*** UPDATED x1 *** National poll shows no racial hesitancy difference on vaxes, but there is an outcome difference so far in Chicago
Wednesday, May 19, 2021 - Posted by Rich Miller * New NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll…
* If those results are right, you wouldn’t know it by looking at this Chicago map from WBEZ . Maybe people are willing to get vaxed and are unable for some reason? Whatever it is, this needs further debate… ![]() *** UPDATE *** WBEZ…
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Lightfoot takes heat for first half, but while poll shows her above water she’s far below her winning margin
Friday, May 14, 2021 - Posted by Rich Miller * It’s almost the two-year mark for Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot, so analyses abound. I’ll just focus on my lane. Here’s Greg Hinz…
That graduated real estate transfer tax issue could’ve been easily resolved had she simply recognized that the other side had enough votes to kill her plan and all she had to do was find a win. She went my way or the highway and it died. Her refusal to deal on the elected school board likely led to the firefighters pension bill, and her elected board counter-proposal was ridiculous. Subscribers know more about another challenge she faces these days. * But despite all this, she apparently remains above water with the public. This poll was conducted by the same pollster I used last year and found to be pretty darned reliable…
Remember, however, that she won her election with 73 percent of the vote. Also, you may notice there are no disapproval numbers in that story. * I reached out and was able to get the crosstabs. Here are her topline results… ![]() As you can see, she’s at 14 percent strongly approve with all respondents versus 24 strongly disapprove. The crosstabs show her underwater with Latinos 41-58. She’s at 50-49 with whites, 70-30 with Black people, 44-56 with 18-34 year olds, 59-42 with 35-49 year olds, 54-47 with 50-64 year olds and 64-35 with 65+. Obviously, there’s some rounding to those numbers over four different variables. Methodology is here. There’s another angle to this poll, so I’ll try to get to that in a bit. * Related…
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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition and some other stuff
Tuesday, May 11, 2021 - Posted by Rich Miller
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