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*** UPDATED x3 - WIFE SAYS ALLEGATIONS ARE TRUE - Says he owes back child support despite spending binge *** Cohen admits using “injectable steroids”

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Scott Lee Cohen admitted to ABC7 today that he used “injectable steroids”

He confirms his ex-wife’s claim that he was using injectable steroids in 2005 but denies her claim that he confessed to repeated affairs and was abusive.

Yesterday, before the divorce records and everything else came out, ABC7’s Ben Bradley asked Cohen if what had surfaced to date was all of it. “Anything else?” Bradley asked…

“No, you know. Again, it was an unfortunate time,” said Cohen.

Oops.

He also admitted to ABC7 that his wife had an order of protection against him in 2005.

…Adding… Via Zorn, a great line from the ArchPundit

Dude is like Jack Ryan meets Blair Hull meets Charlie Sheen.

…Adding More… Commenters are saying that Cohen’s wife has been on ABC7 and NBC5 defending him. Nothing yet on their websites.

…Adding Still More… NBC5’s video of Cohen answering a couple of questions about steroid use and his wife…


…And some more… Cohen’s wife reportedly said that she voted for him this week. She said that he was going through a “phase” back then and is fine now.

*** UPDATE - Cohen’s ex-wife speaks *** “He was a different person than he is now.” Watch it


*** UPDATE 2 *** Oh, man. CBS2’s Mike Flannery’s report is a must-watch. Flannery’s lead-in

“His own brother Larry had to sue him and got a judgment for 200 thousand bucks. Scott Cohen’s wife told me that prior to his marriage he did try to choke her. Now she’s back in court trying to get back child support that he didn’t pay while he was spending $3 million on his run for lt. governor.”

Oh, man. The end. The end.

Cohen claimed that the wounds on his prostitute ex-girlfriend’s throat were “self-inflicted.” But here’s more from Flannery…

“His wife says, by the way, contrary to his denials, that the things that she alleged occurred.”

Well, that’s it then.

*** UPDATE 3 *** Cohen and his ex-wife are appearing on Chicago Tonight. Turn on your teevees and help us live-blog in comments!

[Comments are now closed on this post. Go here for a fresh thread.]

  238 Comments      


Edgar believes Brady’s lead will hold up - And the RGA goes after Quinn

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Needless to say, this is a pretty big blow to Kirk Dillard

Despite campaigning on behalf of Kirk Dillard, former Gov. Jim Edgar believes Bill Brady’s slim lead in the Republican primary election for governor will hold up.

As it stands, Brady, the state senator from Bloomington, holds a 406-vote lead over Dillard, the state senator from Hinsdale. Election officials are still waiting on absentee and provisional ballots to trickle in after the close of voting Tuesday.

“I’m saying this as if the 406 votes are going to hold up. I suspect it will,” Edgar said.

Actually, the latest AP tally now has the Brady lead at 420…

Brady , Bill 155,327
Dillard , Kirk 154,907

…Adding… The Republican Governors Association uses Dan Hynes’ TV ads in a YouTube video


That music played behind the clip of Quinn nodding off made me sleepy. Or, maybe it’s just today’s pace.

  33 Comments      


Cohen’s troubles get worse - Divorce papers surface

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Oh.My.Goodness

Documents filed in Scott Cohen’s 2005 divorce allege anabolic steroid use and patterns of violence against family members, NBC has learned.

“Over the past year my husband has been taking injectable anabolic steroids,” Cohen’s then-wife Debra York-Cohen said in a statement during their separation proceedings. “As a result he has an erratic and explosive temper.”

As a result of the allegations Cohen, who’s not [sic] the Democratic nominee for Lt. Governor, was ordered by a Cook County Circuit Court to undergo “initial and periodic substance testing.”

The divorce documents also allege that Cohen’s steroid use contributed to periodic episodes of violence against his family.

He was shooting up ‘roids? Oy.

And if you think that’s bad

“Despite my refusals, he tried to force himself on me, until I pushed him away and emphatically told him no,” Debra Cohen claimed in the petition. […]

The petition also includes allegations that Scott Lee Cohen repeatedly threatened Debra Cohen in writing after she filed for divorce.

“Ever since I filed for divorce (Scott Lee Cohen) continually threatens me in writing, by leaving me intimidating notes,” she alleged. “He stopped leaving me handwritten notes on paper, when he discovered I just take them down. Now he leaves harassing messages on my mirror in lipstick, so everyone, including my grandchildren who live with me can see these notes.”

She said she became so afraid of Scott during their marriage that she often asked her sister and mother to stay with her because she was afraid to be alone with him.

She claimed that she called police on several occasions to remove Scott from the house, in front of their children.

He wrote harassing messages on the mirror in lipstick?

Oy.

See ‘ya. Don’t wanna be ‘ya.

* 4:30 pm - The Sun-Times divorce story is up.

  164 Comments      


Brady says he has the votes; McKenna sorta backs Brady; Adlai suggests Quinn form third party; Cohen’s helpers; Adam quotes history; Quinn talks tax hike

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

…Adding… I missed this one. I am only sporadically on the Bill Brady press release list…

With the final vote totals now reported, our campaign has a 406-vote lead over Senator Kirk Dillard at the top of the Republican gubernatorial contest. Still to be counted are absentee ballots that were not included in Tuesday’s balloting and provisional ballots that will not be counted for several days. Our legal and political team does not believe those votes will be sufficient to offset our lead.

We’re confident our vote will hold up and we will move onto victory in November.

* Andy McKenna conceded this afternoon and announced that he “stands ready” to support Bill Brady… unless the other guy wins. Check out the press release…

“Now that Democrats appear to be coming together as a Party, Republicans must do the same. There is simply too much at stake in this election to allow Party infighting to distract us from our mission. Based upon the numbers available today, we stand ready to support Bill Brady who appears headed for the nomination, or whoever is declared the eventual winner. We look forward to the process completing itself soon and working with our nominee to win in November.”

Mckenna’s “running mate” Matt Murphy also conceded…

“Congratulations to Jason Plummer on winning the Republican nomination for Lieutenant Governor. He ran a strong campaign on the right ideas. Republicans have a Lieutenant Governor nominee we can be proud to support. I look forward to working with Mr. Plummer and our entire Republican ticket to bring real change to Springfield in 2010.”

* Yeah, this is a good idea. Not

Former U.S. Sen. Adlai Stevenson — who formed a third party to run for governor in 1986 rather than share the same ticket as two disciples of Lyndon H. LaRouche — said Gov. Quinn faces the same political reality in dealing with running mate Scott Lee Cohen.

“It would be very difficult for Pat Quinn, in good conscience, to run for governor with this fellow tied to him as if they’re joined at the hip,” Stevenson told the Sun-Times today.

“One answer is to do what I did, namely to resign the nomination and run as an independent with a different lieutenant governor candidate,” he said. “Of course, they can try to talk [Cohen] out of it, but I’m skeptical as to whether that would work.”

I agree that Cohen isn’t likely to get out quite yet. Threatening to form a third party could be used to put pressure on Cohen.

But people forget that Adlai was the only Democrat to jump ship that year. Everybody was watching to see what US Sen. Alan Dixon would do, and when he decided to remain on the Democratic ticket, the rest of the “legit” ticket stuck with him. Adlai, who spent almost none of his own money on his razor-thin loss in 1982, had to mostly fund his ‘86 race himself. He got creamed.

* Cohen didn’t get elected by himself. He had some help. For instance, Ald. Dick Mell’s 33rd Ward organization had him on their sample ballot. Click here for the full thing, but I’ve given you a helpfully annotated version…

Check out election results by Chicago ward and Cook township to see who else may have helped out. [Hat tip to a commenter.]

* Adam Andrzejewski’s e-mail to supporters…

THE DAWN OF A NEW DAY [STILL] RISES

“Success is not final, failure is not fatal: it is the courage to continue that counts.”
– Winston S. Churchill

In 1955, William F. Buckley called for us to stand athwart history yelling stop.

1964, President Ronald Reagan called for us to preserve for our children this, the last best hope of man on earth, or sentence them to take the last step into a thousand years of darkness.

In 2009, Tea Party patriots across the country stood against increased government taxation, spending, and intervention and reasserted their individual liberty

And in 2010, the citizens of Illinois called for A New Day. A new day of honest, accountable, and limited government.

Many of you have called, emailed, Facebooked or Tweeted asking, “What’s next?”

Tuesday we learned the road to A New Day in Illinois is longer than we had hoped. However, the fight we waged against the under-performing Illinois establishment has not come to an end and certainly does not end with my bid for Governor.

Over the course of the last year, you have opened a new chapter in Illinois politics and renewed the Reagan revolution that first came to Illinois in 1976. Tea parties, 9/12 organizations and other advocacy groups have re-ignited the consciousness of conservatism. Your passion captured the imagination of thousands of Illinoisans across our great state and drew the support of national and international conservative leaders.

Your hard work and dedication created an unprecedented grassroots movement calling for honest, accountable, and limited government. Tuesday, we may have been delayed, but we have certainly not been denied. 

I am committed to rebuilding our party and I am committed to re-laying the foundation with the values and principles our nation’s founders knew to be essential for our Liberty: limited government, free enterprise, individual liberty and traditional American values. 



I still believe that it’s your turn. I still believe the dawn of a new day is rising in Illinois. And I still believe that what you have started over the course of the last year is of epic proportions and has already made history in countless ways. And I am still with you, for the good of Illinois.

* Let’s look at a few videos, shall we? Gov. Quinn talks about a tax hike


* Congressman Peter Roskam talks about the new Republican video that attempts to connect Alexi Giannoulias to the mob


* Mark Kirk’s new “Take Back Illinois” video


* The DCCC has an excruciatingly boring “Illinois Race Review” video, in case you care


  21 Comments      


This just in… Cohen: “No intention of stepping down or stepping aside” - Asks ex wife, girlfriend to hold presser

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* 2:20 pm - Democratic lt. governor nomineee Scott Lee Cohen has issued a statement through his spokesman

“I have no intention of stepping down or stepping aside. When the facts come to light, after my ex-wife and ex-girlfriend speak, the people of Illinois can decide, and I will listen to them directly. I am asking my ex-wife and ex-girlfriend to come forward and to talk with the media.

Putting his ex-wife and ex-girlfriend in front of the cameras to answer questions is a huge risk, but all he has left is risk. Continued…

“There are questions, and I will provide all answers honestly and openly. I only ask for time to do the interviews. 2005 was a difficult time in my life. I was going through a divorce, and I started running with a fast group. I was in a tumultuous relationship with the woman I was dating. We had a fight, but I never touched her. She called the police, however, she never came to court, and the charges were dismissed. I realized this relationship was not healthy, I ended it, and we parted amicably.”

* Meanwhile, in case you missed it earlier, Illinois Statehouse News has the full audio of Gov. Pat Quinn’s press conference. Listen by clicking here. They’re posting

* On an unrelated note, I just checked my site log and discovered that Wednesday’s traffic was even higher than Tuesday’s. As I’ve already told you, Tuesday was the highest usage day since Rod Blagojevich’s arrest. Thanks much.

  74 Comments      


Rasmussen has Kirk now leading 46-40 in US Senate race - And a new DSCC video

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Rasmussen has a new poll in the US Senate race. From the toplines (with Mark Kirk’s poll numbers from yesterday followed by Rasmussen’s December numbers in parentheses)…

Kirk 46 (47, 39)
Giannoulias 40 (35, 42)
Some Other Candidate 4
Not sure 10%

From the Rasmussen narrative

In December, Giannoulias was up by three points over Kirk. In October, the two men were tied at 41% each. In mid-August, Kirk held a modest 41% to 38% lead over Giannoulias.

More toplines

* How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

33% Strongly approve
21% Somewhat approve
10% Somewhat disapprove
35% Strongly disapprove
0% Not sure

* How would you rate the job Pat Quinn has been doing as Governor… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

8% Strongly approve
37% Somewhat approve
31% Somewhat disapprove
22% Strongly disapprove
2% Not sure

Back to the narrative

In Illinois, 45% rate their personal finances as good or excellent, while just 13% say they are poor. But only 20% think their finances are improving, while 42% say they are getting worse.

Forty-seven percent (47%) of Illinois voters believe it is possible to balance the federal budget without raising taxes, but 34% disagree. Forty-four percent (44%) favor an across-the-bard tax cut for all Americans, but 38% oppose such a tax cut.

Still, the majority (53%) of voters in Illinois believe cutting taxes is a better way to create jobs than increased government spending. Twenty percent (20%) believe increased spending is the way to go.

Back to the toplines for the populist stuff…

* Some people believe that the federal government has become a special interest group that looks out primarily for its own interests. What do you think? Has the federal government become a special interest group?
71% Yes
17% No
12% Not sure

* Do government and big business often work together in ways that hurt consumers and investors?
67% Yes
14% No
19% Not sure

Etc…

Illinois Survey of 500 Likely Voters Conducted February 3, 2010. Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 4.5 percentage points

* Meanwhile, Public Policy Polling takes a look at yesterday’s poll results from Mark Kirk, who claimed he led Giannoulias 47-35…

Mark Kirk’s campaign put out a poll yesterday claiming to start the general election with a 12 point lead over Alexi Giannoulias, which was a little surprising to me since we found Alexi up by eight points just two weeks ago. I’ll give Kirk points for transparency though- he put the full results from the poll online.

Of course doing so makes it clear how the big lead in the poll was possible. Just 49% of those surveyed report voting for Barack Obama in 2008 to 42% who say they voted for John McCain. Obama won the state 62-37.

It is more than likely that the folks who turn out this fall will be less Obama friendly than the folks who turned out in 2008, but not to that extent. Our final Massachusetts Senate poll found the electorate there had supported Obama by a 56-37 margin, just a 7 point drop on the margin from his 62-36 victory there. Use a 59-41 Obama split on the Kirk poll and you get a 44-39 lead for Kirk, relatively similar to this morning’s Rasmussen poll.

Beyond that it’s important to note that more than 2/3rds of the undecideds in the Kirk poll were Obama voters- distribute those proportionally and you have a 50/50 race, which feels about right at this point. The last couple of weeks of the primary were a lot harder on Giannoulias than they were on Kirk, and his fate may be determined by the extent to which he is able to unify Democratic voters around him now that he’s the guy.

Some questions from Kirk’s poll

* Thinking now about the economy…Do you think that the 780 billion dollar economic stimulus legislation passed by Congress last year was a good idea, a bad idea or do you not have an opinion either way?

Good Idea 38.3
Bad Idea 46.0
No Opinion 15.7

* Thinking about the way the federal government has responded to the financial crisis in recent months, generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the expansion of the government’s role in the economy?

Approve 38.2
Disapprove 49.6
No Opinion 12.2

* Thinking now about health care…From what you have heard about House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Leader Harry Reid’s health care plans, do you think their plans are a good idea or a bad idea?

Good Idea 30.6
Bad Idea 52.1
No Opinion 17.4

…Adding… The DSCC just posted a new YouTube video attacking Mark Kirk. Rate it


  22 Comments      


*** UPDATED - RRB Attys to hold presser *** This just in… Blagojevich reindicted

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE - 2:44 pm *** From a press release

Attorneys representing former Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich will hold a news conference today at 3:30pm Chicago time to respond to today’s developments.

Where: 158 W. Erie, Chicago
When: 3:30pm

I’ll see if there’s some live audio or video available. What a freaking weird day this has been.

[ *** End of Update *** ]

* 1:03 pm - As if this day couldn’t get any crazier. I’ll have links in a minute or two.

* 1:04 pm - Here’s the main document. More in a bit.

Fact sheet

SECOND SUPERSEDING INDICTMENT
United States v. Rod R. Blagojevich, et al., 08 CR 888 (N.D. IL)
Defendants:
Rod R. Blagojevich, 53
Alonzo Monk, 51
John Harris, 47
Robert Blagojevich, 54

Charges: Count(s) Defendant(s)
Racketeering Count 1 (new) Rod Blagojevich
Racketeering conspiracy Count 2 Rod Blagojevich
Wire fraud Counts 3-13 Rod Blagojevich (3-13)
Robt. Blagojevich (4, 13)
Attempted extortion Count 14 (new) Rod Blagojevich
Attempted extortion Count 15 Rod Blagojevich
Bribery Count 16 (new) Rod Blagojevich
Extortion conspiracy Count 17 Rod Blagojevich and Monk
Bribery conspiracy Count 18 (new) Rod Blagojevich
Attempted extortion Count 19 Rod Blagojevich
Bribery Count 20 (new) Rod Blagojevich
Extortion conspiracy Count 21 (new) Rod Blagojevich, Harris and
Robert Blagojevich
Attempted extortion Count 22 (new) Rod Blagojevich and
Robert Blagojevich
Bribery conspiracy Count 23 (new) Rod Blagojevich and
Robert Blagojevich
False statements Count 24 Rod Blagojevich
Forfeiture Blagojevich

Penalties (maximum on each count): Imprisonment Fine
Racketeering; racketeering conspiracy; wire fraud; attempted extortion and extortion conspiracy 20 years $250,000

Bribery 10 years $250,000
Bribery conspiracy 5 years $250,000
False statements 5 years $250,000

The defendants are presumed innocent and are entitled to a fair trial at which the government has the burden of proving guilt beyond a reasonable doubt.

