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*** UPDATED x1 *** Question of the day

Wednesday, Oct 1, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Sun-Times

What better way to make your point than with a “Say Yes to the Dress” parody?

That’s exactly what a new ad from the College Republican National Committee is doing to urge people to vote for Republican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Rauner. […]

It starts out with a woman wearing a classy, well-fit wedding dress, where she proclaims “the Bruce Rauner is perfect.”

“Bruce Rauner is becoming a trusted brand,” the woman says. “He has new ideas that don’t break your budget.”

* The online ad

* The Question: Funny or not? Take the poll and then explain your answer in comments, please.


customer surveys

*** UPDATE *** The College Republican National Committee has produced very similar ads for five other gubernatorial races.

  132 Comments      


Rauner on Obama: “One of the most anti-business presidents we’ve had in the last 70 years”

Wednesday, Oct 1, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* With President Obama coming to Chicago today to fundraise for Gov. Pat Quinn, I thought it might be a good time to post something I’ve had for a couple of weeks (I came up with the idea the week I was sick and never got around to posting it).

Back then, I was looking for something else and stumbled upon a Politico story from this past March

Bruce Rauner, the billionaire Republican nominee for Illinois governor, is doing all he can to turn himself into a career politician named Mark Kirk. […]

Rauner has on his staff four Kirk alumni in his effort to replicate the moderate GOP senator’s path to blue-state victory. And like Kirk — and unlike Republicans in almost everywhere else in the country — Rauner avoids bashing President Barack Obama, who remains popular in his home state.

That’s true. He avoids talking about Obama.

* But I figured there had to be something out there, so I asked the Quinn campaign if they had any anti-Obama remarks in their files. They sent over a Bloomberg interview from May, 2011

“Unfortunately, I think President Obama is one of the most anti-business presidents we’ve had in the last 70 years.

“His policies and anti-business rhetoric have created a level of hostility and unpredictability coming out of Washington that’s damaging to our economy.”

If you do the math, he’s referring to FDR as being the most anti-business president before Obama.

* When asked if Obama’s actions represented “outright hostility” or just “neglect,” Rauner responded…

“I would say hostility.”

* Raw audio…

…Adding… Oops. Forgot to post this one…

* Michelle Obama in new ad: ‘Barack and I’ are voting for Quinn: “Now, Pat’s fighting to raise the minimum wage. He’s working to create jobs here at home, instead of shipping jobs overseas. And he’ll never cut funding from military families or veterans to give a tax break to the wealthy. That’s the choice, and there’s just too much at stake in this election to stay home. So for this election, Barack and I are casting our votes for Pat Quinn.”

* The ad is here

  74 Comments      


Callis recycles ad, reportedly lowers buys

Wednesday, Oct 1, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From a press release…

Former Chief Judge and Congressional challenger Ann Callis today released her fourth television ad of the general election, “Deserve.” Building on Callis’ initial introduction to voters, the ad focuses on her pragmatic leadership as Judge in Madison County, where she spearheaded major bipartisan initiatives like establishing the first Veterans’ Court in Illinois to help troubled veterans get back on their feet. The ad also highlights Callis’ personal commitment to help military families as the proud mother of an Army Ranger who returned this summer from a tour in Kuwait.

* The ad

* Does that look familiar to you? It should. From the NRCC…

The problem is this ad isn’t new at all. Callis launched the same ad back in February during her primary. Watch it here.

We will give her credit – she changed the one and only citation in the ad, but everything else is exactly the same. Is this rerun of the same ad the only way Callis can afford to put a “new” message on the air?

Rodney Davis just announced today a hugely successful Q3 – over $500k raised with $1.2M cash on hand. Apparently the folks in Washington understand Callis’ campaign is a total flop. What else would explain the fake “new” TV ad? Has the Pelosi money tree been chopped down?

It’s not that recycling an ad is a big scandal or anything, but there’s no doubt that doing so saves a bunch of production cash. Also, from the Davis campaign…

(T)hey dropped from 800 to 500 GRP this week. Another sign of low funds?

  15 Comments      


*** UPDATED x2 - Frerichs responds - Cross responds *** Frerichs says Cross is Rauner’s “lapdog”

Wednesday, Oct 1, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Sen. Michael Frerichs laid into Rep. Tom Cross’ stated plans for the treasurer’s office during an interview with the SJ-R editorial board yesterday. Regarding Cross’ pledge to sue if the GA passes an unbalanced budget, Frerichs noted the treasurer has no such constitutional authority to do so, then went for the throat

If you take him at his word that this is really a high priority and that it’s fundamental for the state, then he ought to have some opinion on Bruce Rauner’s budget.

It doesn’t take that long to read through it. And it also doesn’t take that long to read through numerous economists, political scientists and journalists who have all looked at his budget and pronounced it is horribly out of balance.

