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Uber is Responsible for $192 Million in Economic Impact in 2014, Vote NO on HB 4075

Tuesday, Nov 18, 2014 - Posted by Advertising Department

[The following is a paid advertisement.]

Public policy is one area where lawmakers can send a message to entrepreneurs that Illinois is the place to nurture and grow their business. Illinois should continue to establish and embrace a climate where businesses can succeed or fail based on the merits of their ideas. Opportunity exists to foster innovation and competition, to the benefit of consumers throughout the state.

While ridesharing in Illinois is only three years old, Uber is already making a significant impact in Chicago.

$192,000,000 in economic impact for the City of Chicago in 2014

500 new Chicago headquarters jobs to be added by the end of 2016

2,900 full-time equivalent jobs created in 2014

95% of uberX partners live in neighborhoods and suburbs underserved by taxis

Sustain the HB 4075 veto to provide new, innovative transportation options across the state while growing the Illinois economy.

To learn more about ridesharing and HB 4075, visit http://blog.uber.com/2014/11/13/uberx-belongs-in-illinois-sustain-the-hb4075-veto/.

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s cable TV buy

Tuesday, Nov 18, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Events calendar

Tuesday, Nov 18, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

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*** LIVE *** Session and treasurer’s race coverage

Tuesday, Nov 18, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* As I already told you, I ran out of ad space, so this will be a sponsored post during veto session. Watch while ScribbleLive tells us how it’s all unfolding or unraveling

  36 Comments      


The bar is definitely not low

Tuesday, Nov 18, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From the Register-Mail

For the first time in more than a decade a Republican will sit as Governor serving with a Democratic Legislature.

Knox College Political Science instructor Jim Nowlan said it’s going to be rough for Gov.-elect Bruce Rauner.

“He’s created expectations I’m afraid he can’t fulfill,” Nowlan said. “It will be interesting to see how quickly people sour if they do, they may not. It’s going to be tough for him to fulfill the public’s expectations.”

Yep.

He’s said that he wants to cut income taxes, freeze property taxes, raise school and university spending, keep prisons open, make prisons safer, beef up IDNR, stop child deaths with a better DCFS, end patronage, and on and on and on and on. He has promised the moon, but all he may be able to deliver is an asteroid - let’s just hope it doesn’t crash into the governor’s mansion.

And then there are all of his evasions, to the point where people generally just add whatever they think should be done to his tabula rasa.

The bar is high. Very, very high.

  48 Comments      


Harmon predicts “rude awakening” for GOP lawmakers

Tuesday, Nov 18, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Senate President Pro Tempore Don Harmon penned an op-ed for his local paper about the incoming Rauner administration

A divided government has virtues and vulnerabilities. With a Democratic legislature and a Republican governor, I do not foresee more of the bold, progressive policy victories we achieved over the last six years. Marriage equality, abolition of the death penalty, expanding health insurance to thousands of low-income adults — none of these victories would likely be possible in an age of divided government. Bipartisan power sharing may help us achieve difficult things, but not dramatic things.

A divided government does give us the opportunity, however, to deal in a more bipartisan fashion with the nuts and bolts of government. For more than a decade, we have adopted Democratic budgets paid for with Democratic revenue proposals. Now, Gov. Rauner and the Republican Party will own the state budget and need to provide revenues adequate to pay for their proposals.

I fully expect the Democratic majorities in the General Assembly to cooperate with the governor to achieve fair and balanced budgets. But fair and balanced budgets will require something we haven’t seen in recent years: the active engagement, sponsorship and affirmative votes of Republicans. The GOP has had the luxury of avoiding responsibility by voting “no” on necessary yet unpopular reforms. But now, with a governor of their own party, Republican legislators have responsibility for real, achievable solutions. This may be a rude awakening for my GOP friends but potentially good for Illinois. We shall see.

While divided government can lead to cooperation on certain issues, it leads to confrontation on others. With a Republican governor, the Democratic General Assembly will become even more important as the defender of progressive ideals. If Gov. Rauner advances proposals to do away with collective bargaining, adopt “right to work for less” proposals, repeal or lower the minimum wage or otherwise attack the bedrock of working families in Illinois, he should gird for a fierce fight.

Thoughts?

  44 Comments      


Question of the day

Tuesday, Nov 18, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Today, our venerated commenter and celebrated budget expert Steve Schnorf turns 70. Happy birthday, Steve!

I love the guy. He looks like a biker, is always the pragmatist and thinks like a wonk…

* The Question: Caption?

Keep it clean, people.

  81 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Quinn’s place in the hall

Tuesday, Nov 18, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* One of Gov. Pat Quinn’s next decisions involves his official portrait

Governor Quinn still has time to decide if he’ll have his portrait hanging in the Capitol building.

It’s around this time governors leaving office will usually start planning to leave their mark, which is a portrait in the Capitol building. But, it comes at a hefty price.

Officials tell us the paintings cost around $20,000.

The paintings of Illinois’ former leaders hang on the second floor of the building, in “The Hall of Governors.”

* But

In 1994, when Quinn was state treasurer, he held a press conference to mock then-Senate President James “Pate” Philip for commissioning an $8,676 portrait that now hangs in the Senate chambers.

Philip, who left state government in 2003, ignored Quinn’s call to reimburse the state for the painting and his portrait remains in its place in the President’s Gallery overlooking the room where senators cast their votes.

If he does sit for the portrait, I’m assuming it won’t be state financed. Right, governor?

