SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Big Chicago ward changes - Plus, what’s going on in your precinct today?

Tuesday, Feb 22, 2011

* I told subscribers about this major demographic change in this morning’s Capitol Fax. The stuff about Madigan moving his ward Northward into some of the 23rd Ward was told to subscribers months ago

Meanwhile, with both the 13th and 14th Wards now overwhelmingly Hispanic, the question is how long both can continue to hold on. Unlike Mr. Burke, Mr. Madigan is not an alderman. But I’m already picking up talk that Mr. Madigan would like his ward to shift into still non-Hispanic white territory in the 23rd Ward.

Whatever happens, the new mayor will have huge influence over the new map. That will give him or her a nice card to keep Messrs. Burke and Madigan in line until the new map is approved.

Good point on the map.

You can see an interactive ward map detailing the population changes by clicking here. Latinos now outnumber whites by about 3-1 in Speaker Madigan’s 13th Ward.


(T)he central core of the city – around the Loop and out toward the Near Northwest Side – are population-heavy. That area could get a new ward. […]

Three of the four largest wards in town now are in or near downtown, the location for dramatic growth in the past decade. Those would be Alderman Brendan Reilly’s Near North Side/Loop 42nd Ward, with 78,742 residents, according to the Census; Alderman Bob Fioretti’s 2nd Ward to the south and west of the 42nd, with 69.367 residents, and Alderman Scott Waguespack’s greater Bucktown 32nd Ward, with 63,701.

As Greg says, that’s about a new Downtown ward right there with just those three numbers.

* More census spin

The best news Rahm Emanuel got last week didn’t come from his pollster. It came from the United States Census Bureau, when it released the population figures for Chicago.

The city’s population declined by 200,000 — but those were mostly people who wouldn’t have voted for Emanuel. Englewood lost a quarter of its population. The black population that Carol Moseley Braun has been trying to rally accounted for nearly all of Chicago’s population loss.

“The trend is a result for the plan for transformation of the Chicago Housing Authority, and the displacement of 110,000 people,” mayoral candidate William “Dock” Walls told Ward Room. “Some of ’em have left Chicago. They’ve gone to the suburbs, or Indiana.”

On the other hand, the Loop’s population increased 76 percent. The Loop is Rahm Country. Emanuel is getting his best numbers from high-income whites who live along the Lakefront.

What’s going on in your precinct today?

* Related…

* Keys to watching today’s Chicago election

* In Chicago, Mayoral Vote Fails to Draw Big Crowds

* Voters relish having a choice

* Mayoral candidates shake plenty of hands as campaign winds down

* Braun, Chico have same Election Day breakfast spot

* Slow Going In the 50th Ward

* Will election end fake @MayorEmanuel Twitter account? He hints end is near

- Posted by Rich Miller        

  1. - Anonymous on NW side - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 12:48 pm:

    Less than 20% turnout in 45th so far on NW side

  2. - Esquire - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 12:51 pm:

    It is interesting to see the population shift back towards the central city. If you have every seen early ward maps, much of the urban population was tightly clustered around the former 1st Ward, plus Chicago River and its two branches (hence, the “River Wards”). The outlying wards were huge and included vast areas of open land.

    It is as if things are going full circle.

  3. - Obamarama - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 12:54 pm:

    ===Emanuel is getting his best numbers from high-income whites who live along the Lakefront.===

    Is NBC doing its own internal polling now?

  4. - Downstater in Chicago - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 12:58 pm:

    At about 7:30 this morning, I was voter number 15 in my 1st ward precinct. The Del Valle campaign had someone handing out literature, but no other mayoral campaigns had a presence. Ald. Moreno had about 6 workers there with literature.

  5. - QRBNST - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 1:05 pm:

    The link with the maps is not working properly, does not show any ward or precinct info.

  6. - JakeCP - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 1:33 pm:

    101 out of 654 Registered voters have voted at the 43rd Ward 43rd Precinct. It’s only 1:30.

  7. - Will - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 1:45 pm:

    Sheila Stocks-Smith is the only campaign I’ve seen active in my precinct. Low turnout in others I’ve heard about.

    Oh…is there some other race for mayor today?

  8. - Park - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 1:46 pm:

    Low turnout in the 11th Ward.

  9. - truthteller - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 1:58 pm:

    All reports from those in the field is that turnout is really low. I hear run off being talked about in the 2nd ward. Oh and Reilly is winning big.

  10. - Cincinnatus - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 2:08 pm:

    Rich said,

    “What’s going on in your precinct today?”

