Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar

Wednesday, Oct 25, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller

Low on cash, still down in the polls, once solid reputation beaten to a bloody pulp by millions of dollars worth of often false negative TV ads, almost without a person left in the world who thinks she can win. This photo, taken Wednesday, pretty much sums it all up. Click for a larger image.

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Guv keeps foot firmly planted on the throat

Wednesday, Oct 25, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller

The guv’s got a new TV ad.

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“You’ve been Nieuked”

Wednesday, Oct 25, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller

Our favorite gubernatorial candidate Tim Nieukirk proves in this new “TV ad” that he won’t take crime sitting down.

You can buy Nieukirk gear by clicking this link.

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Wednesday, Oct 25, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Question of the day *** Updated x1 ***

Wednesday, Oct 25, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller

I don’t usually watch network TV, but I force myself to do it around this time of the year so I can watch the political ads.

Describe some of the campaign ads you’ve seen in the past few days and rate them for effectiveness.

*** UPDATE *** While you’re at it, rate Topinka’s new TV ad.

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Animal Farm gets all analytical on us

Wednesday, Oct 25, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller

The Daily Herald’s bloggy type thing Animal Farm takes a look at two new ads in the 6th Congressional District. The first ad is a Peter Roskam spot that also features his wife, Elizabeth.

With upbeat music playing, Roskam starts off by saying the charges in the race have gotten â€œpretty wild,â€ with ads saying heâ€™s against stem cell research and hates Social Security. â€œThe only thing we banned at home? Speedos,â€ chimes in his wife.

Roskam then gets negative in the ad and claims Duckworth wants to raise taxes and cut Social Security benefits.

Roskam does oppose embryonic stem cell research. He has given different responses to different groups on privatizing Social Security, but when pressed, ultimately supports a half-measure to move money into private accounts that couldnâ€™t be invested in the risky stock market. Duckworth supports most of the Bush tax cuts, but only half of the capital gains and dividends tax cuts and only up to $2 million exempted for the inheritance tax.

Here’s the ad:

The second spot is being run by the DCCC. It slams Roskam for siding with the NRA.

It attacks Roskam for voting â€œpresentâ€ on a 1993 measure that would have allowed school principals to ban students who brought a gun to school for up to one year without the school boardâ€™s permission.

And then the analysis.

Roskam did, in fact, vote present on House Bill 2073, on 4/23/1993. The bill passed the House 73-27, with Roskam among the 16 present votes. But the measure never saw the light of day in the Illinois Senate. The voting pattern in the House was an odd combination. Moderate Rep. Tom Cross, now the House GOP leader, voted present. Conservative Reps. Tom Johnson of West Chicago and Vince Persico of Glen Ellyn voted present, as did moderate Rep. Andrea Moore of Libertyville. But liberal Chicago Democrats Reps. Lou and Shirley Jones also voted present. Rep. Judy Biggert, now a Hinsdale congresswoman, voted no. But conservative Rep. Al Salvi of Wauconda voted yes. Seems like the Chicago Democrats would have had concerns about punishing too harshly a 7-year-old kid who brought Dadâ€™s gun to school. Republicans who voted present might have had the same thought.

Here’s the ad. It’s not a good copy. Sorry.

*** UPDATE *** Raw video from Peter Roskam’s press conference this week. Speaking is David Beamer, whose son was killed on United Flight 93. Beamer was supposed to talk just about national security and Iraq as a 9/11 victime, but he drifted at least briefly into economics.

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Rezko story still alive and kicking *** Updated x1 ***

Wednesday, Oct 25, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE *** You can hear the governor questioned by the Daily Herald’s editorial board about Tony Rezko and other issues by clicking here. Judy Baar Topinka is also interviewed.

************************************************

The fact that one of Rezko’s guys put up his home for Tony Rezko’s bond is not a big deal. The fact that he and his wife are state employees and she apparently got a state job through Rezko is a bigger deal. The fact that the Sun-Times story keeps the Rezko story alive another day or two is more significant for our purposes.

Gov. Blagojevich on Tuesday continued to distance himself from Antoin “Tony” Rezko, but one of the governor’s managers is betting the house that Rezko will fight federal corruption charges and won’t skip town.

Mustafa Abdalla, a $75,000-a-year contracting supervisor for Central Management Services, put up his Libertyville home to help Rezko meet a $2 million bail, records show. Abdalla’s is one of nine properties that friends and family of Rezko offered so Rezko wouldn’t have to sit in jail as he awaits trial.