* Government’s filing regarding second superseding indictment

The Second Superseding Indictment presents the following eight new charges against various defendants.

Count One charges defendant Rod Blagojevich with substantive racketeering in violation of Title 18, United States Code, Section 1962(c).

Count Fourteen charges defendant Rod Blagojevich with attempted extortion of United States Congressman A and United States Congressman A’s brother, in violation of Title 18, United State Code, Section 1951.

Count Sixteen charges defendant Rod Blagojevich with bribery in relation to the Chief Executive Officer of Children’s Memorial Hospital, and Children’s Memorial Hospital, in violation of Title 18, United States Code, Section 666. Count Eighteen charges defendant Rod Blagojevich and defendant Alonzo Monk with conspiracy to commit bribery in relation to Racetrack Executive, in violation of Title 18, United States Code, Section 371.

Count Twenty charges defendant Rod Blagojevich with bribery in relation to Construction Executive, in violation of Title 18, United States Code, Section 666.

Count Twenty-One charges defendant Rod Blagojevich and defendant Robert Blagojevich with conspiracy to commit extortion in relation to the appointment of a United States Senator, in violation of Title 18, United States Code, Section 1951.

Count Twenty-Two charges defendant Rod Blagojevich and defendant Robert Blagojevich with attempted extortion in relation to the appointment of a United States Senator, in violation of Title 18, United States Code, Section

Count Twenty-Three charges defendant Rod Blagojevich, defendant Robert Blagojevich, and defendant John Harris with conspiracy to commit bribery in relation to the appointment of a United States Senator, in violation of Title 18, United States Code, Section 371

  21 Comments      


Protected: *** UPDATED w/ NEW INFO AND LINKS TO LAWSUITS *** THIS JUST IN… SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Cohen’s plan

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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THIS JUST IN… Quinn to speak about Hynes, Cohen

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* 11:25 am - Gov. Quinn has scheduled a press conference for 11:30. Fox Chicago has live video, so click here. or here.

If you’d rather listen to audio, check WBBM Radio’s stream. UPDATE: BETTER AUDIO LINK.

You may have to hit refresh on that Fox stream if you’re not getting reception.

* 11:42 am - Still waiting.

* 11:47 am - In walks the guv. Help with live-blogging in comments if you can, please.

“Now that the primary is over, I want to salute Dan for his career and public service.” … “Very gracious” phone call. … Said he knows that Hynes’ heart is and has always been for “reform.” …

Here come the questions.

“The man who won the primary for lt. governor has some explaining to do.” … Said he must “fully and completely answer all questions.” … Must speak “quickly and completely about very serious matters that we’re all concerned about.” … Asked about Terry Link’s claim that he briefed the campaign. “First I heard about it was yesterday.” Said nobody in his campaign had heard about it either. [We now have to ask Link who he briefed. But the Quinn campaign did, indeed, know there was a problem because I talked to them about it.]

“My view is that this matter will be resolved.”

Fox has an annoying auto-refresh on its web pages, so use this link instead.

“Our country and our state are bigger than ourselves… If there are matters that are raised about your conduct that disqualifies you from running… Then the only appropriate thing to do is step aside… If explanations are unsatisfactory and the conduct is inappropriate, then the only way to go is to step aside.”

“I am confident that this matter is going to be resolved. I really do.” Said he thinks “the candidate will do the right thing.”

He just said he thought “That will be the way it will go” regarding Cohen stepping aside.

Quinn said people running for office who have things in their past that would be a “distraction” should step aside. “And I look forward to that.”

“I visited with the Speaker of the House about the budget. It [Cohen] came up this morning, and we talked in general terms about the procedures. I believe that the party understands that this is a clear and important matter that must be addressed.”

Lost the Fox feed? Try this one from WBBM.

Asked about all the harsh words exchanged during the primary between himself and Dan Hynes, Quinn said things are said in the heat of a primary that, upon reflection, they may not agree with after the primary is over.

He’s basically repeating his talking points now, so I’m not live-blogging them. He said he didn’t see Mark Brown’s column last March about Cohen.

Quinn says there is a provision that allows the General Assembly to pass a law that allows the governor to pick a running mate. So, there’s the pressure point on Cohen? But could Cohen challenge that law’s constitutionality because he’s already won an election? Could be a long haul.

Quinn said he and Madigan “have some budget ideas that are good.” Said Cullerton also had “some very creative ideas.”

“I think that tax reform is always on our agenda.”

Tribune

Gov. Pat Quinn today said his new running mate, a Chicago pawnbroker with a 2005 domestic battery arrest, should consider withdrawing from the race because his background could hurt the Democratic ticket in the November general election.

Quinn stopped short of saying Scott Lee Cohen should abandon the nomination he won in Tuesday’s primary. But he said Cohen “has an obligation to step aside” if his past becomes a problem.

“I always appeal to others in politics based on what’s good for the people,” Quinn said.

End of presser.

  72 Comments      


THIS JUST IN… Supremes strike down IL med-mal caps - More trouble for the Democrats

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** Click here to read the Supreme Ct. opinion ***

* 10:40 am - From Crain’s

The Illinois Supreme Court on Thursday struck down limits on jury awards in medical malpractice cases passed by the Legislature four years ago amid spiking liability costs for medical providers.

The court ruled that the caps on pain and suffering and other non-economic damages — $500,000 per case for doctors and $1 million for hospitals — are unconstitutional.

The court’s opinion upholds a 2007 ruling by a Cook County Circuit Court judge determining that the law violated the Illinois Constitution’s “separation of powers” clause, essentially finding that lawmakers interfered with the right of juries to determine fair damages.

It’s the third time the state’s high court has quashed limits on medical malpractice awards, having tossed out similar laws in 1976 and 1997.

* 10:41 am - From the Illinois Hospital Association…

The Illinois Hospital Association is disappointed that the Illinois Supreme Court has struck down critically needed medical liability reforms that were improving health care access throughout the state and restoring predictability to our broken medical liability system.

In doing so, the Court has rejected the clear will of the people of Illinois who called upon their legislators to enact this fair and sensible landmark legislation. In 2005, the General Assembly determined that there was a real public health crisis driving physicians out of Illinois and making health care more expensive and less available. Accordingly, it enacted a bipartisan and comprehensive solution that included judicial reform, strengthened insurance regulation and improved physician discipline.

The hospital community is deeply concerned that this decision will renew the malpractice lawsuit crisis and make it more difficult for Illinoisans to access or afford health care as liability costs for physicians and hospitals are driven to unsustainable levels. Hospitals across the state will again face even greater challenges recruiting and retaining physicians, especially specialists such as neurosurgeons and obstetricians, who were leaving Illinois during the height of the crisis.

This decision and its dire repercussions for the health care delivery system highlight the critical need for the President and Congress to embrace serious and meaningful medical liability reform as part of health care reform. All plausible forms of medical liability reform, such as arbitration, specialized courts and early settlement offer approaches, should be explored as part of health reform. However, caps on medical liability damages in many states (33) across the country have already proven to be effective at reducing health care delivery costs. We call on the President and Congress to include this important cost-reducing solution to the federal health reform package.

* 10:48 am - From the opinion

The circuit court invalidated the statute for the sole reason that, pursuant to our decision in Best, the limitation on noneconomic damages in section 2–1706.5 violates the separation of powers clause of the Illinois Constitution (Ill. Const. 1970, art. II, §1). […]

The issue is not whether the General Assembly may change the common law. As we recognized in Best, the General Assembly’s authority to “alter the common law and change or limit available remedies *** is well grounded in the jurisprudence of this state.” Best, 179 Ill. 2d at 408, citing Grand Trunk Western Ry. Co., 291 Ill. 167. See also Michigan Avenue National Bank v. County of Cook, 191 Ill. 2d 493, 519 (2000) (“legislature has the inherent authority to repeal or change the common law and may do away with all or part of it”). The General Assembly’s authority, however, is not absolute; it must be exercised within constitutional bounds. See, e.g., People v. Gersch, 135 Ill. 2d 384, 395-98 (1990) (recognizing both the legislature’s inherent power to alter the common law and the court’s duty to invalidate unconstitutional actions of our legislature). Here, the legislature’s attempt in section –1706.5 to limit common law damages in medical malpractice actions runs afoul of the separation of powers clause.

* The majority also takes a whack at the minority’s dissent, which is quite unusual…

Among the dissent’s criticisms is that we have “rush[ed]” to address the constitutionality of Public Act 94–677; that we only “purport” to defend the constitution; and that we stand as an “obstacle” to the legislature’s efforts to find an answer to the health-care crisis, “put[ting] at risk the welfare of the people.” Slip op. at 33, 41, 52 (Karmeier, J., concurring in part and dissenting in part, joined by Garman, J.). The dissent implies that the majority opinion is somehow an affront to the health-care reform efforts of the Obama Administration, and expressly cautions that if we “persist in invalidating damages caps,” dire consequences will likely follow. Slip op. at 27-28, 51 (Karmeier, J., concurring in part and dissenting in part, joined by Garman, J.).

Plainly, the Obama Administration’s health-care reform efforts are not the backdrop against which we have decided the constitutionality of Public Act 94–677, and we express no opinion–favorable or otherwise–as to those efforts. Rather, our decision in this case, that Public Act 94–677 cannot stand, is based, as it must be, on the binding provisions of our state constitution and our case law interpreting the same. Although we do not expect that the members of this court will always agree as to what the law is, or how to apply the law in a given case, we do expect that our disagreements will focus on the legal issues, providing a level of discourse appropriate to the state’s highest court. The emotional and political rhetoric that peppers the dissent is ill-suited to this pursuit. [Emphasis added]

The dissent was written by Justice Karmeier, who was elected in the most expensive judicial race in history that was financed by tort reform groups like the US Chamber of Commerce. From his dissent…

While my colleagues purport to defend separation of powers principles, it is their decision, not the action of the General Assembly, which constitutes the improper incursion into the power of another branch of government.

Karmeier’s conclusion…

Our job is to do justice under the law, not to make the law. Formulating statutory solutions to social problems is the prerogative of the legislature. Whether there is a solution to the health-care crisis is anyone’s guess. I am certain, however, that if such a solution can be found, it will not come from the judicial branch. It is critical, therefore, that the courts not stand as an obstacle to legitimate efforts by the legislature and others to find an answer. If courts exceed their constitutional role and second-guess policy determinations by the General Assembly under the guise of judicial review, they not only jeopardize the system of checks and balances on which our government is based, they also put at risk the welfare of the people the government was created to serve.

That reads a whole lot like a political speech, as does the beginning of Karmeier’s dissent, which was the focus of the majority’s criticism…

In a recent address to a joint session of the United States Congress, President Obama admonished that our nation’s “collective failure to meet [the] challenge [of health-care reform]–year after year, decade after decade–has led us to the breaking point.” Millions are unable to obtain health care coverage,” he asserted; “medical costs are rising”; and the existing system is “placing an unsustainable burden on taxpayers.” According to the President, the failure to take immediate corrective action will be dire: “Our deficit will grow. More families will go bankrupt. More businesses will close. More Americans will lose their coverage when they are sick and need it the most. And more will die as a result.”

In outlining his strategy for addressing this crisis, the President advanced a multifaceted plan. Although his proposal focused on expanding health insurance coverage, he also recognized that reform of medical malpractice laws might aid in reducing our nation’s health-care costs, while also improving the quality of care delivered by physicians and received by their patients.

* From House GOP Leader Tom Cross…

“Today’s ruling by the Illinois Supreme is especially disappointing because the law is working. With caps on non-economic damages and other reforms in place, competition has increased among insurance providers, medical malpractice insurance premiums have dropped between 5 and 30 percent, and doctors have begun to return to Illinois to care for families. Today’s ruling is a step backward, putting Illinois families at risk.”

* 11:13 am - Larry makes an excellent point. Things just got worse for the Democrats

It’s a fairly good issue for Republicans so they get another favorite issue to fight and it’ll bring in plenty of money from insurers and hospitals.

* 11:15 am - From the Illinois Trial Lawyers Association…

The state’s highest court has, for a third time, ruled that caps on medical malpractice damages are unconstitutional and unfair to the very patients who rely on our civil justice system when they have been the victims of medical errors that forever harm their lives or take away a loved one before their time.

The majority opinion held “[W]e necessarily consider…the legislature’s goal in enacting the statue-responding to a health-care crisis. Our separation of powers analysis, however, does not stop there. The crux of our analysis is whether the statue unduly infringes upon the inherent power of the judiciary. Here, the legislature’s attempt to limit…damages in medical malpractice actions runs afoul of the separation of powers clause.”

The case before the Illinois Supreme Court was about a little girl, Abigaile LeBron. Her life has been forever changed by the severe brain damage she suffered as a result of medical errors. W Abigaile will have to be fed through a tube for the rest of her life. She will never develop cognitively or physically as her peers do. She will never live independently.

For years the insurance industry has tried to convince the public that patients who are victims of medical errors are responsible for the increased health care costs, even though Illinois’ largest malpractice insurer has reported that payouts have remained flat for the past 13 years. Rather than discussing what can be done to spur competition in the insurance industry and hold costs steady, the insurance companies wanted to convince the public that it was the victims – the families of people like Abigaile LeBron, who were to blame for rising costs and limited access to quality care. But in its ruling today, the Illinois Supreme Court has decided that the health care crisis can not be solved by further hurting the patients who are victims of medical errors.

“Our health care system is reeling and rather than trying to fix it, insurance companies across the country have tried to divert attention from the real reforms that would improve access and care,” said Peter J. Flowers, president of the Illinois Trial Lawyers Association. “With this decision, we can now focus on the real issue – providing meaningful insurance reform that will keep costs down for doctors and patients alike, and ensure access to quality care for every resident in the state.”

Health care in Illinois will only improve when insurance companies are held accountable. The long-suppressed insurance reforms that were contained in this legislation have resulted in a forced reduction of malpractice premiums. The law forced malpractice insurance companies to provide greater transparency on rate-setting and payouts that has in turn spurred competition, motivated more companies to enter the marketplace, and lowered premiums for doctors.

“Today’s Illinois Supreme Court ruling making it illegal to impose caps on financial damages to victims of medical malpractice is a victory for working families whose lives and livelihoods are destroyed by medical negligence,” said Michael T. Carrigan, president of the Illinois AFL-CIO. “All citizens of this state should have the right to a trial by their peers to decide appropriate compensation. Hopefully today’s decision will finally put an end to the efforts of greedy insurance corporations to deny victims their due process.”

* 12:18 pm - From the Illinois Civil Justice League…

Ed Murnane, president of the Illinois Civil Justice League, released the following statement regarding today’s decision of the Illinois Supreme Court to strike down medical liability reforms signed into law in 2005:

“This is very disappointing – and frustrating. Republicans and Democrats in the Illinois General Assembly passed this law in 2005 after carefully considering all the potential and likely issues that could lead to a challenge. They knew it would be challenged and some very brilliant legal minds were involved in the drafting of the legislation and the defense of the law before the Supreme Court.

“It is very unfortunate that an issue that has an impact on the quality of health care for Illinois citizens can be decided by the Supreme Court choosing between doctors and patients on one side, and trial lawyers on the other — and siding once again with the trial lawyers.

“We commend Justices Garman and Karmeier for their dissent. Clearly, they understand what is at stake for the people of Illinois.”

  56 Comments      


Question of the day

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Sun-Times columnist Mark Brown points out today that he wrote all about lt. governor Democratic nominee Scott Lee Cohen’s troubles last March

So I duly reported the information, along with his explanation that the charges were dropped when the girlfriend failed to appear in court and with his denial that he’d done anything wrong in the first place. The whole business was tucked into a couple of paragraphs deep within the story, which I thought portrayed Cohen overall as a bit of a goof.

And that’s where it stopped, until a few weeks ago, when I started receiving calls from Democratic political types as his opponents came to realize Cohen might actually win, which I’d already figured out for myself just by hearing all his radio commercials and seeing his campaign mailings.

Some hoped I would remind voters about Cohen’s arrest, but I thought that if his opponents or the candidates for governor believed it was important, they should make it an issue themselves.

Instead, I wrote a column about the very real possibility Cohen could win and pointing out how he was going out of his way to hide his occupation in those campaign ads touting him generically as a successful small-business man.

I hoped that would be enough to bring voters to their senses, which was my second mistake.

Now that the Democrats are stuck with him, they might want to make the most of it.