    The turnout in my precinct is, unbelievably 0.00%. Maybe not so unbelievable considering I live in DuPage County…

  11. - anon - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 2:09 pm:

    Pavlik volunteers have complete polling place coverage. Pretty impressive operation. Wagspack operation basically nonexistent. This one should go to runoff.

  12. - truthteller - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 2:37 pm:

    That’s too bad about Scott.

  13. - Burrito Bandit - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 3:13 pm:

    I was 136 out of 702 eligible at 2pm in the 32rd ward. No electioneering going on at all. Scott did need to do a better job with visibility, but between him and SEIU I got eight mailers for him. Pavlik sent maybe three mailers plus a letter from his mom saying what a great son he was. I don’t think this will go to a runoff.

  14. - thomas paine - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 3:17 pm:

    I,d like to see Waugespack in a run-off as punishment for playing footsie with Kass over the last year.

    Turnout very low in Chinatown area…….Medrano/Solis looks like a run-off

  15. - thomas paine - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 3:21 pm:

    Pan-Asian door hangers are also urging Chinese voters to come out. This may be a prelude to the push for an Asian centered state house district( I belive in the works) or ward in the resdictricting?

  16. - JL - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 3:22 pm:

    Pavlik and Waugespack guys outside 32nd precinct of 32nd Ward. Pavlik has a nice little palm card featuring a big picture of Rahm.

  17. - Just Observing - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 3:30 pm:

    “I,d like to see Waugespack in a run-off as punishment for playing footsie with Kass over the last year”

    I don’t even know what that means, but, really? That’s why you would like to see Waguespack in a run-off, because he talks to a reporter you seemingly dislike?

  18. - oakparker - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 3:38 pm:

    I’d like to add a perspective on what is happening now in the precincts. Non-regular organization aldermanic campaigns in Chicago tend to rely, on election day, on people who work during the day, and volunteer for getting out the vote duty after coming home from work. Around 3:30 pm is when you start having teachers who have finished their classes coming home. They will be joined over the next hour or two by others returning from work.

    So, the big get out the vote drive (in addition to phone banks during the day) starts now. It will be interesting to see how turnout develops.

  19. - Ill Valley - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 3:39 pm:

    You need to have JavsScript enabled to see the map.
    It does work.

  20. - Bob - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 3:42 pm:

    Just back from the 31st Ward (Ray Suarez’s ward). At midday, at best, about 10% of registered voters had been in to cast votes. Not sure that a substantial number of voters took advantage of early voting. It’ll be interesting to see what what happens with turn out between now and closing.

  21. - Anon - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 3:45 pm:

    I heard that pavlik had a nice snow removal operation to demonstrate to 32nd warders what they coulees expect in the way of constituent services under alderman pavlik. People loved it and they loved him. Low turnout isn’t good for wagapack. If pavlik moves votes as good as he moved snow, this thing isn’t over!

  22. - Seamus F - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 3:46 pm:

    Stuck my head in 27th ward precincts, low turnout there too. Pretty slow around the 43rd and 46th precincts too from what I’m hearing.

    Would lay a very heavy wager that 2nd ward goes to Fioretti - Genita Robinson run-off, Brendan Reilly went heavy backing her this last week and I don’t think that would’ve happened unless he had some good data showing her polling well.

    Poor Waguespack if he does end up in a run-off, takes a pretty bad campaign operation to not win a primary outright when you’re one of the only five guys who voted against the widely despised parking meter deal.

  23. - just sayin' - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 3:51 pm:

    Big polling place, close to downtown Chicago, 3 precincts, early afternoon. Very quiet. Not even a single person handing out palmcards out front.

    All bodes well for Rahm I think. Chico doesn’t even have the union guys out in force.

  24. - Just Observing - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 3:56 pm:

    — “I heard that pavlik had a nice snow removal operation to demonstrate to 32nd warders what they coulees expect in the way of constituent services under alderman pavlik. People loved it and they loved him. Low turnout isn’t good for wagapack. If pavlik moves votes as good as he moved snow, this thing isn’t over!” —

    I hardly have followed this race and no longer live in 32, but with a typical ward having 60,000 people, I highly doubt that Pavlik’s operation was able to reach even a fraction of those people with their snow shovelling gestures. They may have picked up a few votes here or there, but there is no way they were able to make some sort of monumental shift in the campaign with their efforts.

  25. - Bill - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 4:03 pm:

    Reilly should mind his own business and keep his nose outta other people’s wards.

  26. - Jaded - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 4:43 pm:

    =Chico doesn’t even have the union guys out in force=

    Well, duh. That’s because they are all in Wisconsin! In fact this whole ugly mess in Wisconsin was probably an election stunt by Rahm to get the unions out of town. That guy thinks of everything.

