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GOMB projects $927 million surplus this year, $2.4 billion FY28 budget hole (Updated)

Friday, Nov 13, 2026 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* Press release…

Today, the Governor’s Office of Management and Budget (GOMB) released the annual Illinois Economic and Fiscal Policy Report, outlining the state’s five-year fiscal outlook and updated projections for fiscal year 2027. ​
While revenues are performing above expectations, the State continues to prepare for federal funding cuts and additional cost pressures under H.R. 1. To help address these pressures, Governor JB Pritzker proposes using a projected one-time fiscal year 2027 surplus to protect core services that help Illinoisans afford everyday necessities and strengthen the state’s long-term fiscal stability.

Revenue Forecast in FY2027

Following stronger revenue performance through the first four months of fiscal year 2027, GOMB has increased its General Funds revenue forecast by $1.079 billion above the enacted budget estimate. After accounting for updated expenditure projections, the state anticipates a $927 million surplus before proposed allocations and supplemental spending needs.

* Before anyone gets too attached to that surplus, a warning from the report…

This surplus is one-time, as out-year projections illustrate the expectation that the State will continue to address budgetary spending pressures that exceed revenue growth. As with surpluses seen in recent years, Illinois will again strategically deploy the funds – such as when surplus funds were used to pay down the bill backlog (reducing interest costs), paying off debts early, making additional payments to fund state pension debts, and setting aside funds for a ‘rainy day.’ Any increases to ongoing base spending will just amplify the additional budgetary pressure in fiscal year 2028 and beyond.

* Back to the press release…

Some recent revenue gains reflect the timing of tax payments, and the stronger-than-expected performance is anticipated to moderate over the remainder of the fiscal year. Corporate income tax collections have been particularly volatile since the passage of H.R. 1, and some recent collections may reflect payments originally expected in fiscal year 2026.

Preparing for Federal Funding Cuts from H.R. 1 and Future Needs

Federal cuts to food assistance and health care threaten to put additional pressure on household budgets while shifting costs onto states. The Governor proposes using the one-time surplus to prepare for future costs and strengthen the state’s ability to help working families, including items such as:

    - Food Assistance: Set aside funds to support meeting future state matching requirements for the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) ​
    Disaster Response: Support Illinois communities facing more frequent severe weather by bolstering state funds amid lack of federal assistance from the Trump Administration
    - Emergency Reserves: Replenish the Budget Reserve for Immediate Disbursement and Governmental Emergencies Fund (BRIDGE Fund) for unexpected costs the State might incur from the uncertainty created by the Trump Administration
    - Bolstering Essential Services: Address potential supplemental budget needs, including additional funding for community programs serving a growing number of older Illinoisans

After accounting for the Governor’s proposed allocations, the fiscal year 2027 surplus is projected to total $199 million.

Maintaining Long-Term Fiscal Stability

This year’s projected surplus provides a one-time opportunity to prepare for future challenges and lower costs for working families. Illinois took a similar approach during and following the COVID-19 pandemic, using stronger-than-expected revenues to pay down outstanding bills and build reserves while maintaining and bolstering essential services. Spending pressures are expected to continue exceeding revenue growth in the years ahead.

Based on current revenue projections and estimated costs, Illinois faces a projected $2.4 billion budget gap for fiscal year 2028. The Governor’s fiscal year 2028 budget proposal in February will address that gap, continuing to double down on the administration’s work to address projected shortfalls through strong fiscal responsibility and leadership.

Under Governor Pritzker’s leadership, Illinois has earned 12 credit rating upgrades, enacted eight consecutive balanced budgets, and grown its Rainy Day Fund to more than $2.5 billion. The Governor remains committed to building on that progress while protecting investments that make education, health care, and everyday necessities more affordable for Illinois working families.

Read the full report here.

…Adding… Illinois Revenue Alliance…

Across the country, everyday people are living through a rising affordability crisis caused by Trump and the MAGA agenda, including their disastrous HR1. The midterm results in Illinois and elsewhere show that families are sick and tired of fighting for scraps, and are united against Trump’s cuts to healthcare and SNAP, tax cuts for billionaires, and hundreds of billions of dollars for ICE chaos and cruelty.

According to Governor Pritzker’s Economic and Fiscal Policy Report released today, Trump’s policies are expected to cause a hole in Illinois’ General Fund budgets over the next five years totaling $11 billion. But the Governor’s economic outlook has no indication that he is restructuring the state’s fiscal policies to respond:

    - In the report, Governor Pritzker recommends a supplemental appropriation in the spring, covering essential and necessary funding for SNAP and disaster relief. This is needed spending and we’re glad to see the Governor making it a priority.

    - However, the report otherwise overlooks a range of pressing spending needs that cannot wait until FY 2028 - including public education, healthcare, affordable housing, and other areas not adequately funded in the budget passed in May of 2026.

    - The report also projects a $2.4 billion deficit for FY 2028 - starting on July 1, 2027 - and indicates that the Governor’s budget to be released next February will contain a plan to address it. We urge the Governor to produce a plan that relies on new progressive revenue to avoid any budget cuts and make new investments in critical services.

    - Finally, the Governor’s report notes that deficits will continue for the foreseeable future. This is due to our state’s structural deficit, where revenues are annually too low to support the people of Illinois. Fixing this structural deficit is vital to our state’s future fiscal health, and can only be done through a constitutional amendment that reforms our state’s broken income tax system to ensure that the wealthiest Illinoisans pay their fair share.

