* Thanks to all who voted to take a break on Monday. Whew, I was worried when I hit that “publish” button. I’m gonna take it easy this weekend and I hope all of you do the same.
Los Lobos will play us out with a killer cover of “Bertha.” Turn it up…
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Congressional roundup
Friday, Oct 10, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* The House Majority PAC isn’t giving up on the “Meltdown Mike” theme in the 12th District. This is a smallish St. Louis TV buy of $50,000…
* Cheri Bustos and Bobby Schilling debated last night…
When questioned about accusations that he turned his back on workers in Freeport, Illinois, whose jobs were being shipped overseas, Schilling said the claims were simply untrue.
“I tried to have meetings with these people. I actually wrote a letter to the president of the company,” said Schilling.
In turn, Bustos responded to criticism that she failed to follow through after saying she’d voluntarily cut her own pay by 10 percent if elected.
“I made a mistake when I appeared before the Chicago Tribune editorial board, and I’ve acknowledged that. What I do support, the same thing my opponent supports, is a collective 10 percent pay cut for Congress,” said Bustos.
Oy on both…
“It really is a shame how these campaigns are run these days,” Bustos said. “I feel for the people who have to watch these commercials.”
Bustos cited a report by www.factcheck.org which said a Schilling ad that accused her of voting to cut veterans is false.
Schilling referred to an article on www.politifact.com that discredited a common theme for Democratic ads, including ads against Schilling, which say Republicans voted in favor of tax breaks for companies that shipped jobs overseas.
Both Bustos and Schilling defended their own ads when asked about reports that claim they are misleading.
* The Mike Bost campaign sent me this yesterday and I missed it…
I’ve attached a picture of the actual pamphlet that Enyart kept referring to last night about Mike allegedly endorsing the Ryan Budget when, in fact, he never did. As you can see from the literature, it doesn’t say anything like that.
Enyart’s actual claim is that Mike endorsed it on a piece of campaign [literature]. At 31:45 in the capfax video, “It says #1 I would vote for the Paul Ryan budget.”
Yep. Click here to see it.
* The Daily Herald endorsed Bob Dold today. From a press release…
The Daily Herald today endorsed Bob Dold (R-10) for Congress in Illinois 10th District. The newspaper opted to endorse Dold over incumbent Congressman Brad Schneider (D-IL) due to Dold’s independent, bipartisan and effective leadership when he served in Congress, in contrast with Schneider’s highly partisan record.
In their endorsement, the Daily Herald wrote, “When Dold held the office, he maintained the district’s tradition of independent representation, with a voting record that was one of the most bipartisan in Congress. In the two years that Schneider has held office, he has not. His voting record is considerably more party line, as a comparative review of The Washington Post’s Congress Votes Database indicates.”
The newspaper continued, “Only one of these two candidates carries on the dynamic independent tradition of Mark Kirk and John Porter. That candidate is former Rep. Bob Dold, and we give him our endorsement.”
* On the same race, Brad Schneider is still bombarding people with fundraising e-mails like this one entitled “out of options”…
Brad needs your urgent support. Here’s why:
– Last month, polls showed our race in a dead heat.
– Last week, Roll Call named Brad one of the most vulnerable Democrats in the country.
– Now, Boehner’s Super PAC dumped $1,000,000 on Chicago airwaves to distort Brad’s record.
Look, this race is TIED. If we fall behind on this week’s ad buy goal, Republicans will POUNCE.
That’s not an option.
So far, the ad isn’t posted on the PAC’s YouTube page. Anybody seen it?
* And Stu Rothenberg goes way out on a limb (/snark)…
Illinois’ 13th District. Ann Callis was one of the most highly-touted Democratic recruits this cycle, but the challenger never really got untracked, and Democrats failed to put much of a dent into Davis. This is the one seat state Democrats failed to win in 2012 after they redrew the congressional map. The big question is whether Democrats will make this district a priority in two years or decide that the Republican congressman is fundamentally much stronger than they initially assumed. We’re changing the Rothenberg Political Report rating of the race from Lean Republican to Republican Favored.