I also knew about the allegations against Cohen because of Brown’s column. His consultant admitted it all last year when I asked. Like Brown, I didn’t think Cohen had much of a shot at winning. Also, like Brown, I thought that the candidates would use it since Brown had already written about it, and I just wasn’t comfortable writing more until then. I was wrong. Man, was I wrong. I’m sorry about that. I feel horrible.

* Cohen and his strategist talked to the Daily Herald

Cohen said he spent about $2 million, compared to the $300,000 Link spent.

“Some career politicians are bitter,” Cohen said. “What won the election was not the money. It was being with the people, listening to their needs, helping their communities.”

Cohen got into politics after starting Rod Must Resign, aimed at forcing former Gov. Blagojevich from office. In the closing days of the campaign, Cohen ran numerous radio and television commercials promoting his job fairs.

His campaign strategist, Phil Molfese, said surveys and focus groups showed Cohen’s main message of job creation and economic development resonated strongest with suburban residents. Support from Cook, DuPage and other collar counties ended up making the difference in his election.

* As we’ve already discussed, woman in question had been arrested for prostitution. She alleged that Cohen “put a knife to her throat and pushed her head against the wall.” Cohen denied that he ever touched her. This bit is new, though

A spokesman for Scott Lee Cohen says Cohen had the woman arrested for destruction of property.

Sounds like a happy couple, that.

* Chicago Public Radio Web Editor Justin Kaufmann wrote about the situation today and admits that he voted for Cohen

Let’s go with the Trib’s big story on the arrest record of Lt. Governor candidate Scott Lee Cohen. Something tells me Ray and Rick had this one sitting on the desk for a while and dusted it off when they saw the surprising results. He did have the best campaign commercial though, where, in a poorly filmed shot, he stares down someone off-screen and kind of yells at them about needing more jobs. It was effective. I was scared. I voted for him because his tie was loosened a bit and I didn’t want him to stare me down anymore. I’m like that.

Editors don’t usually like to break sensational stories right before an election, but I think that needs to be re-thought. Jack Ryan’s troubles were well-known - or at least heavily suspected - in reporter circles before he won the 2004 GOP primary. Blair Hull’s domestic violence history was dropped into the end of a Tribune profile story, and was then picked up and pushed into the bloodstream by Trib columnist Eric Zorn, among others.

* The SJ-R editorial page lays out some options and urges something be done

* As columnist Mike Lawrence recently wrote, the candidates for governor at least should choose their running mates, just as nominees for president do. As entertaining as it might be to watch, it makes no sense from a governing aspect to foist an undesirable running mate upon the gubernatorial nominee. The past two lieutenant governors (Quinn and Corinne Wood, who served under George Ryan) became estranged from their bosses because of corruption.

* The office simply could be abolished. The lieutenant governor has no constitutional duties other than to take the governor’s place if he or she can’t serve or is removed by the General Assembly. The attorney general would be next in the line of succession.

* The governor could give the lieutenant governor something to do. In Ohio, lieutenant governors often are appointed to agency directorships.

* Some states, such as West Virginia, do not have a lieutenant governor, and the Senate president is next in the line of succession.

* The lieutenant governor could be given the duties of presiding over the state Senate, as was the case before the 1970 constitution. The vice president’s power to do so mostly is a formality. Lyndon Johnson wanted to continue being leader of the U.S. Senate when he went from majority leader to vice president in 1961, but Democratic senators promptly rebuffed that idea. The same thing probably would happen here.

I’m not sure how any of this can be done without amending the state’s Constitution. And that would take a vote in the General Assembly and then another vote by the public in November. I also think that Cohen believes he’s mentally prepared for this hurricane. It’s going to take a lot to get him off the ticket. And in the meantime, the Democrats have a horrendous problem on their hands.

* The Question: What do you think Gov. Quinn should do now?

  77 Comments      


*** UPDATE: HYNES CONCEDES - QUINN TO SPEAK *** And a victory statement from Miller

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE 1 - 10:07 am *** Hynes called Quinn about 25 minutes ago to concede, according to WBBM Radio.

*** UPDATE 2 - 10:16 am *** Hynes is speaking now. He’s conceding. “Let us choose peace.” … “And to the victor goes our compliments, and our support.” … “Illinois needs him to continue as governor.”

* It sounds on the radio as if he is on the verge of tears as he thanks his friends and family for their support.

*** UPDATE 3 - 10:25 am *** NBC5 has live video. CLICK HERE.

Hynes, answering questions from reporters, said he will serve out his term as comptroller. “I don’t see a campaign in my future.”

End. We’re expecting a news conference by Gov. Quinn soon, so stay tuned.

*** UPDATE 4 - 10:29 AM *** From the Quinn campaign…

Governor Pat Quinn will hold a news conference today at 11:30 a.m. in the press room of the Hotel Allegro. At that time, he will have a statement on Comptroller Dan Hynes’ concession this morning and will take questions from reporters.

[*** End of Updates *** ]

* We’ll use this post to live-blog Hynes’ announcement. WBBM Radio says it will be broadcasting it live, so click here and help out with the live-blogging and analysis in comments….

Dan Hynes’ campaign has scheduled a 10 a.m. press conference in Chicago to announce whether he’ll seek a recount against Gov. Pat Quinn.

With final tallies showing Quinn ahead by 8,000 votes, it now appears unlikely Hynes will challenge, though the margin is still well within the 5 percent needed under Illinois law to seek it.

* Meanwhile, as I think I told you yesterday, Raja Krishnamoorthi conceded last night at about 9:30 pm. From an e-mail to supporters…

Thank you for being with me during this incredible journey over the last 10 months.

A little while ago, I called David Miller to congratulate him on becoming the Democratic nominee for Illinois State Comptroller.

This is not the outcome we had hoped for, and we all wish last night and today would have included a victory celebration. Indeed, we came within a whisker of winning.

While I did not finish first in the polls, we did shape the debate on what the office of Comptroller should be - the taxpayers’ watchdog.

Your support during these last 10 months has been incredible and uplifting.

I want to thank all of you for your time, your persistence, your financial support and your belief that we can change the game in Illinois. We can have a government that conducts itself openly and is accountable to you. We didn’t get there with this election, but we pushed the ball forward and will get there someday.

Thank you again for your support and dedication to this effort. I am deeply grateful to have traveled this incredible journey together.

Miller just sent out this press release…

The following statement can be attributed to David Miller, Democratic nominee for Illinois State Comptroller:

The results of this race show we are a diverse party with some very solid ideas on moving Illinois forward.

I commend both Raja and Clint for running great, positive campaigns – they ran for the right reasons. We all share the same heartfelt desire to overcome the challenges before us, and we all seek better transparency and accountability for taxpayers.

Our agreement on these priorities strengthens and unifies us as democrats, and sends a strong message that we are the ones who will get the state back on track.

The people of Illinois have already been through enough, from the budget crisis to a leadership crisis, and the last thing they want to hear is another person calling for terminations.

I am eager to get to work, to restore confidence in our public offices and provide real solutions in managing our state’s finances.

  47 Comments      


Morning Shorts

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Redistricting the right way

If Illinois loses a congressional district because the 2010 census shows declining population, political observers say that U.S. Rep. John Shimkus, a Republican, likely would be the odd man out.

* Activists promise fight for more Great Lakes money

* Foreclosures Hit Wealthier Chicago Neighborhoods

The condo building Catalpa Gardens looks more like something from Miami than the traditional North Side neighborhood of Edgewater. It’s painted red, yellow and blue and towers over everything nearby. But the cheerful colors outside mask financial pain inside.

* Daley: Loop Superstation Still Necessary

Chicago Mayor Richard Daley says the Loop still needs a “superstation” where passengers could catch high speed trains to Midway and O’Hare airports. And he thinks the federal government should pay for it.

* East Chicago Mayor Indicted

* Arbitrator gives CTA go-ahead to cut jobs

While calling the planned layoffs of 1,057 CTA workers “nothing less than a mass execution,” an arbitrator ruled that the job cuts could proceed as planned Sunday.

* City inspector general needs power to do job

Now a plan is being drafted — and likely will be brought before the City Council next week — that the Daley administration hopes will convince Andersen that a federal monitor is no longer necessary, that the bad old days of political patronage are over and that trustworthy systems are in place to make sure it never ever happens again.

Call us cynics, but we have doubts.

* The Second City Unveils Its Ode to Limbaugh

* Kennedy Expressway drivers should brace for delays

The lane reduction will run from Washington south to the ramps that connect drivers to the Eisenhower Expy.

* Superintendent, unions spar over letter-writing

More than 30 people met this evening at AFSCME’s Rockford office, 212 S. First St., to talk about the letters and what progress they’ve made.

* Stark board pleased with new sales tax

* Coles County schools feel sting of sales tax proposal’s defeat at the polls

* Davis spells out high school options at [Decatur] Chamber of Commerce breakfast

Decision4Decatur is Phase II of the High School Task Force’s work to determine what to do about the aging high school buildings. In a process that began a year ago, the task force explored options and narrowed them to four choices: renovate the two buildings; build a new consolidated high school; remodel Stephen Decatur Middle School into a single high school, which would also mean remodeling MacArthur High School into a middle school; or do nothing.

* Carl Hansen, 1926-2010: Former Cook County Board member

* O’Fallon hopes to clean up high-profile eyesore

The city paid $1,000 for the former Clark station at 102 E. State St. with hopes of getting federal stimulus grant money to clean it up, according to City Administrator Walter Denton

* Union County OKs courthouse funds

Voters passed the 1 percent increase in the countywide sales tax rate to support the construction of a new Union County courthouse, but other county tax referendums were voted down, including a 0.25 percent increase for the city of Anna and a 0.65 percent property tax increase for the Lick Creek school district.

* ‘Southern Illinoisan’ Publisher Named Illinois Press Assoc. Exec Director

  13 Comments      


Dillard’s numbers are wrong, AP is right - he trails by 406

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* My interns and at least one commenter found a big problem with Kirk Dillard’s numbers last night. As you already know, Dillard’s campaign claims that the AP results were wrong. Instead of trailing Brady by 406 votes, as the AP has it, they say Dillard actually trails by a much smaller 115 votes. The difference is important because it’s far easier to overcome a 115-vote margin with late absentees, provisionals and a recount than 406.

But as my interns Barton Lorimor and Dan Weber discovered, the Dillard campaign spreadsheet has a big error. They have this total for Vermilion County…

DILLARD 708
BRADY 680

And here is the Dillard campaign total for Danville, which is in Vermilion County, but has its own election board…

DILLARD 708
BRADY 680

Same numbers. Strange. So, the interns checked it out. Here are Vermilion County’s actual numbers from its website…

KIRK W. DILLARD 1212
BILL BRADY 1475

And Danville’s actual numbers

KIRK W. DILLARD 708
BILL BRADY 680

The Dillard campaign inadvertently inputted Danville’s numbers twice. Oops.

OK, so here is the Dillard campaign’s final tally…

BRADY 154,468
DILLARD 154,353

But, because of their Vermilion/Danville error, we have to add 795 votes to Brady and 504 votes to Dillard and you get this total…

BRADY 155,263
DILLARD 154,857

Instead of a 115-vote spread between the two, it’s 406 votes - exactly what the AP has

Brady , Bill 155,263
Dillard , Kirk 154,857

* Meanwhile, Champaign County Clerk Mark Shelden took a shot at guessing the number of returned absentee ballots

I’ve talked with a few people about how many absentees will be returned in time to be counted in the February 16 canvass of votes. I looked at the 2008 primary for some basis. In the 2008 primary [Champaign County] had 86 absentee ballots that were counted after election day. That was out of 209 absentees that were outstanding.

But further breaking that down demonstrates how important it is to know what types of absentees are outstanding. Absentee ballots automatically sent to the military and overseas voters were returned at a 59% rate that election and just 23% of those outstanding on the day of the election ended up showing up in time to be counted.

Ballots that were affirmatively requested by voters were returned at an overall rate of 91% and 60% of those outstanding on election day were returned in time to be counted.

Dividing the absentees that way and applying those rates of return, we can anticipate about 47 absentee ballots being returned and counted on the 16th. I have no idea about the number of provisional ballots.

Using those numbers, comparing it statewide and talking to others, Shelden added this estimate in an e-mail…

I think we’re talking 2-3 thousand statewide.

Considering the overall Tuesday turnout, about half of those will be Republican ballots. Still, Shelden looked at 2008, a presidential year. This year’s voter interest was far lower.

* In other news, the Champaign News-Gazette compared Brady’s numbers to the last time he ran four years ago

Four years ago, in a five-way Republican gubernatorial primary, Brady won only 22 (all downstate) counties. This year he won 79 of them. They certainly weren’t the biggest counties (the greatest number of votes he got in any county was 10,238 in McLean, his home county), but he won a lot of them.

Meanwhile, the six other GOP contenders divvied up the vote in the six-county Chicago area. McKenna was first with 104,863 votes, followed by Jim Ryan (90,870), Kirk Dillard (80,645), Adam Andrzejewski (56,625) and Dan Proft (41,444).

Brady was a distant sixth (23,304), finishing ahead of only Bob Schillerstrom (4,672), who had dropped out of the race two weeks earlier.

And the Trib lays out the recount rules

If a losing margin is within 5 percentage points of the winner’s total, a candidate can demand a “discovery recount.”

In a discovery recount, the losing candidate can petition the clerk’s office to retabulate votes in up to a quarter of the precincts of the candidate’s choice.

If the discovery recount uncovers evidence of missed votes or other problems, the candidate can then opt to ask the Illinois Supreme Court for a full recount, a process Orr said can take months to complete.

* Related…

* Skype a big winner in governor’s race: Around the time he nosed ahead of early leader Andy McKenna and fellow State Sen. Kirk Dillard, NBC-Ch. 5 interviewed Brady live on the air via Skype in a connection that looked more like something viewers are accustomed to seeing from foreign correspondents stationed in war-torn countries overseas.

* Brady has overcome a recount before

* Close primary races show real cost of not voting

* In Republican battle, Dillard not conceding

* GOP governor primary race still a squeaker

  24 Comments      


Here it comes, campers - The Scott Lee Cohen debacle

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Another Illinois political meltdown. This time, it’s about the Democratic nominee for lt. governor, Scott Lee Cohen…

The newly minted Democratic nominee for lieutenant governor said Wednesday he doesn’t think a 2005 domestic battery arrest should hurt him in the fall general election, although records in the case raise questions about his version of events.

Not gonna hurt him, eh? OK. Read on

But the official police and court records show that the woman alleged Cohen put a knife to her throat and pushed her head against the wall.

In their October 14 arrest report detailing the complaint from the 24-year-old woman, Chicago police noted they observed “mild abrasions from knife wound” on her neck. They also noted “minor scars on her hand from her trying to defend herself against the arrestee swinging the knife at her.” The report notes the woman was seen by ambulance personnel but not taken to a hospital. […]

Also, public records show that the alleged victim, Scott’s 24-year-old girlfriend at the time, was a prostitute. Six months before the October 2005 incident, she had been arrested after a police investigation of a Glenview massage parlor. She later pleaded guilty to a charge of prostitution.

That’s just… I dunno… I… Sheesh.

The charges were dropped against Cohen when the woman failed to pursue the case, but this is obviously not a good thing

“It was a difficult time in my life. I was going through a divorce, and I fell in with the wrong crowd,” Cohen said. “I was in a tumultuous relationship with the woman I was dating. We had a fight, but I never touched her.”

Oy.

And Sen. Link was not the only one who tried to warn both Quinn and Hynes

State Sen. Terry Link (D-Vernon Hills), one of the unsuccessful candidates for lieutenant governor, and representatives of the other candidates met a month before the election with representatives of the Quinn and Hynes campaigns to warn them about Cohen, Link said.

“We tried to warn the governor beforehand and they didn’t want to listen to it,” Link said. “He and Dan should have issued a joint statement denouncing this guy.”

And the governor, as usual, dodged responsibility

Asked Wednesday night on WTTW’s “Chicago Tonight” if Cohen should step down from the ticket, Quinn replied, “I think he should come forward and tell us everything about his background. But anything dealing with that has to go through the [Democratic] state central committee. I want to see what Mr. Cohen has to say. I don’t give opinions until I hear all the facts from the person involved.”

Chairman/Speaker Madigan does bear responsibility. He’s the party chairman. But Cohen is the governor’s official running mate. He can’t just hide behind Madigan on this.

…Adding… One of the governor’s people says the guv was talking about the process of appointing a new nominee for lt. governor and not the process of kicking Cohen off the ballot.