You can’t claim to be a watchdog for the state, you can’t claim to be focused on a balanced budget, and then have no thoughts on this clearly unbalanced budget by the head of your state party. You can’t call yourself a watchdog, and be a lapdog protecting your own party.

Oof.

That’s the cleanest shot he’s taken at Cross since Day One.

*** UPDATE 1 *** From the Cross campaign…

“Another desperate, false attack by Sen. Mike Frerichs. After being rebuked for blatantly false attacks on Tom’s record, now Sen. Frerichs is careening toward a new attack that is equally false.

Here’s the bottom line: Tom Cross has consistently and forcefully said that balancing the budget is a top priority and he will not hesitate to enforce that constitutional requirement, whether it be a Republican or Democrat Governor.

In contrast, Mike Frerichs dutifully voted with Gov. Quinn this year on a budget that was called unbalanced by independent, non-partisan rating agencies. That’s why it’s not surprising that Sen. Frerichs’ own hometown paper wrote that he ‘clearly doesn’t know what he really thinks, and, when candidates don’t know what they believe, they say whatever seems convenient at the moment.’”

Champaign News-Gazette May 1, 2014

*** UPDATE 2 *** Frerichs campaign…

Tom Cross misled the public when he told the SJ-R editorial board “I haven’t read his [Rauner’s] proposal” as he once again refused to answer questions on whether the Rauner budget is balanced and Constitutional.

Just weeks ago, Mr. Cross said otherwise:

    “Sometimes Republicans disagree,” Rep. Cross said of his opposition to the Rauner tax plan. “I don’t support any of the service taxes.”

    The former Illinois House minority leader, Rep. Cross said he wanted it on record that he supports “everything else” in Mr. Rauner’s plan for the state.

    - Dispatch-Argus, Quad Cities, July 22nd

    http://qconline.com/archives/qco/display.php?id=689203&query=cross%20rauner

As Oswego Willy notes, Tom Cross has not only been a lapdog for Bruce Rauner, but was very cozy with Rod Blagojevich. Tom Cross led efforts to pass Rod Blagojevich’s $10 billion pension borrowing deal which lined the pockets of both their friends. Before that, Cross supported every single George Ryan budget, turning surpluses into deficits, engaging in historic borrowing to fund pork projects, and ending with a budget that Tom Cross voted for that was $600 million out of balance.

Capitolfax fans can see it all here at about the 17 minute mark and judge for themselves whether Mr. Cross is being honest:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FBdsCVllNK8&list=UUWmlNV4T2GQdNz6UTF4RJ2g

[ *** End Of Updates *** ]

* The comment comes at about the 19-minute mark

* Frerichs goes on to say he opposes making the income tax hike permanent, but wouldn’t rule out any new revenues, pointing out that Rauner and Comptroller Topinka both have said the same sort of thing.

* Meanwhile, Frerichs sent out a fundraising email this week entitled “Slick New Packaging Can’t Hide The Real Tom Cross Record”…

Dear Friend,

The race for Treasurer is heating up, and with just 35 days to go, we’ve got the momentum.

We need your help to keep the pressure on our opponent, by contributing whatever you can today, whether it is $5 or $500, to stop Tom Cross and his ultra-conservative agenda dead in its tracks.

Tom Cross is trying desperately to rebrand himself, but he can’t run away from 22 years of voting with corporate and conservative interests in Springfield:

    In 2014, Tom Cross turned his back on equal rights for women.

    In May of this year, Tom Cross stood with the ultra-conservative Illinois Family Institute, and failed to support efforts to advance the Equal Rights Amendment.

    In 2011, Tom Cross was leading a national effort to protect discrimination in all 50 states.

    Tom Cross was a member of a national task force backed by the ultra-conservative ALEC, which was co-founded by Henry Hyde, author of the federal abortion ban. The task force met behind closed doors in 2011 to push for legislation in all 50 states that would protect businesses that discriminate on the basis of race, gender or sexual orientation and engage in patterns of sexual harassment.

    In 2010, Tom Cross turned his back on equal rights for gay Americans.

    Tom Cross voted to block the march toward marriage equality, joining with ultra-conservatives who oppose basic rights of loving same sex couples by voting against civil unions.

    Tom Cross has a long record of undermining Illinois values that stretches back 22 years.

    Tom Cross has repeatedly opposed the minimum wage, voted against ending racial profiling, voted to legalize workplace discrimination against gays, and funded the elections of Tea Party conservatives that fight progressive priorities every single day.

    After two decades of stepping on our values, Tom Cross wants to use the Treasurer’s Office as a stepping stone to impose right-wing values on Illinois

Our campaign is fighting back, but we need your help.

The fundraising quarter ends tonight at midnight, and we are just 210 donors away from reaching our goal. Please give $25, $50, $250, or as much as you afford today.

