Eric Krol’s Friday column takes a look at winners and losers. Here are two of his losers:
Newspaper editorial boards and crusading columnists. The old-fashioned journalistic campaigns against Democratic Gov. Rod Blagojevich and Cook County Board President-elect Todd Stroger certainly fell flat, didn’t they? It’s going to be a long four years for print reporters covering Blagojevich.
Illinois voters. They told pollsters corruption was their top issue, then re-elected Blagojevich, whose administration is engulfed in scandal probes, and picked Stroger, whose father’s administration faces a federal probe.
Krol also tagged the Illinois Republican Party as a loser, which is pretty obvious. Chicago Sun-Times editorial page editor Steve Huntley talked to House Republican Leader Tom Cross and offers some thoughts on what the IL GOP needs to do now.
What Cross doesn’t say outright is that the social conservatives’ message won’t pass muster with the middle-of-the-road voters who constitute the majority of the Illinois electorate. Moderate voters see hard right positions opposing stem cell research and advocating the teaching of creationism in school science classes as an offensive intrusion of religious values into medical science and public education.
Teaching intelligent design in a school science lab makes as much sense as having Charles Darwin’s The Origin of Species required reading in Sunday school. Opposing embryonic stem cell research on the grounds that a microscopic collection of cells is a fully realized human being, a person, comes across as a cruel denial of medical hope to millions of people suffering chronic and fatal diseases.
The social conservatives’ objections on stem cell science hinge, of course, on abortion. They must have been jolted by the rejection of a stringent abortion ban by voters in South Dakota, a red state. Yes, many Americans have qualms about abortion, but when confronted with the uncomfortable choice of no restrictions on abortions vs. a complete government intrusion into private life, most people will opt for less government. You’d think that’s a position conservatives would understand.
Its message is a major reason that the GOP has a gender gap. Cross said the party needs to reach out to women and ethnic and minority groups.
Discuss. But do it quickly, ‘cuz later today I’ll be shutting down comments for the weekend so I can finally escape this blog.
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Question of the day
Friday, Nov 10, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller
Let’s do something non-partisan today and talk about a “boring” policy issue.
First, the setup:
An array of not-for-profit groups today endorsed a plan to allow county governments in Illinois to impose taxes of up to $2 per pack on cigarettes.
The plan, initiated by DuPage County Board Chairman Robert Schillerstrom, calls on state legislators to pass a law granting them the authority to tax cigarettes. Only Cook County has that power now, and it levies the full $2 per pack. […]
Metro Counties of Illinois, an association representing a dozen counties, has been spearheading a $2-per-pack tax for at least a year. But it hasn’t yet gone anywhere in the General Assembly.
But the measure now seems to be gathering steam, and is scheduled to be reviewed by a state senate committee next week.
Now, the question: Should counties be given this authority? Does this possibly open the door to other county taxation powers? Is it fair to smokers to continually force them to balance government budgets?
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These numbers bring it all into focus in a major way.
Gov. Rod Blagojevich spent more than $18 million on about 22,000 television spots to secure Tuesday’s re-election victory, swamping his Republican challenger’s TV dollars almost 4-to-1 and prompting renewed calls for fundraising limits in Illinois, a market analysis indicates. […]
The firm, TSNMI/Campaign Media Analysis Group of Arlington, Va., calculates that between the March primaries and Tuesday’s election, Blagojevich bought 22,109 television spots in markets throughout Illinois, as well as St. Louis and Paducah, Ky., at an estimated cost of $18,148,050.
Topinka, with a far smaller war chest than Blagojevich’s, started her television campaign later, ultimately airing 4,638 spots, with an estimated cost of $4,636,068.
She was buried.
And the fundraising is not going to end any time soon, as my Sun-Times column explains today.
Last week, one of Governor Rod Blagojevich’s best pals told me that the governor would definitely run for a third term. […]
(I)f you thought Gov. Blagojevich would finally get down to the business of actual governance and stop with all the campaign hooplah, you’ve got another thing coming. The governor is most comfortable in campaign mode - quoting Elvis on the stump, issuing press releases announcing populist-sounding programs that aren’t actually funded, throwing sharp public elbows at those who would oppose him - and that is apparently where he’ll stay.
Wednesday, the day after the election, a group of eight “good government” groups issued a press release calling on Gov. Blagojevich “to work as hard at passing sweeping campaign reforms as he did at winning reelection.” Not gonna happen. If he really does have his mind set on a third term, then his unseemly fundraising will continue. The only difference from his first term will be that indicted pal Tony Rezko won’t be around to rake in allegedly corrupt millions.
My brain is ready to explode.
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Election law attorney Burt Odelson played a major role in Todd Stroger’s campaign and now swears to Phil Kadner that Stroger will be a reformer.
“(H)e wasn’t going to denounce his father or the way he ran the county. Who would do that to his father? […]
“What Todd will do, I guarantee, is hire professional people and listen to their advice. I call him a Reagan Democrat. He will build a consensus across party lines.
“If (Republican) Tony Peraica had won, he wouldn’t have been able to do anything. The Democrats would have controlled a majority on the board. There would have been constant bickering. It would have been (Chicago) City Council Wars all over again.” […]
“All these big downtown law firms are making millions of dollars off the county, and that’s going to stop,” Odelson said.
“They drag out negotiations on lawsuits for months and months, collecting maybe $200,000 in fees, and then settle a case for $50,000.
“I’m going to look at all these excessive legal bills.”
I’m not exactly holding my breath, but it has been pretty funny watching the white liberal media’s shock at their candidate Tony Peraica’s thuggish election night antics. Maybe they’ll also have to admit one day that they were wrong about Todd Stroger.
*** UPDATE *** Peraica did win some Chicago wards. Glenn Hodas has provided us with a chart:
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Maps and charts and graphs, oh my!
Friday, Nov 10, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller
Glenn Hodas, a political consultant and numbers cruncher, has provided us with some nifty maps and graphs to help us understand this year’s election a little bit better. Click all the images for larger versions.
I’ve had to reduce the file sizes to make the images load better on the Internet, but if you want to see the maps, etc. in all their high-rez glory, just head over to Glenn’s website and find his contact information. I’m sure he’ll do whatever he can to help
First, a color-coded statewide map gives us the intensity of the vote for governor…

