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*** UPDATED x1 *** National poll shows no racial hesitancy difference on vaxes, but there is an outcome difference so far in Chicago

Wednesday, May 19, 2021 - Posted by Rich Miller

* New NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll

The percentage of American adults saying they will get a COVID-19 vaccine (14%) or have already gotten one (59%) held steady at 73% this month.

There is a question, though, of whether the country has hit a plateau, as daily vaccinations continue to decline, and as a quarter of Americans continue to say they will not get vaccinated — a number that has held steady since March.

The least likely to say they will get vaccinated continue to be Trump supporters (43%) and Republicans (41%), particularly Republican men (44%). But a third of Americans under 45 also say they will not get the shot.

There is no real statistical difference in hesitancy between white and Black Americans — 73% of whites say they’ve either gotten the vaccine or will get it; 75% of Black Americans said the same (69% of Latinos also said so).

Americans are overwhelmingly supportive of providing doses of vaccines to other countries that need it — 84% said it’s a good idea.

* If those results are right, you wouldn’t know it by looking at this Chicago map from WBEZ . Maybe people are willing to get vaxed and are unable for some reason? Whatever it is, this needs further debate

*** UPDATE *** WBEZ

In a recent interview with WBEZ, Arwady said her department is now shifting its focus to the 13 ZIP codes with the lowest vaccination rates. In recent weeks, as the pop-up clinics have come to an end, the Department of Public Health is driving a vaccination bus around town, stopping at schools and parks in these neighborhoods on the weekends when it’s easy to get people to come out.

The vaccination bus schedule posted online will target four majority Black neighborhoods — South Shore, Englewood, Roseland and Austin — through May. These neighborhoods have some of the city’s lowest vaccination rates. Anyone 12 and older is eligible, and appointments are not required.

The health department has also issued two $10 million requests for proposals to continue some of the work Protect Chicago Plus started. The first, released in March, was seeking “Regional Vaccinators” for five equity zones on the South and West Sides to operate mobile vaccination sites and administer shots in specific settings, like factories.

“We’re not thinking in terms of if a site can [vaccinate] thousands a day. We’re like, ‘Can a site do hundreds a day? And where can we put additional sites?’ ” Arwady said.

  19 Comments      


Lightfoot takes heat for first half, but while poll shows her above water she’s far below her winning margin

Friday, May 14, 2021 - Posted by Rich Miller

* It’s almost the two-year mark for Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot, so analyses abound. I’ll just focus on my lane. Here’s Greg Hinz

One place adjustment clearly is needed is Springfield. Despite a big win in finally getting permission to build a casino—something her predecessors could only dream about—the mayor’s team constantly jostles with Pritzker’s. With her friend John Cullerton no longer the Senate president, Lightfoot suffered a series of humiliating defeats, including being routed on a bill that will raise pensions for some firefighters at a difficult time, dropping plans for a tax hike she wanted for affordable housing and struggling to save her power on the school board.

The advice from such varied figures as House GOP Leader Jim Durkin and Sen. Sara Feigenholtz, D-Chicago: Reach out, personally. “It’s about compromising and collaborating,” Feigenholtz puts it.

That graduated real estate transfer tax issue could’ve been easily resolved had she simply recognized that the other side had enough votes to kill her plan and all she had to do was find a win. She went my way or the highway and it died. Her refusal to deal on the elected school board likely led to the firefighters pension bill, and her elected board counter-proposal was ridiculous. Subscribers know more about another challenge she faces these days.

* But despite all this, she apparently remains above water with the public. This poll was conducted by the same pollster I used last year and found to be pretty darned reliable

The poll, which had a margin of error of 4.8%, also asked respondents how they rate Lightfoot’s overall performance, with 53% saying they either strongly approved or somewhat approved of the job she’s doing.

Lightfoot did best among respondents age 65 or older; 64% of them approved of the job she’s done. And 70% of Black respondents approved of her performance.

According to the poll, 41% of Latinos surveyed and 50% of whites said they approved of her performance.

Remember, however, that she won her election with 73 percent of the vote. Also, you may notice there are no disapproval numbers in that story.

* I reached out and was able to get the crosstabs. Here are her topline results…

As you can see, she’s at 14 percent strongly approve with all respondents versus 24 strongly disapprove.

The crosstabs show her underwater with Latinos 41-58. She’s at 50-49 with whites, 70-30 with Black people, 44-56 with 18-34 year olds, 59-42 with 35-49 year olds, 54-47 with 50-64 year olds and 64-35 with 65+. Obviously, there’s some rounding to those numbers over four different variables. Methodology is here.

There’s another angle to this poll, so I’ll try to get to that in a bit.

* Related…

* As Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot’s two-year anniversary approaches, top-level vacancies are mounting: ‘This has been a very tough year, I think, on a lot of people’

* Greater transparency would make Mayor Lightfoot’s tough job a little easier

* Reform advocates oppose Lori Lypson’s apparent nomination to run the Civilian Office of Police Accountability

* Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot Ran As An Outsider. Two Years In, Her Approach Hasn’t Changed.

* Leaked Emails Reveal City Hall Failed To Keep Little Village Neighbors Updated On Hilco Work Despite Promise After Dust Disaster

* Lightfoot Canceled Her Chicago Tribune Subscription Over Reporting She Didn’t Like, Leaked Emails Show

* A humble plea to Mayor Lori Lightfoot: Please resubscribe to the Chicago Tribune

* Alderman demands City Hall issue guidance on summer block parties

  31 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition and some other stuff

Tuesday, May 11, 2021 - Posted by Rich Miller

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