bottom line, even when that means denying 97% of Illinoisans a tax cut. They continue to advocate for policies that allow them to keep building their wealth on the backs of hardworking families, while opposing any effort to bring relief to millions of struggling Illinoisans. The Fair Tax will set things right, and allow everyone an opportunity to get ahead.”

See the Civic Federation’s call for taxing retirement income here. The Civic Federation’s opposition to the Fair Tax comes just weeks after a similar announcement from the Civic Committee, which has also advocated for taxing retirement income and for increasing the flat tax by 20%.

…Adding… Lissa Druss,spokesperson for the Coalition to Stop the Proposed Tax Hike Amendment…

More and more are joining our bi-partisan coalition of middle-class families, retirees, small business owners, and family farmers because after two tax hikes over the last ten years and an $8 billion deficit, now is the worst time to trust Springfield politicians with another tax increase.

  37 Comments      


“Until consumers feel safe, they’re going to stay away”

Tuesday, Oct 20, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* James Surowiecki, the author of The Wisdom of Crowds, writes about the demand shock to sectors of the service economy

But as lockdowns have been lifted in most of the country and businesses have been able to reopen, that supply shock has waned, only for a new problem to emerge: weak demand. In other words, a supply shock has been replaced by a shock to demand.

Some of the weakness in demand is because we’re on the verge of a classic recessionary cycle: Since the stimulus payments to unemployed workers ended in July, people either have less money to spend or are worried about spending it, which means businesses have less revenue, which makes them cut back on hiring and investment, which means less spending.

But what makes this demand shock exceptional is that the U.S. still has 40,000 to 50,000 new Covid-19 cases and 600 to 700 deaths every day, and as a result lots of Americans are still leery of doing normal, not particularly indulgent things like eating out, going to the gym, or going to the movies. A recent survey by research firm Datassentials, for instance, found that 58% of those surveyed described themselves as “uncomfortable” with dining indoors, and 36% described themselves as “very uncomfortable.” Not surprisingly, then, no matter how creative restaurants get, traffic is still down sharply in most places, and 2.5 million restaurant workers who lost their jobs in April remain unemployed. Similarly, gyms have been open in most states for months now. But a recent survey of 5,000 gym-goers by RunRepeat found that 70% haven’t returned and 43% said they had no plans to go back. Half a dozen gym chains have filed for bankruptcy in recent months, including 24 Hour Fitness, the owner of New York Sports Club, and Gold’s Gym, with many of them permanently shuttering a majority of their locations.

Or take movie theaters. By September, theaters were open in 44 of 50 states, and Warner Bros. decided to go ahead with plans to release Christopher Nolan’s Tenet, which had been one of the most highly-anticipated films of the year even before the pandemic hit. Even though theaters in New York City and Los Angeles remained closed, Tenet opened on almost 3,000 screens across the country. But even as Tenet did big box-office numbers overseas in countries where the virus has been contained, it made just $9.4 million on its opening weekend, despite facing essentially no competition. The hope had been that Tenet would prove people were ready to go back to the movies. Instead, it proved most weren’t. Hollywood studios concluded there was no point in trying to release big films for the rest of the year, and pulled their tentpole films from the fall schedule. And thanks to the combination of consumer anxiety and the lack of new content, Cineworld, owners of Regal Cinemas, shut down all 536 of its theaters in the U.S., while AMC, the largest U.S. theater chain, says it could run out of cash by the end of the year.

This shouldn’t be a revelation. In fact, myriad studies have now shown that in the early days of the pandemic, people began voluntarily socially distancing and avoiding places they perceived as risky even before lockdowns were put in place. And if you go further back in history, during the 1918 Spanish flu pandemic, businesses stayed open in most cities, yet economic activity still fell sharply, and contemporary accounts suggest that the economy only started to rebound when people became less afraid of catching the flu. The point is that lifting stay-at-home orders and opening restaurants isn’t enough: Until consumers feel safe, they’re going to stay away.

Links are in the original.

  28 Comments      


Still think your vote doesn’t matter?

Tuesday, Oct 20, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* A one-vote difference in a 2018 election is still under dispute two years later and heading to trial

A trial to determine who won the 2018 Macon County sheriff race has been delayed to late October.

A Monday court docket entry related to a pre-trial hearing said the parties involved “represent they continue to work on the terms of a partial stipulation as to the disputed ballots.” As a result, Associate Judge Anna Benjamin set a status hearing in the case for Oct. 26, with trial following on Oct. 27 and Oct. 29.

The trial was going to start on Thursday, Oct. 22.

Tony Brown, a Democrat, became sheriff after the initial race led to him being declared winner over GOP challenger Jim Root by one vote. Root then filed for a discovery recount in certain districts.

