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Poll: No pardons for Blagojevich and Ryan - Lots of undecideds on Kirk - Cutler plurality

Thursday, Dec 6, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Public Policy Polling asked Illinoisans about whether two imprisoned former governors should be pardoned. They don’t want it…

Do you think President Obama should pardon former Governor Rod Blagojevich, or not?

He should……………………………………………….. 15%
He should not………………………………………….. 75%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 10%

Do you think President Obama should pardon former Governor George Ryan, or not?

He should……………………………………………….. 20%
He should not………………………………………….. 70%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 10%

* Meanwhile, I was a bit surprised by the large number of Illinoisans who don’t have an opinion of US Sen. Mark Kirk in the latest PPP poll…

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Kirk’s job performance?

Approve …………………………………………………. 34%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 19%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 47%

Kirk has been mostly out of the public eye for months because of his stroke which is undoubtedly contributing to the results.

* But this is just silly stuff…

If the candidates for Senate in 2016 were Democrat Michelle Obama and Republican Mark Kirk, who would you vote for?

Michelle Obama………………………………………. 51%
Mark Kirk………………………………………………… 40%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 9%

Mrs. Obama has made absolutely no moves whatsoever toward this race, which is four years away, for crying out loud.

* From the pollster…

If Michelle Obama decided she wanted to follow the Hillary Clinton route once her husband leaves office in 2016 and go to the Senate, she’d have the upper hand on Mark Kirk. She leads him 51/40 in a hypothetical head to head. Kirk’s approval numbers are ok with 34% of voters approving of him to 19% who disapprove. But those numbers are no match for the first lady, who’s seen positively by 60% of voters to 33% with a negative
one.

* On a lighter note, there aren’t a lot of Rams fans in Illinois…

Is your favorite NFL team the Chicago Bears, Dallas Cowboys, Green Bay Packers, Indianapolis Colts, New England Patriots, New York Giants, Pittsburgh Steelers, or St. Louis Rams?

Bears …………………………………………………….. 63%
Cowboys………………………………………………… 1%
Packers………………………………………………….. 10%
Colts ……………………………………………………… 2%
Patriots ………………………………………………….. 1%
Giants ……………………………………………………. 1%
Steelers………………………………………………….. 4%
Rams …………………………………………………….. 2%
Someone else/Don’t have a favorite team …… 17%

* And Cutler gets a plurality of support…

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jay Cutler?

Favorable……………………………………………….. 41%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 15%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 45%

* Democrats and independents like him more than Republicans do…

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Plurality supports gay marriage, but majority wants a statewide vote

Thursday, Dec 6, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Public Policy Polling’s recent Illinois survey asked Illinoisans about gay marriage. A plurality supported it…

Do you think same-sex marriage should be allowed in Illinois, or not?

It should …………………………………………………. 47%
It should not ……………………………………………. 42%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 11%

* From the pollster…

In Illinois even though there’s only narrow overall support for same sex marriage the numbers are 58% for and 37% against among voters under 45, another sign that it’s just a matter of time given the big generational divide on the issue. Black voters, perhaps following the lead of President Obama, think it should be legal by a 60/16 spread. That’s a much wider margin than we see with them nationally

* More from the crosstabs. A plurality of men oppose the idea…

* Republicans strongly oppose it and independents are less opposed…

* A majority of whites oppose it…

* Seniors are more likely to oppose the concept than any other age group…

* And even though there are no binding ballot initiatives in Illinois, a large majority thinks the public ought to vote on the idea…

Do you think Illinois voters should be allowed to vote on whether they think same-sex marriage should be legal, or not?

Voters should be allowed to………………………. 68%
They should not ………………………………………. 19%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 13%

Discuss.

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