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Andrzejewski poll has Jim Ryan way out in front

Wednesday, Nov 18, 2009 - Posted by Rich Miller

* GOP gubernatorial candidate Adam Andrzejewski has released the results from a statewide poll of 500 likely Republican primary voters. Wilson Research Strategies conducted the survey November 15-16. It has a margin of error of +/-4.38 percent.

Here are the head to heads, which shows former attorney general Jim Ryan with a commanding lead. The numbers in parentheses are taken from the poll’s topline page and are the “definitely,” “probably” and “lean towards” responses. There is a bit of rounding here…

Jim Ryan 30% (10, 13, 7)
Adam Andrzejewski 11% (6, 3, 2)
Bill Brady 11% (3, 4, 4)
Andy McKenna 10% (3, 3, 3)
Kirk Dillard 7% (3, 3, 2)
Bob Schillerstrom 3% (1, 1, 1)
Dan Proft 2% (*, 1, 1)

Initial favorables/unfavorables…

Adam Andrzejewski 10/2
Bill Brady 33/6
Andy McKenna 29/7
Jim Ryan 58/16

Notice how high Ryan’s favorables are. Huge, even.

The pollster then read a long list of nice things about Andrzejewski and the candidate jumped way up. But since the pollster didn’t read anything positive about the other candidates, that final number doesn’t mean much. It’s also debatable whether Andrzejewski will have the cash to make his positives well-known enough to matter.

* Likely GOP voter ideology…

Very Conservative 45%
Somewhat Conservative 27%
Moderate 23%
Somewhat Liberal 3%
Very Liberal 1%
DK/Refused DNR 2%

* Top issues for Republican primary voters…

Economy – Unemployment/Lack of Jobs 39%
Government spending - Budget deficit 15%
Health care - Cost 8%
Government spending – GM/AIG/Corporate Bailouts 5%
Economy – Inflation/Value of dollar/Cost of goods and services 4%
Health care – Availability/Quality 4%
Political Corruption 3%
International relations - Iraq and Afghanistan Wars 2%

Notice how low corruption is on the scale.

* But here’s an interesting, if loaded and very leading question…

12. Still thinking about next year’s election, I’m going to read you a constitutional amendment that may appear on the ballot:

The Bambenek Put-Back Amendment shall convert the legislature to a unicameral body with three-member districts, establish term limits, reform legislative compensation, decentralize legislative power, establish transparency in the legislative process and other reforms.

Would you support or oppose such an amendment to the state constitution?

TOTAL SUPPORT 59%
TOTAL OPPOSE 13%

Definitely support 20%
Probably support 25%
Lean support 14%
Hard undecided/DK DNR 28%
Lean oppose 2%
Probably oppose 5%
Definitely oppose 6%

Crosstabs can be found by clicking here.

Thoughts?

  60 Comments      


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