  123 Comments      


New and conflicting numbers, an important assignment and the DGA congratulates Quinn on his win

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* 6:43 pm - The AP is now reporting 100 percent of the precincts counted and Bill Brady is leading Kirk Dillard leading by 406 votes…

Illinois - 11215 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 100%
Brady , Bill GOP 155,263 20%
Dillard , Kirk GOP 154,857 20%

But the Dillard campaign claims their own county-by-county tally is different than the AP’s numbers. With all precincts counted, Dillard’s numbers show that he trails Brady by just 115 votes.

What makes this even more intriguing is that the Dillard campaign has the final tally between the two men quite a bit different than the AP. Here are the Dillard totals with the AP numbers in parentheses…

Brady 154,468 (155,263)
Dillard 154,353 (154,857)

And Dillard’s total GOP gubernatorial vote count is different than the AP’s…

AP 765,371
Dillard 764,994

In a normal race, that wouldn’t mean much, but perceptions are hugely important in a situation like this. Dillard needs to make sure people know he’s much more viable than the AP is saying. Considering technological advances, a recount probably won’t produce much of a vote change. But there just might be enough absentees and provisionals out there to overcome that 115-vote difference.

Did the AP double-count something? Did Dillard undercount something? That’s where you come in.

I think what we need to do is download the Dillard campaign’s numbers [use the right-click function to download that thing]. Then, go to the AP’s county-by-county map, scroll over the counties and see what those totals are compared to Dillard’s. Once we have the discrepancies, we can then then go to the individual county/city clerk websites and see who is right.

Is anybody up for this? Lots of work, but could be fascinating to some of you wonkish types.

* Meanwhile, the AP also has Quinn over Hynes by 8,090…

Illinois - 11215 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 100%
Quinn , Pat (i) Dem 460,376 50%
Hynes , Daniel Dem 452,286 50%

That’s a lot of votes to overcome, man.

Gov. Quinn is doing a media availability tonight at 6:55 before he appears on Chicago Tonight. So, we’ll track that.

The Democratic Governors Association just weighed in for Pat Quinn and added a bit of gentle, but not-so-subtle pressure on Dan Hynes to concede…

Democratic Governors Association Chair Gov. Jack Markell issued the following statement after the Illinois gubernatorial primary:

“I want to congratulate Governor Pat Quinn on his victory. During a global recession and difficult political conditions, Gov. Quinn has successfully restored confidence in state government, balanced the budget and fought to create good jobs for Illinois’ working families. He’s taken concrete steps to turn the corner on this recession and has the kind of optimistic vision for the future that will build a 21st century economy instead of taking Illinois back to the failed policies that caused this recession.”

“I also want to congratulate Comptroller Dan Hynes on running a strong race. He should be very proud of his time in public service and we all believe he will continue to build on what is already an impressive record.”

DGA Executive Director Nathan Daschle echoed Governor Markell’s confidence that Democrats will hold the Illinois governorship.

“While the Republicans will likely spend the next several weeks talking to judges and lawyers, we look forward to talking to voters,” Daschle said. “Eventually we’ll learn which one of these Springfield insiders with a 20-percent mandate will try to become governor on a record of fiscal irresponsibility and failed economic policies. Given what their court battles are bound to entail, though, this morning’s Unity Breakfast would have been better billed as a Prayer Breakfast.”

“I also commend our colleagues for making that the world’s shortest “unity” breakfast. It must have been uncomfortable with so many candidates brushing elbows at the head table, and I hope they had enough coffee – though I imagine there was plenty of tea to go around.”

* The AP also has Plummer over Murphy by 4,722…

Lieutenant Governor - GOP Primary
Name Party Votes Vote %
Plummer , Jason GOP 237,646 34%
Murphy , Matt GOP 232,924 33%

And Miller over Krishnamoorthi by 8,328…

Comptroller - Dem Primary
Illinois - 11215 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 100%
Miller , David Dem 392,000 47%
Krishnamoorthi , Raja Dem 383,672 46%

  166 Comments      


This just in… Sundown arrives and no Dillard lead… Franks on Hynes… Rosen claims Quinn “mandate”… 2 months?

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* 5:03 pm - I received the following press release just six minutes before sundown, when Sen. Kirk Dillard had earlier predicted that he would be ahead in the count. He’s still behind, of course…

State Senator Kirk Dillard, Republican candidate for governor, today released the following statement in response to the current status of the Republican gubernatorial race:

“Yesterday was a real testament to the strength and power of our grassroots. Both Senator Brady and I were vastly outspent in this primary, but we are the ones still standing today. The strength of that grassroots support is how Republicans are going to take back the Governor’s seat this November.

But a winner has not been decided yet. Yesterday’s election was really close and the simple fact is that they are still counting the votes. There are hundreds of provisional and absentee ballots left to be counted along with several precincts votes to be reported. We believe every Illinoisan’s voice needs and deserves to be heard. We do not know who won yet and we probably won’t for several more days.

Rumors of a victory are not legitimate when votes are still being counted. I’m confident that when all of the ballots have been counted, I will be the Republican nominee for Governor.”

The “rumors” he’s probably referring to here are Sen. Bill Brady’s claim that he’s still about 430 votes ahead.

The AP count, which hasn’t moved since the last time I told you about it…

Illinois - 11143 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Brady , Bill GOP 155,210 20%
Dillard , Kirk GOP 154,701 20%

* 5:07 pm - Meanwhile, in the other gubernatorial race, we have yet to hear anything out of Dan Hynes, who is still seven thousand or so votes behind Gov. Quinn…

Illinois - 11143 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Quinn , Pat (i) Dem 454,665 50%
Hynes , Daniel Dem 447,235 50%

My intern Dan Weber asked Rep. Jack Franks a few minutes ago what he thinks Dan Hynes should do right now. Franks endorsed Hynes in the primary. Dan also asked Franks why he thought Hynes came up short. Have a look


Last night, my intern Barton Lorimor talked to Quinn campaign finance director David Rosen about the election results. “I think that one person cannot divide the party any longer,” Rosen said. Rosen also called the victory a “mandate,” and said that even a “one-point” win would be a “mandate.” Watch


* 5:18 pm - State GOP Chairman Pat Brady says the back and forth on this Brady/Dillard primary could take quite a while

Republican state senators Kirk Dillard and Bill Brady remained only a few hundred votes apart, with Brady up slightly Tuesday afternoon. That photo finish is threatening a lengthy and costly recount, though neither campaign has said yet they are ready to pull the trigger.

“It could be a couple of months,” said Illinois Republican Party Chairman Pat Brady about a final outcome. “It depends on what happens today. We are not done yet.”

[Comments are now closed on this thread. Go here for a fresh one.]

  26 Comments      


*** UPDATED x5 *** This just in… New numbers

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

[Updated and bumped up for visibility and importance.]

* As of 2:30 pm, Dillard trails Brady by 509 votes…

Illinois - 11142 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Brady , Bill GOP 155,210 20%
Dillard , Kirk GOP 154,701 20%

Hynes is making no headway and is down by 7,430…

Illinois - 11142 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Quinn , Pat (i) Dem 454,665 50%
Hynes , Daniel Dem 447,235 50%

Jason Plummer leads Matt Murphy by 4,976…

Lieutenant Governor - GOP Primary
Illinois - 11142 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Plummer , Jason GOP 237,478 34%
Murphy , Matt GOP 232,502 33%

Miller leads Krishnamoorthi by 6,923…

Comptroller - Dem Primary
Illinois - 11142 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Miller , David Dem 386,641 47%
Krishnamoorthi , Raja Dem 379,718 46%

* UPDATE 1 - 2:44 pm - It appears, but I can’t be totally sure, that the precinct count is done in Cook County and included in those numbers. Dillard isn’t moving up as fast as maybe he thought he would. We still have late absentees and provisionals, however.

* UPDATE 2 - 2:49 pm - Clinton County has finished counting its three outstanding precincts. Brady picked up a net 53 votes - a tiny bit more than I expected. St. Clair County is still reporting one precinct not counted.

* UPDATE 3 - 3:18 pm - From the Cook County Clerk’s office…

All precincts reported in suburban Cook County

Unofficial election results for all precincts in suburban Cook County are now posted on cookcountyclerk.com.

Absentee ballots postmarked by midnight on Feb. 1 will be added to the results if they arrive within two weeks of the election. About 800 provisional ballots will be individually checked and, if validated, added to the tally.

Precinct-level results are coming soon.

* UPDATE 4 - 3:20pm - From a commenter…

The City Board of Elections is now reporting everything no except Chicago ward 4 precinct 37.

From this morning:

Dillard +115
Brady +39

Net for Dillard +73

Brady has reportedly told WLS Radio that all votes are in and he won by about 400 430 votes.

Also from comments…

St Clair only has 199 precincts. Yes I counted. #200 might be a software bucket for early or absentees or whatever.

* UPDATE 5 - 3:47pm - The Dillard campaign was hoping to pick up a net of about 100 votes in uncounted Chicago precincts. They fell just a bit shy. Based on my reading of an internal memo, they also apparently didn’t pick up what they thought they would on Cook County absentees.

They were saying earlier that they thought they were about 218 votes down, but that’s not happening yet, of course.

The more immediate problem for Sen. Dillard right now - and it’s one of perception - is that he claimed this morning that he would be ahead by “sundown” today. Sundown today is at 5:09 pm. That’s an hour and 22 minutes from now.

[This thread is now closed. Go here for a fresh one.]

  64 Comments      


The spinning begins in earnest

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Mark Kirk has released a couple results from a new campaign poll which he says has him thumping Alexi Giannoulias in the US Senate race. From a press release…

Just hours after winning the Republican nomination in a landslide election, five-term Congressman and Navy veteran Mark Kirk today released a new survey showing his campaign out to an early double-digit lead over Democratic nominee Alexi Giannoulias, 47% to 35%.

The survey of 885 Illinois voters, conducted by Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies between February 1-2, 2010 with a 3.3% margin of error, showed Kirk holding a net positive favorable/unfavorable rating of +5% while Giannoulias held a net negative favorable/unfavorable rating -15%.

* An NRCC spokesman trashed Dan Seals…

“The nomination of two-time loser Dan Seals is severe blow to the Democratic establishment’s hopes to running a winning campaign in November. As a Democrat, Seals will still have to defend an unacceptably high unemployment rate, a skyrocketing deficit and an out-of-touch agenda to the voters who’ve rejected his ideas twice before.” – Tom Erickson, NRCC spokesman

* The DCCC slammed Sen. Randy Hultgren…

Republican candidate for Illinois’ 14th Congressional District State Senator Randy Hultgren’s real record of raising taxes stands in stark contrast to his hypocritical pledge to oppose any and all efforts to increase the marginal income tax rates. This hypocrisy was not lost on Hultgren’s primary opponent, Ethan Hastert, when he said in a radio commercial “Senator Randy Hultgren, voted for a massive $31 billion tax increase just last year…Randy Hultgren campaigns like a Springfield politician too.”

“Randy Hultgren’s hypocrisy on pledging to not raise taxes and then voting for a $31 billion dollar tax increase, shows his Springfield political tendencies of talking out of both sides of his mouth,” said Gabby Adler, Midwestern Regional Press Secretary at the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. “In these tough economic times, Illinois families need an honest Representative whose priority is helping middle class families and creating jobs, and State Senator Randy Hultgren simply does not meet this standard.”

* The DCCC also went after Bob Dold…

Republican candidate Robert Dold, who is running against Dan Seals in the 10th Congressional District of Illinois, not only wants to privatize Social Security, he wants to raise the retirement age – taking away critical benefits from Americans of all ages that they have rightly earned and deserve. Just as Washington Republicans are dusting off old failed plans from the past to privatize Social Security, Robert Dold seems to be fitting right in with these Washington Republicans who have time and again attempted to dismantle Social Security.

“Illinois families simply cannot afford to let Robert Dold take us back to the failed policies of George W. Bush that would privatize Social Security and cheat seniors who have worked hard and played by the rules out of the retirement benefits they earned,” said Gabby Adler, Midwestern Regional Press Secretary at the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. “It is only Day One of this campaign, and Robert Dold is already mimicking the very Washington Republicans who shamefully want to jeopardize Social Security when so many Americans are still reeling from their investment losses of the past two years.”

* As I told you earlier, the NRSC has a new YouTube vid slamming Giannoulias. The DSCC issued a press release…

CONGRESSMAN MARK KIRK TO KICK-OFF GENERAL ELECTION CAMPAIGN WITH FELLOW WASHINGTON INSIDER AND MEGA LOBBYIST HALEY BARBOUR

Kirk’s First Move After Winning Primary Is To Stand Shoulder To Shoulder With Embodiment Of GOP Establishment And Special Interests

Republican “Unity” Event To Feature Same Players That Got Country Into Economic Mess In First Place

Today, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee is on the offensive against Republican Senate nominee Mark Kirk for kicking off his general election campaign with fellow Washington insider and Mexico lobbyist Haley Barbour. The Republican “Unity” event comes less than 24 hours after Congressman Kirk won the Republican nomination. Now, instead of reaching out to voters he will need to win over in November, Kirk has decided to make a statement about his candidacy by instead, standing shoulder to shoulder with Barbour, who is the embodiment of the GOP establishment and of special interests, having served as Chairman of the RNC and a mega lobbyist in DC.

“Congressman Mark Kirk made a bold statement today about his general election campaign by holding his first post-primary event with a politician whose resume as a Washington insider rivals his own,” said DSCC National Press Secretary Deirdre Murphy. “Instead of reaching out to independent voters, Kirk has decided to kick-off his campaign by standing shoulder to shoulder with fellow Washington insider and establishment Republican Haley Barbour. As if they needed a reminder, this event just shows that Illinois voters will face a stark contrast this November between a candidate who wants to take the state forward and one who wants to take the state backwards.”

Are you feeling all nice and clean? Me neither.

  39 Comments      


Undervoting and a big campaign roundup

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The uproar over the new “undervote” law was partially justified, particularly in areas that didn’t have electronic notification

In many counties, the machines will not only reject the ballots, they’ll beep.

Voters then must take the ballot to an election judge, who will ask the voters if they intentionally left part of the ballot blank. If not, they’ll be allowed to vote in those races. If so, the ballot will be approved. […]

Even in counties where machines don’t beep, voters with rejected ballots will have to approach an election judge, show their ballot and ask for help, said Schultz.

State Board of Elections Director Daniel White said election judges are required to protect the integrity and the secrecy of the voting process and doubts there will be serious problems.

“There’s no reason for them to be staring at the ballots,” White said.

They shouldn’t even be looking at ballots, let alone starting at them.

But, despite the Rockford Register Star’s paranoia, there is a good reason for the law

We’re supposed to have a secret ballot, but when we decided not to vote in a particular race it was no secret to those assembled at our polling places. Election judges were required to ask if we really wanted to leave a race blank. They had enough to do without that extra chore.

People accidentally skip races. The way my paper ballot was laid out yesterday, that would’ve been easy to do.

I first encountered this undervote warning several years ago in Chicago. The card reader wouldn’t accept my ballot and it caused some consternation with the polling judges.

I always undervote. I never vote for unopposed candidates, for instance, and I often skip over judicial retentions. I undervoted yesterday in Springfield and a little light went off alerting me, and all I had to do was push that button and I was done. No biggie. So, it’s probably not a huge deal for many of us

A first-time law aimed at catching ballot errors took effect with Tuesday’s election. It calls for voters to be notified of an “undervote,” that is, if they did not vote in races for statewide constitutional office. If they choose, they can go back and vote in that race. Most did not.

“No. There’s no complaints,” said election judge Mike Chiras after handling Tazewell County voters like Long at the Methodist church. “They know what they want to do.”

“No. There’s been no problem with that,” agreed Harold Dikeman, who was serving as an election judge for Knox County in Yates City. “I know everybody was worried about that.”

Concerns were raised that the 2007 law might create more confusion, not to mention more expense to upgrade voting machines. A couple of state legislators hope to overturn it, and even some sponsors have called for more review.

However, this would not be a good thing, if true. From Illinois Review

One frustrated voter from Aurora spoke to IR today, telling the story of purposefully under-voting because they didn’t know enough about certain candidates and offices. By the time their ballot was submitted, several poll workers had reviewed it - one even asking them why they weren’t filling it all out and pointing to the specific offices this person had purposefully not voted in!

That voter should’ve called the authorities. I hope IR suggested it. I would’ve.

Do you deliberately undervote?

