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Quinn’s meandering, Obama’s robocall, and much, much more

Monday, Oct 18, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Gov. Pat Quinn announced grant money for a new Port of East St. Louis the other day. The governor’s office originally posted a video of the occasion, but it’s since been “privated.” I downloaded it over the weekend, however, and cut it to give you yet another look at our meandering governor on the stump. You really should watch this


I do have to say, though, that the governor’s meandering ways are starting to grow on me a little. Better late than never, I suppose…

“The biggest river in our country and one of the biggest rivers in the United States of America.”

An absolute classic.

* President Obama is doing a robocall for Alexi Giannoulias. Listen


Script…

This is Barack Obama calling on behalf of Alexi Giannoulias.

With polls showing my good friend Alexi in a close race, your vote is crucial.

Early voting is already underway, and I strongly urge you to go vote today.

Also, for the first time ever you can vote by mail.

To learn how you can avoid lines and bad weather by voting early visit alexiforillinois.com or call 312-603-5656 (a second version uses 312-269-7900).

* Personal PAC’s big fundraiser was at the Hilton today. Unfortunately for the group, hotel workers went out on strike


* The American Action Network (one of those 501(c)(4) groups) is spending big bucks on this TV ad in the 10th Congressional District attacking Democrat Dan Seals


* The Seals campaign is pointing to this Washington Post article about the group’s chairman, Fred Malek

The documents about Malek’s work as Nixon’s special assistant are part of formerly restricted material from personal files that the Nixon library made public in January. A note posted on the National Archives Web site mentions Malek’s reputation under Nixon as “the hatchet” because of his tenacity, and says the documents show that Malek “supplied Nixon with a list of thirteen people he thought had Jewish surnames” at the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

At the time, according to Nixon’s Oval Office tapes and other official documents, the president was enraged by what he and his aides called a Jewish “cabal” at the bureau, and they blamed the group for making gloomy economic forecasts.

* And another Paul Simon Institute poll

While more than 40 percent of voters agree or strongly agree with the Tea Party, only a third said they would be more likely to vote for a candidate affiliated with the grassroots political movement.

In comparison, 45.5 percent said they would be less likely to vote for such a candidate, according to a recent statewide poll conducted by the Paul Simon Public Policy Institute at Southern Illinois University Carbondale. […]

Of those polled, 24 percent agreed with the movement and 17 percent strongly agreed. Sixteen percent said they disagreed; 20 percent strongly disagreed and more than 19 percent said they had no opinion.

* Roundup…

* Cohen camp tops opposition w/ mailings

* It’s Expensive to Fix ‘Rich Whitey’ on Chicago Ballots

* Mid-Terms 2010: Some Unexpected Increases For Democrats

* Republican candidates flush for Senate bids

* BARTON LORIMOR: Giannoulias to be in Carbondale Thursday for rally instead of debate

* Daily Herald: Congress, 8th District: Bean

* The resurrection of Joe Walsh’s campaign

* Q&A: Bean, Walsh, Scheurer for 8th congressional

* Daily Herald: Congress, 9th District: Pollak

* Israel Becomes a Big Issue in the Ninth District Race

* Daily Herald: Congress, 10th District: Seals

* How Dold, Seals stand on the issues

* ‘Young man’ giving Halvorson tough run

* Daily Herald: Congress, 16th District: Manzullo

* Manzullo raises almost 20 times more than opponent

* Hare, Schilling agree to televised debate

* Race for 17th District has different look

* 18th Congressional, County Board and recorder hopefuls attend forum

* Shimkus: ‘Don’t ask, don’t tell’ must stay

* Q&A with Rahm Emanuel: His first Chicago interview

* Washington: Could a minister be a good mayor?

* Burris says he’s been encouraged for mayoral run

* Council dean Burke says he will not run for mayor

* County Assessor Hopefuls Battle for Black Votes

* Claypool campaigns at South Side church

* Q&A: Cook County assessor — Forrest Claypool

* Q&A: Cook County assessor — Joseph Berrios

  34 Comments      


Drilling down into the debate

Monday, Oct 18, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Both Gov. Pat Quinn and Sen. Bill Brady talked to reporters after their debate last night. First up, Bill Brady, who talks about the allegations of conflict of interest (several times), early release, “forensic audit” vs. “business audit” (which he claims could be completed in 50-75 days for 80 percent of the government) and how he will deal with his company after he’s elected. Watch


* Gov. Quinn spent most of his time whacking Brady for the Senator’s alleged conflicts of interest


* The Quinn campaign sent out press releases throughout the debate last night which responded to Brady. Zorn gives us Brady’s response to a Phil Ponce question about whether he’s “seriously out of step” on gay employment rights and civil unions…

I don’t belive so. My beliefs are what they are. And I believe a lot of people in Illinos respsect those believes. But unlike Governor Quinn my agenda is focused on solving the economic crisis and bringing jobs to Illionios by balancing our budget without raising taxes. Gov. Quinn’s agenda is to promise that he’ll pass a civil unions bill as his first priority after he’s elected. Now I believe that the people care deeply about bringing jobs back to Illinois That’s what I’m focused on, and as governor of this state that will be by first and highest priority.

Audio


And here is the Quinn “rapid reaction” team’s response…

Senator Brady claimed tonight that social issues weren’t his first priority. However, his actions after the February primary belie that claim.

