SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Johnson predicts GOP remap lawsuit will fail

Tuesday, Jun 21, 2011

* Congressman Tim Johnson just rented an apartment in Litchfield, which is in the middle of his new congressional district. He talked about the move and his pending run for reelection with the Champaign News Gazette

“I’ve said before that the (redistricting) process was flawed, that it wasn’t transparent and, frankly, it’s kind of an embarrassment to the Legislature and to good government. But nonetheless I’m not going to go to somebody in Bond County and say, ‘I think this is a flawed process and I hate it but I want you to vote for me.’ The reality is this is the district. We’re going to file a lawsuit but it’s not going to succeed, so you’ve just got to go forward with the way it is.” [Emphasis added.]

That won’t make him too popular with the powers that be, I’m sure.

* Johnson, by the way, has picked up a new Republican primary opponent. Samuel Thomas Spradlin, a Springfield truck driver, has a website, but no plans to raise much money

“His campaign war chest is approximately $200,000,” Spradlin said. “I’m sure he can make that $2 million overnight. And I’d be lucky to raise $2,000. That’s the truth.”

* Related…

* Let’s Talk About Redistricting

* Redistricting’s Bottom Line Might Surprise You: Democratic gains in just two states, Illinois and California, will almost completely offset the party’s losses elsewhere. On the GOP side, gains in North Carolina, Texas and Georgia almost offset Republican losses in Illinois and California.

* Some Lake County Board Members Cry Foul Over Redistricting

* Mike Boland considers congressional run

* Congressman Shimkus Fears Loss of Ethanol Credits

* Schock pushes bill to end ethanol support

- Posted by Rich Miller        


22 Comments
  1. - Precinct Captain - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 1:08 pm:

    Johnson will cruise to the nomination. Johnson’s politics can sometimes be bizarre over the issues he chooses to be a maverick on, but at least he seems somewhat thoughtful on things. One look at that opponents website and it’s clear he’s not thought out things on a lot of issues.


  2. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 1:16 pm:

    –That won’t make him too popular with the powers that be, I’m sure.–

    I don’t think that’s ever bothered Johnson too much. He used to give Lee Daniels and Chris Freveletti fits in Springfield.


  3. - Cincinnatus - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 1:44 pm:

    The party much sue. They will lose. These aren’t the droids you’re looking for…


  4. - Yellow Dog Democrat - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 1:48 pm:

    Frerichs would have been a great candidate for that district.

    I know Hoffman is weighing a run.

    Have we heard from Kelleher?


  5. - Team Sleep - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 1:55 pm:

    He speaks the truth. That money could be better used defending Bobby Schilling or helping Bob Dold in his new area. Those two races - plus the thought of Randy Hultgren & Judy Biggert attracting tough opponents in an Obama year - will require a lot of the GOP’s time and money. This is akin to throwing money in the trash can and then complaining you don’t have money for dinner.


  6. - K3_Spfld_Chi - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 2:05 pm:

    “That won’t make him too popular with the powers that be, I’m sure.”

    If the Illinois Rep Party had much power to begin with . . . Johnson wouldn’t be popular with them.


  7. - Cincinnatus - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 2:22 pm:

    “… an Obama year…”

    Meaning in a year Obama is running, right? Certainly you don’t think Obama will have coat tails.


  8. - Team Sleep - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 2:30 pm:

    Yes, Cincy, and he will have coattails in Illinois in 2012. Sorry. If that map survives, the Illinois GOP Congressional delegation would be lucky to have 7 members (Roskam, Biggert, Johnson, Hultgren, Shimkus, Manzullo/Kinzinger & Schock). If there’s a brutal Dem primary in the 17th CD, Bobby Schilling might have a chance. That’s going to be a tough district in which to repeat his strong performance from 2010.


  9. - Cincinnatus - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 2:45 pm:

    You really think that the map changes will be swamped by Obama’s coattails in Illinois? I think that the remap would have the same effect on the election whether or not Obama was on the ticket. In fact, given Obama’s approvals, I think it would be more likely to suppress the support of Democrats in general. Can you make a prediction on what would be a bad year for Democrats in Illinois, by that I mean what result would you expect in the three cases of Obama positive, Obama neutral, and Obama negative? Actually, that would be a good QOTD.