* Here’s your campaign roundup…

* Todd Stroger Talks Race Relations in Concession Speech

* Keats Says He Shouldn’t Be Written Off

* Keats Gets GOP Nod For Cook County Board President

* Berrios Wins Cook County Assessor Primary

* Cronin sails to victory in DuPage chairman race

* Cronin wins DuPage Co. Board chair race

* Dold, Seals declare victory on North Shore while Hastert’s son loses congressional bid

* Hultgreen defeats Hastert in 14th race

* Hultgren defeats Hastert in 14th Congresional Dist. race

* Kinzinger wins in the 11th, will take on Halvorson

* Seals holds slender lead over Hamos in 10th race

* Dold, Seals will face off in 10th District

* Coulson loses to Dold in 10th Congressional; Hamos trails Seals

* Walsh to face Bean in 8th District

* Hirner leading in 18th Congressional race

* Shimkus wins GOP primary in 19th Congressional District

* Newman leading in 12th Congressional District

* Burke barely holding off Lozano

* Burke in tight legislative race in Chicago

* Bassi loses to Morrison in 54th House District GOP primary

* Higgins defeats Forte-Scott in 56th House GOP race

* Sente tops Hartstein in House District 59

* Winters, Wilson win 68th District races

* Voters say no to New Trier referendum

* Carol Stream voters backing rec center plan

* Clark County voters approve half-cent sales tax to finance new courthouse

* Stark County voters OK safety sales tax

* Property tax hike OK’d for new Brimfield high school

* Wind farms: Voters seek slowdown on permits

* Officials: Ill. voter turnout lower than past

* Primary voter turnout ‘extremely disappointing’

* Voter turnout disappointing

* Election 2010: Boone’s 19.95 percent turnout is best in area

* Election judge booted from precinct for bad behavior

* How much does a campaign cost?

* Primary’s over; time to move it to a reasonable date

  20 Comments      


*** UPDATED x2 - Obama calls Hynes *** Obama not so subtly weighs in

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE 1 *** Dan Hynes’ campaign manager just said Obama called Hynes as well and didn’t ask Hynes to concede.

*** UPDATE 2 *** From Hynes spokesman Matt McGrath…

While I would never pretend to speak for the President, it was a warm call, wherein he indicated that he understood our position that every vote should be counted.

[ *** End of Updates *** ]

* President Obama tried to force Dan Hynes’ hand today. No luck yet, though

President Barack Obama called Gov. Pat Quinn to congratulate him on his win in the Democratic primary, even though back in Illinois opponent Dan Hynes has not conceded yet.

News of the phone call, which came at a White House press briefing, puts added pressure on Hynes, who is mulling his options as he trails Quinn by about 7,100 votes. […]

In the Democratic governor’s contest, Hynes is staying out of the public eye so far today.

“We are still in the same posture as last night, taking a look this morning at where things stand,” Hynes spokesman Matt McGrath said. “We’re not prepared to declare victory or concede until all the votes are counted.”

* Mayor Daley called for unity, but wouldn’t say whether Hynes should concede

“I lost an election to Harold Washington in 1983, and the next day I had breakfast with Harold, and I supported him. Just like a basketball or football game, it’s over with, then you support the individual” he said.

But Daley refused to say that Comptroller Dan Hynes should concede to Gov. Pat Quinn and help strengthen the Democratic push to hold onto the governor’s mansion.
“I don’t know. It’s real close,” the mayor said. “I don’t know all the — I haven’t seen the end result.”

* More from Hynes

“I don’t really want to get into the campaign’s mood, other than tired after a long night,” said Hynes spokesman Matt McGrath. “For the time being, we are waiting for every vote to be counted, and that will be our posture for the foreseeable future.”

Thom Serafin, a Chicago political strategist who has advised both Republicans and Democrats in the past, said the feeling on the ground is that Quinn will probably narrowly escape with a win, but that Hynes could mount a recount.

“Dan Hynes has a determination to make on proceeding with any kind of discovery,” he said. “He probably should do it with how close it is.”

* The latest results as of 1:46 pm…

llinois - 11118 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Quinn , Pat (i) Dem 451,871 50%
Hynes , Daniel Dem 444,779 50%

* What’s left to count in Cook County

There’s also about 800 provisional ballots that need to be verified and at least 1,000 absentee ballots to be counted. The absentee ballots had to be postmarked Monday, but have two weeks to arrive at county offices.

Around 7,000 total absentee ballots were sent out, and about 3,700 already have been counted.

  22 Comments      


GOP Unity Breakfast videos - And the NRSC goes after Giannoulias

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Sen. Bill Brady talks to the press as he arrives at the Illinois Republican Unity Breakfast this morning. Brady said he considers Illinois be to a “center right” state


* Sen. Kirk Dillard speaks to reporters about the margin of the race. He predicted “by sundown today, I’ll be in the lead”


* Senate GOP Leader Christine Radogno talks to my intern Barton Lorimor about the results


Chew on these for now, and I’ll upload more in a bit.

* The NRSC releases a YouTube video claiming that Alexi Giannoulias “would make Tony Soprano proud.” Watch it


* OK, back to the breakfast. Jim Ryan supporter Joe Birkett talks to reporters


* More vids from this morning…

* Mark Kirk’s address to the IL GOP Unity Breakfast

* Sen. Brady addresses the IL GOP Unity Breakfas

* Sen. Dillard addresses the IL GOP Unity Breakfast

  30 Comments      


Breaking campaign news open thread

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* 7:30 am - I’ve been up all night working, so I’m gonna take a nap. I have session this afternoon and I definitely need some rest.

I’ll post more stories later. But if big news breaks - somebody concedes, or final counts come in, or the like - please post it here and discuss it in comments. Thanks.

…By the way, I just checked the site stats, and yesterday’s traffic was higher than any day since Rod Blagojevich’s arrest. Wow.

[This thread is now closed.]

  162 Comments      


Question of the day

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Why do you think some of your primary predictions didn’t match up with reality yesterday? Be honest, please.

  70 Comments      


We will not be shoehorned

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* A good friend sent me an e-mail last night with the subject line: “A message to the national media”…

Go ahead and try to decipher those election non-results and fit them into your nice little MSM political puzzle.

Heh. Scott Brown redux it wasn’t, that’s for sure.

Let’s see, now…

The flawed incumbent governor won a hard-fought primary with gigantic piles of cash from SEIU (horrors) and old guard party leaders. A conservative gubernatorial candidate with no real ties to the “Tea Party” types is essentially tied with the candidate of the true GOP old guard. A moderate Republican tied his conservative tea party enemies in knots and easily won the US Senate primary, and his Democratic opponent defeated a noted “reformer” backed to the hilt by angry newspaper editorial boards - and his chief of staff won the treasurer’s primary with slating from party regulars. A ten-year state Rep. defeated an insurgent “new politician” in the Democratic comptroller’s race. A longtime office-holder won the Republican comptroller’s race. And a pawnbroker with a past won the Democratic lt. governor’s race…

Scott Lee Cohen, a pawn broker and cleaning supply distributor, appeared to be edging out state Rep. Art Turner for the Democratic nomination. Cohen had 26 percent of the vote to Turner’s 22 percent, with 97 percent counted.

Cohen, a little-known candidate who financed much of the campaign with his own fortune, will have to answer questions during the general election race as more is learned about him. He was charged with a 2005 misdemeanor domestic battery charge.
He was accused of beating a woman, but the case was dropped a month later when she refused to show up in court to pursue the charges.

Hmmm. How about Jason Plummer? He’s certainly a fresh face, but he got the lt. guv nomination after spending a ton of his family’s money on a mostly non-ideological campaign.

Ethan Hastert’s loss to Sen. Randy Hultgren? Maybe. But was it “insider vs. outsider” or just “the kid ain’t his old man”?

Bob Dold over Beth Coulson in the 10th CD Republican primary? Dold was a mainstream conservative who touted his endorsement by Sen. Dick Lugar. Dick Green was the candidate who really tried to reach out to the “tea party” types.

Adam Kinzinger in the 11th CD? Great, young politician. Will get a lot of help from DC. But his primary opposition wasn’t much to crow about, and he’s basically a hand-picked DC candidate, so I’m not sure you can say he’s a total outsider.

Toni Preckwinkle probably comes closest, but she’s a black, liberal, wonkish Democrat. That’s not exactly the meme being developed by the DC crowd these days.

The Tribune ecstatically congratulated voters for listening to its constant rants and ousting Todd Stroger (as if that was in any danger of not happening). It didn’t mention all those other big losses, though, except for a petulant broadside against Giannoulias which began with an out-of-context quote from the preznit.

Can you think of an appropriate meme for this primary election? Snark heavily encouraged.

  47 Comments      


How close is Brady/Dillard? Very

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* In case you missed it last night, Bill Brady is leading Kirk Dillard by just 503 votes with 97 precincts to count…

Governor - GOP Primary
Illinois - 11118 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Brady , Bill GOP 154,646 20%
Dillard , Kirk GOP 154,143 20%

Nate Silver at 538 takes a look at the numbers

If I project out the remaining Cook County precincts based on the previous ones, I show Dillard picking up another 800 votes and Brady another 225. That would make the statewide margin Dillard 154,876, and Brady 154,877 — an advantage of literally one vote for Brady.

Silver didn’t include results from three Downstate precincts, where I give Brady about a 36-40 vote net advantage, plus things like provisional ballots, absentee ballots, etc. But this race is certainly close. Very close. It’s going to a recount for sure.

He’s totally right about the Quinn/Hynes race, though…

In the Democratic gubernatorial primary, incumbent Pat Quinn is performing slightly better than his statewide numbers in Cook County and it looks like his ~7,000-vote advantage over Dan Hynes will expand rather than contract. There might be a recount but unless there are mass irregularities or whole stashes of ballots that haven’t been counted yet, it is unlikely to change the outcome.

It’s over. Hynes should bow out. The same goes for Raja Krishnamoorthi…

Comptroller - Dem Primary
Illinois - 11118 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Miller , David Dem 383,895 47%
Krishnamoorthi , Raja Dem 377,717 46%
Krislov , Clint Dem 62,729 8%

And Matt Murphy…

Lieutenant Governor - GOP Primary
Illinois - 11118 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Plummer , Jason GOP 236,445 34%
Murphy , Matt GOP 231,469 33%

…Adding… Jason Plummer isn’t waiting on Sen. Murphy to concede and has gone ahead and declared victory. From a press release…

Jason Plummer, Republican candidate for Lt. Governor declared victory this morning. With 99percent of all Illinois precincts reporting, Plummer leads his closest opponent by nearly 5000 votes. “Late last night, I accepted the congratulation of three of my opponents, this morning as the Republican Party’s Lt. Governor nominee, I look forward to out ticket coming together and beginning the work of creating a new brand of leadership in Springfield.” Plummer said.

Plummer and some of his supporters will attend the Republican Party Unity Breakfast this morning at the Union League Club in Chicago.

We’ll have video from that unity breakfast later today.

* So, what happens next? The AP fills us in

Right now, the results are unofficial. Election authorities will count late-arriving absentee ballots, randomly check some of the results, inspect voting equipment and then declare official winners.

That takes two weeks. Then the losing candidates might decide to seek a recount.

Unlike some states, Illinois doesn’t automatically conduct recounts in close races. Officials say the candidates have to go to court and ask for one.

They also have to pay for the recount.

  29 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

  Comments Off      


Live-blogging the results, Part 5 - It ain’t over ’til it’s over, unless you’re David Orr

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* 1:36 am - New numbers in the GOP governor’s race…

Governor - GOP Primary
Illinois - 11091 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Brady , Bill GOP 154,622 20%
Dillard , Kirk GOP 154,076 20%

546-vote margin. Dillard made up about 900 votes since the last tabulation. I think that was from the uncounted (by AP) votes in Lake County. Dillard is outpolling Brady 3-1 in the city and almost 4-1 in suburban Cook.

* The Tribune wasted no time in going after Scott Lee Cohen

Scott Lee Cohen, a pawn broker and cleaning supply distributor, appeared to be edging out state Rep. Art Turner for the Democratic nomination [for lt. governor]. Cohen had 26 percent of the vote to Turner’s 22 percent, with 97 percent counted.

Cohen, a little-known candidate who financed much of the campaign with his own fortune, will have to answer questions during the general election race as more is learned about him. He was charged with a 2005 misdemeanor domestic battery charge.
He was accused of beating a woman, but the case was dropped a month later when she refused to show up in court to pursue the charges.

* As I told you earlier, Raja Krishnamoorthi refused to concede. But there’s little chance of overturning this one…

Comptroller - Dem Primary
Illinois - 11097 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Miller , David Dem 382,850 47%
Krishnamoorthi , Raja Dem 376,897 46%

That’s almost 6,000 votes. In the age of electronic balloting, that’s gonna be pretty darned tough, if not impossible to overturn. Here’s Rep. David Miller’s speech


* 1:49 am - New numbers

Governor - GOP Primary
Illinois - 11097 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Brady , Bill GOP 154,629 20%
Dillard , Kirk GOP 154,119 20%

510 votes. That’s a 36-vote pickup in the six precincts counted since the last update - 6 votes per precinct. If that trend holds, Dillard picks up a net 708 votes - meaning he has the potential of winning by 198 votes. LOL. Recount city, baby.

There are 117 GOP precincts still to be counted in suburban Cook and Chicago. Only one other precinct remains unaccounted for. I’m not sure where that one is, or maybe AP and I have different numbers for Cook/Chicago.

* Clinton County hasn’t yet counted 3 precincts. Brady is doing very well there, and if current trends hold, he picks up about 35 or 36 net votes.

* St. Clair County hasn’t yet counted one precinct. Based on current trends, that’s a couple/three votes net for Brady.

* 2:11 am - New numbers…

Illinois - 11118 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Brady , Bill GOP 154,646 20%
Dillard , Kirk GOP 154,143 20%

503-vote margin. That’s only a seven-vote pickup, even though 21 precincts were counted. Not many Republicans in those precincts. Somebody on the Brady team might want to call Clinton and St. Clair counties and see if they can finish counting tonight, but he may not need it. Fun.

* 2:24 am - David Orr has suspended tallying. From a press release…

To allow for public viewing, tallying of results for suburban Cook County will resume on Wednesday, Feb. 3, at the Clerk’s election warehouse, 4545 W. Cermak, Chicago.

Counting of the remaining 24 of 1,937 precincts will begin at 9 a.m. All are welcome.

Unofficial suburban Cook County election results, suspended at 98.76 percent of precincts reporting, are available at cookcountyclerk.com.

That really sucks.

* I just got an e-mail from the Jim Ryan campaign…

ELECTION DAY:
Help Us Send 100,000 E-Yard Signs Today!
It’s Primary Election Day — and today the Illinois Republican voters will take a first step toward restoring honest, ethical authentic leadership to Springfield.
I would be honored to have your vote — and need your help to get our voters to the polls today.

That explains some things.

* Well, since Cook, Chicago, St. Clair and Clinton counties have all suspended counting, it’s time to end the blog portion of our program.

  45 Comments      


Live-blogging the results, Part 4

Tuesday, Feb 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* 10:53 pm - OK, let’s start a new thread. We’re now at 97 percent of the vote counted…

Brady , Bill GOP 151,477 21%
Dillard , Kirk GOP 149,313 20%

And…

Quinn , Pat (i) Dem 430,328 50%
Hynes , Daniel Dem 425,129 50%

And…

Plummer , Jason GOP 229,685 34%
Murphy , Matt GOP 222,540 33%

And…

Krishnamoorthi , Raja Dem 362,465 46%
Miller , David Dem 361,770 46%

* 10:56 pm - With just 3 precincts to count, Seals is ahead by 658 votes. That’s pretty much impossible to overcome…

Seals , Daniel Dem 22,325 48%
Hamos , Julie Dem 21,667 47%

* 11:10 pm - Andy McKenna just basically said the race is too close to call. No concession.

* 11:38 pm - Reporters have been told that Gov. Quinn will come downstairs in about 10 minutes. It won’t be to concede, I guarantee you that. lol

* 11:46 pm - At the moment, it appears the AP is undercounting Andy McKenna’s numbers in Lake County by about 3,500. They’re undercounting Dillard by 1,401 votes. They’re undercounting Brady by 504. That’s a 900-vote pickup for Dillard. With about 7900 GOP votes not counted in Cook County and Chicago and about 1,000 votes not counted in Downstate, who the heck knows what could happen now?

* 11:58 pm - Hynes is about to speak.

Hynes - “We are going to continue fighting.” … “This is a close race. A very, very close race.” … “About half have voted for me and half have voted for him.” … “But if democracy means anything, it means we need to count all the votes. All of them.” … “There are thousands of ballots that haven’t been counted. And whatever the outcome, it’s important for Illinois to get this right. So we say, ‘Hang in there, hold on tight.” … “Let’s just keep fighting until tomorrow.”

Wow. I just don’t see how he can come from as far back as he is. We’ll see what his people say.

* As far as Dillard goes, it looks - to my tired eyes - like he is losing by about .16 votes per precinct overall. That’s closer than the Thompson-Stevenson race. Recount for sure there.

* 12:08 pm - Here comes Gov. Quinn.

“The time for fighting is over. The people have won and we have won this election!” … “It was a close election, but one more than the other guy is a landslide in my book.” … “I think it’s important to understand that the primary is over.” … “When the winning candidate emerges from the primary, we unite behind that candidate for the cause of Illinois.” … “All of us together, we have to make the will of the people the law of the land.”