  8 Comments      


Oppo dump! O’Brien blamed for millions in wrongful conviction settlements

Tuesday, Oct 20, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Regarding Cook County State’s Attorney candidate Pat O’Brien

The City Of Chicago, The State Of Illinois & Cook County Paid Out A Total Of Over $64 Million In Settlements Due To Wrongful Convictions Under Pat O’Brien

From March 1989 through October 1993, O’Brien served as chief of criminal prosecutions for the Cook County State’s Attorney’s office. In total, 20 men who were wrongfully convicted during O’Brien’s tenure later received monetary compensation from the City of Chicago, Cook County or the State of Illinois, or are currently suing for compensation. Due to these wrongful convictions under O’Brien, Illinois taxpayers were on the hook for over $64 million in settlement payouts (with several lawsuits pending), including $61.2 million from the City of Chicago, over $1.9 million from the State of Illinois, and $1.25 million from Cook County. The cases are as follows:

    • Juan Johnson was wrongfully convicted of murder based on witness misidentification that was coerced by police. After his 2004 acquittal, Johnson settled with the City of Chicago for $16.4 million in damages.
    • Pat O’Brien was the “lead prosecutor” in the 1986 rape and murder of 23-year-old medical student Lori Roscetti. Four men were wrongfully convicted in 1988 of kidnapping, rape, and murder, and sentenced to life in prison. Almost 15 years after the trial, key witnesses recanted their testimonies, including witnesses who said they gave false testimony for reduced sentences. DNA evidence also cleared them. The wrongfully convicted men received a total of $10.4 million in compensation from the City of Chicago and $480,000 from the State of Illinois
    • James Kluppelberg was convicted in 1989 of arson and multiple counts of murder; the conviction was overturned after it was discovered police tortured a false confession out of Kluppelberg. In 2004 the City of Chicago agreed to pay $9.3 million to settle a lawsuit filed by Kluppelberg and in 2013 Kluppelberg received $213,600 from the State of Illinois in compensation.
    • Madison Hobley was arrested for setting a fire that claimed the lives of his wife, infant son, and five other people; the 1990 conviction was overturned after it was discovered police tortured a false confession out of Hobley. Hobley settled with the City of Chicago for $7.5 million after he was wrongfully convicted of arson and spent over a decade on death row. He also received $161,005 in compensation from the State of Illinois.
    • Ronald Kitchen was convicted in 1990 of murdering five people; the conviction was overturned after it was discovered police tortured a false confession out of Kitchen. The City of Chicago agreed to settle a lawsuit brought by Kitchen for $6.15 million over his wrongful conviction, and Kitchen received $199,000 in compensation from the State of Illinois.
    • Aaron Patterson was wrongfully convicted in 1989 of murder after his confession was obtained via torture. Patterson settled a federal civil rights suit against the City of Chicago for $5 million and received $161,500 in compensation from the State of Illinois.
    • Shawn Whirl was wrongfully convicted in 1991 of murder due to a false confession. In 2017 Whirl settled a civil rights lawsuit with the City of Chicago for $4 million.
    • In 1991, Miguel Castillo was convicted of murdering Rene Chinea. A decade later, based on affidavits and its own reinvestigation of the case, the Cook County State’s Attorney’s office agreed that a new trial was warranted and prosecutors dismissed the charges. Castillo settled a civil case with the City of Chicago for $1.2 million. He also received $127,786 in compensation from the State of Illinois.
    • John Willis was convicted of two armed robberies and rapes; the conviction was overturned after it came to light that an analyst withheld lab results exonerating Willis. In compensation Willis received $1.25 million each from the City of Chicago and Cook County, $100,000 from the State of Illinois, and $125,035.97 from the Illinois Court of Claims.
    • Anthony Jakes was wrongfully convicted of murder in 1993. After the Illinois Torture and Relief Commission concluded Jakes’s claims of abuse were credible, his conviction was vacated. Jakes was awarded $230,810 in compensation from the State of Illinois. In 2019 Jakes filed a federal civil rights lawsuit against the City of Chicago seeking damages for his wrongful conviction.
    • Lathierial Boyd was wrongfully convicted in 1990 of murder based on coerced witness identification. Boyd was awarded $213,624 in compensation by the State of Illinois.
    • James Gibson was wrongfully convicted in 1991 of murder after his confession was obtained through police torture. Gibson was awarded $177,071 in compensation by the State of Illinois and has a pending lawsuit against the City of Chicago seeking compensation for his wrongful conviction.
    • Algie Crivens was wrongfully convicted in 1992 of murder after eyewitness testimony which would have confirmed another man’s confession was rejected. Then-Illinois Governor George Ryan would pardon Crivens based on innocence, qualifying Crivens for $128,000 in restitution from the State of Illinois.
    • Xavier Catron was wrongfully convicted in 1992 of murder based on coerced witness testimony. Catron received $127,786 from the State of Illinois in compensation.
    • Richard Johnson was wrongfully convicted in 1992 due to ineffective legal counsel. The Illinois Court of Claims gave Johnson a $61,023 reward as a result of his wrongful conviction.
    • In 1992, Demetrius Johnson was charged and convicted of first-degree murder and first-degree attempted murder. He was wrongfully convicted due to mistaken witness identification and the concealment of an initial witness identification of a different suspect. In 2020, Johnson filed a lawsuit against the City of Chicago over his wrongful conviction.
    • Kevin Bailey was wrongfully convicted of murder in 1990 due to a coerced confession. In 2019 Bailey filed a federal civil rights suit seeking compensation for his wrongful conviction

.

Links and a lot more in the original.

  29 Comments      


Investors expected to demand “fatter yields” on new state bonds, but not because of default danger

Tuesday, Oct 20, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Reuters

Illinois is scheduled to sell $850 million of bonds on Tuesday as investors demand fatter yields for the state’s debt due to increased worries over its deep financial woes, which were exacerbated by the coronavirus pandemic.

Ahead of the competitive sale of general obligation bonds due over the next 25 years, the spread for Illinois 10-year bonds over Municipal Market Data’s benchmark triple-A yield scale has widened by 10 basis points to 281 basis points since Oct. 1.

Howard Cure, director of municipal bond research at Evercore Wealth Management, pointed to “a legitimate fear that the state could go into junk status — although not default on its debt.”

“The state continues to delay tough decisions with a number of speculative revenues as part of its current budget, including additional federal aid, voter approval for a progressive income tax, and more Municipal Liquidity Facility (MLF) debt,” he said, referring to the possibility Illinois, which took out a $1.2 billion cash-flow loan in June from the Federal Reserve’s MLF, could borrow more.

If there’s no danger of default, then the rest is just Kabuki theater.

…Adding… Bond Buyer reporter…


…Adding… Translation…


  21 Comments      


State loses narrow procedural issue, will file to reconsider on the merits

Tuesday, Oct 20, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Center Square

A judge on Monday denied Gov. J.B. Pritzker’s motion to vacate the orders of a Clay County judge who had ruled against the governor.

The governor could still challenge the ruling in the case filed by state Rep. Darren Bailey, which claimed Pritzker had exceeded his executive authority during the pandemic.

The ruling by Seventh Judicial Circuit Court Judge Raylene Grischow said the governor could challenge the Clay County ruling for other reasons, but not over jurisdiction.

Grischow ruled that a Clay County judge had jurisdiction to issue a July 2 order that struck down Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker’s executive orders on COVID-19 beyond the initial 30-day period.

Oral arguments on the merits of the case are set for Dec. 7.

Grischow entered an order Monday that denied the governor’s motion to vacate the Clay County Judge’s order. The governor had claimed Clay County Judge Michael McHaney didn’t have jurisdiction.

“Considering the foregoing cases, along with the fact that it is well settled that public documents which are included in the records of other courts may be the subject of judicial notice, along with the fact the parties handed the Clay County Court a copy of the Order of Remand which was filed instanter on July 2, 2020, this court finds that the Clay County Circuit Court did in fact have jurisdiction,” Grischow wrote.

The Order of Remand was from the federal court, which sent the case back to the circuit court.

McHaney’s order over the summary struck down Pritzker’s executive orders beyond the initial 30-day period from the first COVID-19 related order. The ruling said it shall apply to all commonly situated citizens of Illinois, not just state Rep. Darren Bailey, R-Xenia, who filed the case in Clay County.

Grischow said if the governor wants to challenge McHaney’s order on the merits, his legal team has until Oct. 30 to file such a motion. Final filings would be by Nov. 20, 2020. Oral arguments on that are set for 1:30 p.m. on Dec. 7.

The Illinois Attorney General’s office wasn’t immediately available for comment after 5:30 p.m. Monday.

Bailey’s attorney, Thomas DeVore, said he looked forward to arguing the substance of the case.

“Should the governor want to move to have Judge Grishow reconsider McHaney’s ruling, I look forward to arguing in front of her why we believe McHaney made the right decisions on the merits,” DeVore said.

The ruling is here.

* Rep. Darren Bailey

Failed Governor loses AGAIN!

Um, OK.

I was told last night by the attorney general’s office that this was a narrow procedural issue and the office will file a motion to reconsider the Clay County court’s July 2 ruling on the merits, pursuant to the schedule ordered by Judge Grischow.

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Open thread

Tuesday, Oct 20, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Illinois-centric and polite, please. Thanks.

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Tuesday, Oct 20, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

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