Poll: Quinn over Rauner 44-40
Tuesday, Oct 7, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* A new We Ask America poll conducted for Reboot Illinois has Gov. Quinn leading Bruce Rauner by four points, with Libertarian candidate Chad Grimm scoring 6 points. Quinn’s 44-40 lead is outside the margin of error for the first time in a WAA poll and the governor appears to finally be shoring up his base, while Rauner may have some weakness developing Downstate…
Perhaps the biggest piece of good news for Quinn is the 62-14 lead he registered among respondents in the city of Chicago. That’s a 4-percentage-point bigger lead in Chicago than Quinn registered in the Sept. 2 Reboot Illinois poll. Among respondents in Chicago in the three earlier Reboot Illinois polls, Quinn led Rauner 65-18, 59-18 and 62-18.
In the Cook County suburbs, Quinn polled slightly ahead of Rauner — 44.5 percent to 43.9 percent — in the Sept. 2 survey. Quinn scored a huge increase in suburban Cook in the new poll, finishing ahead of Rauner by 27 percentage points, 58-31. […]
The new poll also is the first for Reboot Illinois in which Quinn leads among women voters. After trailing Rauner by 4, 7 and 5 percentage points, respectively, in three previous Reboot Illinois polls, Quinn finished ahead among women this time, 44-36.
While Rauner continued to lead among downstate respondents, his 47-32 lead in this poll is considerably smaller than in any of the previous Reboot Illinois polls. There was comparatively little change in the collar counties, where Rauner led 54-36 in the new poll. In the previous poll, on Sept. 2, Rauner led in the collar counties by 25 percentage points, 57-32.
Discuss.