Two days after the Republican primary, Senator Brady introduced a bill to permit mass euthanization of dogs and cats in gas chambers (SB2999, Filed 2/4/10)

He proposed two other bills that week:

* The first was his third attempt to ban gay marriage and civil unions (SJRCA 95, Filed 2/10/10; SJRCA 8)

* The other would allow religious organizations to discriminate in hiring against people based on sexual orientation, gender identity or religion (SB 3447, Filed 2/10/10).

He transferred sponsorship of all three bills after their appearance in the media and public outcry.

After the primary, Brady’s first priority was animal euthanization and restricting LGBT rights.

* The two sides also talked about the budget last night. Not many specifics were offered up, despite the best intentions of the questioners. But Zorn has Brady’s answer to a question about a specific budget cut

Well, the Medicaid program under Governor Quinn allows people like Governor Quinn to walk in and receive an eligibility card. We don’t verify eligibility in the Medicaid program. It’s costing other human service providers and educators and other people in state government.

…Adding… Audio


* Earlier this afternoon, I sent the governor’s office some questions, without alluding to last night’s debate: “Does Illinois verify income eligibility in the Medicaid program? If not, why not? If so, how?” The response from Stacey Solano, who is the communication manager for the Illinois Dept. of Healthcare and Family Services…

Yes, HFS verifies income information when an individual applies for Medicaid benefits, as it is both state and federally required. At application, HFS checks paystubs as well as federal data for income sources, such as Social Security. We also identify unemployment benefits and coordinate with DHS for any income information received in conjunction with SNAP or TANF programs.

So, according to this response from HFS, Brady appears to be wrong.

* Kurt Erickson has more on “forensic audits” in his weekly column

…the team of auditors in the Lone Star State also recommended raising a number of taxes and fees that were deemed too low.

That’s the risk with backing the idea of a forensic audit. After millions of dollars and thousands of hours spent analyzing state spending, the pencil pushers could recommend that some taxes actually need to rise.

John Sharp was the comptroller in Texas when a forensic-type audit was launched there in 1991. He told me the process was tough, but it worked. Cuts outlined by his team helped fill in a $3 billion deficit, and a tax hike was avoided.

But, he said, “I never caught more (crap) than that in my life.”

* Speaking of the budget, the Paul Simon Institute has released some new polling results about the budget. 83 percent opposed cuts to programs for people with mental or physical disabilities. 82 percent opposed cuts to education, 74.5 percent opposed cuts to public safety, 66 percent opposed cuts in state spending “on programs for poor people,” 57 percent opposed cuts for universities and 53 percent opposed cuts for state parks and conservation.

But here’s one answer that kinda surprised me, considering that public employee unions are this year’s “Cadillac-driving welfare queens”…

Do you favor or oppose cuts in state spending on pension benefits for state workers’ retirement?

Favor 45.5%
Oppose 47.3%
Other/Don’t know 7.2%

Split.

* The revenue side of the poll was also predictable. For instance, 57 percent agreed with this statement

The state takes in plenty of money to pay for public services but wastes it on unnecessary programs. We can fix the problem by cutting waste and inefficiency in government.

And that agreement holds up pretty much everywhere in Illinois. Click the pic to see a larger image of the xtabs…

Full budget crosstabs are here.

* And now, a brief foray into campaign news. Gov. Pat Quinn hasn’t been in Lake County since before Labor Day? That’s not the way things usually go here

[Sen. Bill Brady] held a 35 percent to 29 percent lead over Quinn in suburban Chicago in a poll of 1,000 registered voters last week by Southern Illinois University’s Paul Simon Public Policy Institute. That survey, which gave Brady a nearly 9 percentage-point lead statewide, had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points […]

With slightly more than two weeks until the election, some of Quinn’s allies still regard this as a race for the hearts and minds of suburban voters. Link would like the governor to spend more time in the collar counties, noting he hasn’t been in Lake County since before Labor Day.

“I think he can run very good in the collar counties,” Link said of Quinn. “Obviously, he has to work them a little better. His message has to get out here. He himself has to get out here more.”

Rod Blagojevich beat Judy Baar Topinka in Lake County by about 6400 votes four years ago. Blagojevich lost to Jim Ryan in the county by almost 16,000 votes four years earlier. It’s competitive turf, and it’s pretty surprising that Quinn hasn’t set foot there in months. Not even in Waukegan? Well, it turns out, he has been in Waukegan recently. From the Lake County News-Sun’s Quinn endorsement on October 11th

We also like Quinn’s jobs plan, which he outlined this week while in Waukegan during a campaign stop.

Still, that’s the only visit I could find.

* Related…

* Evidence that our next governor will be unable to answer a question

* WBEZ’s third-Party Gubernatorial Forum

* How Gubernatorial Races Affect Senate Races

  13 Comments      


Question of the day

Monday, Oct 18, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Paul Simon Institute has released some more Illinois poll numbers

Which of the following three statements comes closest to your position on the legal rights of gay and lesbian couples in Illinois?

* Gay and lesbian couples should be allowed to legally marry 33.6%
* Gay and lesbian couples should be allowed to form civil unions, which would give them some legal rights 33.9%
* There should be no legal recognition of relationships between gay and lesbian couples 26.5%
* Other/Don’t know 6.0%

* The Question: What’s your position? Explain.

  94 Comments      


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