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Question of the day

Monday, Oct 23, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The setup…


The background is here.

* The Question: Assuming she runs, what do you make of Rep. Jeanne Ives’ chances against Gov. Rauner in the GOP primary? Explain.

  59 Comments      


The great Rauner pivot of 2017

Monday, Oct 23, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I am not making this up…


…Adding… From a couple of short months ago…

“Jesse White is Mike Madigan’s top patronage chief, using the Secretary of State’s office as a jobs machine for Madigan allies. J.B. Pritzker’s willingness to accept the endorsement of the Speaker’s top patronage chief is just another sign that Mike Madigan is orchestrating Pritzker’s nomination.” – Illinois Republican Party Spokesman Steven Yaffe

HT: IWT.

  33 Comments      


Rauner’s rollout

Monday, Oct 23, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* At least he was interviewed by some political reporters…


Flashback to GOP state Rep. Avery Bourne

“I think those have been the governor’s priorities, but I think that these negotiations really took place in the legislature,” she said, indicating credit should go to the Republican and Democratic leaders of the House and Senate — Republicans Jim Durkin and Bill Brady, and Democrats John Cullerton and Michael Madigan.

* It sounds like Tahman kinda took it to the guy…


Background to that item is here.

* Craig Wall

Rauner spoke with ABC7 Monday after his re-election announcement. He downplayed the struggles he has had with staff turnover in his administration and getting key items in his turnaround agenda passed, pointing to the education funding bill and ethics reform as victories for the state.

He brushed off talk of a primary challenge from conservative State Representative Jeanne Ives. He also dismissed concerns that by signing the controversial bill that allows for taxpayer funded abortions for poor women that he has alienated his conservative base.

“I hear from Republicans and Democrats and independents and people all over the state, they know that we’ve got to change the system, they know I’m the one person who can lead the movement, to get the income tax rolled back, to get real property tax relief and to get term limits on our politicians. The thing that unites us all, we are all united, we can all agree on those things and that’s what we’re all gonna focus on,” Rauner said.

* For a far friendlier interview, click here

We have got to roll back Madigan’s forced higher income tax - we’ve got to roll it back in a few years. We can get that done by growing our economy faster than government spending.

* Meanwhile, if you think the governor’s new campaign announcement video seemed familiar to you, click here to see his 2013 announcement video. Lots of the same themes and even some of the same footage. Screen caps from the old video are on the top, new video on the bottom…





There appear to be a couple more, but that’s enough for one day.

  20 Comments      


Kennedy’s “revolution”

Monday, Oct 23, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Laura Washington

No state in the nation needs a revolution more than Illinois.

When you declare war on a political party, you can be sure its leaders will respond at a nuclear level.

The Kennedy campaign must organize a voter revolt.

Will voters even show up? As Kennedy noted, 500,000 people voted in Illinois’ last Democratic gubernatorial primary, out of 12.8 million statewide.

“The winner only needed 2 percent of the people in the state to win. That makes our government incredibly susceptible to a small number of people controlling the outcome of every election.”

Those people don’t plan to give that up.

Will beaten-down, cynical voters respond to reform in the age of Bruce Rauner and Donald J. Trump?

Or is the time for “Yes, We Can” long gone?

* Speaking of “Yes, We Can,” Dolores Huerta coined the phrase “sí se puede.” From the Kennedy campaign

Dolores Huerta is a civil rights and labor icon. In 1988, when César Shavez held a 36-day fast to highlight the harmful impact of pesticides on farmworkers, he was joined by Chris’s mother, Ethel Kennedy, and her children, including Chris. Chris fasted in solidarity with César for three days. We all stood behind César because we loved him and we believed in his fight for justice. Now, Dolores is fully behind Chris’s gubernatorial run.

Video

* Kennedy did a fundraising e-mail about that Washington column…

It’s no secret that Illinois government is broken.

The reality is there are many people among us who think our state government is currently a model for dysfunction and that there’s nothing we can do to change it.

It does not have to be this way. We can all join together to change our government and fix our broken system

If we are complacent with the political system we have today, then we are complicit in losing our democratic values.

Just like my dad said, “we are all part of the great tradition, that great legacy of change, and improvement in America.”

* Moving on and speaking of fundraisers, this Erika Harold pitch was sent by “Erika’s iPad” the other day…

We’re quickly approaching the end of the month, which means we have to file another finance report showing the growth of our operation. So, whatever you contribute today will help us on the road and will show the strength of our team.

Would you consider chipping in to get us to our October deadline?

Tribune

There is no end-of-October deadline for filing campaign finance reports with the Illinois State Board of Elections. In fact, the last deadline for filing major reports occurred Monday — four days before the latest email was sent — when candidates had to report contributions and expenses from July 1 to Sept. 30. […]

Harold, seeking the post Democratic Attorney General Lisa Madigan is leaving after four terms, has reported raising $153,755. That figure includes $41,850 in assistance from the Illinois Republican Party with some of the help paying for “fundraising consulting,” which typically includes email cash solicitations.

But as far as the end of October being an important deadline?

Trick or treat.

* And from the Biss campaign…

Today, Daniel Biss announced the endorsement of State Representative Ann Williams.

“I’m proud to endorse Daniel Biss for governor of Illinois,” said Ann Williams. “During our time in the legislature, Daniel has been a leader and engaged partner in so many critical fights: protecting our environment, advocating for equality for the LGBTQ community, and securing the economic and reproductive rights of women. I’ve also seen Daniel’s dedication as we’ve tackled the many consumer protection issues that pose serious challenges in our rapidly changing 21st century economy.

“When consumer protection laws fall behind new technologies, it’s working and middle class families who pay the price. That’s why, rather than trusting corporations to exercise good judgment in handling ever-increasing amounts of data, Daniel and I have passed legislation to protect Illinois families from the devastating effects of data breaches, identity theft, and reckless banking practices.

“This is why we need a leader like Daniel—someone with a track record of identifying the problems of tomorrow and galvanizing people to tackle them today. His foresight and dedication, grounded in a personal understanding of the barriers and threats facing middle class families today, have made him an effective legislator and grassroots organizer and will make him an excellent governor.”

“It’s an honor to receive Ann Williams’ endorsement,” said Daniel Biss. “Ann has earned a reputation for always looking one step ahead, whether she’s enacting consumer protection legislation amidst an ever-changing landscape of technology, organizing legislators to fight for a renewable energy and pollution-free future, or introducing proposals to replace last-minute, crisis-driven budgets with long-term fiscal responsibility.

“With a discerning eye and commitment to justice that transcends the political spotlight, Ann has also been an unwavering advocate for the rights of women and LGBTQ Illinoisans, uprooting discriminatory policies of the past and paving the path towards an equitable future. It’s been a pleasure learning from and working with Ann in the legislature, and I look forward to continuing to organize around our progressive values when I’m governor.”

Williams contributed $1,000 to Biss last month.

  20 Comments      


Plummer jumps into crowded field

Monday, Oct 23, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* He’s ba-ack

* Plummer appears to be taking the Jim Oberweis route. Run statewide, run for US House then run for Illinois Senate

Jason Plummer, of Edwardsville, confirmed on Facebook he is seeking the seat being vacated by state Sen. Kyle McCarter, R-Lebanon, who said he is not running for re-election. […]

Plummer is the fourth candidate to jump into the Republican primary for the 54th state senate district. Also running are Rafael Him of New Baden, Ben Stratemeyer of Centralia, and George Barber, the Greenville University men’s basketball coach.