* 12:26 pm - We’re now at 99 percent

Quinn , Pat (i) Dem 442,543 50%
Hynes , Daniel Dem 437,161 50%

Brady , Bill GOP 153,967 21%
Dillard , Kirk GOP 152,491 20%

Plummer , Jason GOP 234,301 34%
Murphy , Matt GOP 227,279 33%

Miller , David Dem 374,855 46%
Krishnamoorthi , Raja Dem 371,301 46%

* 12:27 am - Kirk Dillard is speaking

“In just a few more hours, we feel confident that the race will be called for us.” … “Breaking reports show that we are within less than a thousand votes of victory.” … “I am confident that when the votes are counted, we will win now and we will win in Novemer.” “If the trend continues on how they will carry those precincts, then I will be your nominee…”

* 12:35 am - So, I missed most of Brady’s speech. Anybody catch it?

* The GOP “Unity Breakfast” in the morning ought to be fun.

* Burt Odelson is on ABC7 now. The election lawyer represents the Quinn campaign. He suggests this could take 30-45 days.

* Hynes campaign manager Mike Rendina talked to ABC7 - They’re going to look at results to see if the margin closes. Not talking about recounts just yet.

* 12:53 am - From a press release

The following is a statement by Raja Krishnamoorthi, candidate for Illinois Comptroller.

“First of all, I would like to thank the hundreds of thousands of voters who chose to give Illinois a more open, transparent and accountable state government. Until every vote is counted fully, accurately and completely, this race is not over.”

Results in that race so far…

Comptroller - Dem Primary
Illinois - 11056 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Miller , David Dem 375,661 46%
Krishnamoorthi , Raja Dem 372,552 46%
Krislov , Clint Dem 61,590 8%

  220 Comments      


Live-blogging the results, Part 3

Tuesday, Feb 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* 9:42 pm - With 82 percent reporting, we’ve got a “wow” situation developing…

Brady , Bill GOP 118,349 20%
Dillard , Kirk GOP 114,717 20%
McKenna , Andy GOP 113,832 20%

With 83 percent in, GOP lt. guv candidate Jason Plummer is making his move…

Plummer , Jason GOP 182,218 34%
Murphy , Matt GOP 178,231 33%

Downstate is really hurting both McKenna and his running mate Murphy.

Democrat David Miller is holding a few thousand-vote lead over Raja Krishnamoorthi in the Democratic comptroller’s race. Scott Lee Cohen has a commanding 20,000-vote lead over Art Turner for Dem lt. guv. Oh, man, there’s gonna be trouble.

And Gov. Quinn is holding steady with his 2-point edge over Dan Hynes. Not looking good for the challenger there.

* 9:46 pm - 86 percent…

Brady , Bill GOP 124,437 20%
Dillard , Kirk GOP 123,183 20%
McKenna , Andy GOP 121,560 20%

Half of DuPage is still not counted, so keep that in mind. Murphy and the DuPage guv candidates could make a run there. And 160 Cook County precincts have yet to be counted.

Could be a long night.

* 9:54 pm - David Hoffman has conceded the Democratic US Senate race.

* 9:56 pm - DuPage’s numbers have just jumped up to 86.5 percent counted, so we’ll have a readjust soon.

* Quinn and Hynes are now within 6,000 votes or so with 87 percent counted…

Quinn , Pat (i) Dem 393,369 50%
Hynes , Daniel Dem 387,044 50%

90 percent counted and Dillard moves up…

Dillard , Kirk GOP 134,790 20%
Brady , Bill GOP 132,038 20%
McKenna , Andy GOP 130,189 19%

91 percent

Quinn , Pat (i) Dem 407,908 50%
Hynes , Daniel Dem 401,439 50%

* I didn’t notice this earlier, but AP has an interactive map of the results as they come in and which counties have not yet reported full results. Click here.

* 93 percent…

Dillard , Kirk GOP 139,977 20%
Brady , Bill GOP 137,843 20%
McKenna , Andy GOP 133,739 19%

93 percent

Quinn , Pat (i) Dem 412,092 50%
Hynes , Daniel Dem 406,811 50%

* 10:13 pm - With 99 percent of the vote counted, Dan Seals leads Julie Hamos in the 10th CD Dem primary by 662 votes.

* Ethan Hastert has conceded to Sen. Randy Hultgren in the 14th CD Republican primary. Big upset there, man.

* 10:15 pm - 93 percent counted

Plummer , Jason GOP 216,071 34%
Murphy , Matt GOP 212,554 33%

93

Miller , David Dem 351,126 46%
Krishnamoorthi , Raja Dem 350,874 46%

* 10:22 pm - State Sen. Dan Cronin won big in the DuPage County Board Chairman’s race. With 96.5 percent of the votes counted…

Dan Cronin R 40980 47.92%
Debra L. Olson R 23643 27.65%
Gary Grasso R 10756 12.58%
Carole Pankau R 10140 11.86%

* 10:24 pm - 94 percent…

Quinn , Pat (i) Dem 417,494 50%
Hynes , Daniel Dem 412,040 50%

94

Dillard , Kirk GOP 142,748 20%
Brady , Bill GOP 139,809 20%
McKenna , Andy GOP 135,987 19%

94

Plummer , Jason GOP 219,107 34%
Murphy , Matt GOP 215,988 34%

94

Krishnamoorthi , Raja Dem 354,202 46%
Miller , David Dem 352,763 46%

* 95 percent reporting…

Dillard , Kirk GOP 144,434 20%
Brady , Bill GOP 143,774 20%

* 10:35 pm - Jim Ryan has conceded and said he thinks Sen. Dillard will “probably” win the race.

* 10:39 pm - Champaign County is finally reporting most of its results and Bill Brady leads Dillard in that county by 3,000 or so votes. We’ll get a reset in the AP numbers soon. However, the Dillard people point to the uncounted votes in Cook and DuPage as what will put them over the top.

* 10:45 pm - There are 416 precincts still to be counted in the Democratic gubernatorial race and Dan Hynes trails Gov. Pat Quinn by 5,154 votes. So, Hynes needs to win every precinct by an average of 12.39 votes to come even. Just a little math to show you how tough this is for him right now.

* Here’s that reset I mentioned above. 96 percent counted…

Brady , Bill GOP 149,985 20%
Dillard , Kirk GOP 148,720 20%

  93 Comments      


Live-blogging the results, Part 2

Tuesday, Feb 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* 8:39 pm - OK, let’s cut through some of the clutter and look at a few interesting races.

In the 10th CD GOP race, Bob Dold has a huge lead over state Rep. Beth Coulson, 38-29, with 66 percent of the vote counted. And third-time Democratic candidate Dan Seals is leading state Rep. Julie Hamos 49-45.

Toni Preckwinkle has the Cook County Board President’s race wrapped up. She’s got 48 percent of the vote with 70 percent counted.

Dan Hynes better hope he has a ton of support downstate and in the suburbs because the Chicago and Cook County results really hurt him. With 41 percent of the vote counted, Gov. Quinn leads Hynes 53-27 (about 23,000 votes).

Andy McKenna is leading on the GOP side with 40 percent counted…

McKenna , Andy GOP 48,941 24%
Dillard , Kirk GOP 39,877 19%
Ryan , Jim GOP 37,641 18%
Andrzejewski , Adam GOP 30,430 15%
Brady , Bill GOP 27,770 14%

As Downstate votes are being counted, Scott Lee Cohen has moved up in the Democratic lt. guv race. This is with 36 percent counted…

Turner , Arthur L. Dem 89,812 25%
Cohen , Scott Dem 89,207 25%

Sen. Matt Murphy has a 12-point lead over Jason Plummer, but Plummer has been closing a bit. Democrat David Miller leads Raja Krishnamoorthi in the comptroller’s race, but only by a bit…

Miller , David Dem 171,364 47%
Krishnamoorthi , Raja Dem 168,153 46%

Robin Kelly has a big 58-42 lead on Justin Oberman in the Democratic treasurer’s race.

What else are you seeing?

…Adding… Former Senate Democratic staffer Elgie Sims is losing badly to incumbent Cook County Commissioner Bill Beavers. Beavers leads with 20,234 votes to Sims’ 16,354 with about 80 percent of the vote counted. I can’t see how he makes up those votes.

*** 8:54 pm *** Hamos is closing fast…

U.S. House - District 10 - Dem Primary
Illinois - 447 of 511 Precincts Reporting - 87%
Seals , Daniel 19,490 48%
Hamos , Julie 18,854 47%

Dillard is also closing

McKenna , Andy 79,503 22%
Dillard , Kirk 70,316 20%
Ryan , Jim 62,371 17%
Brady , Bill 59,788 17%

* 9:04 pm - Rep. John Fritchey won by a huge margin in the 12th county board district…

John A. Fritchey 17,418 75.52%
Ted Matlak 5,645 24.48%

* 9:06 pm - Hynes is closing a bit with 64 percent counted

Quinn , Pat 324,542 51%
Hynes , Daniel 306,741 49%

So is Dillard

McKenna , Andy 92,141 21%
Dillard , Kirk 85,304 20%

As Downstate votes come in, Scott Lee Cohen is pulling away. He’s ahead of Rep. Art Turner 26-23. David Miller and Raja Krishnamoorthi are just 5400 votes apart (Raja leads).

* 9:18 pm - Close, but McKenna is still holding on…

McKenna , Andy 96,190 21%
Dillard , Kirk 91,546 20%
Brady , Bill 90,785 19%

* Plummer is closing fast

Lieutenant Governor - GOP Primary
Illinois - 7958 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 71%
Murphy , Matt GOP 148,855 34%
Plummer , Jason GOP 144,772 33%

* My interns are in Chicago. Barton is with the Quinn campaign and filed this little crowd-shot video


Dan is at the Hynes campaign party


* Dillard is pulling closer to McKenna. He’s now just 2700 votes behind with 77 percent counted. Percentage-wise, they’re tied at 20. Also, Bill Brady is just a few hundred votes behind Dillard. He’s also at 20 percent.

Sen. Matt Murphy’s lead is now just 5,000 votes, with 77 percent counted.

* Rep. Beth Coulson has conceded in the 10th GOP CD race.

* 9:34 pm - Rep. David Miller has moved ahead of Raja Krishnamoorthi in the comptroller’s race with 80 percent counted…

Miller , David 315,102 47%
Krishnamoorthi , Raja 311,536 46%

With 80 percent of the vote counted, Hynes has not budged the margin…

Quinn , Pat 373,194 51%
Hynes , Daniel 362,810 49%

Alexi Giannoulias is maintaining a 5-point lead over David Hoffman (39-34).

Plummer pulls ahead with 81 percent counted…

Plummer , Jason 174,356 34%
Murphy , Matt 173,569 34%

* Huge upset in the making in the 14th Congressional District primary…

U.S. House - District 14 - GOP Primary
Illinois - 431 of 578 Precincts Reporting - 75%
Hultgren , Randy GOP 26,256 54%
Hastert , Ethan GOP 22,739 46%

  56 Comments      


Protected: *** UPDATED xSEVERAL *** SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Early results

Tuesday, Feb 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Live-blogging the results, Part 1

Tuesday, Feb 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* If you want to watch TV news feeds or watch the various live-blogging from other sources, click here. Let’s use this post to blog the results ourselves.

So far, we got almost nothing. Langdon Neal’s optimism from earlier today didn’t pan out too well. Turnout wasn’t good in Chicago

“It was a very quiet day from start to finish,” said Langdon Neal, chairman of the Chicago Board of Election Commissioners.

* Chicago Board of Elections’ website says city turnout was just 21.3 percent. [Board of Elections changed its result on that one, so I did, too.]

* 7:51 pm - From Chicago….

DEM - Governor
1805 out of 2573 precincts (70.15 %)

Pat Quinn 124,235 54.28 %
Daniel W. Hynes 104,627 45.72 %

DEM - U.S. Senator
1805 out of 2573 precincts (70.15 %)

Robert Marshall 11,072 4.86 %
David Hoffman 69,245 30.38 %
Jacob J. Meister 3,130 1.37 %
Alexander ‘’Alexi'’ Giannoulias 82,403 36.16 %
Cheryle Jackson 62,058 27.23 %

DEM - Lieutenant Governor
1805 out of 2573 precincts (70.15 %)

Arthur L. Turner 57,590 27.57 %
Terry Link 16,662 7.98 %
Rickey R. Hendon 43,158 20.66 %
Scott Lee Cohen 46,800 22.40 %
Thomas Michael Castillo 26,420 12.65 %
Mike Boland 18,273 8.75 %

DEM - Comptroller
1805 out of 2573 precincts (70.15 %)

David E. Miller 106,381 49.89 %
S. Raja Krishnamoorthi 92,050 43.17 %
Clinton A. ‘’Clint'’ Krislov 14,794 6.94 %


DEM - Treasurer

1805 out of 2573 precincts (70.15 %)

Justin P. Oberman 83,023 40.88 %
Robin Kelly 120,061 59.12 %

* 7:56 pm - These are all results available at the moment, both city and county…

Cook County Board President
Illinois - 2149 of 4510 Precincts Reporting - 48%
Name Party Votes Vote %
Preckwinkle , Toni Dem 123,388 47%
O’Brien , Terrence Dem 60,330 23%
Brown , Dorothy Dem 39,577 15%
Stroger , Todd (i) Dem 38,849 15%

* Live Chicago only results…

* 8:10 pm - Latest statewide results

U.S. Senate - 2010 - Dem Primary
Illinois - 2812 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 25%
Giannoulias , Alexi Dem 113,579 37%
Hoffman , David Dem 99,694 32%
Jackson , Cheryle Dem 76,771 25%

Governor - Dem Primary

Illinois - 2788 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 25%
Name Party Votes Vote %
Quinn , Pat (i) Dem 165,932 53%
Hynes , Daniel Dem 144,927 47%

Governor - GOP Primary
Illinois - 2774 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 25%
McKenna , Andy GOP 21,930 27%
Ryan , Jim GOP 16,167 20%
Dillard , Kirk GOP 14,960 18%
Andrzejewski , Adam GOP 12,954 16%
Proft , Dan GOP 7,354 9%
Brady , Bill GOP 6,927 9%

Lieutenant Governor - Dem Primary
Illinois - 2743 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 24%
Turner , Arthur L. Dem 73,177 26%
Cohen , Scott Dem 65,991 24%
Hendon , Rickey Dem 52,421 19%
Castillo , Thomas Dem 34,456 12%
Link , Terry Dem 29,221 10%
Boland , Mike Dem 25,388 9%

Lieutenant Governor - GOP Primary
Illinois - 2741 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 24%
Murphy , Matt GOP 32,379 45%
Plummer , Jason GOP 18,129 25%
Tracy , Don GOP 7,477 10%
Cook , Dennis GOP 6,395 9%
Cole , Brad GOP 4,967 7%
White , Randy GOP 2,882 4%

Comptroller - Dem Primary
Illinois - 2738 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 24%
Miller , David Dem 137,052 48%
Krishnamoorthi , Raja Dem 129,214 45%
Krislov , Clint Dem 20,054 7%

Comptroller - GOP Primary
Illinois - 2732 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 24%
Baar Topinka , Judy GOP 45,066 61%
Kelly , William GOP 15,120 20%
Dodge , Jim GOP 13,780 19%

Treasurer - Dem Primary
Illinois - 2734 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 24%
Kelly , Robin Dem 158,625 58%
Oberman , Justin Dem 114,316 42%

* 8:18 pm - Still a bunch of votes to be counted, but the two IL House members aren’t doing well at all…

U.S. House - District 10 - GOP Primary
Illinois - 276 of 511 Precincts Reporting - 54%
Dold , Robert GOP 7,486 37%
Coulson , Elizabeth GOP 5,777 28%
Friedman , Arie GOP 3,510 17%
Green , Dick GOP 3,185 16%
Hamann , Paul GOP 467 2%

U.S. House - District 10 - Dem Primary
Illinois - 276 of 511 Precincts Reporting - 54%
Seals , Daniel Dem 10,713 50%
Hamos , Julie Dem 9,571 45%
Richardson , Elliot Dem 1,147 5%


* 8:20 pm -
Scott Lee Cohen is making a move…

Lieutenant Governor - Dem Primary
Illinois - 3436 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 31%
Turner , Arthur L. Dem 84,252 26%
Cohen , Scott Dem 79,816 24%

  22 Comments      


Live election coverage and results links

Tuesday, Feb 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* NBC5 starts its extended coverage at 9 o’clock. You can watch it here. Click that link for its six o’clock broadcast as well. The embed was causing problems for some people, so I took it down. I’ve also readjusted this post and I’ll be adding more in a bit, including links to results. Be patient, please.

* ABC7 isn’t streaming yet, but its page is here.

* CBS2’s coverage begins at 10 tonight. Click Here to watch. [Fixed link.]

* Fox Chicago’s election page is here.

* CLTV’s coverage starts at 7 o’clock. and then it moves to WGN. Click for the page

 

* The SJ-R will be live-blogging election results

* Illinois Statehouse News will have all the acceptance and concession speeches on its site. Click here. And here’s their Twitter feed.

* Sun-Times election page.

* Tribune election coverage.

* Cook County, Chicago and suburban election pages.

…Adding… Results links…

* Sun-Times

* ABC7

* CBS2

* NBC5

  13 Comments      


Late afternoon roundup, a Mayor Daley caption contest, plus our commenter live-blogging continues

Tuesday, Feb 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Y’all can keep track of the Chicago Current exit polling if you want, but their numbers are so low that I’m not gonna update them any longer. No offense to CC. It was a worthwhile endeavor. But 12 precincts in Cook County ain’t much.

* I mentioned this in comments earlier, but I’m almost hoping for a little Karmic justice for the Democrats today. If some supreme Democratic goofballs unexpectedly win because of the low turnout, general disinterest and - most importantly - way too early date of this primary [and it’s compressed schedule], then Karma will have been appropriately meted out because the House Democrats, in particular, refused to move this thing back to March where it belongs. As a policy, I don’t wish any party ill will, which is why I wrote “almost,” but this is just ridiculous.

* From Patrick Hughes’ Twitter account

Good turnout in counties favoring us over Kirk, e.g. Carroll & McHenry

Carroll County? You mean that county with a total population of under 17,000? This is the big strategy?

* I’m not sure when Langdon Neal said this, or where he’s been, but I’m not getting the impression so far that there’s a “growing interest” out there. He’s the expert, though, so we’ll see…

“There’s seems to be a growing interest in the election from the voters. So, we’re hoping to reverse the trend and see a larger turnout from voters than we usually have for a primary election,” said Langdon Neal of the Chicago Board of Elections Commission.

Numbers are horrible in Sangamon County, but expected to improve…

Sangamon County Clerk Joe Aiello says that as of early afternoon today, the percentage of voters going to polling places in the county seems to range from about 7 to 13 percent.

He said he expects that total to top 20 percent with the coming after-work crowd.

25 percent was the statewide turnout in 2006. The Tribune has a good graph to put all this into context…

From the Post-Dispatch

“We’re looking real light, maybe 15 percent turnout,” predicted St. Clair County Clerk Bob Delaney. That’s on the low side of average for St. Clair. The statewide average for primaries is higher (around 25 percent for off-year primaries, says the State Board of Elections), spurred largely by Chicago. But local media up here are reporting almost in unison today how measely the turnout has been at the polling places so far.

There’s likely a few things at play. It could be that a lot of people took advantage of the early voting system available this year, so it only looks like turnout is down. And the usual after-work spike in voting could still push the numbers to better than average. Also, it’s a cold, overcast day in Chicago, which, like the rest of the state, is used to voting in early spring, not mid-winter.

Paul Green, political scientist at Chicago’s Roosevelt University, has a simpler explanation: That despite all the breathless media declarations about the importance of these primaries, what average voters are seeing are average candidates.

“There’s not an Obama or a (Chicago Mayor Richard) Daley running — no bigger-than-life figure,” said Green. “None of these candidates would need a bodyguard to walk down Michigan Avenue.”

Ain’t that the truth.

* Champaign County

Just got off the phone with Champaign County Clerk Mark Shelden who says that voter turnout today appears to be very low. That’s what I’m hearing from others in the community.

He said we’d be lucky to get a 20 percent turnout today (the 2006 numbers) and that it could be as low as the 1986 non-presidential primary percentage of 17.5 percent.

* Mayor Daley caption contest!

# ryancudney: Best photo yet of a politician voting http://bit.ly/bHGR1T [They changed the link, so I did, too.]

* More of my retweets

# RutherfordDan: precinct committman in Kane County tells me his precinct is projecting only 5 to 6% turnout

# ramsincanon: I really think the shifting patterns in the Cook and inner DuPage, Lake, and Will burbs are the deciders for lots of these elections.

# ramsincanon: If @hoffman4il were to pull off an upset of @alexi4illinois, it’ll be because of reflexive anti-Chicago-Dem-Machine vote in Cook Suburbs.

# BrianMcDaniel: At 3:15 PM, only 91 of 865 have voted in my precinct. Rs - 56 Ds - 35

# kiyoshimartinez: Man, even the polling places in Logan Square are kinda hipster-ish.

# kiyoshimartinez: My polling place keyed my card for a Democrat ballot. Had to take it back & say “Um, I know this is rare, but I want to vote Republican.”

# kiyoshimartinez: I dunno if it’s because I pulled a Republican ballot, but I was NOT offered an “I voted” sticker.

# bmeyerson: As school gets out in Schaumburg, students and parents dwarf the few voters.

# AdrianCurrent: Handed a survey, a woman says, “I don’t remember who I voted for.” This was a few seconds after she voted.

# BrianMcDaniel: Turnout’s so low that the #ILPrimary may rest with eastern DuPage where most of the Gubernatorial candidates live.

# AdrianCurrent: A woman walks toward a polling place, asking, “Can I have some propaganda?”

# Suntimes: Conspicuously absent in this election day photo gallery? Voters. http://bit.ly/9tJCXx Light turnout today. Get on it, folks!

# Suntimes: RT @ascorzo: @Suntimes I’m working one of the polls today, we’ve only had 21 people vote so far.

# ilreports: With Illinois voters deciding his fate Quinn signs Funeral/Burial Funds Act/Cemetery Sales Act http://ow.ly/138rc & http://ow.ly/138rJ

# juggernautco: Field report: one Winnetka polling place has turnout at 35% at 1:30PM

# tracyswartz: which candidates were at your #cta stop? http://www.chicagonow.com/blogs/redeye/2010/02/which-candidates-were-at-your-cta-metra-stop.html

# Illinois_Stage: The low turnout so far is no surprise, especially in McLean County, officials say. http://bit.ly/c19poH

# kategardiner: I’m at Metropolis. It is a polling place. No one is voting. Cafe is jammed otherwise.

# johnfritchey: I’ll be on Channel 7 news at 4p.m. answering questions about my opponents low-road, bush league campaign tactics.

# tonyperaica: Voter Turnout is Very Low, could be under 20%:Early returns: Illinois voters disgruntled http://bit.ly/8YJ3BM

# IllinoisIGPA: IGPA experts on the air election nite: Rick Winkel on WCIA and WDWS; Michael Cheney and Brian Gaines on WDWS. Kent Redfield on WUIS.

# Brooke22: Dear ADD, please go away- stop distracting me with blogs and Google searches on the Illinois primary, & let me work in peace.

* Do you have anything new to tell us about what’s going on in the field? Good job so far.

  89 Comments      


Was Quinn’s Gitmo gambit all for naught?

Tuesday, Feb 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* This revelation would definitely be a kick in the teeth [or help for the fall] to Gov. Pat Quinn, who so eagerly embraced the White House plan to move Gitmo detainees to Illinois…

The second-ranking House Democrat signaled Tuesday that the White House is reconsidering a plan to move Guantanamo detainees to a prison in northwest Illinois.

House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-Md.) said he agrees that the Obama administration should reassess the plan to move terrorist suspects from the Cuba military base to Thomson Correctional Facility in the state’s northwest corner.

“I think the administration realizes that this is a difficult issue,” Hoyer said, speaking at his weekly meeting with Capitol Hill reporters. “And I think that they are assessing where they are and where they think we ought to be and I think that’s appropriate and I look forward to discussing it with them.”

Congress would have to appropriate such funds, which could prove a stumbling block for the White House plans. Republicans have been largely unified in opposition to the prison move and Democrats such as Rep. Melissa Bean of Illinois have joined along.

It’s clear that the Scott Brown election has totally, completely freaked out the DC Dems. Everything is now up in the air. Yesterday, LA Times blogger Johanna Neuman mused: “Could Gitmo topple Democrats in Illinois?

Brown got a lot of traction in Massachusetts suggesting that U.S. tax dollars shouldn’t go to defend terrorist suspects but to protect Americans. Will Gitmo help Kirk too?

…Adding… It should be noted that Obama has the Thomson prison purchase in his budget proposal. They could still buy the prison, which would be a win/win for Quinn - no Gitmo prisoners and money from the feds.

  35 Comments      


Turnout undercuts exit polling - Campaign updates - And early afternoon comment-blogging

Tuesday, Feb 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Chicago Current’s Cook County/Democratic-only exit polling isn’t going well…

(I)t’s clear that turnout so far at these four polling places is well below what we expected.

We based our turnout projections for today on vote counts from the 2006 Democratic primary, and in some cases we’re seeing numbers that are 50-60% of what we expected. […]

If turnout is as low as I suspect, it’ll have some implications for our exit poll results, too. We originally hoped to tally results from about 500 Dem voters, but we’ll likely have far fewer than that, which will mean a wider margin of error for some calculations.

And, Mystery Pollster warns

Beyond the Current write-up, I don’t know anything about it. Potentially useful, but be very wary of “calling” anything w/it

Got all that? OK. Here’s CC’s update

So far the survey count is low and confidence interval and margin of error aren’t even worth talking about.

But the voters we’ve heard from so far seem to favor candidates who led most polls going into the election — Quinn, Giannoulias and Preckwinkle.

Not surprisingly, economic concerns rank high.

…Adding… Oy

We’d originally planned to survey 25 precincts, but logistics are interfering, and we’ll probably wind up with about half that. We’d targeted 600 voters, but low turnout will probably leave us with about half of that count.

* Prediction of the day

“I have no freaking idea what’s going to happen Tuesday,” said Kitty Kurth, a Chicago-based Democratic consultant. “It’s going to be an election that’s going to have people scratching their heads for a week.”

* Toni Preckwinkle’s campaign manager Scott Cisek’s latest Tweet

just returned from the field and I saw some serious electioneering in the 8th ward [Stroger]. Complaints have been phoned in.

* A text message from the 42nd Ward…

True to form, [Rep. Ken Dunkin is]… walking into polling
places, electioneering next to polling booths, etc. Also found pre-marked Dunkin ballots…

Board of Elections and States Attys are currently investigating electioneering and ballot fraud

* An instant message from a good friend…

so one of my friends got called 10 min ago and begged to go in and do gotv calls for quinn today, they NEED people. really? hmm..nice gotv plan

GOTV has not been the strong suit of any statewide candidate this year. All their money is going into TV.

* Funniest Facebook item of the day from a politician…

Dan Proft became a fan of Jim Beam.

* Some of my recent Tweets and retweets

# capitolfax Gov. Quinn casts his vote wearing his lucky tie http://www.kwqc.com/Global/story.asp?S=11920349

# jaymesiemer: Last primary, I was one of 2 Republican votes in my Chicago precinct. Now that I have a new precinct, I’m hoping for at least 3.

# Pantagraph: Midterm primary turnout historically low in McLean County http://bit.ly/ax5sRG

# thomascbowen: “Did I do everything I could have?” Is the most haunting feeling in the world.

# Brooke22: Lowest Illinois primary turnout was in 1978 when just 25% of registered voters voted. Wonder what today’s will be?

# thomascbowen: Dear national media: I like Russ Stewart, but if he’s the guy you’re relying on for IL political analysis, you don’t know what you’re doing

# CrainsChicago: Voter turnout low, but campaign cash high http://ow.ly/134AV

* Adam Andrzejewski’s supporters were all aflutter yesterday about a supposed endorsement by shock jock Glenn Beck. Beck disabused them of that notion today. A Dan Proft supporter gets in a dig

Anyone who actually listens to the Glenn Beck Program would be mightily confused, as Beck didn’t even mention his name, let alone talk about the GOP race for governor in Illinois. Put simply, it just didn’t happen.

He has the audio so go listen.

* Zorn’s predictions

1. Gov. Pat Quinn will edge Comptroller Dan Hynes in the Democratic gubernatorial primary. People know Quinn better than they know Hynes and, despite his flaws and missteps, they like him.

2. Kirk Dillard will win the Republican gubernatorial primary. GOP voters will see in his comparative moderation their best chance at regaining the governor’s mansion. He will not beat the combined vote totals of Adam Andrzejewski and Dan Proft, who will split the substantial yet ill-focused Earl Grey vote with Bill Brady, but he’ll handily beat former party chairman Andy McKenna ,who will do worse than expected.

3. I can see Cook County Board President Todd Stroger pulling a Dick Devine-like upset surprise tonight, but in the end I expect Ald. Toni Preckwinkle will narrowly edge him out for the Democratic nomination for Stroger’s job, and that Terry O’Brien and Dorothy Brown will lend up far behind.

4. Former Chicago inspector general David Hoffman will run strong in Chicago and the suburbs but Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias will beat him on the strength of the downstate vote.

Any last-minute changes of heart in your predictions?

* Man, does Alexi looked tired in this pic of him at Manny’s Deli or what?

Other pols have visited the deli this morning. Its Twitter feed lists, Giannoulias, Dorothy Brown and Scott Lee Cohen. Terry O’Brien stopped by yesterday. Dan Hynes was there a few days ago.

* What’s going on in your precinct?

  86 Comments      


Late hits and a big e-day roundup

Tuesday, Feb 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* As subscribers know, 59th House District Republican candidate Cynthia Hebda was disqualified for the ballot because she signed a petition for the Democratic incumbent - appointed state Rep. Carol Sente (D-). The Illinois Supreme Court ordered last week that votes for Hebda be counted (she was still on the ballot because the appellate ruling came so late in the game). The House Republicans put Hebda in the race, and are now scrambling to help her win the primary against two opponents with big head starts.

The Daily Herald is reporting today that Hebda may ask for a do-over

Lake County Clerk Willard Helander said she expects Hebda to demand a special election, depending on today’s results.

That race has been ugly on both sides. Sente and Elliott Hartstein have been slamming each other and the House Republicans pulled a bit of a dirty trick on the incumbent

Sente wasn’t as understanding when it came to automated calls made recently to voters by a Republican political group that said Sente is a member of the National Rifle Association. Sente denied she’s a member of the group. So did the association’s spokesman.

The group behind the calls, Citizens to Change Illinois, is funded by state House Republican leader Tom Cross. A Cross spokeswoman defended the calls.

And then yesterday, some group made what looks to be a possibly illegal robocall into the district designed to confuse voters. Here’s the text

All around the state the Democrats have engaged in last minute dirty tricks to confuse Republican voters in the upcoming primary. Don’t be fooled. The only two legally recognized candidates in the Republican Primary for State Representative in your district are Mohan Mania and Dan Surge [sic]. Paid for by Republicans for a fair election.

There’s no such group listed at the Board of Elections website, of course.

* Illinois Review posted the Log Cabin Republican endorsement list last night. The comments are quite funny, particularly considering that Kirk Dillard was endorsed and is also supported by conservative activist Jack Roeser, who is not exactly noted for his support for gay rights.

* Jacob Meister dropped out of the US Senate race the other day, but somebody posted his yard signs near a polling place today…

* See any fraud? Report it

To help root out voter fraud and voting irregularities during Tuesday’s primary election, Attorney General Lisa Madigan will be sending out teams across the state to help monitor polling places.

A total of 166 teams comprised of Assistant Attorneys Generals and investigators will be assigned to various polling places to assist local election officials in investigating claims of fraud. Madigan has assigned 125 teams in Chicago and northern Illinois and 41 teams in downstate Illinois.

Madigan’s office also has hotlines available for voters who witness improper or illegal activity. Voters in Chicago and northern Illinois can call 1-866-536-3496. Downstate voters can call 1-866-559-6812.

* Here’s your roundup. Not much new…

* Low Voter Turnout Expected for Illinois Primary

* Go out and vote It’s da day!

* It’s time to go to the polls

* Polls open for primary elections

* Some things to know before you vote today

* Vote for a new chapter in Illinois politics

* Democrat, GOP or Green, today is election day

* Our View: Get out and cast your votes today

* Tell politicians where you stand when it counts

* Write-in candidates

* Election Judges Prep for Long Day Ahead

* Partisan Trends: Number of Unaffiliateds Jumps to Highest Total Since 2007

* Illinois battles will be front, center on national stage

* Here they come, spinning out of the turn

* Nation’s 1st primary sets stage for Ill. showdown

* Candidates Make One Final Push

* Candidates make last-minute visits to Springfield

* Candidates rush through Q-C in last-minute drive for votes

* Candidates in final frantic push before Election Day

* Candidates head out to fight for every vote

* Talking Politics: Races Down to the Wire

* Hopeful Republicans target Obama Senate seat

* Schock: Kirk’s a Scott Brown-Type of Republican

* Hughes lands One Nation PAC endorsement

* Balderman endorses Arrington

* David Hoffman hits Sidetrack Show Tunes

* Broadway Bank’s hole deepens; now must raise $76M

* Giannoulias’ Family Bank Problems Continue

* Giannoulias: Ill. Senate race about ‘jobs’

* Giannoulias encourages supporters at stop

* Primary Campaign Contributions — Governor: Crain’s Chicago Business and the Illinois Campaign for Political Reform have teamed up to provide a snapshot of campaign financing in important state and local 2010 races.

* Illinois Governor Race Focuses on Ailing Finances

* Quinn, Hynes, McKenna garner huge late campaign cash

* Quinn makes nice-guy pitch to Ill. voters

* Quinn makes stop in Decatur; Democrats take last-minute swings at each other

* Quinn flies down on eve of election

* Five reasons to vote for Pat Quinn

* Five reasons to vote against Pat Quinn

* Five reasons to vote for Dan Hynes

* Five reasons to vote against Dan Hynes

* Hynes is the best choice to lead the state

* Hynes, Quinn put away negative ads

* Some last-minute truths about the candidates

* Pat Quinn, Bill Brady Take To The Air Before Governor’s Primaries

* McKenna makes election-eve stop in Springfield

* Andrzejewski endorsed by Tea Party coordinators

* Brady, Proft stop by Marion airport

* Last minute appeal from Dillard campaign

* Ryan: Voters ready for change

* Oak Lawn Mayor endorses Ryan

* A look at Democratic lt. gov. candidates

* Illinois Primary: Who wants to be a Comptroller?

* 3 Dems, 3 Republicans run for Ill. comptroller

* Hastert’s son seeks father’s former Ill. district

* Local Cook Co. races can affect you most directly

* Plenty of choices for Cook County leadership

* DuPage chairman hopefuls raise almost $500,000

* GOP races dominate DuPage primary

* Beyond the governor: What to decide in Kane Co. Tuesday

* Local political heat fires up primary ballot

* Tuesday’s underdogs seek Devine-style intervention

* Clerks worry about Ill. law aimed at `undervoting’

* Machine tells you if you leave a race blank

* New ballot rules tested in Tuesday’s primary election

* Rock Island County won’t enforce ‘undervoting’ regulation

* Pushing back against early primary election

  23 Comments      


*** UPDATED x4 *** Mid-morning vote comment-blogging

Tuesday, Feb 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Let’s start a fresh thread, shall we? The first one is full.

Also, we know the turnout is low, so some numbers from your polling place would be welcomed. This report from the LaSalle News Tribune was enlightening and frightening

The four precincts at the La Salle VFW were so slow today that by 7 a.m. there were more election judges (20) on hand than people who had voted (15).

Raymond Miklavcic, an election judge at La Salle precinct 7, counted just seven voters in the door — low even by primary standards.

“It’s horribly slow,” Miklavcic said. “Primaries are normally slow, but this is ridiculous.”

Have at it.

*** UPDATE 10:53 am *** Twitter hashtag #ilvote has more updates from the front. But a lot of it is just propaganda…

TheCHICon Just cast my ballot, place was empty. Oh and they didn’t ask for ANY ID. @danproft - @hughesforsenate - lets hope for the best! #ILvote

They’re not supposed to ask for ID.

From the Tribune

National political pundits have been busy trying to divine broad meaning from Illinois’ Groundhog Day primary, but that noisy class of professional crystal ball gazers could be in for a challenge if an early collective yawn from voters continues through the day.

City election officials said turnout for the first hour of voting was extremely low. Jim Allen, communications director for the Chicago Board of Election Commissioners, said there were precincts all over the city that experienced as few as two voters coming through their doors. […]

Cook County Clerk David Orr, who oversees election machinery in the suburbs, said morning turnout appeared “relatively slow,” though it was too early to make any broad projections about how things might end up by the time the polls close at 7 p.m.
“A lot of people vote late and whether or not this snowy weather will have an effect, who knows,” said Orr as he visited a precinct at the Dorchester Senior Center in Dolton. By 8:30 a.m., Orr said, 19 residents had cast ballots. While he said that’s a typical pace for that retirement village, its residents don’t have to venture outdoors to cast a ballot.

AP

[Cook County elections spokeswoman Gail Siegel] says her office hasn’t received any complaints about a new feature on voting machines. For the first time, the machines reject incomplete ballots. That’s where someone fails to vote in one or more races for statewide office.

Election judges are asking voters if they intentionally left part of the ballot blank when the machine spots so-called “undervoting.” If not, they’ll be allowed to vote in those races. If so, the ballot will be approved.

*** UPDATE - 11:31 am *** For what it’s worth, the snow has stopped in Chicago, I’m told. Also, I hear one key Lakefront precinct reported just 6 votes this morning. Oof.

*** UPDATE - 11:46 am *** Yikes

There were no crowds in Quincy polling places despite the close races.

“I’m not seeing any lines or crowds,” said Adams County Clerk Georgia Volm.

She visited one polling site at 7:30 a.m. where seven people had cast ballots. She was at a voting site on Sycamore at 8 a.m. and found that only seven voters had been there.

*** UPDATE - 12:10 pm *** Some of my recent “retweets“…

# Chicago_Reader RT @dansinker: sounds about right. RT @chitownpolitics: Setting over/under for turnout at 22%.

# ramsincanon If city turnout is as low as anecdotes would have you believe, @alexi4illinois could coast to 10+ point victory.

# myfoxillinois Know your voting rights http://bit.ly/clL25q

# johnfritchey I’ve been kissing hands and shaking babies all morning; not sure why people are reacting strangely. Oh. Damn. Never mind.

# dancurry Just voted for Jim Ryan, governor. Only person in polling place.

# rsamuels Mayor Daley votes at Old Saint Mary’s at 11. Alas, I shan’t be on hand for the Q&A. First time in years I’ve missed the mayoral vote.

# ramsincanon I’ve heard this from about a dozen ppl the last few days: “Quinn or Hynes? Seems like a coin toss.”

# PeoriaChronicle Only about 4 voters were at my polling place (which covers three precincts) this morning. Very low turnout.

# nbcchicago NBC’s live coverage of the primary elections begins at 4:30pm. Bookmark our livestream page: http://snipurl.com/u94c0

# BrianMcDaniel Turnout is quite low in the Collar Counties of Illinois.

# CollinCorbett Voter turnout is abysmal across the state, and it’s not just the snow. After the last 13 months what more motivation do IL voters need?!?

  73 Comments      


The national media checks in

Tuesday, Feb 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I mostly agree with Politico

By midday, a look at precincts in Springfield and Champaign might prove instructive for Giannoulias and Hynes. If turnout is steady and strong south of Peoria, it’s most likely a soothing sign for the two, because both are more familiar to downstate voters.

A Hynes aide said recent polling has shown the comptroller surging into the lead over the governor in rural areas, but the aide cautions that “it has to translate into actual votes cast.”

Hoffman lacks strong name identification outside Chicago, and a potentially damaging story about Giannoulias’s role in his family’s bank has been bumped from leading the evening newscasts in favor of the racially charged gubernatorial primary. On the flip side, a big turnout on the North Shore and Lakefront would be beneficial to Hoffman.

The timing of this election makes enthusiasm even more difficult to measure.

“With how early the election is, it’s very difficult to gauge who’s going to vote and whether it’s going to line up with traditional votes,” said Jerry Morrison, political director of the Illinois Service Employees International Union.

* Not so sure of this yet, though. From CQ Politics…

Tom Jensen, the director of Public Policy Polling, said he thought the undecided voters would break for the front-runners, Giannoulias and Kirk, because those are the more familiar names in the race.

Kirk, yes. Alexi? We’ll see.

* We already kinda know this. From the National Journal…

If Illinois Comptroller Dan Hynes beats Gov. Pat Quinn in today’s Democratic gubernatorial primary, the political wires will once again be buzzing about the anti-incumbent and anti-establishment mood out there. […]

The mood is very anti-Washington and very anti-status quo. If you are a sitting governor, senator or House member, you already know this. That said, simplifying this as an anti-government backlash misses the point. It’s about competence. When voters are hurting they really don’t care to hear excuses from those who are in charge. They want results. And if you are someone who can sell that — whether you are a longtime legislator or a first-time candidate — you can get the ear of voters.

* Cillizza sticks with the anti-incumbent theme

Looking for an overarching theme in the voting? How about the latest test of just how anti-incumbent/anti-establishment the voters are feeling. Gov. Pat Quinn is in serious trouble and, while his challenger — state Comptroller Dan Hynes — isn’t exactly an outsider, the defeat of a sitting governor in a primary race is a rarity. (The last governor to lose in a primary? Alaska Gov. Frank Murkowski in 2006; he lost to a little known mayor named Sarah Palin.) The insider/outsider dynamic is even more clearly at work in the Democratic Senate primary where state Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias has lined up the support of much of the party establishment but has seen former Chicago inspector general David Hoffman making up ground with a law and order, outsider appeal — think Elliot Ness. In one ad, Hoffman paints Giannoulias as an insider’s insider — lumping the treasurer in with disgraced former governor Rod Blagojevich and real estate developer Tony Rezko while touting himself as the only one who can bring real change to the state’s politics. Wins by Hynes and Hoffman today would rightly be interpreted as voters in Illinois sending the same message that the voters of Massachusetts did last month when Sen.-elect Scott Brown (R) scored an upset victory in the heavily Democratic Bay State.

The same message as Massachusetts? I’m not sure of that. We’ve had some pretty specific issues here that they didn’t have there.

* Most impenetrable lede of the day goes to the Washington Post…

Here at Manny’s legendary deli, where expansive pols have for decades stormed across the linoleum floor appealing for votes from the well-fed, Dan Hynes does not suit up as much of a dragon slayer.

Um, it’s supposed to be a newspaper report, not a bad novel.

* Worst column of the day goes to the New York Times’ Gail Collins. I don’t even want to excerpt it, it’s that bad.

* MSNBC

Here’s one final observation about Illinois: The National Republican Senatorial Committee has to feel very fortunate about the timing of today’s primaries in the state. Why? Because had the primaries been next month (as had been normal pre-’08), we’re guessing that front-runner Giannoulias — who has political baggage — might no longer be the front-runner, especially if the story about his family’s bank continued to play for several more days. Make no mistake, the NRSC feels that Kirk would have an easier time in a general election against Giannoulias than, say, Hoffman. We’re also guessing that if the primary took place a month from now, Kirk — who voted for cap-and-trade and supports abortion rights — would be facing a stronger Tea Party challenge that he currently is. However, as we said above, it’s worth watching how close Hughes might get to Kirk tonight. This INCREDIBLY early primary (six weeks earlier than what WAS normal for Illinois) meant the campaign season didn’t kick off until after New Year’s, leaving underdog challengers just three weeks to gain traction.

* TPM looks at the tea party angle

The meme since the NY-23 kerfuffle has been that Republicans will face contested primaries in dozens of their races, and an emboldened tea party movement will give establishment candidates the boot and potentially hand easy wins to the Democrats.

The evidence had been adding up - with tea party candidates popping up in Pennsylvania and Texas and conservative groups targeting moderate Republicans in California and Florida.

But Kirk holds a steady lead in our TPMPolltracker average over two tea party-backed challengers Patrick Hughes and Judge Don Lowery despite all those efforts. Republicans in Washington expect him to emerge the nominee and shake off the tea party fears for the GOP nationwide.

“This blows a hole in that whole narrative,” said Brian Walsh, a spokesman for the National Republican Senatorial Campaign Committee.

* Ben Smith of Politico tries to shoehorn his “outsider” theory into our primary

The Illinois primaries today are set to test a thesis I’ve been thinking about, and on which I’d be interested in readers’ input: This wave of populist revulsion at the establishment, almost by definition, is far harder to bring to bear in primaries. […]

If Giannoulias, Kirk, and, say, McKenna win today (the insider-outsider dynamic is a bit muddied in the Democratic governor’s primary), it’ll suggest that partisan primaries maintain a degree of insulation from the free-floating anger — which may not actually be good for the parties’ general election candidates. And if they’re upset, it’ll suggest the reverse.

Except, McKenna is running as an outsider and Kirk is a shoe-in.

  45 Comments      


Morning Shorts

Tuesday, Feb 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Illinois sells largest Build America Bond offering in three months

The biggest and longest-term maturity in the transaction was $520 million of 6.63 percent securities due in February 2035, priced at 205 basis points, or 2.05 percentage points, more than benchmark 30-year Treasuries.

* Money woes could threaten high-speed rail’s future

The $8 billion in stimulus cash awarded to 13 high-speed rail corridors across the country may seem like a windfall for advocates, but there’s a catch: The money isn’t enough to finish any of the major projects.

* Illinois may get new regulations for debt settlement companies

[Lisa] Madigan recently forwarded legislation in the state that would forbid debt settlement companies from charging certain fees, including those charged to consumers monthly. Companies would also have to get a license from the state’s Department of Financial and Professional Regulation.

* Madigan sues Williamson County contractor

* Obama Budget Includes Thomson Money

The historically large budget includes about $270 million for the prison, which is slated to host terrorists moved from Guantanamo Bay prison when it is closed.

That’s nearly double the amount that Governor Pat Quinn sought for the penitentiary, $100 to $145 million.

* Roland Burris piles up legal debt

The Illinois Democrat has told Senate officials that he has piled up debt worth more than $649,000, according to new filings released Monday.

* Chicago housing market won’t recover until 2013

* New-home sales: ‘The industry has been basically obliterated’

* Chicago Alderman Isaac Carothers pleads guilty to corruption

* Ald. Carothers pleads guilty to bribery, resigns

* Crooked alderman followed his father up political ladder

Carothers’ father and political mentor, former Ald. William Carothers (28th), went to prison in 1983 for extorting up to $32,500 in remodeling work for his ward office from the builders of Bethany Hospital. The son’s crimes were strikingly similar.

* Carothers’ dad convicted of corruption charges too

* Metra Increases Fares

One-way fares are going up by 6 percent today. That’s about 30 cents more per ticket, and weekend fares will increase from $5 to $7.

* Midway Airport privatization in holding pattern

Last week, the city asked the FAA for more time to complete the deal, a request the FAA has granted, according to a spokesman for the city Finance Department. The city had a Monday deadline to file the notice to comply with an FAA pilot program that allows up to five U.S. airports to be privatized, including one major hub, and Chicago wants to keep first dibs on that designation.

* City awards clout-heavy firm towing contract, again

Shortly after taking office in 1989, Daley turned towing over to Environmental Auto Removal, a newly-formed company whose owners had close ties to former State Sen. Jeremiah Joyce (D-Chicago), one of the mayor’s closest friends in politics.

* North Shore to vote on $174M school referendum

* District 207 approves $15 million in cuts, lays off 137 employees

* Lake Park aims to trim $1.7 million

* Wheeling OKs buyouts for 15 employees

* Former Lincoln clerk sentenced to three months for embezzlement

* Lisle HR director resigns after theft charge

* SIUC enrollment down again for spring

Total enrollment stands at 19,134, which includes 16,950 students on campus and 2,184 off-campus. The off-campus enrollment reflects a 21-student increase compared to a year ago.

* Enrollment drops 1.3 percent

* John A. Logan continues to see increase in classes

* Normal Council Votes to Increase Sales Taxes

In the first local increase since 2001…Normal council members approved a point 2-5 percent sales tax increase that will go into effect on July 1st.

The tax hike will bring Normal’s rate up to 1.5 percent, which is in line with Bloomington’s.

* Rockford’s slide in sales tax revenue slows in October

The city’s October revenues were off just 3.7%; other area municipalities didn’t do as well.

* New Lenox seeks agreement with CN

While most towns in this area already have negotiated settlements with CN, Will County, New Lenox and seven others are still fighting to get the railroad to address their environmental concerns.

Just last month, Plainfield dropped out in exchange for local upgrades, including a system to alert emergency workers about blocked crossings and easements for an overpass at 143rd Street.

* RI wants to look at options for marina

* Galesburg City Council OKs RR overpass pact with state

The City Council authorized a $14.1 million funding agreement with the Illinois Department of Transportation on Monday that will allow the city to begin property acquisition necessary to start the West Main project.

Galesburg was awarded $33.5 million through the state’s capital infrastructure program last summer to build grade separations — overpasses or underpasses — at West Main, East Main and North Seminary streets.

* Union pickets to publicize contract dispute with Galesburg

The American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees has been attempting to negotiate a new contract with the city for more than a year but those talks have reached an impasse over the union’s demand that it have a guaranteed work week.

* Morton lays out budget-cutting ideas

* Macon County ready to act to avoid effects of coming cash crunch

* [Springfield] School board OKs new college-prep academy

* Don’t Mess with Peoria Pundit: A lesson in ethics for Rachel Parker’s PR guy

  9 Comments      


Morning vote comment-blogging

Tuesday, Feb 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* What are you seeing out there at the polls? What’s the weather?

  122 Comments      


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