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*** UPDATED x1 *** Debate roundup
Friday, Oct 10, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Subscribers already know part of my take on last night’s debate and I’m putting a post together about another highly interesting moment, but you can chew on this stuff for a while until the other post is ready…
* Quinn, Rauner try to create fear about the other guy during debate: Quinn stuck largely to a class warfare script against Rauner, a wealthy equity investor from Winnetka, in delivering a more polished and aggressive performance reflective of his political experience. Quinn repeatedly suggested Rauner’s plan to cut taxes would hurt education funding… “Unfortunately, under Gov. Quinn, Illinois has been one of the worst-run states in America. We have rampant misspending of taxpayer money, massive waste in the system,” Rauner said. The Republican challenger attacked the state’s system of purchasing goods and services as “part of the cesspool of cronyism and patronage that’s so endemic inside our state government. (Quinn) relies on that for his election. He relies on that for campaign cash. And that’s rampant throughout the departments.”
* Governor Candidates Debate: Rauner said Quinn has been a failure as governor. “Pat Quinn has been a failure on jobs. Under his administration, we’ve become the lowest state of job growth of any state in the Midwest,” he said. Quinn said Rauner has had is troubles as a financier. “My opponent talks about successful results – he’s been involved with 12 different bankruptcies involving other companies, and there’ve been six of his executives indicted and convicted and sent to jail. Two are under indictment now. They’ve got 150 lawsuits against a nursing home chain,” he said.
* Quinn-Rauner debate: Each casts other as state’s worst nightmare: “My opponent, all across Illinois, went across this state, saying eliminate the minimum wage. A person taking in $53 million a year running around Illinois saying eliminate the minimum wage. He’s adamantly against the minimum wage. Well, I’m adamantly for raising the minimum wage” [said Quinn]… “Pat Quinn has been governor for six years, and he’s had a super majority of his party in the General Assembly,” Rauner said. “And he has not increased the minimum wage in that time. If he was serious about this, he could have gotten it done. He’s playing political football with people’s lives and with our economy.”
* Illinois Governor Candidates Square Off In Debate: “Politicians in Illinois said every time they want to raise taxes it’s for schools,” Rauner said. “We put the lottery in Illinois to fund our schools. The money doesn’t really fund our schools. Our current Governor raised income tax by 67 percent, said it would be for education then he cut half a billion from school funding.” “When it comes to education funding, my opponent makes up things,” Quinn said. “We’ve increased education funding in the classroom by $500 million, independent fact checkers have indicated that. We’ve also paid the teacher pension every single year.”
* Little focus on downstate issues in first gubernatorial debate: Little else directly related to downstate came up, save for a single question on a proposal by state Sen. Andy Manar, D-Bunker Hill, to change the funding structure for primary and secondary education. But while that’s a measure that “is having a regional fault line,” Mooney said, it’s as much related to wealthy districts versus poorer districts as specific regions of the state.
* Quinn, Rauner clash over Illinois economic climate: Democratic Sen. Andy Manar’s proposal would direct more state money to poorer rural districts at the expense of wealthier suburban districts… Quinn said the state needs to increase education investment. But he says Manar’s proposal needs “a lot of oversight and review” as well as more debate. Rauner said he “probably wouldn’t support that particular bill.” He said he favors an overhaul of the current formula.
* Quinn, Rauner detail regrets in governor’s debate: Quinn says he’s “definitely not perfect,” and doesn’t think any human being is. He says he regrets not cutting lawmakers pay — and his own — to spur an overhaul of the state’s underfunded pension systems sooner. Rauner says not every company his private equity firm has created or acquired has been successful. He also noted he’s “rarely” seen business executives engage in unethical behavior. He says he’s tried to take action to quickly correct that.
Your own take-away?