Blagojevich administration officials said they did not know details about Rezko’s ties to Abdalla and Abdalla’s ex-wife Shawna Young, who also is a state employee. Both are well-qualified to work for taxpayers, they said.

Rezko appears to have played a role in Young being hired as an intern in Blagojevich’s Employment Security Department in 2003. Her name is on a list of 292 clout-heavy job applicants that the Chicago Sun-Times disclosed in May. The initials “TR,” code for Rezko, were on the same line as her name. Young and 273 others on the list were hired.

Meanwhile, the local news reported last night that the governor turned and walked away without saying a word when asked by a reporter in Springfield if he was under criminal investigation.

And this little tidbit from Sneed:

Republican gubernatorial hopeful Judy Baar Topinka’s supporters claim Team Blagojevich’s anti-Topinka ads have run nearly 19,000 times.

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Morning shorts

Wednesday, Oct 25, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Stufflebeam rates yet another profile, but our guys remain unnoticed in the mainstream press. The press blackout ranks among the greatest outrages of 2006. OK, maybe not. But, still. How can you not write about two guys using YouTube to hype a mostly non-existent but still legal statewide campaign that was first covered on a blog? It’s the story of the year. For crying out loud, even the New Republic is calling this “The YouTube election.” Get with it, people.

* Wisconsin complains about Illinois corruption invading Cheese Land. Apparently, we got enough for everybody.

* Daily Herald: DuPage County Stateâ€™s Attorney Joseph Birkett usually asks the questions in court. But the career prosecutor will be in the one in the hot seat today if called to testify about why he blocked a judge from hearing dozens of felony cases in recent months.

* Trouble in paradise? Yesterday’s Sun-Times editorial endorsing Alexi Giannoulias claimed that this was the position of all the papers in the Sun-Times News Group. Today, the Daily Southtown begs to differ and endorsed Christine Radogno.

* Chicago withholds voting machine pay

* Jackson writes U.S. attorney, seeks probe of clouted workers’ claims

* Marin: Outrage at excessive worker claims takes a day off

* Many, many congratulations to Babs Dickerman. She’s an amazing person.

* Not good: Amtrak’s expansion may be derailed - Track owner said to be backing out

* Political apathy? Not these college students

* Governor appeals fedsâ€™ rejection of Rockford flood aid

* Brown: Here’s one race guaranteed to hit you right in the wallet

* Rod Blagojevich was no student–of boxing or school– but he’s learned the tough lessons of politics

* Backgrounds separate treasurer candidates

* Hey, Tribsters. If you’re gonna call something a “daily download” then you gotta, you know, be, um, daily.

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More shady ties

Tuesday, Oct 24, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller

There may not be a completely direct connection here to yet another alleged mobster, but Radogno’s point at the end should be addressed.

Former state Sen. John Dâ€™Arco â€” twice convicted of federal corruption charges â€” is involved in a land deal financed by a bank thatâ€™s owned by the family of Alexi Giannoulias, the Democratic candidate for Illinois treasurer.

Official records in Florida indicate that Mr. Dâ€™Arco and two convicted bookmakers joined in March 2001, to incorporate a company that acquired the Lorraine Hotel in Miami Beach, Fla. Two months later, the firm received the first of a series of mortgage loans from Broadway Bank, where Mr. Giannoulias is a vice-president.

Mr. Giannoulias and the bank Tuesday released nearly identical statements saying that Mr. Dâ€™Arco, whose name does not appear on mortgage papers, â€œhas never been a loan applicant, recipient, co-signer, guarantor or customerâ€ of Broadway, and does not hold an ownership share in the hotel deal.

But Florida records also indicate that Mr. Dâ€™Arco signed legal papers in connection with renovation of the hotel in October 2001 â€” four months after Broadway issued its first mortgage loan. […]

In April, after a series of media reports about Broadway loans, Mr. Giannoulias promised to review all loans at the bank for problems â€œand behold, he never mentioned this,â€ [Republican opponent Christine Radogno] said. â€œHeâ€™s not forthcoming. Instead, things are coming out little by little. How much more is out there?â€

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“We count on her to do what’s right”

Tuesday, Oct 24, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller

Not that she needs to spend much to win, but Lisa Madigan’s new TV ad is up. She even throws in a little jab at the governor.

Also, Phil Hare’s new TV ad is posted on his website. Access it here. [Hat tip: Robbie C at Illinoize. Our little brother blog is on fire lately. Go check it out.]