  10. - Vote Quimby! - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 3:01 pm:

    ==lucky to raise $2,000==

    Spradlin was working the crowd at the Sangamon County Fair and came up to our table after the chili cook-off. He gave each of us his card, each of which had whiteout on the district number and handwritten “13″….dang those late maps!


  11. - Whistler - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 3:33 pm:

    Where are you guys assuming Biggert runs? 11?


  12. - Team Sleep - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 3:34 pm:

    Cincy, if Obama’s numbers lag next November, we can hope for 9 seats out of the 18. That’s about as good as it would get. In that scenario, Bobby Schilling and Bob Dold would win or Bobby Schilling wins and we find a good candidate who can win the new “open” 8th CD. But even that would be a tough road to hoe. My conservative estimate would even be 8 - Bobby Schilling survives and we lose the new 8th & 9th CDs.


  13. - Team Sleep - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 3:35 pm:

    Whistler - yes, that is my assumption. I don’t think she would run against Mike Quigley.


  14. - Cincinnatus - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 3:53 pm:

    Judy will run in CD11.

    Thanks for the analysis, Team Sleep. That scenario sure seems like the Dems didn’t really do what they wanted to do. Anyone else care to chime in?


  15. - VanillaMan - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 8:28 pm:

    Well I have heard the old elephants crying and acting all morose, but I don’t agree with their black mood.

    2008 was an aberration that will not be repeated. Drawing lines influenced with those numbers gives a portrait that is probably off.

    I don’t care though. This is Illinois. You want a future in the GOP? Don’t bother here. No one is going to listen.


  16. - Dan - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 8:35 pm:

    Biggert won’t have a chance in CD11. Might be better off going up against Roskam.


  17. - Dirty Red - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 9:22 pm:

    Boland is still “considering”? He’s been “considering” for well over a year.


  18. - franny - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 10:29 pm:

    He’s been “considering” for over a year all over the district though. At least it implies he’s talking to people and not just nose diving into it. I’ve heard many say Koehler just nose dived and his announcement was very sloppy. Will Lee’s announcement was a huge nose dive. Announcing at Koehler’s event? If I were Koehler I’d be annoyed.


  19. - G. Willickers - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 11:17 pm:

    @ Vman: “2008 was an aberration that will not be repeated. Drawing lines influenced with those numbers gives a portrait that is probably off.”

    Rich reported some time back that they looked more at 2010 since it was such a conservative year. Tea partiers like Dold and Schilling are going to have to hope for another low Dem turnout.


  20. - G. Willickers - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 11:23 pm:

    @ Team: “Cincy, if Obama’s numbers lag next November, we can hope for 9 seats out of the 18. That’s about as good as it would get. In that scenario, Bobby Schilling and Bob Dold would win or Bobby Schilling wins and we find a good candidate who can win the new “open” 8th CD.”

    Raja’s been working the general area of the 8th for about half a year already but no one’s heard a peep out of any Republican considering a run in the new 8th. Duckworth will also be a force to be reckoned with having almost ousted Roskam in the ruby red old 6th CD (it was still Henry Hyde’s district at that point).

    The winner of that high-powered primary will come out looking like a dragon slayer/ rising star/ insert accolade here.

    The GOP? Still crickets in the new 8th as Raja and Duckworth suck all the oxygen out of the room (and Duckworth’s not even “in” officially).

    It’d be interesting if the GOP comes up with another minority to go against the winner between Raja and Duckworth, but a Dem will take the new 8th in 2012 and might’ve even done so in 2010 had it been a district then.


  21. - reform - Wednesday, Jun 22, 11 @ 8:20 am:

    Cinci
    Let’s check back after the general election next year to see whether Obama has coattails. Can we agree that if Democrats pick up 3 or 4 congressional seats, that Obama probably helped?