*** UPDATE *** The governor’s press secretary just told me that Quinn will use “private funds” for the portrait.

  43 Comments      


Medicaid cost cut comes with a price

Tuesday, Nov 18, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* This new drug has been a miracle for people with Hepatitis C

With nearly a 95 percent cure rate in clinical trails, Sovaldi is being hailed as a major breakthrough for a disease that more than 3 million Americans carry. The drug’s price tag, though, is spooking health insurers and state Medicaid programs at a time when there’s a heightened effort to diagnose the liver disease.

* The Tribune had a story this week about strict limitations placed on Illinois Medicaid patients

The high price of Sovaldi drove Illinois Medicaid’s hepatitis C spending to $22 million for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2014, up from $6.7 million the previous year, according to the Illinois Department of Healthcare and Family Services.

Facing higher costs, Medicaid officials stopped paying for any but the sickest patients to get the new drugs, drawing criticism from some liver doctors who have said the state is preventing them from properly treating their patients. […]

In addition to limiting Sovaldi to the sickest patients, the Illinois Department of Healthcare and Family Services has set two dozen criteria for who can get the drug, including requiring that patients have no evidence of drug or alcohol abuse in the last 12 months and barring treatments not approved by the Food and Drug Administration.

Spending on hepatitis C treatment dropped from $1 million per week to about $200,000 per week after the department adopted the restrictions, said Dr. Arvind Goyal, the department’s medical director. […]

The state did not start keeping track of how many patients it denied Sovaldi until October, Goyal said. For the month of October, 43 of 50 patients who requested the treatment were denied, according to the department.

The problem is that state policy could be increasing state costs down the line, when denied Medicaid patients wind up hospitalized.

* And, of course, Americans are getting the shaft

Although Sovaldi cures hepatitis C in more than 90% of those who for whom it has been prescribed, the 12 week course of treatment in the U.S. is $84,000, which comes to $1,000 a pill.

While curing hepatitis C saves lives and prevents a lot of downstream healthcare costs for patients who, without this drug, could ultimately develop liver cancer or require a liver transplant, payers and politicians are in an uproar for a variety of reasons, not the least of which is that the drug is priced much higher in the U.S. than in the rest of the world. For example, in Europe, where the government negotiates the price, Sovaldi’s price tag is on the order of $55,000/patient.

While Gilead’s pricing strategy in the U.S. can be challenged, it has certainly taken a responsible approach to Sovaldi pricing in poorer countries. In Egypt and most recently in India, the cost of Sovaldi is going to be only $900/patient

  25 Comments      


Looking for a job?

Tuesday, Nov 18, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Those of you who are nobody what nobody sent can now click here and apply for a job with the incoming Rauner administration.

* From the required “Vetting” section

Business / Lobbying: Describe any business relationship, dealing or financial transaction which you have had during the last five years, whether for yourself, on behalf of a client, or acting as an agent which you believe may constitute an appearance of impropriety or could result in a potential conflict of interest in the position to which you want to be appointed. If none, please state. […]

Convictions: Have you ever been convicted of or entered a plea of guilty or nolo contendere or forfeited collateral for any criminal violation other than a minor traffic offense? (Minor traffic offenses do not include the Illinois offenses of operating under the influence of liquor, operating while impaired, reckless driving or the equivalent offenses in other states) […]

Opposition / Associations: Do you have any expectations of any group or individual voicing concern about your possible appointment? […]

Issues: In the last five years, have you been publicly identified, in person or by organizational membership, with a particularly controversial national, state or local issue? […]

Submission of Views: In the last five years, have you submitted oral or written views to any governmental authority, whether executive or legislative, or to the news media on any particularly controversial issue other than in an official governmental capacity? […]

Controversy: Is there anything in your personal or professional life that would cause controversy for you or the governor during a public review of your candidacy or your service as a gubernatorial appointee?

Seems like standard stuff.

  51 Comments      


Sen. Kirk jumps into treasurer’s race controversy

Tuesday, Nov 18, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* AP

Cross, the former Illinois House minority leader from Oswego, and his campaign are questioning the Chicago Board of Election Commissioners about the number of mailed ballots it has received and how it has accounted for them.

The board released a letter late Friday rebutting a majority of the claims, including its accounting for 4,600 absentee ballots and a claim that 1,406 previously unknown mail-in ballots were discovered in a closet. But the board acknowledged that 99 mail-in ballots that were received too late were inadvertently mingled with 459 legitimate ballots. Those 558 ballots were separated for possible “postelection court proceedings” under an agreement with election judges of both parties, board spokesman Jim Allen said.

The complaints by Cross’ lawyer William Quinlan prompted U.S. Sen. Mark Kirk to ask U.S. Attorney Zachary Fardon to “secure” questioned ballots and “establish the chain of custody.”

“Our home city of Chicago has an unfortunate reputation for voter fraud and producing bogus election results,” Kirk wrote in the letter obtained by the AP. Voters “find the alleged behavior repulsive and they demand a change.”

Allen responded by re-releasing the board’s Friday response to Quinlan and adding, “There are contents of that original letter drafted by Mr. Quinlan that are clearly uninformed, misguided, inaccurate, and absolutely reckless with the truth.”

