Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar » Polls
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      About     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact Rich Miller
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
February poll: Pritzker job approval at 39/36 with 19 neutral

Tuesday, Mar 10, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Press release…

Attached is a summary of the results of a statewide poll CHANGE Illinois commissioned which found that an overwhelming 75 percent of voters support the creation of an independent commission to draw political maps.

The poll of 603 likely Illinois voters was conducted by Fako Research and Margin of Era Opinion Research.

The poll also found voters strongly agree — 74 percent — that Gov. J.B. Pritzker should work to help push for getting a question about the creation of such a commission on the November general election ballot.

Additionally, survey results show that in our current polarized political environment, a third of likely voters would have a more favorable view of the Governor if he were to actively engage in pushing for the question to be placed on the November ballot.

The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.99 percent.

CHANGE Illinois leads a coalition of 30 diverse organizations statewide that support the Fair Maps Amendment.

Please also find attached a collection of some of the governor’s actions and statements supporting an independent redistricting commission during his campaign and since taking office.

The poll results have been shared with the Governor’s office. We have asked to meet with the Governor to persuade him to fulfill his previous pledges and statements and to help us actively advocate for votes on the Fair Maps Amendment.

The executive summary is here. And click here for collected Pritzker statements on the topic.

The poll was conducted over a month ago, February 4-6. Mobile phone users accounted for 67 percent of weighted respondents.

* Fako is the goods, so I give his results some credence. According to this poll, Pritzker could use the boost that would come from backing Fair Maps

JB Pritzker

    Substantive Recognition: 95%
    Rated Positively: 39% (14% Very Positive)
    Rated Neutral: 19%
    Rated Negatively: 36% (25% Very Negative)

The Governor is universally known. His most favorable ratings arrive out of Chicago (58% Total Positive, 22% Very Positive) and Suburban Cook County (46%, 11%). Pritzker is rated more critically in Southern Illinois (54% Total Negative, 43% Very Negative) and Northern Illinois (47%, 34%).

The State’s Independent voters are net negative about Pritzker (29% Total Positive to 39% Total Negative), with Independent men being more critical of the Governor than Independent Women.

Donald Trump

    Substantive Recognition: 99%
    Rated Positively: 38% (29% Very Positive)
    Rated Neutral: 5%
    Rated Negatively: 56% (51% Very Negative)

Donald Trump is universally recognized . His ratings are significantly more positive in Southern (56% Total Positive) and Northern (52%) Illinois. His most negative ratings arrive from Chicago (83% Total Negative) and Suburban Cook County (64%).

Trump’s ratings diverge by gender, with men being more positive about him (46% Total Positive, 37% Very Positive) and women more negative about him (66% Total Negative, 60% Very Negative).

The State’s Independent voters are net negative on Trump (31% Total Positive to 57% Total Negative).

Whew, those southern Illinois numbers are bad for the governor.

* Greg Hinz

The amendment plan recently introduced in the state Senate by Sen. Melissa Bush, D-Grayslake, has picked up 31 sponsors, enough to pass if it’s called for a vote. Identical language has been introduced in the House.

But Doubek conceded that the Senate’s new president, Don Harmon, has not promised to bring the matter up for a vote and has not yet agreed to meet with her group.

Harmon’s spokesman said the request is “under review.” […]

Doubek said she’s been seeking a meeting with the governor since last fall but has heard nothing. Pritzker “isn’t living up to his promises and pledges,” she said, a remark that may not help her secure that meeting.

Um, 31 is not 36, which is the actual number required to pass the Senate.

And Greg’s probably right about that meeting. As I wrote recently in Crain’s, the activists need to remember they’re trying to pass legislation, not agitating on a street corner.

  32 Comments      


Adventures in polling

Tuesday, Mar 10, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Victory Research (Rod McCulloch) poll of 1,000 likely voters in the Democratic primary for Illinois Supreme Court. Sun-Times

Statistically tied for first place were Appellate Court Justice Sheldon “Shelly” Harris, with 15.2%, lawyer Daniel Epstein — whose campaign commissioned the poll —with 12.9% and Appellate Court Justice Jesse Reyes with 12.1%.

Harris and Epstein are white. If he is elected, Reyes would the first Hispanic justice on the state’s top court.

Appellate Court Justice Margaret Stanton McBride, who is also white, came next with 11.2%, followed by state Supreme Court Justice P. Scott Neville Jr., an African American jurist who was appointed to Freeman’s seat, with 9.5%. Both McBride and Neville were also within the margin of error for first place.

Just a few percentage points behind were the other two African American candidates —Appellate Court Justices Nathaniel Howse Jr. and Cynthia Cobbs, with 8.1% and 6.1%, respectively.

MoE of +/- 3.1 percent. No disclosure in the story if this was a robocall to landlines or if it included mobile phones. 25 percent were undecided.

* This was a poll I tweeted out Sunday and posted on the blog Monday morning. Politico

Two polls conducted this past weekend show Illinois Democratic voters are all-in for Joe Biden and that if “undecided isn’t an option” for voters in the Cook County State’s Attorney race, they’d stick with incumbent Kim Foxx, who still falls short of a majority. […]

Ogden & Fry surveyed 466 voters for the state’s attorney poll, which has a margin of error of plus of 4.63 percent.

Primary candidates with multiple opponents don’t need a majority to win. Also, as with the other poll, there is no disclosure about whether this was conducted on ancient and increasingly rare landlines or whether it included mobile phone responses.

  21 Comments      


Open thread

Sunday, Mar 8, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* A few tweets to get you started. Please keep the conversation Illinois-centric and be nice to each other…



  9 Comments      


After claiming it was a “mistake,” Oberweis now doubles down on old helicopter ad

Friday, Mar 6, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Feb. 25, 2004

A pair of controversial new campaign ads from Republican U.S. Senate candidate Jim Oberweis has enraged immigrant rights advocates, who contend the message decrying illegal immigration is racist and relies on misleading data. […]

“Illegal aliens are coming here to take American workers’ jobs, drive down wages and take advantage of government benefits such as free health care, and you pay,” Oberweis says in one of the spots. “How many? Ten thousand illegal aliens a day. Enough to fill Soldier Field every single week.”

* The infamous “helicopter ad”

* Ten years later

When asked about the ad, Oberweis said: “It was a mistake. I wish that I hadn’t (done the ad), yes…it was poorly done.” But he believes he can get past it.

* This week

* Script…

Democratic presidential debate moderator: Raise your hand if your government plan would provide coverage for undocumented immigrants.

Oberweis 2020: Unbelievable. They all support using your tax dollars to give you illegal aliens free healthcare. I predicted this could happen.

Oberweis 2004: Aliens are coming here but make advantage of government benefits but your free health care. You pay.

Oberweis 2020: I was right on this issue then, and I’m right now. Send me to Congress and I’ll stand with President Trump to make sure our tax dollars are used to help Americans, not illegal aliens. I’m Jim oberweis, and I approve this message.

* Meanwhile, Ogden & Fry has a new poll of 535 likely voters which shows the race is tighter than some believed. This pollster uses robocalls and only polls people who’ve already voted in GOP primaries, so keep that in mind. Click the pic for full results

  16 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition of Capitol Fax

Thursday, Mar 5, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

  Comments Off      


« NEWER POSTS PREVIOUS POSTS »
* Hexaware: Your Globally Local IT Services Partner
* SB 328: Separating Lies From Truth
* When RETAIL Succeeds, Illinois Succeeds
* SB 328 Puts Illinois’s Economy At Risk
* SB 328: Separating Lies From Truth
* Hexaware: Your Globally Local IT Services Partner
* SB 328 Puts Illinois’s Economy At Risk
* When RETAIL Succeeds, Illinois Succeeds
* Reader comments closed for the next week
* Isabel’s afternoon roundup
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Campaign updates
* Three-quarters of OEIG investigations into Paycheck Protection Program abuses resulted in misconduct findings
* SB 328 Puts Illinois’s Economy At Risk
* Sen. Dale Fowler honors term limit pledge, won’t seek reelection; Rep. Paul Jacobs launches bid for 59th Senate seat
* Hexaware: Your Globally Local IT Services Partner
* Pritzker to meet with Texas Dems as Trump urges GOP remaps (Updated)
* SB 328: Separating Lies From Truth
* Open thread
* Isabel’s morning briefing
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today's edition
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Selected press releases (Live updates)
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Loading


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
July 2025
June 2025
May 2025
April 2025
March 2025
February 2025
January 2025
December 2024
November 2024
October 2024
September 2024
August 2024
July 2024
June 2024
May 2024
April 2024
March 2024
February 2024
January 2024
December 2023
November 2023
October 2023
September 2023
August 2023
July 2023
June 2023
May 2023
April 2023
March 2023
February 2023
January 2023
December 2022
November 2022
October 2022
September 2022
August 2022
July 2022
June 2022
May 2022
April 2022
March 2022
February 2022
January 2022
December 2021
November 2021
October 2021
September 2021
August 2021
July 2021
June 2021
May 2021
April 2021
March 2021
February 2021
January 2021
December 2020
November 2020
October 2020
September 2020
August 2020
July 2020
June 2020
May 2020
April 2020
March 2020
February 2020
January 2020
December 2019
November 2019
October 2019
September 2019
August 2019
July 2019
June 2019
May 2019
April 2019
March 2019
February 2019
January 2019
December 2018
November 2018
October 2018
September 2018
August 2018
July 2018
June 2018
May 2018
April 2018
March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller