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Chicago poll: 57 percent say they’ll swallow the pension payment medicine

Monday, Mar 25, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I’m gonna disagree a bit with my good buddy Greg Hinz on this one

With just a week to go until voters head to the polls, former federal prosecutor Lori Lightfoot holds a commanding lead in the race for mayor, according to results of a Temkin/Harris poll, conducted in partnership with Crain’s and WTTW.

But there’s trouble ahead for whoever is elected on one of the top issues they’ll have to face: fiscal pressures. An eyebrow-raising 40 percent of those surveyed say they oppose raising taxes to pay for pensions for city workers and Chicago Public School teachers—something that the new mayor almost certainly will have to do. […]

The survey asked voters which programs they would be willing to support with higher taxes. Better roads and other infrastructure fixes got the highest support, 71 percent, followed by mental health and public schools at 69 percent each and more police at 60 percent. Taxes for pensions got the lowest support, 57 percent. It also got the highest “disagree” figure, with 29 percent of voters saying they strongly disagree with more taxes for pensions and another 11 percent indicating they somewhat disagree.

After all the screaming over lo these many years by the pundits about the high cost of public pensions, the fact that 57 percent of Chicagoans say funding the pensions of city workers and public school teachers is “something you personally would be willing to pay higher taxes to get” strikes me as pretty darned good, particularly if a popular mayor is behind the push.

Also, infrastructure, mental health treatment and schools always score high. Everybody wants that stuff. Nobody supposedly wants to make pension payments. That’s usually seen as forcing an unwillling populace to ingest bitter medicine. The fact that 57 percent said they could stomach that medicine is, in this context, surprising to me.

* What also jumped out at me was that, after a decade of wall-to-wall reporting about Chicago’s crime problem, fewer Chicagoans, 29 percent, said they “strongly” support higher taxes for “more police officers patrolling city neighborhoods” than the 31 percent who said the same about pensions. Seems counter-intuitive, but numbers is numbers.

In the end, though, the 57 percent who backed higher taxes for pensions was within the +/- 4.4 percent margin of error of the 60 percent overall who supported more money for cops. Same goes for the strongly support and strongly oppose numbers for both categories, and for the overall opposition (40 percent for pensions, 38 percent for more police).

  15 Comments      


Preckwinkle and Rush will double down today

Monday, Mar 25, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Former Sen. Rickey Hendon will tell you until his dying day that he did more to elect Pat Quinn governor in 2010 than anything or anyone else. You may recall that Hendon called Quinn’s Republican opponent Sen. Bill Brady an “idiotic racist” while introducing Gov. Quinn at a campaign event.

The resulting uproar was huge and Hendon claims it broke through the clutter and allowed black folks to hear it loud and clear.

Tribune

Much of Chicago’s African-American political establishment united around mayoral candidate Toni Preckwinkle at a raucous South Side campaign rally Saturday that aimed to convince the city’s black voters that her opponent, Lori Lightfoot, wouldn’t look out for their best interests. […]

The most fiery speech of the day came from [Congressman Bobby Rush], the 72-year-old South Side congressman and former Black Panther leader. He repeatedly dismissed Lightfoot’s campaign for change, referring to her as “symbolic change,” “counterfeit change” and “chump change” in comparison with Preckwinkle, who he said represented “real change.”

Rush said he considered Lightfoot “chump change,” because she has the backing of 19th Ward Ald. Matt O’Shea and, by extension, the city’s police officers, many of whom live in those predominantly white Southwest Side neighborhoods. Rush also told the crowd that Lightfoot wouldn’t demand strong changes as part of the federal consent decree, in which a federal judge will oversee reforms in the Chicago Police Department following a civil rights investigation that found widespread excessive force and misconduct by officers against the city’s minority residents. […]

“The opposing candidate is representing the FOP,” Rush said as the crowd booed. “If you want the FOP, then you’ll vote for Lori.”

* Media advisory…

To: ALL MEDIA

From: Familia Latina Unida/Sin Fronteras

Re: Press Conference, Monday, 3/25/19 10 A.M. Rudy Lozano Library, 1805 S Loomis

Contact: Rev Emma Lozano, 773/xxx-xxxx, Sara Walker 773/xxx-xxxx

TONI PRECKWINKLE: CANDIDATE OF AN HISTORIC MOVEMENT

Congressman Bobbly Rush and Congressman Danny K Davis will join Rev Emma Lozano to endorse Toni Preckwinkle for mayor in the upcoming election. “We are here in front of the Rudy Lozano Library,” said Rev Lozano, to remember and to revive the historic coalition my brother, Rodolfo Lozano, began with now Congressman Danny K Davis to launch the Harold Washington Campaign.

That Black/Latino Coalition turned the City back towards its neighborhoods – and towards our Latino community. It began the policies that have made Chicago a sanctuary city and brought new respect to the Latino community.

Toni Preckwinkle is the right person to lead that movement back to City Hall. She is a fighter, a machine buster – and a consistent friend of our community.

Lozano concluded, “Politics sometimes get people confused. Don’t worry, Toni. WE ARE ALL COMING HOME!

So, they’re gonna do it again.

* Preckwinkle is not spending a dime on TV ads and Lightfoot’s lead looks insurmountable

Half of Chicagoans believe the city is “on the wrong track,” according to a new poll of registered voters, which also indicates that Lori Lightfoot will win the charge of getting the city on the right track as Chicago’s next mayor.

Lightfoot leads Toni Preckwinkle by a whopping margin of 53 percent to 17 percent, according to the results of a WTTW/Crain’s Temkin/Harris poll, released Monday.

But with another 29 percent still undecided in the runoff race for mayor, Preckwinkle stands to gain ground enough that Lightfoot won’t necessarily cruise to a 36-point victory.

“The 29 percent of voters who say they are undecided are more likely to be black or under age 50,” pollster Jill Normington said via email. “Both of those groups are stronger supporters of Preckwinkle than the overall electorate indicating that she has more room to grow among the votes that are left.”

But this stuff works.

* So, Lightfoot’s new ad has perfect timing

Wow.

  43 Comments      


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