* Meanwhile, you’ve probably noticed that the treasurer’s race numbers changed last night. Scott Kennedy explains why

* DeWitt County – there were a total of 5 new votes over what was previously publicly reported and Cross gained 4 votes. These should be their final totals.
* Jasper County – there were a total of 4 new votes over what was previously publicly reported and Cross gained 4 votes. These should be their final totals.
* Marshall County – there were a total of 10 new votes over what was previously publicly reported and Cross gained 4 votes. These should be their final totals.
* Pope County – there were a total of 3 new votes over what was previously publicly reported and Cross gained 1 vote. These should be their final totals.
* Richland County – there were a total of 29 new votes over what was previously publicly reported and Cross gained 9 votes. These should be their final totals.
* Macoupin County – there were a total of 79 new votes over what was previously publicly reported and it was a push, the margin remains exactly the same. These should be their final totals.
* Bond County – there were a total of 2 new votes over what was previously publicly reported and Cross gained 2 votes. These should be their final totals.
* Morgan County – there were a total of 123 new votes over what was previously publicly reported and Cross gained 41 votes. These should be their final totals.
* Pike County – there were a total of 4 new votes over what was previously publicly reported and Cross gained 3 votes. These should be their final totals.
* Fayette County – there were a total of 26 new votes over what was previously publicly reported and Cross gained 11 votes. These should be their final totals.
* Kane (only, not including Aurora) – there were a total of 382 new votes over what was previously publicly reported and Cross gained 215 votes. I’m not sure if these are their final totals.
* Vermilion (only, not including Danville) – there were a total of 81 new votes over what was previously publicly reported and Frerichs gained 1 vote. These should be their final totals.

* And gives us a look ahead

Here is what to expect for tomorrow and Wednesday. I expect the clerks will finalize and update the vote totals in each election authority tomorrow. The clerks will still have to complete the canvass and the totals won’t yet be certified but at least we won’t be expecting any further updates unless errors are found.

Technically the clerks have to wait to make sure no additional ballots come in the mail tomorrow so the updates are more likely to come later in the day. I will take a late lunch and check for updates during my lunch and then again after work.

On Wednesday I have to travel for work and will not be able to check for updates at all. I have given Rich Miller and his intern access to the Google Doc that is keeping track of these totals so they can make updates if needed.

Also, if you need to get updates faster anyone can copy/paste the data at the bottom of my tracker where it is listed by election authority and perform their own checks.

To make it easier to quickly see which totals are final I have them color coded. All the numbers for each election authority in blue are not yet final, the numbers in black are the numbers that are expected to be final.

For previous updates I’ve written a little blurb after each one explaining the update. Here is that history in table format. Since almost all 110 election authorities are expected to have an update in the next day or two I probably won’t write up each one, I am going to try to keep this table up to date and just reference the table.

His tracker is here.

  34 Comments      


Strapped school districts battling it out

Tuesday, Nov 18, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Tribune

Illinois school districts ended up nearly $1 billion in the hole in 2013, dipping into reserves or borrowing to pay the bills, according to the latest finance data, painting a grim picture of the state’s public school system.

While statewide school deficits aren’t unusual — some have been much higher over the years — the red ink comes just two years after districts as a whole were in the black and at a time when a fight over state education dollars has become more fervent and widespread. […]

Overall, more than 500 of the state’s roughly 860 districts spent more than they took in during the 2012-13 school year, struggling to cover losses in state and federal dollars and leaning more on local taxpayers. Even taking into account surpluses in other districts, the public school system’s red ink totaled $931 million, state data show. Districts that continue to operate in the red risk state intervention and other consequences.

Despite the deficits, spending per student continued to climb to an average of $12,045 statewide, with some districts in the Chicago region spending more than $20,000 per child, a Tribune analysis found

* Meanwhile

Elgin School District U46 is looking to fill buses headed to Springfield on Tuesday to rally for the funding reforms that would benefit the district.

For those who cannot attend, school administrators throughout the Fox Valley are urging residents to voice their opinions on the proposed school funding reform package by providing testimony that will be included as part of the record.

The efforts are part of a call-to-action from school districts throughout Illinois who are taking sides in a debate over Senate Bill 16, a plan that shifts how the state funds education. The issue is hitting the forefront because of a joint hearing between the Illinois House’s Appropriations-Elementary and Secondary Education Committee and the Elementary and Secondary Education Committee.

The committees are scheduled to take up Senate Bill 16, also known as the School Funding Reform Act of 2014, at 3 p.m. Tuesday in Room 114 of the Capitol.

* More on the bill

A resolution sponsored by Republican Rep. Ron Sandack and co-sponsored by 20 of the 47 members of the House GOP caucus decries what it called Manar’s “piecemeal reallocation” of school funding that will lead hundreds of districts to “deep budget reductions and financial uncertainty.”

Rauner, who invested millions in education reform before running for office, indicated during an October debate that he doesn’t support Manar’s bill, even though he thinks Illinois’ school funding formula should be overhauled. His spokesman, Mike Schrimpf, said Rauner would not elaborate at this time beyond what he’d said during the debate. […]

[Rep. Will Davis] said he hopes the proposal could come up for a vote as early as the General Assembly’s last session in early January before the inauguration of Rauner, who would likely veto it. […]

“There remains a good amount of concern about the bill in its current form,” said Steve Brown, Madigan’s spokesman. “(But) there’s no doubt some changes need to be made in how we fund schools.”

* And

The Senate architect of the plan says he doesn’t know if lawmakers will push something to Democratic Gov. Pat Quinn before Republican Bruce Rauner is sworn into office in January.

“This is going to take the House some time,” said state Sen. Andy Manar, a Bunker Hill Democrat. “That’s the process the House is starting.”

* But Finke reports that all the excitement today will be for naught, at least for now. The bill’s sponsor is saying it won’t be called for a while

However, the House won’t take action on changing the state funding formula until next spring at the earliest.

“Sen. Manar has done a great job over there, and he knows that we’re going to be doing a lot more work on it,” Chapa LaVia said. “He knows that the bill won’t be called in this General Assembly.”

Chapa LaVia noted that there has been pushback from more affluent school districts that fear they will lose money under a revised funding formula. She said she hopes the hearings will focus attention on the need not only to revise the distribution formula but also to put more money into education overall.

“I need as many people at the table, pro and anti on this, so we can all come to an agreement that we have short-sheeted the kids of the state of Illinois for way too long,” she said.