Plummer, the vice president of R.P. Lumber, was the lieutenant governor nominee when state Sen. Bill Brady, R-Bloomington, ran for governor in 2010. Brady lost to former governor Pat Quinn.

In 2012, he was the GOP candidate in the 12th congressional district and lost to Democrat Bill Enyart, of Belleville.

  41 Comments      


Report: HQ2 incentive package could top $2.25 billion

Monday, Oct 23, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Sun-Times breaks down the state and local incentives package for Amazon’s second headquarters

Roughly $1.4 billion in state EDGE tax credits. The newly-revised program provides a 50 percent tax break for every job they create in Illinois.

$60 million in property tax breaks through the city and county programs known as Class 7B and 7C.

$450 million in site-specific infrastructure improvements that would come from the Illinois Department of Transportation, the Chicago Department of Transportation, the CTA and other agencies.

$250 million worth of investments in education, workforce development and “Neighborhood Opportunity Funds” to make certain that all Chicagoans can qualify for the 50,000 high-end Amazon jobs and that businesses that spring up or move here to support Amazon locate in Chicago neighborhoods.

Free land worth $100 million, if Amazon chooses to build its second headquarters at the old Michael Reese Hospital site purchased by former Mayor Richard M. Daley as the site for an Olympics Chicago didn’t get. If Amazon chooses either to re-purpose or demolish and rebuild the Thompson Center that the state has been trying desperately to sell, the free land would be worth even more money.

Barring the possible free land incentive, that works out to about $45,000 for each of the promised 50,000 jobs.

  23 Comments      


More support for overriding Rauner veto of debt transparency bill

Monday, Oct 23, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* BGA…

In mid-August, Governor Rauner vetoed House Bill 3649, the Debt Transparency Act. HB3649 was sponsored by state Rep. Fred Crespo and state Sen. Andy Manar, with the support of comptroller Susana Mendoza.

The bill would require all state agencies to report to the comptroller the dollar amount of any bills they receive and to indicate whether funding has been committed to pay off the obligations. Unlike current practice, the legislation requires reporting of due bills be done on a monthly basis. If an agency does not have any financial obligations, the comptroller can waive its reporting requirement.

The BGA supports an override of the governor’s veto of HB3649 and supported passage of the bill before the veto. An override vote is expected Wednesday in Springfield. The proposal passed out of the Illinois Senate and House with bipartisan support from Republicans and Democrats. HB3649 would boost transparency and provide taxpayers with a clearer, more accurate and current assessment of our debt and other financial obligations.

* Sun-Times

This isn’t a debate just for accountants. If the state lets a bill go unpaid for 90 days, the interest rate by law generally jumps to 12 percent a year, which hits every taxpayer in the pocketbook. That also makes it a lot harder for the state to dig out of its financial problems.

After a lengthy budgetary impasse, Illinois’ finances are a mess. We should embrace anything that helps to restore order to the state’s checkbook. Rauner vetoed the bill, but no one has advanced a persuasive argument for upholding his veto.

* PJStar

The Illinois Legislature must override the governor’s inexplicable veto of a good government measure known as the Debt Transparency Act. […]

This is basic, slam-dunk stuff. It’s impossible to balance the budget, as constitutionally required, without an accurate, real-time handle on the balance sheet, on liabilities and cash flow. The comptroller needs to know how old the bills are, whether there’s been an appropriation, whether interest penalties are accruing — in short, not fly blind — to prioritize payments, where possible. Sometimes federal matching dollars are at risk. It is nuts that the unpaid bill backlog could grow by $1 billion or more in a single day because an agency held on to its bills. Think of a spouse running up a credit card. […]

Rep. Ryan Spain of Peoria plans to reverse his earlier “no” vote to a “yes” to override, and Rep. Keith Sommer and Sens. Chuck Weaver and Bill Brady should follow without hesitation. (All other local legislators were on board.) To do otherwise is to communicate that you’re opposed to transparent, fiscally responsible government. Really?

* Herald & Review

Gov. Rauner vetoed the bill. While acknowledging it would be good to provide more transparency about the state’s financial condition, he said, “This legislation more closely resembles an attempt by the Comptroller to micromanage executive agencies,” and complained about the amount of time the reporting would require. And the information provided, he added, would be “decreasing marginal.”

That from a businessman. To suggest Rauner would accept this reporting arrangement in his own businesses is ludicrous. To present himself as fiscally responsible and reject a bill spelling out requirements for that responsibility is disingenuous, a word we find ourselves using about the governor more often than we’d like.

Not that they’re always right or anything, but I’ve yet to see a newspaper editorial against an override of this veto. Mendoza has out-fought, out-hustled and out-maneuvered the governor on this one.

  11 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Yet another problem at DCFS

Monday, Oct 23, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Tribune

And then 44-pound Verna became part of a growing pattern of similar fatalities: She was one of 15 Illinois children to die of abuse or neglect from 2012 through last year in homes receiving “intact family services” from organizations hired by DCFS, a Tribune investigation found.

There was only one such child death under the intact family services program during the previous five years from 2007 through 2011, according to DCFS records released to the Tribune under the Freedom of Information Act.

The mission of intact family services, which roughly 2,700 children are receiving statewide, is to offer counseling, resources and oversight to keep families together, instead of putting children through another trauma by removing them from the home and placing them with strangers.

The spike in deaths began in 2012 after DCFS completely privatized the program, putting the care of families in the hands of nonprofit groups but doing little to evaluate the quality of their work, give them guidance and resources, or hold them accountable when children were hurt or put at risk, the Tribune found. […]

Illinois’ new child welfare director, Beverly “B.J.” Walker, said she was alarmed by the Tribune’s finding on the surge of child fatalities in intact family services cases as well as by a sharply critical report from the DCFS Inspector General on Verna’s death.

*** UPDATE ***  Ugh

Like a scene out of the fairy tales she loved, the little girl everyone called Princess was heard crying for help from her second-story window.

But unlike Rapunzel, no prince showed up to rescue 4-year-old Emily Rose Perrin, whose mother hallucinated about dark angels that told her to kill the child.

The state child protective agency with the power to take children from their parents didn’t save Emily either, despite receiving 10 reports of suspected abuse.

The Illinois Department of Children and Family Services now is calling Emily’s death a failure of the system and is making changes to stop it from happening again. […]

As a result of cases like Emily’s, Walker said DCFS has:

    ▪ Changed the numbering and case record search capabilities so investigators can get a better history of each family, including reports of abuse or neglect that at the time were found not to be credible.

    ▪ Created a report for supervisors on the 2,700 cases being monitored by DCFS that have new allegations of abuse or neglect.

    ▪ Come up with a plan to review cases with new reports at a higher management level in the agency to ensure the quality of the work.

    ▪ Come up with a plan to facilitate regular contact between the family’s caseworkers and investigators regarding additional needs.

    ▪ Come up with a plan to try to make sure investigators and caseworkers will visit the home together to make sure each understands the family situation and the scope of the new allegation.

The agency also will seek the help of police, school officials and mental health professionals, according to Skene, the assistant to the DCFS director.

Years and years of promises and we still get “failure of the system” excuses. Go read the whole thing.

  24 Comments      


Will Illinois really break the spending record?

Monday, Oct 23, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* AP

The 2018 Illinois governor’s race is on pace to be the most expensive in U.S. history, propelled by a wealthy Republican incumbent and a billionaire Democrat who are airing TV ads and hopping private planes to campaign events more than a year before Election Day. […]

But this is not a typical race. All of the candidates combined have raised more than $100 million in the past year. Most of that comes from Pritzker and Rauner’s own money.