  27. - Boone Logan Square - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 4:53 pm:

    West Austin fairly quiet. Is anyone reading this in the 42nd? Very curious about turnout there.

  28. - near west - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 5:31 pm:

    #267 of 1000 in 2nd ward. 3 Poll workers for fioretti and no others…but the people inside shouted “here comes the crowd” when two people walked in, so not sure his people are well placed…

  29. - Anon - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 5:32 pm:

    Drove around this afternoon, passed several polling places in 38, 39 and 45. It is like a ghost town. Signs are placed. A few polling places had idle volunteers standing near the entry sidewalks with punch cards, but I never saw a single live voter. 38 and 45 surprised me because there are crowded aldermanic fields in those two.

    It is like the Twilight Zone. Maybe a late rush will develop after work.

  30. - cermak_rd - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 5:38 pm:

    punch cards? Like the old ballots or, (showing my age here) the way we used to program computers?

  31. - truthteller - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 5:43 pm:

    Reilly not only paid for at least one mailing for Genita, he has aided her with staff and volunteers working the polls. Still angry about the Fioretti switch on the Children’s museum vote?

  32. - Original Rambler - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 5:47 pm:

    Voter #289 in my 41st ward precinct about an hour ago. That pace would take us over 50%.

  33. - truthteller - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 5:53 pm:

    Look at the changes in the 2nd ward and they favor Fioretti. Blacks went from majority to 41%. White population more than doubled and now equals blacks where ten years ago Blacks outnumbered whites 3 to 1.

  34. - Castle8 - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 5:55 pm:

    12th ward. Low turn out. Cardenas is done. Jose Guereca takes over. Finally some leadership1

  35. - And I Approved This Message - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 5:55 pm:

    Did we ever see early voting numbers? I think Election Day turnout maybe hard to gauge until we have some hard “historical” data on how many people are choosing to vote early.

  36. - 1st ward observer - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 6:09 pm:

    Husband and I voters #129 & 130 in 1st ward out of 574 registered in the precinct, but workers there said the turnout was much better than they expected…

  37. - amalia - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 6:09 pm:

    Party addresses as seen on TV….Del Valle somewhere on E. 35th St., Chico at 333 Wacker the Westin, Rahm at 33 S. State which looks to be the Carson Pirie Scott Building cause if it was 333 S. State it would be the Water Dept.! can’t recall where Braunfest is.

  38. - jake - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 6:21 pm:

    Things are very sleepy in Champaign County. The only race is one Democratic primary for one Alderman ward in Urbana, and even there one of the candidates wound up endorsing the other about a week ago. Does that mean we all get along really well, or that we don’t care? I hope more the former than the latter.

  39. - P. - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 6:23 pm:

    Silly season in full effect in 50. You’re going to hear a lot later this week about the nasty Stone tactics up here.

  40. - 32nd Ward Roscoe Village - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 6:41 pm:

    On Saturday, each voter in my house received a letter from a Pavlik supporter implying that because Wags did not support Gov. Quinn in the recent election and Pavlik did, ipso facto Wags was anti-democrat, anti-abortion, etc., yeah, right.

  41. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 7:50 pm:

    So Englewood loses 25% of its population but the Loop increases by 75%.

    Have you been to Englewood? Have you been to the Loop? Not the sign of the city in decline.

    Speaking of Englewood, catch Derrick Rose in action as soon as you can. Solid citizen, straight outta the West Side, the dude takes the ball up the court, scores and plays defense, too. And he ain’t got his man-strength yet.

    –The trend is a result for the plan for transformation of the Chicago Housing Authority, and the displacement of 110,000 people,” mayoral candidate William “Dock” Walls told Ward Room. “Some of ’em have left Chicago. They’ve gone to the suburbs, or Indiana.”–

  42. - Daria - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 8:09 pm:

    Haven’t seen anyone mention it yet, but the story in the 47th is pretty big. Machine-appointed candidate is losing to a young reform-oriented new to politics candidate. He showed his stuff in the debates, newspapers paid attention and endorsed him. And even though signage was 2-1 against him, it looks like Pawar is winning.

  43. - Downstate - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 8:59 pm:

    Can you explain how the mayor’s race garnered only a 37% turnout in cook county, while the 2010 election had a 70% plus turnout? This downstate skeptic smells ballot stuffing in November. Or are my numbers wrong?

  44. - Rich Miller - Tuesday, Feb 22, 11 @ 9:01 pm:

    ===garnered only a 37% turnout in cook county===

    Um, Chicago. Not Cook.

