PPP has had some pretty reliable numbers, but I’d like to see if they detect any further tightening in this race. Their last poll had Gov. Pat Quinn trailing Sen. Bill Brady by seven points, the highest margin of any legit poll out there. Brady had this to say earlier today…
Most polls showed Brady with a slim to moderate lead over Gov. Pat Quinn. Recently, some polls suggested the race may be tightening. Not so, Brady said.
“We don’t think they’re tightening, we think our momentum is continuing,” Brady said during a stop Friday morning at Granny’s Kitchen in Harrisburg
Brady also used the latest Rasmussen poll to buttress his case, but as I’ve told you several times before, Rasmussen isn’t polling all the names on the ballot. When Scott Lee Cohen is included in a poll, the margin definitely appears to shift in Quinn’s favor. So, using that poll as evidence is just bogus.
“Mark Kirk voted to reward corporations with tax breaks for shipping jobs overseas,” says the ad’s narrator. “Now the Chamber of Commerce is spending over $75 million to help Republicans like Mark Kirk get elected. And where has the Chamber been getting some of their money lately? From foreign corporations in countries like China, Russia, and India — the same companies that threaten American jobs. It’s time to connect the dots. Exactly who is Mark Kirk working for? Because it sure isn’t Illinois.”
…Adding… The Kirk campaign says it can find no evidence yet that the ad is actually running on TV stations or cable right now.
It’s certainly true that millions are being spent without public disclosure, and that much of the money is coming from corporations taking advantage of a Supreme Court ruling easing restrictions on political spending. But using foreign funds to finance political ads is still a legal violation. Accusing anybody of violating the law is a serious matter requiring serious evidence to back it up. So far Democrats have produced none.
* MSNBC’s “Morning Joe” program took a look at the Kirk vs. Giannoulias debate last night. The NRSC posted the segment about the mob banker back and forth…
* Now, on to the dueling polls. From the DCCC today…
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee today released a new Benenson Strategy Group poll that shows Representative Bill Foster leading Republican challenger Randy Hultgren by 10 percent.
In the initial head-to-head in the race for Illinois’ 14th congressional district, Foster leads Hultgren 48 percent to 38 percent. Conducted October 4-6, the poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a 4.9 percent margin of error.
“After it was revealed Randy Hultgren’s business was profiting off of the bank bailouts in an offshore investment fund, voters learned Hultgren is nothing more than a slick Springfield politician who is only out for himself,” said Gabby Adler, Midwestern Regional Press Secretary for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. “This poll proves the last thing Illinois voters want in Washington is another Springfield politician like Randy Hultgren.”
Republican state Sen. Randy Hultgren led Rep. Bill Foster (D) by 6 points in a new poll taken for the Republican’s campaign. Foster won the seat in a March 2008 special election after former Speaker Dennis Hastert (R) retired.
The poll showed Hultgren with 44 percent of the vote and Foster with 38 percent. Sixteen percent of voters were undecided, and 4 percent chose Green Party nominee Daniel Kairis. The Tarrance Group, a Republican firm, surveyed 400 likely voters Oct. 3-4, and the poll’s margin of error was 4.9 points. Neither the campaign nor the Tarrance Group released any other numbers from the poll.
The poll showed a slight improvement for Hultgren over similar polls conducted for the campaign in May and September.
Much has changed in the race in the past month. Foster went up on broadcast TV in late September in the expensive district directly west of Chicago, and the National Association of Realtors and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee are airing cable ads on his behalf. The Democrat’s campaign accused Hultgren’s investment firm of profiting off the federal bailout in an ad.
* More stuff and more videos…
* Quinn, Brady campaign as early voting starts today
* Politicians Stepping off with Columbus Day Parade