*** UPDATE *** From the Quinn campaign…
After a panelist hoped against hope during Thursday night’s debate for Bruce Rauner to make his fantastical tax plan “add up,” Governor Pat Quinn set the record straight on the Rauner Tax Plan that not only doesn’t add up, but would devastate Illinois education in order to give billionaires like Rauner a $1 million tax cut.
“I don’t go for that,” Governor Quinn is shown as saying to the new Rauner Tax on services and consumption, and a budget hole that would result in the layoff of 1 in 6 schoolteachers in Illinois.
In a new Quinn for Illinois web video, here’s the question asked by a WUIS reporter that Bruce Rauner just couldn’t answer:
“Outside of your own campaign, nobody seems to make the numbers in your blueprint add up. You said you want to give more money to state parks, to education, higher education, while at the same time cutting revenues and rolling back the income tax to 3% in four years. Let’s try again: Make that add up, please.”
(He couldn’t.)
* The video is pretty cleverly done…
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Ouch! That one’s gonna leave a mark
Friday, Oct 10, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Gov. Pat Quinn’s new TV ad is brutal and, to my eyes and ears anyway, incredibly effective. Perhaps you disagree, so watch it and discuss below…
I’m not calling it “Bloodtober” for nothing.
Wow.
…Adding… Script…
NARRATOR: What do we really know about Bruce Rauner?
Court documents reveal Rauner threatened an executive after firing her for not laying off workers to maximize profits.
NBC news reported Rauner said:
CAROL MARIN: “Quote. I will bury her. I will bankrupt her with legal fees. I don’t know if she has a family or not but if she does she better think twice about this.”
NARRATOR: Did Bruce Rauner really think no one would find out?
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Rate Bruce Rauner’s new TV ad: “Corruption”
Friday, Oct 10, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* From the Rauner campaign…
Bruce Rauner’s campaign launched a new ad today highlighting Pat Quinn’s record of cronyism and corruption.
“Pat Quinn took over for Rod Blagojevich and picked up right where he left off,” Rauner campaign spokesman Mike Schrimpf said. “Quinn doubled Blagojevich’s illegal political hiring program and now Quinn’s at the center of federal criminal investigations by two United States Attorneys.”
* The ad…
* The script…
Voiceover: “One hundred years of corruption and counting.”
Pat Quinn: “We do not need a governor of Illinois who is ethically challenged.”
News Anchor: “A criminal grand jury is investigating Governor Pat Quinn.”
Pat Quinn: “We’ve restored integrity and honesty.”
News Anchor: “The findings come on the heels of Quinn defending himself in another investigation.”
Pat Quinn: “I promised to restore integrity – and we have.”
News Anchor: “Another day, another political scandal for Governor Quinn.”
Voiceover: “First Blagojevich. Now Quinn. Can we afford four more years?”
…Adding… Quinn campaign response…
After billionaire Bruce Rauner’s week of desperation began with a demonstrably false ad accusing people of killing babies, slinked into a witch hunt led by the Rauner forces that did nothing but expose their own political motivations and culminated with a fact-free debate “whiff” in Peoria, Quinn for Illinois Deputy Press Secretary Izabela Miltko had this to say:
“Let’s be clear - there’s only one candidate in this race with a real record of corruption and that’s Republican billionaire Bruce Rauner.
“Time and again, Mr. Rauner’s businesses engaged in bribery, fraud, neglect, abuse and outright corruption under his watch, in his name and for his profit.
“Each and every time, Bruce Rauner cashed out before the wrongdoing was exposed, leaving others to clean up the mess.
“As his record is exposed and the public finds out about the REAL Bruce Rauner, we can only expect more desperation and more money spent to try to buy facts that aren’t there.”
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Good morning!
Friday, Oct 10, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* The late, beyond great singer-songwriter Townes Van Zandt covered this Rolling Stones song better than the Stones ever coulda done it. Why? His authentic Texas twang and his hard-scrabble life. Townes just owned this one, man…
I know you think you’re the queen of the underground
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