Manar has a good idea, but I still think the bill can’t move forward without some hold harmless provisions, and that’ll require a lot of money that the state simply doesn’t currently have. We’ll see.

  42 Comments      


Schneider may be back in ‘16

Tuesday, Nov 18, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Considering that Bob Dold lost two years ago in a Democratic landslide and took his seat back from Brad Schneider in this big GOP year, a Schneider comeback wouldn’t be all that surprising. From Politico

Illinois Rep. Brad Schneider, one of 10 House Democrats who lost reelection, stood before his 200 fellow congressional Democrats during a glum gathering Thursday to say goodbye and thank you.

When he finished, Schneider, a bespectacled and mild-mannered former business management consultant, was taken back by the reception. “Run again! Run again!” many of his colleagues chanted.

Only two weeks after a political blowout that left Democrats with their smallest House minority in over 80 years, at least a half-dozen of the party’s candidates who fell short are already being courted to run again in 2016. And some of them are seriously considering it.

Their thinking reflects what has become prevailing wisdom in Democratic circles: that presidential elections are as favorable to the party as midterms are punishing. Democrats who lost close races in battleground districts this year could just as easily come out on top in 2016, when the electorate is sure to be younger, more diverse and more liberal. […]

Republican strategists disagree. They argue that many of the Democrats are damaged after coming under a barrage of political attacks in 2014 and are unlikely to fare better if they try again.

“If I were a Republican incumbent in a tough district, I’d prefer a challenger with built-in negatives and a record to attack,” said Andy Sere, a GOP ad maker.

Thoughts?

  22 Comments      


Rauner coming to town Thursday

Tuesday, Nov 18, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* It’ll be mildly interesting to see which office Rauner chooses to use when he’s in town this week. That’s often interpreted as a sign of who’s most in favor. Then again, it’s also sometimes misinterpreted. And, then again, he may choose to go to legislators’ offices instead. Sun-Times

Governor-elect Bruce Rauner is to arrive in Springfield in time for Thursday morning’s session.

Since winning the Nov. 4 election, Rauner has spoken to more than 50 lawmakers, his staff says. […]

Rauner is headed to Springfield after first traveling to Florida on Tuesday for the Republican Governors Association annual conference.

What Rauner won’t be doing in Springfield is lobbying on any issues — not the Uber bill or a proposal to increase the minimum wage — his staff says.

I still think that there’s more going on behind the scenes on that Uber bill than is being publicly acknowledged. And maybe even the minimum wage bill.

* And speaking of the minimum wage, from a press release

Chicago working families are outraged at the news today that Speaker of the House Michael Madigan and State Senator John Cullerton are considering robbing Chicago of its freedom to set its own minimum wage, by annulling Chicago’s ‘home rule’ control over its own regulations and forcing the city to adopt a proposed statewide minimum wage of $10/hour.

According to the United States Department of Commerce, the cost of living in Chicago is higher than any other city in the Midwest, and 20.1% higher than the rest of Illinois. Local residents have spoken out demanding a higher minimum wage. In the March primary elections, 86% of voters in 103 precincts called for a citywide minimum wage of $15/hr, leading legislators to introduce a $15/hr ordinance into City Council in May.

By moving to revise state constitutional law to deny Chicago the right to raise its own minimum wage, Madigan and Cullerton are listening to the interests of low-wage employers and groups like the Illinois Retail Merchants Association, who have given them hundreds of thousands of dollars in campaign contributions, and new Republican Governor-Elect Bruce Rauner, who met privately with the two legislators last week, instead of the Chicago citizens they were elected to represent.

That would require a three-fifths super-majority in both chambers, which means Republican votes, particularly in the House. We’ll see.

* By the way, the House has some hearings scheduled for this afternoon. Click here to see the schedule. We’ll start our live coverage today at noonish.

  29 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Tuesday, Nov 18, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Candidate filing begins

Monday, Nov 17, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I don’t know if anybody cares or not, but the Chicago Board of Election Commissioners sent out a list of candidates who filed this morning. Rahm Emanuel was the only major candidate who filed for mayor. And, so far 124 candidates have filed to run in the city’s 50 wards. Click here to see the list. And the Tribune has a brief look at some of the contested races. Click here for that.

I was in the 4th Ward shortly before the election and there were people all over the place with clipboards attempting to get folks onto the ballot.

…Adding… Greg Hinz

No one yet has filed either for city treasurer or clerk. But a total of 124 candidates is running for alderman, an average of about two and a half for each of the city’s 50 wards, but less than 167 that filed first thing in 2011.

In nine wards that in general are represented by entrenched incumbents, only the incumbent filed. Those are the 12th, 13th, 14th, 30th, 32nd, 40th 42nd, 48th and 50th wards.

No incumbent filed in three wards. Those are the 2nd, in which the current alderman, Fioretti, is running for mayor; and the 36th and 38th wards. Incumbent 38th Ward Ald. Tim Cullerton is retiring, but neighboring Ald. Nicholas Sposato is running in the 36th after his ward was changed very substantially in reapportionment.

In a couple of other aldermanic notes of interest, Patrick Daley Thompson, grandson of Mayor Richard J. Daley and nephew of Mayor Richard M. Daley, filed to run in the family’s 11th Ward Bridgeport fiefdom, as expected. And Lincoln Park Ald. Michele Smith, 43rd, drew two challengers with the possibility of more to come.

  38 Comments      


Question of the day

Monday, Nov 17, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* On election day, I posted this photo of Bruce Rauner casting his ballot

An eagle eyed commenter noted at the time that Rauner had voted against retaining all judges.