That’s almost as much as was spent in the entire 2014 governor’s race, which set an Illinois record at $112 million. […]

If the trend continues the contest “absolutely” could surpass the most expensive governor’s race to date, a record set in California in 2010, said Colin Williams, the Illinois Campaign for Political Reform’s political data director. He said candidates spent about $280 million in that race, in which former Gov. Jerry Brown defeated ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Meg Whitman.

* Back in July, Scott Kennedy looked at a similar prediction

Aside from Pritzker the other Democratic gubernatorial candidates have combined to spend about $1.4 million so far, let’s say for argument’s sake they spend another $15 million on top of that in the primary. For our general election predictions let’s use Rauner’s 2014 spending as a guide. In 2014 Rauner had about $6 million in production expenses, let’s estimate that both Rauner and Pritzker will have about $7 million in production expenses this cycle. In 2014 Rauner directly spent about $3 million in mail plus had another $2.5 million from the Illinois Republican party for mail, for this exercise let’s estimate they each spend about $6 million in mail. Let’s give them each $1 million for polling, $3 million for materials (yard signs, buttons, bumper stickers, t-shirts, etc.) and $15 million for operations (operations, travel, payroll, consulting, etc.). Throw in the $9.3 million that Pritzker has already spent plus the $4 million that Rauner has already spent and you’ve accounted for about $94 million without even getting to media buys for the rest of the cycle yet. […]

The figures above total $93.7 million dollars, an impressive figure but still far from $300 million. The rest has to be spent on media buys between now and election day (the amount already spent on media buys and other campaign expenditures is listed above).

I don’t believe anyone is currently airing TV ads, although digital ads may be ongoing. But for argument’s sake let’s say both Rauner and Pritzker went back up on TV the day after Labor Day (a Tuesday) and didn’t come down until general election day 2018 (also a Tuesday). That is 61 weeks. In order to spend the remaining $206 million you would still have to spend another $3.4 million per week combined (or $1.7 million per week for each candidate) for every week starting this September running through election day the following fall. […]

It wasn’t until the final four weeks of the general election in 2014 that Rauner was spending $1.7 million per week, that is a healthy statewide buy. In order to spend $300 million on the Governor’s race it isn’t about spending even more money late in the cycle, that spending only has so much room to grow, the only way they can hit that target is to start spending heavily early. Another way of saying that is in order for the Governor’s race spending to reach $300 million combined both Prizker and Rauner need to spend at a level that 2014 Rauner didn’t reach until the final month of the election - for the final 61 weeks of this election cycle. That seems unlikely.

During the last quarter, Pritzker spent about $1 million per week on everything, including TV ads. He has a ways to go to get to $1.7 million per week on TV alone. But, hey, anything is possible nowadays.

  16 Comments      


Ives gears up, Walsh waits in wings

Monday, Oct 23, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Tribune

A Wheaton Republican lawmaker is actively considering a primary challenge of Gov. Bruce Rauner, saying she doesn’t expect him to win a general election contest next year.

Three-term Rep. Jeanne Ives has been courting social conservative groups and working to get her name out in settings far beyond her west suburban district in advance of a potential exploratory committee to determine if she can line up financing to take on Rauner, a former private equity investor.

* NBC 5

Ives is looking into forming an exploratory committee, sources said, adding that she would likely run if she could raise $1 million.

While Ives is among the candidates that the anti-abortion groups are considering, Caprio said there have been a few other names floated and the coalition hopes to make an official determination at its next meeting in November.

* She should listen to Scott Reeder

Ives is contemplating a primary run against Gov. Bruce Rauner after he signed a measure allowing for taxpayer-funded elective abortions. Some folks think the underlying issue here is abortion. It’s not.

Rauner signed the measure after promising Republicans in the Legislature, multiple Catholic bishops and the public that he wouldn’t.

Rauner’s supporters knew he was pro-choice when they elected him. But they didn’t know he was a liar.

Integrity matters.

* Back to the Tribune

Ives, however, is undeterred. “I’ll be honest with you: I honestly think Rauner could spend his entire fortune and not redeem his reputation,” she told the southern Illinois radio station. […]

Even so, several GOP colleagues say privately that Ives is not among the most collegial members of the General Assembly — a trait she may have acknowledged when she was asked on Downstate radio about the exodus of lawmakers that have resigned or are not seeking re-election next year.

“To many of them I say, ‘Good riddance. You know, your policies have created the problems we have right now. So, bye bye,’” she said. “Let’s find some new blood. That’s OK with me. It’s important to turn over people.”

* Meanwhile

While the right-wing firebrand was not in attendance at Saturday’s meeting, former Congressman Joe Walsh is also considering throwing his hat in the ring for governor – but only as an Independent. […]

But Walsh is leaning towards waiting until after the primary, Caprio said, to see if Rauner is able to emerge victorious even without a large swath of conservative support.

If the billionaire governor succeeds, Walsh may at that point enter the race as an Independent – drawing both votes and perhaps even the backing of Republican organizations away from the GOP governor.

  49 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** “I’ve had hands up my skirt. I’ve had my hair pulled - There’s just kind of nothing you can really do”

Monday, Oct 23, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Hill

And even though about half of the country’s state legislatures either have training programs or laws and policies meant to prevent, report and punish sexual harassment, many women say they feel like their complaints are never addressed, or they are pressured to keep quiet in a male-dominated environment where retribution and retaliation are common.

“The thing here is the power dynamics. If an elected official does something to me, there is no way it’s going to be beneficial to speak out,” said Kady McFadden, who lobbies the Illinois state legislature for the Sierra Club.

“I’ve had hands up my skirt. I’ve had my hair pulled,” McFadden said. “There’s just kind of nothing you can really do.”

McFadden said recent reports about Hollywood mogul Harvey Weinstein’s decades-long pattern of harassment and assault, and the subsequent #MeToo campaign of women on Twitter sharing their own experiences, brought up inescapable comparisons.

“It was hard for me to not be constantly thinking about comparisons to Springfield and the world of politics,” she said. “It’s probably hard to find a woman in Springfield who doesn’t have a story about what’s happened to them.”

*** UPDATE ***  Tom Kacich

Champaign Mayor Deb Feinen, a victim of sexual harassment some 30 years ago while serving as a page in the Illinois House of Representatives, said she’s glad women are talking about it. […]

Feinen said she faced repeated, unwanted sexual advances from a veteran suburban lawmaker while she worked in the House in the mid-1980s.

“I was just there to learn about government. I wanted to be the one who was sitting on the floor and to listen to the debate and watch what was going on,” she recalled. “There were a lot of great things that happened that summer because I had that experience, but I still, almost 30 years later, I could tell you word for word what he said to me and the effect on me.”

There was no one to go to for help, she said.

“There was an older secretary in the office who was sort of in charge of all the pages. When I talked to her about it, her response was sort of, ‘Yeah, that’s normal for him, and you’re one of many.’ I don’t remember exactly what she said but definitely the vibe was ‘Let it go and move on.’”

  101 Comments      


Rauner’s federal pension idea allows “some level of bankruptcy”

Monday, Oct 23, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Tribune

Stymied by a Democrat-controlled General Assembly and still in a contract dispute with the largest state employee union, Republican Gov. Bruce Rauner is looking to Washington for help advancing his agenda to weaken the influence of organized labor in Illinois. […]

Speaking to a gathering of business leaders in late September, Rauner said he was turning to Washington for help with one part of that effort — getting control of Illinois’ massive pension debt, which stands at about $130 billion and ranks among the worst in the nation. […]

The governor thinks Congress can release the state from that restriction by passing a law that would give states permission to come up with cost-saving changes to their pension programs. The option would be available to states only after they had established that spending money on workers’ retirement plans is hampering other essential services.

After conducting hearings, a state would have to propose its changes to a court, which would hear arguments from people who would be affected. Options could include reducing benefits provided under a pension plan, changing the way benefits are calculated or limiting the number of pensions a person can collect.

* But what is he actually trying to do?

Last week, Rauner (along with deputy governor Leslie Munger) made a surprise appearance at a New Trier Republican dinner. He created another surprise by making a couple of declarations, according to people in attendance: one, he singled out National Republican Committeeman Richard Porter for his role in a federal effort to allow the restructuring of public pensions. The state has the worst-in-the-nation pension liability, estimated now at an eye-popping $130 billion. […]

Politically, however, it’s a tall order to advance a federal law to circumvent state constitutions. And any agreement would need 60 votes in the U.S. Senate, which Republicans don’t have. At an event last month before the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, Rauner talked about his efforts.

“We’ve got a bill now, we’re working with Congress. (If) Congress passed a law, we’re lobbying right now, allow states to restructure their pensions, supercede the restrictions that the special interest groups have put on the state,” Rauner said at the Sept. 28 event. (Audio) “And I’m hoping to get it done with the tax overhaul that we’re doing. If we can get this bill passed — transformative for Illinois government and taxpayers.”

Roskam, the Ways & Means Tax Policy chairman, who is taking a lead role in the tax overhaul effort, said there isn’t a separate bill but added: “I’ve heard the concept discussed, I’ve not seen the language. Not pension funds — but there’s some theory about the capacity of federal courts to get the jurisdiction to allow some level of bankruptcy,” Roskam said in an interview. “There is some discussion … there is no language that I’m aware of. I think it’s conceptual.”

  92 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Dems pounce on new Rauner ad

Monday, Oct 23, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* DGA…

Today, Governor Bruce Rauner officially announces his re-election campaign and will start his race as the nation’s “most vulnerable incumbent.” After a two year-budget impasse that only drove up debt and drove out jobs, and a general aversion to protecting Illinois from President Trump, Bruce Rauner has to work hard to rehabilitate his image. A July DGA poll found Rauner’s job approval rating at 34% and his disapproval rating at 63%, on par with President Trump. Not great!

Rauner earns the rare distinction of being the nation’s “most vulnerable incumbent” according to multiple political observers:

    Cook Political Report: “Rauner has been under siege for much of his term in a standoff with the Democratic-controlled legislature over the state’s budget – or rather, the lack of one…As a Republican in a very blue state, Rauner is the most vulnerable incumbent seeking re-election next year.”

    National Journal: “In what could break spending records for a state race, Republicans’ most vulnerable incumbent is seeking a second term after overseeing a two-year budget impasse in a state Hillary Clinton won handily.”

    Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball/University of Virginia Center for Politics: “Of all the elected GOP incumbents, Gov. Bruce Rauner (R) of Illinois seems like he is clearly in the most trouble…This is a true Toss-up, although Rauner, who has been feuding with the Democratic legislature his entire time in office, is in really serious trouble.”

    Roll Call: “The governor is willing and able to spend tens of millions of dollars to get re-elected. But that doesn’t change the distinct Democratic lean of the state. … The state and political environment will likely work against the governor. Tilt D.”

And most of these came before Rauner’s summer of chaos.

“With nearly two-thirds of Illinoisans agreeing that he is bad at his job, Bruce Rauner seems to be the only person who believes he deserves reelection,” said DGA Illinois Communications Director Sam Salustro. “Rauner has failed the voters of Illinois and earned the title ‘most vulnerable incumbent’ in the nation. His two-year budget fiasco only increased debt and worsened the economy for middle-class families. No matter how many millions he spends, Rauner cannot escape the fact that Illinois is clearly worse off than it was before three years of his failed leadership.”

* Pritzker campaign…

Complete with a 63% disapproval rating, Bruce Rauner is riding in on a motorcycle like the sham savior nobody asked for to announce his re-election campaign. But before he gets to ask Illinoisans for another four years, here are five questions Bruce Rauner needs to answer:

    1. Why should working families trust you to rebuild the same economy you destroyed and put in constant crisis?

    2. How can Illinois women trust you after lying about HB40?

    3. What role did you play in crafting the education funding bill you tout in your commercials?

    4. How has your strategy of bad mouthing Illinois everywhere you go helped create jobs?

    5. What have you done to save and protect social service agencies from closing because of your rising bill backlog?

“Bruce Rauner’s motorcycle must have taken a wrong turn if took him three years to ‘choose’ to fight for this state,” said Pritzker campaign manager Anne Caprara. “Let’s be clear: Rauner promised to shake up Springfield and after just one term, our state is truly shaken. Rauner forced Illinois into a record-long budget crisis, racked up a record-amount of bills, and is now at a record-low approval rating. I guess when he notes that ‘they said it couldn’t be done’ what he really means is the damage is already done. It’s time for Rauner to go, and at least we know he already has his transportation.”

*** UPDATE ***  Press release…

Daniel Biss and Litesa Wallace released the following joint statement in response to news that Bruce Rauner intends to seek reelection.

“After failing to pass a budget, refusing to stand up to Trump, and racking up an unprecedented bill backlog, Bruce Rauner wants another chance. But saddled with the painful memories and irreversible destruction of the past three years, middle and working class families like ours are’t going to sit idly by as one billionaire outbids another—we’re ready to elect a middle class governor we can trust to fight for the rest of us.”

  28 Comments      


Poll: Pritzker leads Kennedy and Biss 39-15-6

Monday, Oct 23, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* My weekly syndicated newspaper column

Democrat JB Pritzker spent $21 million on his gubernatorial campaign through the end of September and recently opened his tenth campaign field office. The billionaire spent more money on staff and consultants last quarter ($1.5 million) than any of his primary opponents raised.

The spending appears to be paying off. A new Capitol Fax/We Ask America poll of 1,154 likely Democratic primary voters has Pritzker with 39 percent of the vote, far ahead of the rest of the pack.

Chris Kennedy, who has struggled to raise money and hasn’t run any TV ads to date, was at just 15 percent—a whopping 24 points behind the frontrunner Pritzker. Word is going around that one of Pritzker’s own recent polls had him ahead of Kennedy by 17 points.

State Sen. Daniel Biss, who has had more success at raising money than expected, but appears to be hoarding most of it for later, was at just 6 percent in the poll taken October 17-18 with a margin of error of +/- 3 percent.

The other two Democrats, Tio Hardiman and Bob Daiber, each polled at just 1 percent. 47 percent of the poll’s respondents were made to mobile phones by live callers. Automated calls were made to landline users.

Is it over? No. The primary isn’t until March. With 36 percent of Democrats currently undecided, somebody could still make this a race—but that somebody is gonna have to run a better campaign than they are now. And right now, the only person running a full-on campaign operation is Pritzker.

“There will be plenty of polls in this race,” the Kennedy campaign claimed, “but clearly there’s a reluctance among Democratic voters to support JB. After spending more than $20 million and being unchallenged on TV for months, that he can only get about a third of the electorate to support him shows that voters are looking for fundamental change. They recognize JB is an extension of the status quo. There’s a long way to go until March and we’re confident that when voters tune into the race and hear Chris Kennedy’s message, we win.”

