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Poll: Rauner leading by 6, Topinka up by 22, Cross up by 10
Wednesday, Oct 1, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller * A new poll taken for a Republican candidate has Bruce Rauner leading Gov. Pat Quinn 43-37, with 5 percent going to Libertarian Chad Grimm and 16 percent undecided. Click here to read the full results, with geo-tabs. Rauner is scoring 20 percent in Chicago, which is about where he wants to be, and leading Quinn 46-38 in suburban Cook. Not good for PQ. The poll of 1,290 likely voters was taken September 30th by Communication Express. It has a margin of error of +/-2.9 percent. The pollster was pretty darned accurate in 2010 (off by just a couple in the governor’s race, but spot on in the US Senate and comptroller’s races), so, yes, it’s a poll for a GOP candidate, but it’s not to be taken lightly. * The poll found Comptroller Judy Baar Topinka leading Lt. Gov. Sheila Simon 53-31, with another 5 going to the Libertarian candidate. * And Rep. Tom Cross leads Sen. Michael Frerichs 44-34, with 19 percent undecided and the Libertarian getting 3 percent. 35 percent self-identified as Democrats, 38 percent said they were independents and 27 of respondents said they were Republicans. However, just 10 percent said they were African-Americans, which seems a bit light to me, although not to the campaign which commissioned it. Even so, that wouldn’t have moved the needle in a huge way.
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Pumping up the base
Wednesday, Oct 1, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller * From that recent Rasmussen Results poll of Illinoisans that we discussed yesterday…
So, 44 percent favorable, 51 percent unfavorable. Obamacare is upside down here, according to one poll at least. * Keeping that in mind, from the Tribune…
* OK, back to the Rasmussen poll. Among Democrats, 71 percent had a favorable view of the new law, as did 72 percent of African-Americans. And, as we’ve seen in this and other polling, Quinn still has some “base” problems. * Now, on to today’s Sun-Times story…
* The video… Discuss.
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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition: Congressional crosstabs
Wednesday, Oct 1, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
Wednesday, Oct 1, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
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