* The president of the Lesbian and Gay Bar Association of Chicago, John Litchfield, penned an open letter to Rauner about his votes and Jack Leyhane published it

Dear Mr. Rauner,

A photo of you published on November 5, 2014 with your completed ballot indicates that you voted “No” on every judicial candidate for retention to the Cook County bench, according to Republican Judge James G. Riley’s letter to the Chicago Daily Law Bulletin (published on November 10, 2014, and enclosed here for your reference). I, too, saw the photograph referenced by Judge Riley, and am disappointed to see that it confrrms his account.

This means you voted not to retain even the stars of the bench, the leaders and stand-outs, the innovators and those working to bring peace and resolution to families in our communities. Judges, perhaps more so than any of the elected officials in our state, have a direct and lasting impact on the lives of Illinoisans on a daily basis - whether it be petitioners in bankruptcy, divorce court, or child custody, or defendants in criminal cases or eviction proceedings. The issues our judiciary grapples with are deeply personal to the citizens of our state who deserve only the best on the bench.

Judge Riley’s letter is correct: the 2014 class of retention candidates enjoyed better bar ratings than most previous classes; no 2014 candidate received less than 50% “Yes” recommendations from rating bar associations; and only eight of 73 had any “No” recommendations at all. Prior classes of retention candidates have usually featured at least one or two with 100% negative bar ratings.

* The Question: Do you agree with Bruce Rauner’s decision to vote against retaining all Cook County judges? Take the poll and then explain your answer in comments, please.


survey solutions

  139 Comments      


The ground game

Monday, Nov 17, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Chip is entitled to gloat

“This was the biggest Republican win for governor or senator since Jim Edgar. We did it because we won all the moderates outright,” Rauner campaign manager Chip Englander said. “We won a higher percentage of Democrats while winning more Republicans and more conservatives than [Mark] Kirk or [Bill] Brady did.

“We had a ground game that nobody saw coming,” Englander said. “This was the biggest race in America. This race literally is one of the all-time greatest … I think we ran the best campaign in the country.”

Englander held up the victory as a model for not just future GOP candidates in Illinois but one for the nation.

Like I said, he’s entitled to gloat. It was an impressive performance all around. It obviously helped, of course, that his candidate was rich and willing to spend

“They think this is the new model? Are any of them of legal age? Are they old enough to vote? I say that sarcastically, but the only thing new about the model is this guy dumps in $27 million of his own dollars. That’s the only thing new,” said Charles N. Wheeler III, director of the public affairs reporting program at the University of Illinois at Springfield.

Wheeler said Rauner pulled from the same historical playbook used by previous Republican governors: social moderate, fiscal conservative. “That’s the exact way that Jim Thompson, Jim Edgar and Gov. Ryan won. That’s exactly how they’ve won statewide.”

If by “model,” Chip means a socially moderate candidate who pays attention to the ground game and runs as an outsider, he’s right. But Charlie’s right, too. If your model depends on a really rich guy with cash to burn, then that’s not an easily replicated model.

* Also, Rauner didn’t have the advantage of a Republican patronage machine that those other governors had. He had to build his own ground game from the, um, ground up.

Without the governor’s office, the Democrats still have Cook County and the city to fortify them, which is a fallback position the Republicans haven’t had and why the party’s ground game completely collapsed post George. Rauner recognized this early on and was willing to fund a revival. It worked.

  69 Comments      


Poll: Undecideds ahead of Emanuel

Monday, Nov 17, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* A three-way race could send hizzoner to a runoff, according to a new poll conducted by Lake Research Partners for the Chicago Teachers Union

In a three-way contest among Emanuel, Cook County Commissioner Jesus “Chuy” Garcia, and 2nd Ward Alderman Bob Fioretti, if the election were held today, Emanuel takes 33 percent of the vote; Garcia snags 18 percent, and Fioretti, 13 percent [with 36 percent undecided …]

When the race is narrowed to a head-to-head contest between Emanuel and Chuy, the race closes to only 5 points; 36 percent to Emanuel, 31 percent for Garcia, and 30 percent undecided. […]

By a more than a two-to-one margin, undecided voters view Rahm more unfavorably (62 percent) than favorably (26 percent). […]

Chicagoans are dissatisfied with the direction of the city with just 35 percent say things are headed in the right direction, while 50 percent say things are heading in the wrong direction, according to the poll.

That’s a lot of undecideds. Emanuel ain’t toast yet, but, man, if he’s really at 33 and 36 percent are undecided after almost four years on the job and most of those undecideds view him unfavorably, he’s starting to look just a wee bit crispy around the edges.

  39 Comments      


Small Businesses Agree – Secure Choice is the Right Choice for Illinois

Monday, Nov 17, 2014 - Posted by Advertising Department

[The following is a paid advertisement.]

With the state legislative veto session upon us, lawmakers have an opportunity to do something good for small businesses in Illinois and their employees. They have the opportunity to vote yes on Senate Bill 2758 – a bill that will promote private savings and give small businesses in our state a competitive advantage in the marketplace.

SB2758 - the Illinois Secure Choice Savings Program – is a commonsense solution that will give small businesses the opportunity to provide a retirement account for their employees. Across the country, nearly 80% of small business employees don’t have access to a retirement savings plan at work (compared to only 22% of large business employees). Senate Bill 2758 will help to level the playing field for small businesses, giving them the opportunity to more effectively attract and retain qualified workers in a competitive hiring market.

So, what are small businesses saying about SB2758?

“Secure Choice is a win-win for the financial industry and the community.”
-Martin Cabrera Jr of Cabrera Capital (Chicago)

“[Secure Choice] allows me to attract and retain quality employees as well as provide an added value without the added burden and expenses levied on small businesses.”
Excell Lewis of XL Academics (Rockford)

AARP is proud to stand with small businesses across the state who support the Illinois Secure Choice Savings Program and we urge lawmakers to vote YES on Senate Bill 2758.

