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That toddlin’ town roundup
Friday, Mar 17, 2023 - Posted by Rich Miller * IZQ Strategies was one of the few pollsters which predicted a Vallas/Johnson runoff…
* From the toplines, Johnson’s favorable/unfavorable rating is 51-40, while Vallas’ is 47-47. Gov. Pritzker’s is 64-35, Chuy Garcia’s is 34-55 (see below), Bernie Sanders’ is 56-36. Among institutions, the Chicago Teachers Union’s favorable/unfavorable rating is 48-46, while the Chicago Fraternal Order of Police’s rating is 38-50 and the Chicago Police Department’s is 57-40. * On to the crosstabs…
Likely Latino voters are by far the smallest subset, so you have to be careful about assuming too much. But still. Whew. * With that in mind, while Chuy Garcia is endorsing Johnson, he did himself no favors in the first round, particularly with Latinos…  -30 among Latinos? Whew. * Check out the governor’s numbers with Vallas voters…  They don’t like him much. * And this is why it’s so politically dangerous to call for defunding the police…  * With that last set of crosstabs in mind…
* Sun-Times…
* Tribune…
* Another trade union weighs in for Vallas…
* Isabel’s roundup… * Crain’s | Jesus ‘Chuy’ Garcia endorses Brandon Johnson: The Johnson campaign has teased an announcement for Friday morning at La Villita Community Church in the Little Village neighborhood, well-known as Garcia’s home base. The City Council’s Little Village rep, Ald. Mike Rodriguez, 22nd, will also be in attendance. * Block Club | Tempers Flare As Supporters Of Mayoral Candidates Clash Over Paul Vallas’ Education Record: Outside the Johnson news conference, Vallas supporters — which included several other former Philadelphia schools executives — called out Johnson out for his lack of experience and said the former social studies teacher is a “progressive pawn” for county board President Toni Preckwinkle. * CBS Chicago | Brandon Johnson, Paul Vallas go after each other for public safety, fiscal proposals at mayoral forum: Johnson called for hiring 200 more detectives, a greater effort to implement the federal consent decree mandating reforms in the Chicago Police Department, and ensuring the enforcement of laws now on the books such as red flag laws regarding gun possession. He also called for a long-term approach to addressing the root causes of crime – including youth employment and job creation. Vallas called for a return to “community-based policing,” rather than 911 calls that are answered in three hours instead of three minutes due to the lack of beat cars. He went on to accuse Johnson of “wanting to defund the police” as he claimed Johnson does not support his proposals for filling 1,100 vacancies in the CPD and bringing back retired officers and officers who have left the department. * Sun-Times | From handshakes to hand grenades: Vallas lobs his own verbal bombs in lively debate with Johnson: During their first televised debate last week, Brandon Johnson was the undisputed aggressor. That night, Paul Vallas played it safe by trying to remain above the fray. On Thursday, it was a dramatically different Vallas who showed up to debate his runoff opponent at ABC7 Chicago. * Crain’s | Johnson insists he won’t defund the Chicago Police Department at debate: Johnson has tried to walk a tightrope on the issue during the campaign, carefully avoiding using the phrase while saying he would become the “investor in chief” who invests in social policies that he says would lead to a “safer, stronger Chicago.” * Chalkbeat | Vallas supporters disrupt Johnson event focused on Vallas’ schools leadership: A press conference denouncing Chicago mayoral candidate Paul Vallas’ record running public schools devolved into a shouting match as his supporters interrupted an event for his opponent at Rainbow PUSH Coalition Thursday morning in Kenwood. * Block Club | 45th Ward Runoff Comes Down To Ald. Jim Gardiner, Attorney Megan Mathias: Results made official this week showed Gardiner received 7,683 votes, or 48 percent of the vote, leading to the runoff. Mathias was his closest challenger with 2,699 votes, or 16.8 percent of the vote. * Sun-Times | A tale of two cities, told in Chicago’s mayoral election: When Harold Washington ran to become the first Black mayor in 1983, his white opponent Bernie Epton urged voters to elect him before “it’s too late,” a tacit racial plea. Washington battled hostile white City Council members and won reelection in 1987, besting more white candidates. Back then, the sheer audacity of a Black man as mayor rocked the city. So much so that columnist Mike Royko famously wrote, “Uncle Chester: Don’t worry, Harold Washington doesn’t want to marry your sister.” * Block Club | 6 South And West Side Alderpeople Endorse Paul Vallas, Banking On Him To Cut Crime And Boost Policing: Some alderpeople said neighbors are afraid to leave their homes because of crime. Vallas’ pledge to boost policing with “zero tolerance for misconduct” is the best solution for the city, they said.
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A quick look at the woke poll
Thursday, Mar 9, 2023 - Posted by Rich Miller * USA Today…
I’m not sure that’s the Republican definition because I don’t know if anyone has actually described it that way. When the Eastern Bloc accused Gov. Pritzker of trying to turn Illinois into a “woke utopia,” or when they complained about the “far-left woke ideology that is bankrupting our state,” I don’t think they were talking about policing word usage. But whatevs. The poll, which is here, found that 71 percent of respondents said they’d heard of the term. 40 percent (60 percent of Republicans) said being called “woke” was an insult, while 32 percent (46 percent of Democrats) said it was a compliment. 26 percent didn’t know what it meant. A strong 76 percent said they opposed “State governments passing laws that ban certain books from school classrooms and libraries,” while 21 percent supported it. And 66 percent opposed the idea of “Banning corporations from requiring their employees to complete trainings around diversity, equity, and inclusion,” while 30 supported the ban on corporate DEI. Also, when asked if they supported or opposed “Allowing people to identify as something other than man or woman on government documents, such as birth certificates, passports, or drivers licenses,” 36 percent of respondents supported it and 61 percent opposed it. * Keep in mind, though, that the way issues are framed can often determine the result. For instance, when respondents were split into two, 72 percent of the first half supported and 26 percent opposed “Teaching the ongoing effects of slavery and racism in the United States in public schools,” while just 41 percent of the second half supported and 53 percent opposed “Teaching critical race theory in public schools.” Republicans, by the way, opposed teaching kids about the ongoing effects of slavery and racism 53-46. Democrats supported teaching kids CRT 68-27. When asked if they supported “Using gender-neutral pronouns to describe someone, meaning not he/him or she/her,” the pollster could have explained what gender-neutral pronouns are (they/them, for instance), but for whatever reason didn’t. Anyway, 61 percent opposed the use and 36 percent supported it. Methodology is here.
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