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Fox News Poll: Brady ahead by 5 points
Tuesday, Oct 26, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller * A new Fox News poll left out one the candidates’ names (Libertarian Lex Green), which is just ridiculous. But “Some other candidate” took 1 percent, which is about in line with other recent polling. The poll of 1,000 likely voters taken October 23rd has Bill Brady leading Gov. Pat Quinn 44-39. Independent Scott Lee Cohen has 6 percent and Green Party nominee Rich Whitney has 4 percent. According to the poll, Quinn leads among women voters just a single point. He has just 64 percent of the “non-white” vote, while Brady has 12, Whitney has 6 and Cohen has 5. Quinn has just 74 percent support among Democrats, but Brady has 87 percent backing among Republicans. Independents break heavily 45-27 to Brady. All those numbers are pretty much right in line with other recent polling. Among those who have already voted, 58 percent said they cast their ballot for Quinn, while 37 percent were with Brady. That could help put some of these early voting stories into context. 43 percent said the policies of the Obama administration have hurt Illinois’ economy, while just 31 percent said it helped and 23 percent said it made no difference. Just 44 percent said Obama’s policies will help the country in the long run, while 47 percent said they’ll hurt. 45 percent strongly or somewhat support the tea party, while 43 percent oppose it. 11 percent were neutral. 49 percent of women opposed it, while 37 percent supported it.
* And David Axelrod uses big words to excuse possible failure…
* The Fox News pollster only included two names in its US Senate poll, so I’m not reporting the results here. Go see it for yourself. * Roundup…
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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
Tuesday, Oct 26, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller
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Tribune poll: Brady leads Quinn 43-39, Rutherford leads Kelly 42-38
Tuesday, Oct 26, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller [Bumped up for visibility.] * There just isn’t any good news for Gov. Pat Quinn in the Tribune’s new poll. For instance…
Brady’s now leading 47-28 among independents. If this poll is correct then they’re breaking hard his way. * More bad news for Quinn…
Tied among white suburban women. Nice job, governor. Better roll out that puppy ad. * And this is just bizarre when you think about how much money has been spent attempting to define Brady…
Scott Lee Cohen was at 5 percent, Rich Whitney was at 4 and Lex Green was at 2. Another 6 percent are undecided. * The poll also found that Bill Brady has increased his support in the collar counties by 11 points, while Gov. Quinn fell by 8. The tally there now is 50-38. But the last Tribune poll had the two tied in the collars, which nobody really believed. The new number seems much closer to reality and indicates that the paper’s previous poll (which had Quinn leading Brady 39-38) could’ve been an outlier. The only possibly good news for Quinn is that since the poll was taken Monday through Friday, much of these results are a week or almost a week old. It’s possible that he’s moved up since then. Then again, he could’ve also moved down. * Meanwhile, most of the down-ballot statewide races are blowouts, which is no surprise. The only close contest is for treasurer…
Judy Baar Topinka is creaming David Miller 57-26. Lisa Madigan is crushing her opponent 69-21. And Jesse White is absolutely trouncing his Republican opponent 72-18.
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