If you look at Kennedy’s poll that he released in July, its Kennedy-Pritzker matchup had Pritzker at 38 percent, which is about the same place as he is now. Kennedy was at 44, but this new poll shows he has dropped like a rock—perhaps because he isn’t on TV and doesn’t have nearly the ground game that Pritzker does. Either way, the margin is what’s important, and the margin is huge.

Pritzker leads in every region of the state. He’s at 39 percent in Chicago, 42 in suburban Cook County, 37 in the suburban collar counties and 39 Downstate. Kennedy does best in Chicago and the collars, at 18 percent. Biss does best in suburban Cook, where he lives, at 11.

Biss slightly outpolls Kennedy 13-12 among 18-24 year olds, but Pritzker takes the traditionally low-turnout (particularly in off years) demographic with 27 percent. Pritzker leads his two top rivals Kennedy and Biss among women 39-15-5, and among men 40-16-8. More women (39 percent) are undecided than men (33 percent).

The poll found that 56 percent of Democrats have a favorable impression of Pritzker, while 7 percent have an unfavorable opinion. Another 16 percent hadn’t yet heard of the billionaire and 21 percent were neutral.

Kennedy’s favorables were 41 percent, and his unfavorables were just 4 percent. But 30 percent hadn’t heard of him and another 25 percent were neutral, signaling that if he could ever raise any real money he might possibly be able to make this a race. But that clock is ticking as Pritzker continues to spend millions.

Kennedy does best among the 65 and over crowd, with 17 percent. And his favorable numbers are significantly higher among respondents aged 55-64 (42 percent) and 65+ (43 percent). That makes sense since those folks would have been alive when Kennedy’s father Robert and his uncle John were in the public eye.

According to the poll, 69 percent of Democrats have not yet heard of Sen. Biss. Surprisingly enough, that’s actually more than the 66 percent who hadn’t heard of Bob Daiber and the 60 percent who hadn’t heard of Tio Hardiman, although Hardiman did run against Pat Quinn in the 2014 Democratic primary.

Just 13 percent of Democrats gave Biss a favorable rating, compared to 3 percent who rated him unfavorably and 15 percent who were neutral. Both Hardiman and Daiber had slightly higher favorable ratings than Biss (15 percent for each).

It seems like everything in politics has been on an accelerated timetable this year, so Biss had better do something fast.

Subscribers have the crosstabs, plus some other results.

  38 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Monday, Oct 23, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Rate the Rauner campaign kickoff video

Monday, Oct 23, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* “I choose to fight”

* Press release…

Governor Bruce Rauner launched his reelection campaign this morning with a vow to keep fighting for the future of Illinois.

“We believe in the future our kids deserve and the possibilities of this great place we still call home,” Bruce said. “We have a choice. We can throw in the towel, walk away and leave our future to the same corrupt, career politicians – or we can fight. I choose to fight.”

Over the last four years, Bruce has shaken a corrupt system to its core and won some important battles:

    Bruce signed historic education reform that gives unprecedented support and opportunity to schoolchildren from every community in Illinois.

    Bruce enacted criminal justice reforms that restore hope for those captured by the streets while ending the dangerous practice of early release.

    Bruce ended illegal patronage hiring conducted by Rod Blagojevich and Pat Quinn.

    Bruce reformed Illinois’ job creation program to eliminate special deals, protect taxpayer dollars and hold corporations accountable.

    Bruce signed a groundbreaking Future Energy Jobs Act that saved thousands of jobs and will spur thousands more 21st century jobs while making Illinois a national leader in clean and renewable energy.

    Bruce launched an historic technology partnership with our state’s leading research universities.

Now, it’s time to finish the job.

    Bruce will fight for real, lasting property tax relief. Illinois homeowners face the highest property taxes in the nation. We must freeze property taxes and put in place a system to easily allow referendums, so citizens can lower their local property taxes and consolidate local units of government at the ballot box.

    Bruce will fight to rollback the Madigan 32 percent income tax hike. Over the summer, Madigan’s legislators passed a budget containing a permanent 32 percent income tax with no reforms over Bruce’s veto, and the budget is still out of balance by over $1.5 billion. That is unacceptable.

    Bruce will fight to term limit the career politicians who created Illinois’ mess. In 2014, 600,000 Illinoisans joined Bruce in signing petitions to put term limits on the ballot, but Mike Madigan and his attorneys kicked it off.

The next election is about saving Illinois, demanding more from the politicians, and holding them accountable. The election is a choice between throwing in the towel, walking away, and leaving Illinois’ future to the same corrupt, career politicians – or choosing to come together to fight for real change for Illinois.

Bruce chooses to fight and invites Illinoisans across the state to join him. Because Illinois is home. And home is worth fighting for.

  84 Comments      


Reader comments closed for the weekend

Friday, Oct 20, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Once again, the outstanding Yola Carter will play us out

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Amazon HQ2 site list unveiled

Friday, Oct 20, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Sun-Times

Mayor Rahm Emanuel and Gov. Bruce Rauner on Friday released a list of locations proposed in the city and state’s bid for Amazon’s coveted second headquarters, and it includes “The 78” — a 62-acre South Loop site, where the governor hopes to build a $1.2 billion research and innovation center.

The governor’s office on Wednesday said the research center was “referenced” in the bid, but did not specify that it was being offered as a proposed site for Amazon.

A news release from City Hall listed the ten areas that could host the Amazon headquarters. The release acknowledges that “The 78” — touted as the city’s 78th neighborhood — is also the area where the University of Illinois “envisions” putting its ambitious research institute.

And there apparently could be room for both.

Both the mayor’s office and governor’s office said “The 78” was not mentioned as an Amazon proposed site during a Thursday press conference because bids were still open in competing cities. The deadline was midnight Friday. The city and state bid was submitted on Monday.

The full site list is here.

* Meanwhile, as a buddy said to me earlier today, the jargon per second is off the charts in this promo video for the Discover Partners Institute…


Discover Partners Institute

Once fully operational, University of Illinois System estimates that DPI will train nearly 10,000 student entrepreneurs every five years, support for more than $300 million in private real estate investment, and an estimated $500 million in new annual research and development spending.

The project could also stimulate $4 billion in annual venture capital investment, a level four times higher than Illinois currently pays.

That's an incredible return on investment for our state.

Posted by Governor Bruce Rauner on Friday, October 20, 2017

It reminded him of this.

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Out of sight out of mind?

Friday, Oct 20, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* He’s held a ton of events in Chicago, though…


* The last time he had a Downstate event on his public schedule was 25 days ago…

** UPDATED**Daily Public Schedule: Monday, September 25, 2017

What: Gov Rauner visits the Galapagos Rockford Charter School Upper Academy
Where: 3051 Rotary Rd., Rockford
Date: Monday, September 25, 2017
Time: 10:00 a.m.

* From today’s public schedule…

What: Gov. Rauner attends the Illinois Association of Hispanic State Employees 30th Conference & Gala
Where: Hyatt Regency McCormick Place, 2233 S. Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. Drive, Chicago
Date: Friday, October 20, 2017
Time: 8:30 a.m.

What: Gov. Rauner attends the Wilbur Wright College Manufacturing Day Event
Where: Wilbur Wright College Humboldt Park Campus, 1645 N. California Ave., Chicago
Date: Friday, October 20, 2017
Time: 11:15 a.m.
Note: No additional media availability

What: Gov. Rauner attends the DuPage Children’s Museum Event
Where: DuPage Children’s Museum, 301 N. Washington St., Naperville
Date: Friday, October 20, 2017
Time: 1:15 p.m.

What: Gov. Rauner attends the Grand Opening of Apple Michigan Avenue
Where: 401 N. Michigan Ave. Chicago
Date: Friday, October 20, 2017
Time: 5:00 p.m.
Note: No additional media availability

  17 Comments      


Frerichs tries to use state investments to prod Facebook into cleaning up its act

Friday, Oct 20, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Shia Kapos

Illinois State Treasurer Mike Frerichs is pressuring Facebook to own up to its role in allowing Russia to meddle in the 2016 U.S. Presidential election.

As treasurer, Frerichs oversees state investments that include a stake in Facebook. He began fighting in April to get the social-media company to put an end to bogus news reports.

“Facebook’s accountability for the spread of fake news cannot be outsourced,” Frerichs wrote in a letter to the company founded by billionaire Mark Zuckerberg.

In September, Facebook acknowledged that more than 3,000 political advertisements posted on the social-media network were linked to Russia. Some 10 million people saw the ads, which primarily targeted battleground states where Trump narrowly won. Some of the ads used socially divisive messages on such hot-button issues as gay rights and immigration.

“I was aware there was fake news but I didn’t realize that many Americans were consuming news that way,” Frerichs told me.

* He’s sent the company some letters [click here to read them] and received a pablum response. From his latest

I strongly encourage Facebook to engage investors and the public at large to disclose (1) the extent of illegal and fraudulent activity on Facebook, (2) the success of current efforts to stem said activity, and (3) more broadly, what industry-wide measures are needed to prevent the proliferation of fake news while respecting First Amendment rights.

This is the opportunity for Facebook to step forward as an industry innovator, help launch a unified response effort, restore confidence among investors and government officials, mitigate long-term risks to shareholder value, and stand up for core values – like honesty, integrity, and responsibility – that define our national character.

* His office also participated in a conference call

On June 8, 2017, representatives from the Treasurer’s Office and fellow concerned investors held a phone call with representatives from Facebook’s Investor Relations and Corporate Communications teams to discuss the issues raised in the Treasurer’s letter.

While the team at Facebook agreed that this is a serious issue and they outlined ongoing efforts to disrupt the proliferation of fake news, they did not express support for the transparency and accountability measures sought by the Treasurer and other investors, which include further reporting and disclosures on the extent of illegal and fraudulent activity on Facebook and the success of current efforts to stem said activity.

  7 Comments      


The rise of the billionaire governors

Friday, Oct 20, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From the Economist

Though the primary is not until next March, the election to be the next governor of Illinois is already on track to become the most expensive in state political history, overtaking the $280m fight for the governorship of California in 2010 between Jerry Brown and Meg Whitman, a billionaire businesswoman. Election spending in Illinois has increased by 741% this year compared with the same period in the previous election, according to the Illinois Campaign for Political Reform, an NGO. The candidates burned through $15.6m in the past three months, led by J.B. Pritzker, a self-funded billionaire businessman running for the Democrats, who splashed out $11.1m, mostly on television advertising, followed by Bruce Rauner, the self-funding Republican incumbent, who spent $2.6m, even though he has not confirmed yet that he is running for re-election. Mr Rauner and Mr Pritzker have so far raised just under $100m between them. In the sort of twist that seems straight from a plot by Armando Iannucci, the lion’s share ($50m) was given by Governor Rauner to a group called Citizens for Rauner. Mr Pritzker gave his campaign a modest $28m.

Though an extreme example, Illinois is no outlier. More and more very wealthy men are running for and winning office as state governors. Tennessee’s Bill Haslam, West Virginia’s Jim Justice, Florida’s Rick Scott, Kentucky’s Matt Bevin, Minnesota’s Mark Dayton, Nebraska’s Peter Ricketts, Pennsylvania’s Tom Wolf, Michigan’s Rick Snyder, North Dakota’s Doug Burgum and Arizona’s Doug Ducey all have a net worth measured in the tens, and in some cases hundreds, of millions. The richest is Mr Haslam, a multibillionaire whose father founded Pilot Flying J, a chain of petrol stations and convenience stores. Mr Justice, a coal billionaire, is the richest man in the state he governs.

America has had wealthy governors before—think of Nelson Rockefeller and Franklin Roosevelt, both of whom governed New York. But their proliferation is new. In part this simply reflects increasing income disparity in the country, says John Geer of Vanderbilt University in Tennessee. Candidates with little money are disadvantaged by having to spend more time raising funds from donors to whom they are then beholden. One of President Donald Trump’s most popular campaign lines—that he was too rich to be bought by special interests—works in state elections too. Given the opacity of money in politics, perhaps voters find self-funding campaigns to be refreshingly transparent.

Whatever the reason, the result is that in many states there is now a wealth primary before the electoral primary, says Kent Redfield of the University of Illinois. Big money tends not only to limit the field, but to catapult candidates who have never run for anything before to the front of the race. Florida’s Rick Scott would probably not have won his Republican primary against Bill McCollum, a candidate with a proven track record, had he not spent $50m of his own dosh. The same is true of Mr Rauner, another political neophyte, who defeated Pat Quinn, the incumbent Democratic governor, and personally contributed $28m to the $65.3m, or $36 a vote, that his campaign cost.

* Speaking of which, here’s Greg Hinz

The chairman of the Democratic Governors Association is swinging through town on a fundraising trip today, and though he did some predictable bashing of incumbent GOP Gov. Bruce Rauner, he also stuck up for J.B. Pritzker, who’s pulling ahead but has yet to lock down the race for the Democratic nomination.

The comment came from Washington state Gov. Jay Inslee when I asked him if, given the divide in the Democratic Party between progressive insurgents and establishment types, he has any concern that the party nominee here well could turn out to be the wealthy Mr. Pritzker.

“We’re not discriminating,” Inslee cracked, adding that he’s just finishing reading a biography of Franklin Delano Roosevelt, another rich pol, who led his party to decades of domination of Washington politics.
Roosevelt “did some great work for working people,” Inslee said, referring to things such as union rights, Social Security, and the first national minimum wage. “I don’t think that (the money) will be a problem.”

Inslee stressed that his group will remain neutral in the Democratic primary, preferring to hold its fire—and cash—for the general election against Rauner. Inslee promised the DGA will be here a lot. “Our nominee will be very strongly supported here,” he said. “This is going to be a very high-priority race for us.”

* WSIL TV

[John Jackson, professor at the Paul Simon Public Policy Institute] says the extraordinary amounts of money now required to run for national and statewide offices will prevent most people from ever seeking election.

“You’ve got to be a billionaire or a mega millionaire or at least have a lot of friends who are,” Jackson said.

He says the correlation between spending and winning is huge, and that the amount needed to get the name recognition required for a competitive run is going up.

“If you can’t spend at a certain rate, even if you don’t spend the most, you can’t be in the ballgame,” he said. […]

“Normal people who don’t have access to tens of millions and hundreds of millions of dollars can’t play in this game,” he said.

* Related…

* Pritzker touts infrastructure investments, bashes Rauner during Decatur stop: But Pritzker said he is nothing like other notable wealthy businessmen-turned-politicians like Rauner and President Donald Trump, pointing to his past work in the public sector and years of pushing for “progressive values.” “I’ve spent a lifetime standing up for progressive Democratic values, expanding educational opportunities for our youngest children, making sure we are feeding School breakfast to low income kids, creating new economy jobs, more than 7,000 of them, in a small business non-profit incubator,” Pritzker said. “Those are all part of a set of progressive values I’ve fought for my whole life. That’s a lot different, and I’m nothing like Bruce Rauner or Donald Trump.”

* VIDEO: Is Spending on Statewide Elections Going Too Far?

* How New Wealth, Few Rules Fuel Family-Office Boom: They team up in club-like investor groups or strike out solo to buy other private, often family-owned, businesses. By going direct, rather than through a private-equity fund, a family can exert tighter control over the money, cherry pick investments, minimize fees and even give the kids a board seat to learn the trade. Billionaire brothers Tony and J.B. Pritzker, whose family money came from running Hyatt Hotels Corp. and industrial conglomerate Marmon Holdings, in 2015 bought a manufacturer of coffee sleeves for companies including Starbucks Corp.

* 14 Illinois Billionaires Make Forbes 400 List For 2017

* Can Commercial Real Estate Development Lead To A Turnaround For Chicago’s Most Violent Neighborhood?: That is starting to turn around: Crawford said a handful of small businesses are moving into Austin, including insurance firms and restaurants. Ruby’s, the popular soul food restaurant in neighboring Garfield Park, is opening a storefront in the Soul City Corridor. Crawford said the most exciting development along the corridor is the opening of a campaign office for gubernatorial candidate and hotelier J.B. Pritzker.

* Tio Hardiman: The Next Governor of Illinois?: “I’m really the last great hope for my people, African-American people,” said Hardiman. “The reason why I talk about the Black community is because everyone wants the Black vote. The Black vote is a hustle. Black death is a hustle. The governorship has been dominated by White men since the inception of the state of Illinois and it’s time to change the narrative.”

  15 Comments      


Camelot promises to grow lottery sales by 40 percent

Friday, Oct 20, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* AP

The new company hired to run the Illinois Lottery projects it will increase annual sales to $4 billion, generating more than $1 billion per year for schools and other projects by the end of the 10-year deal, according to a contract obtained by The Associated Press.

Lottery officials and Camelot Illinois are set to announce the contract Friday, more than three years after the state first tried to fire its current private manager for falling short of sales goals and other problems. Northstar Lottery Group will remain on the job until Camelot takes over on Jan 2.

Lottery proceeds are used to help fund education and construction projects. Sales for the most recent fiscal year were $2.85 billion, marking the second straight year total sales were basically flat, according to a state report published last month.

Camelot Illinois is subsidiary of Camelot Group, which runs the Great Britain national lottery. The company says its plan to increase sales includes investing $15 million on new, more prominent retail sales equipment and signage and improved online sales, with better marketing and technology such as a mobile app.

Color me skeptical.

  19 Comments      


Munger tries to defend Rauner veto of Debt Transparency Act

Friday, Oct 20, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Leslie Munger defends Gov. Rauner’s veto of the Debt Transparency Act, which is supported by Comptroller Mendoza and would require monthly reports from all state agencies about how many vouchers they were sitting on

As Gov. Bruce Rauner noted in his veto of the bill, the desire to provide more transparency about the state of our finances is a good one. As the former state comptroller, I kept a running estimate of vouchers in agencies though frequent phone calls so we could plan for payments and manage available cash.

OK, but what happens when the governor doesn’t want to get along with the comptroller? This is what happens

To give you an idea of how ridiculous this process is, the state’s bill backlog unexpectedly grew by $1 billion one day in May when the governor’s Office of Management & Budget abruptly revealed the unpaid invoices.

* Back to Munger

But the Debt Transparency Act, with its burdensome paperwork and overreach by the comptroller’s office into the executive branch, is not the solution.

It’s too burdensome to require agencies to keep track of their unpaid bills? C’mon.

* Munger

Vouchers come into the state agencies continually. Paper reports are out of date almost as soon as they are issued. Our agencies are already burdened by the state’s decades-old methods for processing budgets, invoices and fund transfers, and an antiquated technology infrastructure. This has resulted in dysfunctional, unclear and paper-based systems that require manual entry of payment vouchers because our system cannot accept vouchers via email.

Any report on unpaid bills will be out of date as soon as it’s issued.

* Munger

There is a better solution. In 2015, the state purchased the software for a new statewide enterprise resource planning (ERP) system. The system, once implemented, will allow vouchers to be submitted electronically, eliminating the need for manual data entry and saving the state hundreds of millions of dollars annually.

Importantly, once a voucher is entered into the system it is transparent throughout the entire process. Everyone — including the comptroller — will have visibility to all the bills held at all agencies with a click on the computer. No need for additional staff to comply with the reporting requirements. No need for burdensome monthly paperwork. Real-time data. Faster. Cheaper. Better.

Rather than doubling down on our antiquated inefficient paper-based system, Comptroller Susana Mendoza should reinstate the funding for the implementation of the ERP system and be the strong advocate for improving the accuracy, efficiency and transparency of the financial transactions in the state.

…Adding… From comments…

This is total nonsense. Just because an agency has an invoice doesn’t mean they create a voucher right away. If someone is sitting on invoices without creating a voucher the Comptroller has no idea what’s out there & that’s true even if ERP were 100% live today.

That sounds mighty fine, but this is what Comptroller Mendoza had to say about ERP in March, almost two years into this upgrade

* If any of the 263 State’s legacy accounting systems have been retired through the ERP, our Office has not been notified. The project is scheduled to be completed by 2019.

* The ERP pilot agencies have encountered so many errors that requests for change orders will require an estimated 15,000 hours, according to information shared by program administrators with the program oversight group.

* Officials from the Rauner Administration report that $63 million, or one-quarter, of the ERP budget has been spent.

* Related…

* Mendoza: Taxpayers deserve a better look at the state’s bills

* Inside Illinois’ $16 billion backlog: What does the state owe your town?

  25 Comments      


Rauner: “I can’t comment on any business disputes”

Friday, Oct 20, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Every year, the governor has to sign this form

I declare that this Statement of Economic Interests (including any accompanying schedules and statements) has been examined by me and to the best of my knowledge and belief is a true, correct and complete statement of my economic interests as required by the Illinois Governmental Ethics Act.

Click here to see the governor’s latest signed statement, which includes the disclosure that the governor has a partnership interest in Kirkpatrick Partners Capital Fund I LP.

* Now, on to the Tina Sfondeles story

Despite lawyers asserting in court that Gov. Bruce Rauner is trying to keep a lawsuit filed by a former business partner sealed, the governor on Friday denied that he’s fighting to keep the information under wraps.

The suit against Rauner — who ran a private equity firm before becoming governor — was filed Oct. 5. by Harreld “Kip” Kirkpatrick III and the Kirkpatrick Capital Partners Fund, according to Cook County Circuit Court records.

Speaking to reporters at the Illinois Association of Hispanic State Employees conference Friday morning, the governor was asked why he’s fighting to keep the case sealed.

“I’m not,” Rauner said. “To be clear, all my investments are in a trust that I don’t control. I did that when I became governor. I can’t comment on any business disputes. That gets settled in its own process.”

When asked whether the dispute involved any investments in his “blind trust,” Rauner said he didn’t know.

“I can’t even tell you,” Rauner said. “I don’t really have much to do with that.”

So, he’s being sued by what I’m told is a personal friend (or, at least, a former personal friend) and former business partner and he knows nothing at all about it? And he doesn’t know if it involves a company in which he himself officially disclosed an ownership interest?

OK.

  24 Comments      


Question of the day

Friday, Oct 20, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* ProPublica Illinois asks

What do people mean when they say “Downstate Illinois?” Where are they actually talking about?

* Amdor has a simple and mostly accurate answer…


But parts of Kendall County, which isn’t in District 1, can be considered more suburban than Downstate. The official Chicago metropolitan area includes DeKalb County, which isn’t suburban.

I think it’s more of a state of mind in exurban regions. Like everything, it’s tough to define along the margins, like northern McHenry County, for instance.

* Back to ProPublica

And, if “Downstate” contains certain connotations, it’s important for our reporters to understand them, so we can better choose our words both in how we write and how we talk.

They also posted a couple of defensive tweets…



Downstate is definitely not a monolith. Kankakee has more in common with the South and Southwest Sides of Chicago than it does with, say, Anna. And we haven’t even talked about the Metro East yet. Go to Edwardsville and you’d think you were in a leafy suburban Cook town.

* And this…


I have a theory that “the real southern Illinois” starts 45 miles south of wherever you live.

* I’ve lived in Chicago and loved it, but I was born and raised Downstate (with detours to Utah and Germany) and I’ve never been offended if somebody called me a “Downstater,” even though the term was probably coined by a snooty Chicagoan.

* The Question: Should people be offended by the terms “Downstate” or “Downstaters”? Take the poll and then explain your answer in comments, please.


online survey

  84 Comments      


Rauner finally takes a stand on a federal issue

Friday, Oct 20, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* He won’t take a position on ACA repeal and replace, won’t discuss anything having to do with preventing a mass shooting, won’t say where he stands on the congressional move to repeal the deductions for state and local taxes and won’t even utter the President’s name

Chicago Tribune’s Rick Pearson: “Don’t you owe the public and voters an obligation to say where you stand on these things? Where do you stand on eliminating the state and local tax deduction with Peter Roskam, your Republican colleague, and Republicans in Washington?

Governor Bruce Rauner: “I have no obligation to comment on every possible policy change in Washington DC. I never have and never will. So, I appreciate your advocacy on that.”

* But he will weigh in on a Chinese purchase of the CSE

Illinois Gov. Bruce Rauner urged the Securities and Exchange Commission recently to approve the sale of the Chicago Stock Exchange to a group that includes Chinese buyers, but his support may be too little too late.

Under Chairman Jay Clayton, an appointee of President Donald Trump, the SEC in August delayed a decision on the embattled sale, and last week two would-be Chinese buyers dropped out.

Now, even a top Illinois Democrat, U.S. Sen. Dick Durbin, is holding back on support for the transaction.

“In light of recent major breaches of private financial information, it’s entirely appropriate for the SEC to thoroughly review this sale, which could give China access to American financial data and critical market operations,” Durbin said in a statement. […]

Other than Republican U.S. Rep. Randy Hultgren, who also wrote a letter to the SEC supporting approval, few members of the Illinois congressional delegation have been eager to aid the struggling sale effort, in the face of a campaign by U.S. Rep. Robert Pittenger, R.-N.C., to shoot the deal down. Pittenger has repeatedly raised security concerns about the Chinese buyers.

  25 Comments      


Moody’s says “political backlash” against pop tax could make other tax hikes more difficult

Friday, Oct 20, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From the Moody’s PR department…

Moody’s has written a short report regarding Cook County, IL’s (rated A2/stable outlook) recent repeal of the penny-per-ounce sweetened beverage tax, also known as the “pop tax.” With the repeal, Cook County will forego $200 million in annual revenue, which it will likely offset with sufficient expenditure cuts to maintain stable financial operations. The repeal also reflects practical constraints on revenue raising.

The pop tax took effect on August 2, 2017, and Cook County projected it would generate $67.5 million this year and budgeted for slightly over $200 million in 2018, which would have been the first full year of collections. The county had planned to use the revenue for general operations and to offset potential fluctuations in economically sensitive revenues. The county will now need to identify alternate revenues and/or reduce expenditures to offset the revenue loss (equivalent to 5% of operating revenue), and will be looking at solutions through property taxes, sales taxes, and expense cuts, all of which carry practical challenges.

Over the last decade, Cook County has raised sales taxes, hotel taxes and beverage taxes to generate revenue to meet pension costs and other growing expenditures, including increasing debt service costs. The various tax hikes were implemented in an effort to keep the county’s property tax levy relatively flat. As a home rule unit of local government, the county has the legal ability to raise its property tax without limitation and has wide latitude to impose a variety of other taxes and fees.

However, the political backlash against the pop tax highlights the practical limitations on raising taxes, even if a government is legally permitted to do so. This practical limitation is particularly critical for Chicago-area local governments, given the significant revenue needs of Cook County, the City of Chicago, CPS and related entities. Any future tax hikes in the wake of the pop tax repeal will likely be met with some political opposition, exacerbating budget pressures for Cook County and other area local governments. [Emphasis added]

* It certainly is a worrisome time for politicians

Moody’s observation came a day after Mayor Rahm Emanuel proposed a 2018 city budget that includes a $1.10-per-month increase in the current $3.90 emergency communications fee that’s charged on every land line and cellphone billed to a city address. The mayor’s proposal also includes a phased-in 20-cent increase to the current 52-cent tax on all trips using ride-sharing services like Uber and Lyft.

Some aldermen who will be called on to vote on those taxes have said the soda tax repeal was on their minds as they weighed the mayor’s proposal.

“This whole idea of revenue-generating ideas has to stop,” 12th Ward Ald. George Cardenas said after Emanuel gave his budget speech. “We have to sit down at a table and talk about cost-cutting ideas.” […]

The [Moody’s] analysis also noted that there were “unique issues” surrounding the penny-an-ounce tax on sweetened beverages that’s now coming to an end Dec. 1. Those included the much-debated public health benefits of the tax, the hefty cost increases for the drinks and the troubled rollout of the tax.

Those “unique issues” include the absolutely botched rollout and implementation.

  23 Comments      


Report: Amazon subsidy could add up to $2 billion

Friday, Oct 20, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Paris Schutz at WTTW

Chicago, Cook County and Illinois government are willing to shell out an incentive package worth around $2 billion in order to lure Amazon, according to two sources close to the bid process. That breaks down to around $1.6 billion in tax breaks and $400 million in infrastructure and capital spending around the project, the sources said. It is not known how the money is divided up between city, state and county, and over what period of time the incentives would be paid.

The main tax incentive the state has to offer is the EDGE tax credit, which was re-authorized into law this year by Gov. Bruce Rauner after it had expired. It works as a credit against payroll taxes for companies that create new jobs in the state. The credit has been controversial in the past, but several analysts say it would make sense in this instance, as Amazon is pledging to create 50,000 new jobs with an average salary of $100,000 and invest $5 billion in new office space. […]

Others point to the fact that the choice is between having Amazon and giving them tax breaks vs. not having the company at all. “It’s not as if you’re pledging current revenue to them,” Msall said. “That revenue doesn’t exist yet. You’re just pledging future revenue if they get here.”

* Related…

* Some of Amazon’s Suitors Have Been Burned Before: Good Jobs First says that in trying to lure and retain employers, many cities and states give away more than they get back. The group’s analysis of 386 deals worth at least $50 million since 1976 found that the average cost per job created was $658,427 — far more than cities and states could expect to get back from income taxes, sales taxes, property taxes or other revenue.

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*** UPDATED x1 *** 10,800 jobs lost in a single month, but Illinois media barely notices

Friday, Oct 20, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Google News search results for Illinois and unemployment

Not even the Illinois Policy Institute’s news service, which usually hypes these things, has a story.

Background is here.

*** UPDATE ***  Sheesh…


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Friday, Oct 20, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Friday, Oct 20, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

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