Here in Illinois, voters overwhelmingly supported taxing the state’s wealthiest residents more fairly. Now, Governor Pritzker has an opportunity to rebuke the Trump agenda not only in words, but in actions. The Illinois Revenue Alliance is organizing to pass a set of revenue proposals that would generate over $7 billion in new revenue that addresses the affordability crisis, funds the state programs our communities need, and helps to stem the tide of even more Trump and HR1 cuts going into effect in 2027.

As the Governor and the General Assembly approach new budgets, whether supplemental or for the full fiscal year, progressive revenue solutions must be a priority. An equitable budget now is how our state can best salvage the wreckage that Trump’s economy has brought forth, and ensure families across Illinois have more opportunity to thrive.

  3 Comments      


Chicago CFO quits, says staying would ‘compromise my integrity’ (Updated)

Friday, Nov 13, 2026 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* Sun-Times…

The abrupt resignation on Friday of Mayor Brandon Johnson’s third chief financial officer in a year could trigger another drop in Chicago’s already shaky bond rating and scare investors away from the city’s bonds.

Ashlee Gabrysch’s departure sent shock waves through City Hall and beyond — her resignation comes in the middle of a budget stalemate, after just three months as CFO. Even more damaging than Gabrysch’s sudden exit is what she said on her way out the door.

A former Wall Street executive, Gabrysch issued a statement saying she was unwilling to compromise her financial integrity. She did not reveal what it was she was asked to do that would have damaged her reputation.

* Gabrysch’s full statement…

“As the City of Chicago’s Chief Financial Officer, there is nothing more important than my fiduciary duty to the City and its taxpayers. The Chief Financial Officer’s statements about city finances are not idle chatter: they are relied upon by investors, ratings agencies, City Council, and taxpayers. The CFO must act scrupulously to ensure they are always accurate and complete.

“Throughout my career, I have remained committed to upholding the highest standards of financial integrity and transparency, and in my short time as Chief Financial Officer, I have faithfully discharged this duty. It has become apparent, however, that to continue in this role would be to compromise my integrity and professional obligations. I therefore have concluded that I must step down from my role, and hereby tender my resignation.”

* The response from Johnson’s office. Crain’s…

“The city of Chicago is facing a serious budget crisis following decades of mismanagement. It is concerning that, during her short tenure, Ashlee was largely absent during critical periods of the City’s budget preparation process. Additionally, her decision to direct the City Treasurer to issue a $75 million payment without proper legal authority or following the required processes raises serious concerns,” the statement said.

It was not immediately clear what the payment is in reference to. But the City Council secured $75 million from the transfer of the city’s parking meter concession and directed it towards a one-time pension payment in 2026.

“Our administration made multiple attempts to meet with her to discuss this action and seek an explanation, including shortly before her public resignation,” the statement said.

“Those attempts went unresolved. Given the seriousness of these concerns, we will refer the matter to the City’s Office of Inspector General for independent review. We welcome a full review of the conduct at issue. Our administration takes its responsibility to protect taxpayer dollars, uphold the law, and ensure the responsible management of City finances seriously. We expect every City official to meet that standard,” the statement said.

* Some background from the Tribune…

Johnson’s budget team pegged next year’s budget gap at $882 million during the forecast deficit rollout in September. When Johnson formally introduced his budget last month, that number shrank to $662 million – a figure that the administration attributed to plans to borrow for the cost of police settlements.

With that number removed from the city’s deficit, Johnson claimed 76% of his gap-filling proposals were structural. Gabrysch disputed that figure during the first day of public budget hearings, saying those settlement costs were part of the deficit and that borrowing to cover it should be counted as a one-time gap-filling measure. With both in mind, she said structural solutions made up 56% of the mayor’s proposal.

“The 76% number comes from removing settlements and judgments from the denominator,” she said at the time. “I stick with the $882 (million) forecasted budget… that is my denominator.” […]

Johnson at the time denied any attempts by his administration to hide the ball. “Look, we were obviously incredibly transparent,” Johnson said when asked about the discrepancy.

* CBS Chicago…

A number of Johnson’s top aides have departed in the past year, including chief legal counsel Mary Richardson-Lowry, budget director Annette Guzman, public health commissioner Olusimbo Ige, police superintendent Larry Snelling and both the city’s preview CFO Jill Jaworski and her interim replacement, acting CFO Steven Mahr.

Alderman Bill Conway, who represents the city’s 34th Ward and serves as Finance Committee Vice Chair in the city council, released a statement calling for an immediate investigation into the resignation.

“In her resignation letter, Ms. Gabrysch wrote that the CFO’s statements must be ‘complete and accurate’ and that she is ‘not able to fulfill those obligations under the conditions in which I have been asked to serve,’” Conway’s statement says in part. “This is an obvious indication that she was asked by the Mayor’s Office to present false information.”

* Gabrysch’s response to the mayor’s statement…


Gabrysch: “This effort by the administration to deflect from the serious issues at stake and attack those who attempt to hold them accountable is disappointing but not surprising. I stand by my statement and will continue to operate in accordance with my values and integrity.”

  22 Comments      


PREVIOUS POSTS »
* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Balkema challenges Curran
* Isabel’s afternoon roundup: CPS faces 280 layoffs after banking on $150M in unapproved state funding
* Today's numbers
* GOMB projects $927 million surplus this year, $2.4 billion FY28 budget hole (Updated)
* Pritzker’s PAC goes 12–2
* Chicago CFO quits, says staying would ‘compromise my integrity’ (Updated)
* Speaker Welch’s office hires outside law firm for $450K workplace culture review
* Isabel’s morning briefing: Proposed federal rule could cost 225K Illinoisans SNAP benefits; Transit officials propose $5B budget; CPD rarely serves warrants to seize domestic abusers’ guns
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