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Why the trial lawyers care about the minimum wage

Monday, Nov 17, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* My Crain’s Chicago Business column

Wealthy trial lawyers could very well end up being the unsung heroes of Illinois residents who earn only the minimum wage.

Why? It’s all about leverage.

Ever since GOP candidate Bruce Rauner was caught saying he would cut the state’s minimum wage, or even abolish it altogether, he has claimed that he really wants to increase the minimum wage to $10 an hour, but only if it’s tied to things like tort reform and an overhaul of the state’s workers’ compensation program.

Trial lawyers make their money by suing people and corporations, whether it’s a doctor who allegedly committed malpractice, a corporation that allegedly polluted a local water supply or a company that employed a worker injured on the job.

Click here to read the rest before commenting, please. Thanks!

  17 Comments      


Big support for Zalewski’s proposals, but not overwhelming when ideas are combined

Monday, Nov 17, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Paul Simon Public Policy Institute polled Rep. Mike Zalewski’s controversial anti-crime bill

Some have proposed that the mandatory minimum sentence for those convicted of a felony involving a firearm should be increased from two years to three years. Would you favor or oppose this proposal?

    Strongly favor 36.8%
    Favor 30.0%
    Oppose 16.0%
    Strongly oppose 6.5%
    Other/Don’t know 10.7%

Some have proposed a law requiring that convicted felons who have been found guilty of illegally carrying firearms would have to serve at least 85 percent of their sentence. Some
people a) support the law because they say it would make our laws more of a deterrent against violent gun crimes, and would take some of the most dangerous people off the streets and some people b) oppose the law because they say it would cost too much to house more people in already overcrowded prisons, and they worry that some law-abiding people might be imprisoned by this stricter law.

Which comes closer to your opinion, that

    Convicted felons should serve at least 85 percent of their gun crime sentences 64.5%
    We should not impose mandatory minimum sentences on felons convicted of gun crimes 25.2%
    Other/Don’t know 10.2%

* From the Institute

“Regardless of political affiliation or region of the state, these poll results show widespread public support for increasing to three years the mandatory minimum sentence for gun-involved felonies and Truth-in-Sentencing,” said Delio Calzolari, a lawyer and associate director of the Institute.

When broken out by region and political party, the poll found:

    • Minimum Sentencing / Region. Support for increased minimum sentencing is over 60 percent throughout the state. In Chicago, 66.0 percent favor and 24.0 percent oppose with 10.0 percent undecided. Downstate shows the weakest support with 63.4 percent in favor, 22.1 percent opposed and 14.5 percent undecided. The strongest support comes from the Chicago Suburbs with 69.2 percent in favor, 22.1 percent opposed and 8.7 percent undecided.

    • Minimum Sentencing / Political Party. Statewide, Republicans and Democrats show similar support in favor of bumping the minimum sentence from two to three years. 69.9 percent of Republicans favored the proposal as did 68.0 percent of Democrats. Republican opposition was 21.2 percent with 8.9 percent undecided. Democrat opposition was 23.2 percent with 8.8 percent undecided. Of those identifying themselves as Independent, 62.0 percent favored the proposal, 24.1 percent opposed and 13.9 percent were undecided.

    • Truth-in-Sentencing/ Region. The greatest support for requiring felons to serve 85 percent of their prison sentence versus no mandatory minimum was Downstate, where 67.0 percent supported the 85 percent sentences and 21.5 percent chose no mandatory sentences. There were 11.6 percent undecided. The weakest support for Truth-in-Sentencing was in Chicago where 61.5 percent of respondents chose requiring felons to serve at least 85 percent of their sentences, 26.0 percent chose no mandatory minimum sentencing, and 12.5 percent were undecided. In the Chicago suburbs, 64.2 percent of respondents chose the 85 percent minimum sentence, 27.2 percent chose the option for no minimum sentencing, and 8.5 percent were undecided.

    • Truth-in-Sentencing/ Political Party. Republicans favored this Truth in Sentencing proposal more than Democrats. Almost seven in ten Republicans (69.1 percent) chose the Truth in Sentencing proposal option as opposed to 65.3 percent of Democrats and 61.5 percent of Independents. Alternatively, 23.0 percent of Republicans, 24.7 percent of Democrats and 28.3 percent of Independents chose the option that minimum sentences should not be imposed on felons. Undecided Republicans, Democrats and Independents were 7.8 percent, 10.0 percent and 10.2 percent respectively.

    Combined Results/ Analysis Support softens when the policies are combined. Combined results show 51.5 percent of Illinoisans favor both the increased minimum sentencing and believe that convicted felons should serve at least 85% of prison sentences. Only 11.5 percent oppose both the sentencing increase and hold opinions closer to no minimum sentencing.

Emphasis added.

  15 Comments      


Madigan being Madigan, as Rauner shies away

Monday, Nov 17, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Doug Finke has a good story about Speaker Madigan’s new plan to set up the Lincoln Library and Museum as its own state agency

The House State Government Administration Committee is scheduled to consider Madigan’s plan to make the presidential library and museum its own state agency. The latest version is proposed as an amendment to Senate Bill 218, which the Senate could approve quickly if it first passes the House.

“I think it’s up in the air right now,” said committee chairman Rep. Jack Franks, D-Marengo. “When we had our hearing up in Chicago, I wanted to give the interested parties an opportunity to get together and try to come up with some solutions to the structure. My suggestion to the speaker is to hear what these guys have been working on as opposed to necessarily moving a bill at this point. But he may have a different perspective.”