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Tuesday, Oct 24, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Sun-Times goes straight “D”

Tuesday, Oct 24, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller

I didn’t notice this until the Giannoulias campaign sent me an e-mail. The Sun-Times and the Sun-Times News Group have endorsed the entire statewide Democratic slate. They lead with Alexi. [Actually, the Sun-Times News Group endorsed Giannoulias. The other papers are apparently allowed to go their own way on the other races.]

Over the last several elections, Illinois voters have increasingly trended toward Democratic candidates. This year, the Democrats offer for statewide offices an attractive field of candidates that includes three incumbents and one political novice. The newcomer to politics is Alexi Giannoulias, who is the choice of the Sun-Times News Group for state treasurer. Giannoulias, though still a young man, will bring valuable private enterprise experience from banking to the job. […]

While that banking experience is the reason we’re endorsing Giannoulias, that background also has opened him up to criticism over some of the bank’s loans. He’s been accused of making million-dollar loans to felons. He insists there was nothing improper in those transactions, says that the bank doesn’t do criminal background checks on bank customers, but admits he’s been too cavalier in answering questions about the loans. Still, Giannoulias hasn’t been accused of wrongdoing, and the loans were repaid. In other words, the community bank, which was in the business of making loans, did just that.

We believe Giannoulias’ banking experience will help him bring creative money management ideas to the treasurer’s office. For instance, Giannoulias outlined a securities lending program that he’d like to explore. The investment strategy, temporarily lending out state-owned securities, is being used in Connecticut, Missouri, Michigan, Indiana and Ohio to boost investment portfolio returns. Other of his priorities include improving the “Bright Start” college savings program and promoting home-grown ethanol-based renewable fuels. Giannoulias proposes that the treasurer’s office offer low-interest loans to gas station owners who convert to offer E-85 fuel in Illinois.

His Republican opponent, state Sen. Christine Radogno, has an impressive background in politics and legislative work on fiscal issues, but our vote goes to the new ideas offered by Giannoulias.

In case you’re wondering, my occasional little column gives me zero influence over Sun-Times editorial policy. They don’t tell me what to write, and I don’t tell them what to write. Obviously.

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Question of the day

Tuesday, Oct 24, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller

I’ve asked this before, but with two weeks remaining I thought I’d ask again.

Are the national Republicans heading for total disaster on election day? With the Democrats pick up the US House and US Senate? Yes, this is a national question, and I usually try to avoid them, but to give it a local twist I’d like you to also note whether you think any GOP disaster/non-disaster will have an impact on Illinois races, including the governor’s race.

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Guv talks about Rezko, Kelly, Levine *** Updated x1 ***

Tuesday, Oct 24, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller

The governor appeared at the Daily Herald editorial board yesterday.

Democratic Gov. Rod Blagojevich predicted Monday his campaign fundraising friend won’t be indicted for corruption, argued it’s not a bad thing that his plan to sell the lottery leaves a $1 billion school funding shortfall, and apologized for once comparing state lawmakers to “drunken sailors.” […]

The indictment alleged Rezko worked on the scheme with an “Individual B,” whom multiple sources have identified to the Daily Herald and other media outlets as Christopher Kelly, a roofing contractor and another top fundraiser for the governor.

Asked if he’ll stand by Kelly in the event of an indictment, Blagojevich said he wouldn’t answer, because “I don’t believe that will ever happen.”

The governor also said he was surprised the Rezko had been indicted and said Rezko was never a close adviser.

“He’s a friend of mine, I don’t dispute that. Never a key adviser. He made recommendations to agencies. I sought out his advice on recommendations for agency directors because we wanted diversity in my administration,” Blagojevich said.

Diversity? That’s some interesting spin.

The governor finally gave a straight answer on the $1500 check, after waffling for weeks over which daughter may have benefitted from it.

“That was a birthday gift to my daughter, pure and simple,” he said Monday. “And I disclosed it. Followed the law.”

Animal Farm has more.

*I asked Blagojevich if, given all the oceans of newspaper ink that have been spilled the past four years about his ethics and numerous policy ideas, what he would take back. The governor paused for a while, as you might expect given that type of question, then threw out some Ditka-esque â€œIn life..â€-type rhetoric, even quoting Socrates at one point: â€œThe unexamined life is not worth living.â€ […]

*The governor also gave what I believe to be a preview to what his statements will be after Fridayâ€™s guilty plea by Stuart Levine in the teacher pension corruption case. â€œYouâ€™ve got a longtime Republican operative in Stuart Levine,â€ Blagojevich said. â€œBy all accounts, and I suspect weâ€™ll learn more shortly, this was probably a continuation of a scheme that happened long before I was governorâ€¦It spilled into my first year and got detected at some point during that time.â€ The governor also said Rezko somehow got involved with Levine during 2003, his first year in office.

The full transcript is expected tomorrow.

*** UPDATE *** Gov. Blagojevich can recite the list of John Wayne’s B movies, he can rattle off 40-year-old lineups from long gone baseball teams, has memorized the lyrics to just about every Elvis song ever recorded, but has a difficult time recalling much of what happened during less than four years in statewide office.

Governor Rod Blagojevich says he doesn’t remember getting a list of people that a now-indicted friend and fundraiser wanted to be appointed to state boards.

Blagojevich doesn’t deny getting the list. He said today that it’s no secret that Tony Rezko recommended people to serve in his administration.

The Democratic governor wouldn’t comment on what he discussed with Rezko when the two met around the time the list was written.

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Weird doings

Tuesday, Oct 24, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller

This is pretty solid evidence that Stroger’s campaign is flailing late in the game.

What was billed as a kickoff for the “Rod and Todd Show” instead stumbled getting out of the gate Monday.

More than 100 ministers gathered at New Spiritual Light Missionary Baptist Church, 7566 S. South Shore Dr., armed with campaign fliers and signs touting the candidacies of Rod Blagojevich for governor and Todd Stroger for Cook County Board president.

But Stroger was almost two hours late for the event and Blagojevich was a no-show.

Stroger campaign officials said he was delayed by earlier campaign appearances, while Blagojevich campaign officials said he never committed to the event and instead had staffers there on his behalf.

“Bizarre” is the word that immediately comes to mind.

I thought they were supposed to be working together?

Gov. Rod Blagojevich leads his opponent in cash and in the polls while Cook County Board president candidate Todd Stroger is struggling on both counts, but both are quietly exploring how to benefit each other by mobilizing African-American turnout.

Sources familiar with each Democrat’s campaign said plans are in the works for a rapid-fire, street-level effort to begin in the hours shortly before Nov. 7 to secure a large turnout of African-American voters–a core voting bloc essential for both men. […]

Publicly, Blagojevich has been making Stroger part of his campaign pitch, including at recent stops in the city’s black wards. On Saturday, Blagojevich campaign workers yelled, “Vote for Rod and Todd!” as a truck with campaign signs for the two idled nearby. Inside a South Side Target store where he was campaigning, Blagojevich enthusiastically told one shopper, “You should vote for Todd–and Rod.”

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SurveyUSA: 44-34-14-8

Tuesday, Oct 24, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller

Crosstabs are here. Discuss.

In an election for Governor of Illinois today, 10/23/06, incumbent Democrat Rod Blagojevich’s support is down, Republican challenger Judy Baar Topinka’s support is down, and Green Party Candidate Rich Whitney’s support has doubled, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KSDK-TV St. Louis. Blagojevich today gets 44%, down 1 from an identical SurveyUSA KSDK-TV poll released 9/20/06. Topinka gets 34% today, down 5 points from 9/20. Whitney gets 14%, twice the 7% he got on 9/20. SurveyUSA observes that in two Governor polls released today 10/23, all “major party” candidtaes are down; minor party candidates are up. Could this mean that the anti-Republican sentiment detected in a number of SurveyUSA polls over the past 21 days is now manifesting itself more generally into an anti-establishment, anti-insider movement? Time, and more polling, will tell. It is possible the phenomenon is limited to Maine and Illinois, and not extensible elsewhere. That said, it is interesting enough to take note of, here.

Among Illinois independents, the candidates are effectively tied: Topinka gets 31%, Whitney 29%, Blagojevich 27%. Topinka had led Blagojevich by 12 among Independents, now leads Whitney by 2 in this group, where Whitney has doubled his support. 73% of Democrats vote for Blagojevich. 74% of Republicans vote for Topinka. Among female voters, Blagojevich is down 10 points; Whitney is getting many of these female votes; his support has tripled, from 4% to 11%, among women.

Among white voters, Topinka is down 5, Blagojevich is down 4. Whitney is up 9. In the Collar Counties of Chicago, Blagojevich is down 9, Topinka is down 2. Whitney is up 13. Blagojevich leads 3:1 in Chicago. Topinka leads 4:3 downstate. Blagojevich was first elected Governor in 2002. Topinka has been Illinois Treasurer since 1994.

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