  22. - Conservative Veteran - Wednesday, Jun 22, 11 @ 8:42 am:

    Rich Evans is running for Congress, in the 8th District. He’s a conservative activist who worked for Eric Wallace, Jim Oberweis, and Kathy Salvi.

    Based on the 2010 election, I think that a Republican will be elected president, next year, although Democrats will gain 5-10 seats, in the U.S. House.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* AG Madigan announces huge VW settlement
* Rauner blasts Dems
* Scherer opponent drops out
* Rauner poll: Voters oppose CPS "bailout"
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* House not yet in agreement with Senate
* Rauner unveils his stopgap plan
* SDems leak K-12 funding plan
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

  
* Amazon Debuts Book-Skimming 'Page Flip' Feature for Kindle Devices and Apps
* New 3D Touch Action in iOS 10 Lets You Prioritize App Downloads
* Singapore completes digital wallet trifecta with regional Android Pay launch
* Snowfox trackerphone is another mobile alternative for parents to give kids
* Samsung Galaxy S5 Neo begins receiving OTA Marshmallow treats
* Fourth-gen Panasonic Toughpad FZ-G1 tab is sturdier and faster than ever, as pricey as always
* Facebook Promises That Location Data is 'Only One of the Factors' in Friend Suggestions

* Hawkins among top prospect performers Monday
* 2016 Draft: Signing and bonus tracker
* Hit in 57 games, win $5.6 million
* Less than 3 days left to cast your All-Star vote
* Melky remains among Top 15 in AL OF voting
* Upcoming games to influence Sox decisions
* Hawkins on MLB Pipeline's Prospect Team of the Week

...............


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0
WordPress

Loading


* Ashland mayor part of group of mayors supportin.....
* Short-Term Budget Fix For Illinois Close, But N.....
* Rauner continues to seek compromise in budget i.....
* Illinois Policy | Illinois' comeback story star.....
* Rauner: Democrats are agreed on partial-year bu.....
* Jim Nowlan: Rauner's Plan B emerging - Champaig.....
* Illinois leaders work on partial-year budget pl.....


* Beagle-rescue group sues U of I over research-animal data
* Illinois medical marijuana director resigns
* Rauner: Democrats are agreed on partial-year budget plan
* Off-duty Cook County deputy sheriff shoots, injures 2
* Activists push for stricter laws in wake of Hastert case
* $2B in Illinois road projects threatened by stalemate
* Economic woes cause drop in number of Illinois boaters
* Rauner signs ID law making Illinois comply with federal law
* Illinois police sue town, claim body cameras record nonstop
* Study: Rotting trees caused mysterious holes in huge dunes

* Rauner says agreement near on stopgap budget, but not school funding
* Senate Democrats to propose $750M education funding increase
* Rauner says no bailout for Chicago schools as part of budget agreement
* Illinois women hit hard by state budget impasse
* Stalemate threatens $2B in road projects
* Economic woes cause drop in number of boaters
* Chicago school money seen as potential deal-killer
* Chicago school money seen as potential state budget deal-killer
* Survey: Nearly 1 million human service clients affected by budget impasse
* Illinois lawmakers to reconvene Wednesday as budget deadline nears

* Bears' '85 defensive chief Buddy Ryan dies
* Springfield Dems set to try again to help CPS
* Northwest Indiana casinos generated $1.4 billion for local governments
* New group hopes to counter Friends of the Parks after Lucas fiasco
* Lawyers benefit from Brexit, while recruiters hurt


* 20-year-old man dead after Schererville crash
* Metra Electric Line stopped after pedestrian hit near Kensington
* Buddy Ryan was the heart, soul and rough exterior of ’85 Bears
* Former Bears defensive guru Buddy Ryan dead at 82
* Wonder Lake teacher arrested after texting with student
* Police: Man stabbed to death in Back of the Yards
* Obama guidance, press schedule June 28, 2016. Defense Sec. Carter
* Police: Man tried to lure girl to car on North Side
* Police: 3 teens robbed Woodstock gas station with BB gun
* Man shot in Austin


