[Headline changed to reflect info at bottom of post.]
* From Hotline On Call…
Rep. Joe Walsh, R-Ill., trails Democratic nominee Tammy Duckworth by double digits in his race for reelection, according to a new live-caller poll released Friday by an outside group involved in the campaign against him.
The League of Conservation Voters commissioned the survey, which shows Duckworth leading Walsh 54 percent to 39 percent in Illinois’s 8th Congressional District. President Obama leads Mitt Romney 53 percent to 41 percent in the district’s presidential vote; Obama carried the suburban Chicago seat with over 61 percent in 2008.
Anzalone Liszt Research conducted the poll for LCV and surveyed 400 likely voters from Oct. 16-18. The poll’s margin of error is plus-or-minus 4.9 percentage points. The League of Conservation Voters recently began a mobile billboard advertising campaign against Walsh and has also done robocalls in the 8th District. […]
LCV’s poll throws cold water on the idea of a Walsh revival. More voters viewed Walsh unfavorably (44 percent) than favorably (35 percent), while Duckworth was viewed favorably by 49 percent and unfavorably by 36 percent in the poll.
* From The Hill…
Physician David Gill (D) leads former Republican House staffer Rodney Davis in their race by 41 to 39 percent, according to a new poll from the pro-Democrat House Majority PAC. The two are running for a newly redrawn seat left open by Rep. Tim Johnson’s (R-Ill.) retirement.
* From the Cheri Bustos campaign…
Monday, Cheri Bustos’s campaign released a new poll showing Bustos with a 4 point lead over Congressman Bobby Schilling. The poll conducted Oct. 16-18, show Bustos ahead 49-45 and comes on the heels of 3 recent polls which showed a statistical tie.
“Our campaign continues to gain momentum as we enter the final two weeks. Voters understand that Cheri Bustos will protect Medicare and Social Security and make job creation her No.1 priority,” said Bustos Campaign Manager Allison Jaslow. “Congressman Schilling has the wrong priorities and voters are rejecting his plan to end Medicare’s guaranteed benefit”.
The campaign’s polling memo is here.
* From the House Majority PAC…
Democrat Bill Foster is leading Republican Judy Biggert by a margin of 49-45 percent in Illinois’ competitive 11th District, according to a new House Majority PAC poll.
Importantly, Foster is ahead of Biggert with independents by 10 points, 49-39 percent, and is seen more favorably by voters compared to Biggert, whose negative ratings have increased dramatically.
President Obama leads Mitt Romney 51-46 percent in this district.
An analysis memo from the polling firm, Garin-Hart-Yang Research, is available here: http://www.thehousemajoritypac.com/images/IL-11-Poll-Memo.pdf.
* The Democrats have been noticeably silent today on polling for the Bill Enyart campaign. But Plummer released some numbers late last week…
Jason Plummer, the GOP nominee for the 12th U.S. House District, released the results Friday of an internal poll that showed Plummer leading Democratic nominee Bill Enyart by 5 points, or 46 to 41 percent.
Paula Bradshaw, the Green Party candidate, drew 4 percent of the vote in a poll with a margin of error of 4.9 percent, according to research conducted by Public Opinion Strategies, a Republican-leaning polling and public relations firm based in Alexandria, Va.
* Also, no numbers have yet been released by the Democrats today on 10th District candidate Brad Schneider, who is up against freshman Republican Bob Dold.
…Adding… The DCCC did some polling last week in the 10th CD and had Scheider up by a point.
…Adding More… A recent poll taken by Bob Dold showed he had a big lead…
A survey completed Oct. 12 by the Dold campaign shows the North Shore Congressman with a 10 point lead