If you want to see a much bigger statewide map, click on this image…

Next up, a bar graph that gives us the governor’s race head-to-head percentages by region…

This pie chart will give you a very clear picture of how each region turned out on Tuesday…

And here’s a county map that shows the same thing…

This bar graph shows how each of the statewide Democratic candidates did against each other…

The chart below shows how the treasurer candidates did by region…

OK, back to the governor’s race. The following charts show how the suburban vote changed from 2002 (Rod Blagojevich vs. Jim Ryan) to 2006. Notice that the Republican numbers dropped in every case.
DuPage…

Kane…

Lake…

McHenry…

Will…

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Morning shorts
Friday, Nov 10, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Old-line Illinois Republicans wear the jacket, but the White House was apparently part of the cabal. Peter Fizgerald on the appointment of New Yorker Patrick Fitzgerald as US Attorney in Chicago: “Karl Rove called back and said we will not appoint anyone from out of state. We’ll let you pick anyone you want, as long as that person is from Chicago.”
* Daily Herald: Oberweis said it’ll take some time, but Republicans can take back their party. He said having local committeemen work hard in precincts by going door to door and welcoming fresh faces would be a good start. “We have many (committeemen) who have been around a very long time and who try to keep out new ideas, new volunteers and new candidates who will challenge the system,†Oberweis said.
* Minimum wage hike ‘first order of business’ for Blagojevich
* Illinois behind on paying for cleanup of gasoline-leak sites
* Duckworth says future run for office a possibility
* ComEd rivals in no rush to compete in Illinois
* At 80, is Chief Illiniwek ready to retire?
* Rahm Seeks Caucus Chair Post
* Friday Beer Blogging: Dem Sweep Edition
* Too Bushed to Bash Both
* RTA has big plans — if the money’s there
* Editorial: Big ideas, little money
*
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