Thank you,

Team Frerichs

* Carol Marin is not amused with this line of attack

Frerichs is pitching hard that Cross is a right-wing conservative and a tea party acolyte.

Cross is not. He is, however, a Republican who has, to use his word, “evolved” on some issues. Including same-sex marriage, which he opposed until last year’s vote legalizing it in Illinois. You might argue that was a kind of deathbed conversion prior to a primary. But you might also argue that in so doing he gave his tea party opponent in the March election ammunition to use against him.

Frerichs, by the way, has also “evolved.” He used to be an opponent of abortion rights. Today both he and Cross are endorsed by the liberal, abortion rights group Personal PAC.

What does same-sex marriage or abortion have to do with the Treasurer’s race?

Not an ever-lovin’ thing.

  43 Comments      


Pumping up the base

Wednesday, Oct 1, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From that recent Rasmussen Results poll of Illinoisans that we discussed yesterday

* Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of the new health care law?

    Very favorable 17%
    Somewhat favorable 27%
    Somewhat unfavorable 14%
    Very unfavorable 37%
    Not sure 5%

So, 44 percent favorable, 51 percent unfavorable. Obamacare is upside down here, according to one poll at least.

* Keeping that in mind, from the Tribune

Gov. Pat Quinn wasn’t especially visible when Illinois residents were signing up for Affordable Care Act coverage last year, but on Tuesday he called getting people health coverage the “mission of a lifetime.”

Three things have changed: The state has far exceeded expectations for how many people it has signed up for health coverage, public attitudes toward the program have improved, and President Barack Obama will raise money for a re-election-seeking Quinn in Chicago on Thursday.

The Democratic governor on Tuesday announced that Illinois has signed up 468,000 people through the state’s Medicaid program, far more than the roughly 200,000 Quinn administration expected to sign up this year and also surpassing the 342,000 the state thought would ever enroll under the health care expansion. Another 217,000 in Illinois signed up for private insurance coverage via the exchange set up under the health law.

* OK, back to the Rasmussen poll. Among Democrats, 71 percent had a favorable view of the new law, as did 72 percent of African-Americans. And, as we’ve seen in this and other polling, Quinn still has some “base” problems.

* Now, on to today’s Sun-Times story

Newly surfaced video of Republican Bruce Rauner obtained by the Chicago Sun-Times shows him telling conservative activists in Lake County last year that, as governor, he would have blocked Gov. Pat Quinn’s 2013 expansion of Medicaid. […]

“If you were governor of Illinois, would you have accepted Medicaid expansion and what do you think about the other Republican governors around the country that rejected Medicaid expansion?” Rauner was asked.

“I would not have accepted the expansion,” Rauner responded then. “I’m deeply concerned: We have a massive problem in our Medicaid system in Illinois. It’s full of corruption and abuse, and we are facing a problem that will dwarf our pension problem in about four or five years with our Medicaid system. It’s out of control, it’s corrupt.” […]

Asked Tuesday whether Rauner’s words accurately portray his position now on rolling back Medicaid, a campaign spokesman sounded a similar refrain against “fraud” and “abuse” within Medicaid but didn’t explicitly say if the candidate favored undoing Quinn’s expansion or keeping it in place.

* The video

Discuss.

  32 Comments      


Rate Rauner’s three new TV ads

Wednesday, Oct 1, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Bruce Rauner is running three new TV ads. The first one we’lll look at features a retired Chicago cop who blasts Gov. Quinn for his early release program

* The second ad is about jobs

* And the last ad we’ll look at in this post was spotted by Wordslinger last night. He wrote up a pretty witty, on-the-fly analysis

Just spotted what I think is a new Rauner “mixed” ad.

Caught it out of the corner of my eye on Channel 5 in a watering hole, so not verbatim, but it goes a little something like this:

Opens with a visual of standard, dark scowling Quinn head shot.

Female VO: “Why is Pat Quinn (saying deceptive things, I think) about Bruce Rauner?”

Visual of Blago head enters the shot: “Because Pat Quinn and (insiders, maybe) have been screwing up the state (or something like that).”

(At this point, I started laughing, because I loved the unexpected “scewing up” line. That’s how people talk, and she said it with some moxy).

Then it cuts to Bruce in bright color and goes into a lot of issues and visuals and narration very quickly, I didn’t get it all in one viewing.

One of them was definitely a “responsible plan to raise the minimum wage,” followed by a couple of other things, then a closer of “Bruce Rauner is running for only one reason: to bring back Illinois” (but the visual said “shake up Springfield, take back Illinois).

First impression: Way too busy, too many things going on for :30 seconds. But I absolutely loved the “screwing up” line.

* The spot is called “Screwed Up”

  41 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Wednesday, Oct 1, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

  Comments Off      


Good morning, everybody!

Wednesday, Oct 1, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* My buddy and music guru Anders Lindall chose this one. Here’s Jason Isbell and Amanda Shires

  9 Comments      


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