    And I think it was because people figured it was over before it began. Plus, the alternatives were what? Not much.

    Again, if you stay home, you vote for the winner. And that’s what they did.

  45. - Roscoe Villager - Wednesday, Feb 23, 11 @ 12:13 am:

    Was a poll watcher for Waguespack today, who had every precinct covered all day. So, “@anon” was quite mistaken. Mell spent $180,000 on Pavlik and got 17% of the vote. His utterly absurd letters cost him support. Fritchey’s candidate, Brian Gorman, was humiliated with

Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.

* One more day
* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* Sign of the times?
* Question of the day
* Exelon Just Received A $1.7 Billion Rate Increase Through The Market-Based Capacity Auction
* Today's number: 60
* No imminent power shut-offs
* Chamber all-in on impasse
* COGFA: State receipts down almost a billion dollars in first quarter
* Two racetracks will likely close
* "How many babies have to die?"
* Report: "A billion-dollar giveaway rife with failure"
* Frerichs warns of impasse consequences
* Quinn touring the state
* Yesterday's blog posts

Visit our advertisers...







Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

    * Nexus 6P to boost Huawei’s smartphone shipments
    * Now on Tap for Marshmallow makes your smartphone even smarter
    * Android 6.0 Marshmallow First Look (Video)
    * Marshmallow update for these 17 devices confirmed by T-Mobile
    * Be very excited, Bud Light has made a smart beer fridge
    * Get your Nexus ready, Android 6.0 Marshmallow OTA links are here!
    * ASUS releases ZenWatch FaceDesigner for their DIY watch face makers

    * Holliday, Ventura connection goes way back
    * 2015 in 3 words: Sale, Abreu, inconsistency
    * Hawk cutting '16 broadcast schedule
    * Podcast: Shifting the target
    * White Sox face toll of three losing seasons
    * Montas solid, but offense silenced in finale
    * Sale, Abreu among White Sox record setters


    Main Menu
    Pundit rankings
    Subscriber Content
    Blagojevich Trial
    Updated Posts

    October 2015
    September 2015
    August 2015
    July 2015
    June 2015
    May 2015
    April 2015
    March 2015
    February 2015
    January 2015
    December 2014
    November 2014
    October 2014
    September 2014
    August 2014
    July 2014
    June 2014
    May 2014
    April 2014
    March 2014
    February 2014
    January 2014
    December 2013
    November 2013
    October 2013
    September 2013
    August 2013
    July 2013
    June 2013
    May 2013
    April 2013
    March 2013
    February 2013
    January 2013
    December 2012
    November 2012
    October 2012
    September 2012
    August 2012
    July 2012
    June 2012
    May 2012
    April 2012
    March 2012
    February 2012
    January 2012
    December 2011
    November 2011
    October 2011
    September 2011
    August 2011
    July 2011
    June 2011
    May 2011
    April 2011
    March 2011
    February 2011
    January 2011
    December 2010
    November 2010
    October 2010
    September 2010
    August 2010
    July 2010
    June 2010
    May 2010
    April 2010
    March 2010
    February 2010
    January 2010
    December 2009
    November 2009
    October 2009
    September 2009
    August 2009
    July 2009
    June 2009
    May 2009
    April 2009
    March 2009
    February 2009
    January 2009
    December 2008
    November 2008
    October 2008
    September 2008
    August 2008
    July 2008
    June 2008
    May 2008
    April 2008
    March 2008
    February 2008
    January 2008
    December 2007
    November 2007
    October 2007
    September 2007
    August 2007
    July 2007
    June 2007
    May 2007
    April 2007
    March 2007
    February 2007
    January 2007
    December 2006
    November 2006
    October 2006
    September 2006
    August 2006
    July 2006
    June 2006
    May 2006
    April 2006
    March 2006
    February 2006
    January 2006
    December 2005
    April 2005
    March 2005
    February 2005
    January 2005
    December 2004
    November 2004
    October 2004

    Blog*Spot Archives
    November 2005
    October 2005
    September 2005
    August 2005
    July 2005
    June 2005
    May 2005


    RSS Feed 2.0
    Comments RSS 2.0


    * Chicago aldermen demand firing of police superintendent
    * Verizon moving center to Rolling Meadows, adding 200 jobs
    * Report shows steep increase in Indiana homeless students
    * Illinois to implement new ratings for schools, districts
    * Elgin schools CEO frustrated with lack of Legionella advice
    * Illinois Senate to get 2 new members to fill vacancies
    * Number of Chicago heroin overdoses hits 74 in 3 days
    * Car crashes into northern Illinois church, injuring 6
    * University of Illinois opens center for wounded veterans
    * Opponents upset Chief Illiniwek merchandise available online