* PUSH's 'brain freeze': Hillary Clinton bio includes subpoena, Monica Lewinsky
* Griffith man killed in U.S. 30 wreck
* Volkswagen reaches $14.7B emissions settlement, largest auto settlement in U.S. history
* In defense of #TrumpGirlsBreakTheInternet
* Trailer park residents who sued Wheeling likely to be relocated
* 4 dead, 11 injured in shootings on South, West sides
* Jesse Jackson invokes slavery in slamming Dish's decision to stop carrying WGN America
* The Kris Bryant Game: Dreaming of a Red Krismas
* Suburban fireworks displays 2016
* Riot Fest completes lineup with Flaming Lips, Sleater-Kinney, Julian Marley


* Kathleen Parker: Brexit, meet Trexit
* Their View: Rauner should sign life insurance bill
* Rauner says agreement near on stopgap budget, but not school funding
* Senate Democrats to propose $750M education funding increase
* Rauner says no bailout for Chicago schools as part of budget agreement
* David M. Gerlach: College students are collateral damage in Illinois politics
* Illinois women hit hard by state budget impasse
* Stalemate threatens $2B in road projects
* Economic woes cause drop in number of boaters
* Chicago school money seen as potential deal-killer


* Podcast: State Senator Scott Bennett 6-28-16
* Life Remembered: Neurosurgeon thrived on challenges
* Temps down, travel up
* If you build a great fireworks show, they will come
* Medicare should cover hearing aids
* Danville glows with Dick Van Dyke
* Jim Nowlan: Rauner's Plan B emerging
* Maintain check on the executive
* Clinton plant key to power needs
* Adaptability a hallmark of 50-year career


* LaSalle Solutions exhibits at national health care finance event
* Wintrust Financial Corp. to acquire GE Capital franchise loans
* Sparton manufacturing center earns supplier excellence award
* NFL coach, former Bears defensive coordinator Buddy Ryan has died
* Recent editorials published in Indiana newspapers

* House lawmakers overcome hurdle on key tra...
* Rodney Davis talks funding with Bloomingto...
* The agency that fought Illiana gets a new ...
* Rep. Dold takes educational cruise down Ch...
* Lawmakers decry high turnover rate of VA h...
* CBD Oil, and politics
* Simon considering state Senate bid
* Killer Congressman Tom MacArthur trying to...
* Shutdown? State may not notice
* Rep. Bob Dold

* Illinois to get $17 million for HIV assist......

* Mark Kirk: A man without a party? - STLtod......
* Morning Digest: Mark Kirk's prayers for a ......
* Mutiny Ahead for Trump Train as Republican......

* Les Perelman responds to Maryland State Superintendent’s sorry defense of computer test scoring.
* Random thoughts. The “collectivists” at Crain’s.
* Rep. Dold Received $3M In Support from Bloomberg's Gun Control Super PAC
* Reeder: Is it time to talk about Chicago and Downstate splitting up, too?
* Unique Thrift Store On Sheridan Has Gone Out Of Business
* Bird Watchers Slay Montrose Beach Surf Pool Proposal
* Governor Rauner considers making Muslim American Council official
* Senator Kirk's last four Tweets insult Republican voting blocs
* “The Driver’s Side” – News From The Motorist’s Perspective
* Maryville Clears Finance Committee, Final Council Vote Could Happen Wednesday


* Emergency Management Officials, National Weather Service Encourage Winter Preparedness - November is Winter Weather Preparedness Month in Illinois
* Keep Your Family Safe This Winter - November through February are leading months for carbon monoxide related incidents
* Governor Takes Bill Action
* Illinois Department of Labor Director Hugo Chaviano Awards Governor’s Award for Contributions in Health and Safety to the Illinois Refining Division of Marathon Petroleum Company LP
* State Regulator Elected Treasurer of Interstate Medical Licensure Compact




Hosted by MCS -- CapitolFax.com Privacy Policy -- SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax -- Advertise Here -- Mobile Version -- Contact Rich Miller