Franks didn’t even know about Madigan’s new bill when I called him over a week ago. That’s Madigan’s way.

* But “Madigan’s way” is more than a little premature. There’s a review board in place and it will make recommendations by January 15th. The board is being assisted by Brent Glass, the former director of the Smithsonian Institution’s National Museum of American History.

Passing legislation just because it’s Madigan’s bill (and because he wants to save the hide of the current advisory board’s executive director, who just happens to be the significant other of his 13th Ward district office landlord) before that review board has had a chance to weigh in would be a huge mistake

“There are a lot of smart people looking at this issue and trying to figure out the best way to operate the library and museum so it pursues its mission as well as possible,” said Chris Wills, spokesman for the Historic Preservation Agency. “It won’t help anybody to rush and pass legislation before these people have a chance to offer their advice.”

* But this is interesting

Rauner’s staff did not respond to a question about his position on making the library and museum a separate department.

I got a no comment when I asked them about this ten days ago.

  16 Comments      


Hoist with their own petard

Monday, Nov 17, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From Peoria

One local senator, Darin LaHood of Dunlap, sees the last few years of fall and lame-duck sessions as travesties, with legislation that has been foisted on Illinoisans without due consideration or due consequences for voters. He has two measures introduced that would effectively prohibit colleagues from voting on major measures between an election and when their terms end.

“The reason why we have a lame-duck session — or we should — is in case of an emergency, a catastrophe, something happens,” he said last week. “That’s the reason why it’s there, not to go in there and pass a piece of legislation you know you don’t have the votes for in a regular session.”

Particularly for those leaving office (and especially for those just defeated for re-election), the “problem is when you have lame-duck votes, you’re not accountable to the people that elected you,” LaHood argues. […]

“You’re not sworn in for part of your term, every day counts. Every day of your term, you have to be ready to do your job,” the Chicago Tribune quoted Quinn as saying late last week. “And I would say to all the legislators, this is not holiday time, this is working time.”

I tend to side with Gov. Quinn on this issue, but with a big caveat.

* In hindsight, which is always 20/20, the lame duck income tax hike bill was terribly flawed. Yes, the state was facing a “catastrophe” without those revenues. But the bill itself was poorly thought out, mainly because it was thrown together in such haste.

A big problem, one even admitted to by Senate President John Cullerton, is that the tax was set to expire in the middle of a fiscal year. The thought at the time was that they could use the threat of looming cuts to overcome 2014 campaign objections about the tax itself. But killing off much of the tax hike in mid-stream caused some real budgetary problems. And, of course, the threat of looming cuts never really worked.

* And that brings us to the second big problem: Hubris. The initial step-down from 5 to 3.75 is so big and so sudden that it can’t easily (or even possibly) be absorbed, leading many to figure that the “temporary” aspect was all a ruse from the start. It probably was a ruse, but they could’ve at least started with some baby steps, say half a point every year or two, just in case their plan didn’t work and the Democrats didn’t hold onto the governor’s mansion.

Instead, we now have a huge fiscal crisis facing this state and no politically easy way out of it.

* The lesson here is that bills with massive impact need to be more carefully considered. Yes, I know that the harsh political calculus often works against that. You come up with something you can pass and then pass it before the bottom falls out. But that calculus depends on rank and file members trusting that their leaders have concocted the right approach. The income tax hike clearly shows that the Democratic leadership utterly failed to do that.

The Speaker is often praised for looking at every possible angle before making a move. But he obviously didn’t do that here, and neither did Cullerton and Quinn. As always, they figured they were smarter than everyone else, and it turned out this time that they weren’t.

/rant

  36 Comments      


“I get nowhere unless the team wins”

Monday, Nov 17, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* A Republican legislator who most believe is actively auditioning for an agency directorship

[GOP Senator Dave Syverson] voted against the temporary tax increase in 2011, when it was passed into law by the General Assembly. However, with a new governor coming in and the tax set to automatically roll back 2% in January, the issue is once again being debated by the Illinois General Assembly. “If the tax comes off in January, in the next 6 months we are going to end up with a multi-million dollar [budget] hole,” said Senator Syverson.

Without that money, Syverson warns that schools, daycares, and nursing home staff will not get paid. On top of that, the state will owe them interest.

First, it is automatically rolling back to 3.75 percent from 5. That’s not a 2 percent rollback. Second, the hole is multi-billion dollars deep.

* But, whatever. Syverson is obviously a team player. He will take any politically unpopular vote necessary to help his state - now that we have a Republican governor-elect, of course. Nevermind that he’s being mentioned as a potential director of the Department of Insurance. That potential personal advancement has nothing whatsoever to do with his profound courage. It’s the right thing to do.

No snark intended.

OK, well, maybe a little.

But, hey, take him at his word. He wants to help, and that’s not a bad thing.

* By contrast, here’s a Republican legislator who’s obviously not interested in “the team” and is therefore still clinging to the old magic beans solution

However, Representative Joe Sosnowski (R) believes the state can save money from other funds to cover the projected income deficit. He says there’s half a billion dollars sitting in Medicaid alone that the state can save. “My feeling is, before we look to extending [the income tax,] we really need to look at our spending and what reforms we can do,” said Representative Sosnowski.

Stay away from baseball bats, Joe. [/snark because metaphor]

That clip may be a little harsh for morning (or work) viewing. Be advised.

  44 Comments      


Dealing with Madigan

Monday, Nov 17, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* My weekly syndicated newspaper column

Last December, Bruce Rauner appeared on a WLS Radio talk show and revealed that he planned to form a new campaign committee to counter the power of Illinois House Speaker Michael Madigan.