    * Chancellor Koch: Budget pressures growing for UIS, other schools
    * Illinois to implement new ratings for schools, districts
    * Budget impasse cuts services for domestic abuse victims
    * Weaver tapped to replace LaHood in Illinois Senate
    * Peoria city councilman tapped to replace Darin LaHood in Illinois Senate
    * Illinois budget impasse affecting emergency call systems
    * Legal marijuana stirs hope in southern Illinois town
    * Statehouse Insider: We have a problem. Is anyone there?
    * AP Exclusive: Legal marijuana stirs hope in southern Illinois town
    * Gov. Rauner: Illinois budget standoff 'could go on for a while'

    * Former Motorola president becomes head of DuPont
    * DuPont's new CEO has Motorola roots
    * Data hack at 7 Trump hotels confirmed
    * Trump hotels confirm data hack
    * Trib papers offer broadest employee buyout yet

    * Body of man, 78, pulled out of water near Montrose Harbor
    * 3 injured in shootings
    * Bomb threat leads to canceled classes Monday evening at College of DuPage
    * Gary man dies after car crash in northwest Indiana
    * City: 2015 Taste of Chicago made $320K profit
    * Man killed, 4 injured in shootings; man stabbed on CTA Green Line platform
    * Chicago priest removed for inappropriate adult relationship
    * Prosecutors: Man charged in fatal crash continued driving with man's body on car
    * Chicago schools with enrollment declines face major budget cuts
    * Metra installs free charging areas at 4 downtown stations

    * Kathleen Parker: The GOP’s (New) McCarthyism
    * Clark Bullard: Unclear if CWLP’s proposed rate changes are fair
    * Chancellor Koch: Budget pressures growing for UIS, other schools
    * Illinois to implement new ratings for schools, districts
    * Paul Findley: Boehner deserves souvenir from Pope's visit
    * Budget impasse cuts services for domestic abuse victims
    * Weaver tapped to replace LaHood in Illinois Senate
    * Illinois budget impasse affecting emergency call systems
    * Legal marijuana stirs hope in southern Illinois town
    * Bernard Schoenburg: An added loss for workers at Illinois State Museum

    * Boys' golf: Three teams to watch this postseason
    * Area prep statistics: Girls' tennis (Oct. 6)
    * Prep coaches weigh in on MLB playoffs
    * Monday's highlights: Crose nets hat trick for Cornjerkers
    * Area prep statistics: Boys' and girls' golf (Oct. 6)
    * UI roundup: Volleyball falls to No. 13 after losses
    * Ferguson doubtful for trip to Iowa
    * Cubit sympathetic toward Big Ten officials
    * Tate: College hoops shenanigans have my head spinning
    * Campuses describe imminent budgetary disasters

    * COD classes to resume Tuesday after bomb threat
    * Aurora's Paramount earns 5 Jeffs in first year of eligibility
    * Rookie Chicago Bears safeties big help in securing first win
    * District 204 teachers want 'multiple working conditions' addressed
    * No school Tuesday in Dist. 156, but negotiations resume

    * House lawmakers overcome hurdle on key tra...
    * Rodney Davis talks funding with Bloomingto...
    * The agency that fought Illiana gets a new ...
    * Rep. Dold takes educational cruise down Ch...
    * Lawmakers decry high turnover rate of VA h...
    * CBD Oil, and politics
    * Simon considering state Senate bid
    * Killer Congressman Tom MacArthur trying to...
    * Shutdown? State may not notice
    * Rep. Bob Dold

    * Durbin Talks Gun Control - Alton Daily News...
    * Durbin Talks Gun Control -
    * Sweeping Bipartisan Federal Sentencing Ref......
    * Sen. Durbin Blames the NRA for Preventing ......

    * Cubs in wild-card against Pirates: Sen. Ma......
    * Senators Kirk, Toomey Bet on NL Wild Card ......

    * Could Illinois be the example of rational political thought after all?
    * The PI Week In Review
    * State Sen. Michael Connelly To Oversee Marco Rubio's Campaign In Illinois
    * Chicago chapter of NAREB collaborates to serve consumers
    * Small Business Owners Criticize State Economic Development Subsidies
    * New School Rating System To Roll Out In Illinois
    * REbarcamp gives Illinois REALTORS 10 ways to learn more from each other
    * Chicagoans Speak Out On 2016 Budget With Progressive Aldermen At Town Hall Meeting
    * CPS Officials Revise Inflated Graduation Rates (UPDATED)
    * Kotowski's Replacement To Be Sworn Into State Senate

      Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller