Two more polls confirm Emanuel lead
Monday, Mar 16, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller
* From a press release…
Ogden & Fry conducted two polls for the Chicago Mayoral runoff contest. A 1-question poll with 920 respondents was run on Friday, March 13, 2015 without “undecided” as an option. The usual weekly 1-question poll was conducted on Saturday, March 14, 2015 with 957 respondents. Respondents were selected by random sampling of likely voters.
* The results…
* From the pollster…
Despite an impressive roll-out of high-profile endorsements for Garcia, Emanuel has opened a lead on Garcia. Emanuel’s financial advantage is starting to have an effect with his TV commercials.
Conventional wisdom is that undecideds usually do not break for a well-known incumbent. Garcia seems to hold around a 6% (53%-47%) advantage with the undecided voters at this point.
But that advantage with undecideds ain’t enough.
Crosstabs are here.
Garcia got a nice bounce out of the first round. He was a fresh face and Emanuel clearly underperformed. But Garcia needed to sustain that bounce and build on it. So far, at least, he appears to be stalling out.