“We’re gonna raise a PAC, we’re gonna raise a fund dedicated to the state legislature, members of both parties who take the tough votes,” Rauner said. “We’ve gotta protect the members who take tough votes.”

“Right now,” Rauner continued, “Madigan controls the legislature from his little pot of cash. It isn’t that much money. And he runs the whole state government out of that pot. We need a pro-business, pro-growth, pro-limited-government, pro-tax-reduction PAC down there in Springfield working with the legislature for those who take tough votes.”

Word is that Rauner’s new legislative PAC will be launched relatively soon – perhaps after the governor-elect’s transition committee has finished its job.

Rod Blagojevich tried the same thing with his Move Illinois Forward PAC several years ago. As I pointed out on my blog when Rauner revealed his plans, Blagojevich’s PAC didn’t work out all that well, partly because Blagojevich was relying on a Democratic donor base that didn’t want to step on Madigan’s toes.

Rauner, of course, won’t have that problem. And he also has plenty of his own cash.

But how “little” is Madigan’s “pot of cash”? Well, the House Republicans believe that when it’s all said and done, Madigan and his candidates will have spent $10 million.

An Election Day tally showed that Madigan had raised $5.7 million during the cycle, but add in the money raised by his targeted candidates and the total rises to $10.6 million, plus another $290,000 in reported independent expenditures. The tally was conducted by Kent Redfield, an emeritus professor of political science at the University of Illinois at Springfield.

House Republican Leader Jim Durkin’s committees raised $4 million, but add a million dollars in independent expenditures and the money raised by Durkin’s candidates (much of it from contributions by the state Republican Party – via Rauner) and Durkin’s number rises to almost $7.9 million.

What Rauner is attempting to do here is strengthen his own hand as governor and maybe try to entice some of Madigan’s members into breaking party ranks on occasion.

But Madigan controls just about every aspect of a House Democrat’s existence. Everything from office and staff assignments to committee assignments to bills getting called to patronage and perks such as his numerous season tickets at Chicago sports stadiums – you gotta go through him. And if you try the nectar of a competing sugar daddy, things can get ugly.

But more competition is probably good for the system, as long as it doesn’t escalate into Blagojevichian levels of insanity.

But the governor-elect might want to also take a few minutes and read a Chicago Sun-Times story from 2012 in which Speaker Madigan explained what he most respected about the seven governors he had served with.

Actually, he didn’t say anything nice about the imprisoned Blagojevich, and didn’t have too many kind words for our outgoing governor, Pat Quinn. But he did heap praise on two Republicans: Jim Thompson and George Ryan.

Of Thompson, who was governor for a record 14 years, Madigan said that he was “a very intelligent person, a quick learner, very flexible. He understood … that you need to fashion compromise if you need to move forward.”

Of Ryan, who like Madigan was once the Illinois House speaker, he said: “George would say, ‘We’ve got problems. What do we have to do to solve these problems?’ A [legislative] leader might want to evade the question; he might have a strategic plan they’re working and don’t want to answer today. And George would just pursue, persist: ‘I want an answer!’”

Former Governor Jim Edgar accompanied Rauner on his final campaign swing. Of him, Madigan was less effusive in his praise: “a little more strident than Governor Thompson … more willing to engage in protracted negotiations in order to get what he wanted, especially out of the budget.” Even so, Madigan and Edgar did get plenty of things done.

Rauner will obviously have his own style, and he’ll have his own battles that will have to be fought with Madigan. But there’s no getting around the man. If the governor-elect meant it when he said on election night that he wants to find bipartisan solutions to the state’s many problems, he’ll notice how Madigan admires governors who forcefully attempt to overcome problems and move the state forward. He can be worked with.

* More from that 2012 article

Madigan was most effusive in his praise for convicted former Gov. George Ryan, calling him “very flexible, very interested in just identifying problems and fashioning solutions.”

Ryan’s favorite approach was to gather all four legislative leaders in a room to work a deal, Madigan recalled. That would include Madigan; Daniels, who invited Madigan to speak and who fondly recalled the “two wonderful years” he wrested power from Madigan; former Senate President James “Pate” Philip, and former Senate Democratic leader Emil Jones. […]

Recalling one meeting, Madigan said, “George Ryan wanted a capital program. There were going to be fee increases, tax increases. He started with me. I told him ‘I’m for it — I think you oughta make it bigger.’ He got to Pate Philip. There’s a favorite method in the Legislature with the legislative leaders. The leader doesn’t want to look at the governor and tell him ‘No.’ So they blame their caucus members: ‘Our caucus won’t agree to that.’ Pate used to refer to his caucus members as ‘gorillas.’ It’s true: ‘My gorillas don’t like that.’

“There was this pause. Ryan just looked at him and he said, ‘You said that to me after everything I’ve done for you?’ And then he took him out of the room, took him into a separate room, and closed the door. There was a lot of screaming and shouting. They both came back and sat down and George looked at Pate and Pate said, ‘Governor, there will be enough votes to pass your bill.’ That was George’s method — very effective.”

  25 Comments      


TrackBill – An Introduction

Monday, Nov 17, 2014 - Posted by Advertising Department

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Monday, Nov 17, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Good morning!

Monday, Nov 17, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* When the old party is voted out and the new party is voted in, hundreds of decent, talented people get kicked to the patronage curb. I was friends with many of them twelve years ago, and the same goes for many of them again today.

Like before, most will be OK. But the state’s one-year “revolving door” law means that not everybody will land on their feet this time around. To me, the law doesn’t make a lick of sense during a political party shift. It ought to be suspended.

But, whatever, this song is for those folks

We’ve all had our ups and downs
It’s been mostly down around here

  34 Comments      


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