Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar » Johnson predicts GOP remap lawsuit will fail
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Johnson predicts GOP remap lawsuit will fail

Tuesday, Jun 21, 2011

* Congressman Tim Johnson just rented an apartment in Litchfield, which is in the middle of his new congressional district. He talked about the move and his pending run for reelection with the Champaign News Gazette

“I’ve said before that the (redistricting) process was flawed, that it wasn’t transparent and, frankly, it’s kind of an embarrassment to the Legislature and to good government. But nonetheless I’m not going to go to somebody in Bond County and say, ‘I think this is a flawed process and I hate it but I want you to vote for me.’ The reality is this is the district. We’re going to file a lawsuit but it’s not going to succeed, so you’ve just got to go forward with the way it is.” [Emphasis added.]

That won’t make him too popular with the powers that be, I’m sure.

* Johnson, by the way, has picked up a new Republican primary opponent. Samuel Thomas Spradlin, a Springfield truck driver, has a website, but no plans to raise much money

“His campaign war chest is approximately $200,000,” Spradlin said. “I’m sure he can make that $2 million overnight. And I’d be lucky to raise $2,000. That’s the truth.”

* Related…

* Let’s Talk About Redistricting

* Redistricting’s Bottom Line Might Surprise You: Democratic gains in just two states, Illinois and California, will almost completely offset the party’s losses elsewhere. On the GOP side, gains in North Carolina, Texas and Georgia almost offset Republican losses in Illinois and California.

* Some Lake County Board Members Cry Foul Over Redistricting

* Mike Boland considers congressional run

* Congressman Shimkus Fears Loss of Ethanol Credits

* Schock pushes bill to end ethanol support

- Posted by Rich Miller        

22 Comments
  1. - Precinct Captain - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 1:08 pm:

    Johnson will cruise to the nomination. Johnson’s politics can sometimes be bizarre over the issues he chooses to be a maverick on, but at least he seems somewhat thoughtful on things. One look at that opponents website and it’s clear he’s not thought out things on a lot of issues.


  2. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 1:16 pm:

    –That won’t make him too popular with the powers that be, I’m sure.–

    I don’t think that’s ever bothered Johnson too much. He used to give Lee Daniels and Chris Freveletti fits in Springfield.


  3. - Cincinnatus - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 1:44 pm:

    The party much sue. They will lose. These aren’t the droids you’re looking for…


  4. - Yellow Dog Democrat - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 1:48 pm:

    Frerichs would have been a great candidate for that district.

    I know Hoffman is weighing a run.

    Have we heard from Kelleher?


  5. - Team Sleep - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 1:55 pm:

    He speaks the truth. That money could be better used defending Bobby Schilling or helping Bob Dold in his new area. Those two races - plus the thought of Randy Hultgren & Judy Biggert attracting tough opponents in an Obama year - will require a lot of the GOP’s time and money. This is akin to throwing money in the trash can and then complaining you don’t have money for dinner.


  6. - K3_Spfld_Chi - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 2:05 pm:

    “That won’t make him too popular with the powers that be, I’m sure.”

    If the Illinois Rep Party had much power to begin with . . . Johnson wouldn’t be popular with them.


  7. - Cincinnatus - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 2:22 pm:

    “… an Obama year…”

    Meaning in a year Obama is running, right? Certainly you don’t think Obama will have coat tails.


  8. - Team Sleep - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 2:30 pm:

    Yes, Cincy, and he will have coattails in Illinois in 2012. Sorry. If that map survives, the Illinois GOP Congressional delegation would be lucky to have 7 members (Roskam, Biggert, Johnson, Hultgren, Shimkus, Manzullo/Kinzinger & Schock). If there’s a brutal Dem primary in the 17th CD, Bobby Schilling might have a chance. That’s going to be a tough district in which to repeat his strong performance from 2010.


  9. - Cincinnatus - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 2:45 pm:

    You really think that the map changes will be swamped by Obama’s coattails in Illinois? I think that the remap would have the same effect on the election whether or not Obama was on the ticket. In fact, given Obama’s approvals, I think it would be more likely to suppress the support of Democrats in general. Can you make a prediction on what would be a bad year for Democrats in Illinois, by that I mean what result would you expect in the three cases of Obama positive, Obama neutral, and Obama negative? Actually, that would be a good QOTD.


  10. - Vote Quimby! - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 3:01 pm:

    ==lucky to raise $2,000==

    Spradlin was working the crowd at the Sangamon County Fair and came up to our table after the chili cook-off. He gave each of us his card, each of which had whiteout on the district number and handwritten “13″….dang those late maps!


  11. - Whistler - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 3:33 pm:

    Where are you guys assuming Biggert runs? 11?


  12. - Team Sleep - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 3:34 pm:

    Cincy, if Obama’s numbers lag next November, we can hope for 9 seats out of the 18. That’s about as good as it would get. In that scenario, Bobby Schilling and Bob Dold would win or Bobby Schilling wins and we find a good candidate who can win the new “open” 8th CD. But even that would be a tough road to hoe. My conservative estimate would even be 8 - Bobby Schilling survives and we lose the new 8th & 9th CDs.


  13. - Team Sleep - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 3:35 pm:

    Whistler - yes, that is my assumption. I don’t think she would run against Mike Quigley.


  14. - Cincinnatus - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 3:53 pm:

    Judy will run in CD11.

    Thanks for the analysis, Team Sleep. That scenario sure seems like the Dems didn’t really do what they wanted to do. Anyone else care to chime in?


  15. - VanillaMan - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 8:28 pm:

    Well I have heard the old elephants crying and acting all morose, but I don’t agree with their black mood.

    2008 was an aberration that will not be repeated. Drawing lines influenced with those numbers gives a portrait that is probably off.

    I don’t care though. This is Illinois. You want a future in the GOP? Don’t bother here. No one is going to listen.


  16. - Dan - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 8:35 pm:

    Biggert won’t have a chance in CD11. Might be better off going up against Roskam.


  17. - Dirty Red - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 9:22 pm:

    Boland is still “considering”? He’s been “considering” for well over a year.


  18. - franny - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 10:29 pm:

    He’s been “considering” for over a year all over the district though. At least it implies he’s talking to people and not just nose diving into it. I’ve heard many say Koehler just nose dived and his announcement was very sloppy. Will Lee’s announcement was a huge nose dive. Announcing at Koehler’s event? If I were Koehler I’d be annoyed.


  19. - G. Willickers - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 11:17 pm:

    @ Vman: “2008 was an aberration that will not be repeated. Drawing lines influenced with those numbers gives a portrait that is probably off.”

    Rich reported some time back that they looked more at 2010 since it was such a conservative year. Tea partiers like Dold and Schilling are going to have to hope for another low Dem turnout.


  20. - G. Willickers - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 11:23 pm:

    @ Team: “Cincy, if Obama’s numbers lag next November, we can hope for 9 seats out of the 18. That’s about as good as it would get. In that scenario, Bobby Schilling and Bob Dold would win or Bobby Schilling wins and we find a good candidate who can win the new “open” 8th CD.”

    Raja’s been working the general area of the 8th for about half a year already but no one’s heard a peep out of any Republican considering a run in the new 8th. Duckworth will also be a force to be reckoned with having almost ousted Roskam in the ruby red old 6th CD (it was still Henry Hyde’s district at that point).

    The winner of that high-powered primary will come out looking like a dragon slayer/ rising star/ insert accolade here.

    The GOP? Still crickets in the new 8th as Raja and Duckworth suck all the oxygen out of the room (and Duckworth’s not even “in” officially).

    It’d be interesting if the GOP comes up with another minority to go against the winner between Raja and Duckworth, but a Dem will take the new 8th in 2012 and might’ve even done so in 2010 had it been a district then.


  21. - reform - Wednesday, Jun 22, 11 @ 8:20 am:

    Cinci
    Let’s check back after the general election next year to see whether Obama has coattails. Can we agree that if Democrats pick up 3 or 4 congressional seats, that Obama probably helped?


  22. - Conservative Veteran - Wednesday, Jun 22, 11 @ 8:42 am:

    Rich Evans is running for Congress, in the 8th District. He’s a conservative activist who worked for Eric Wallace, Jim Oberweis, and Kathy Salvi.

    Based on the 2010 election, I think that a Republican will be elected president, next year, although Democrats will gain 5-10 seats, in the U.S. House.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Memorial Day on social media
* It's just a bill
* Get in the game or go home
* "Right To Know" Is Wrong For Illinois. Vote No On SB1502
* *** UPDATED x3 - Madigan office begs to differ - Rauner: Not enough *** Madigan crows about procurement bill passage, urges Rauner to negotiate budget with HDems
* This Is Illinois
* Unclear on the concept
* Today's number: $484.5 million
* Board of Elections promotes doomsday scenario over $9,000 bill
* Civic Federation defends Civic Committee against Tribune attack
* HDems take tax hike bill away from Rep. Ives
* A closer look at the GOMB memo
* House Dems still can't find enough support for their own budget
* *** LIVE *** Session coverage
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............
<


Loading


* Illinois House approves new college grant program..
* Bill to stop cop pension double dipping, based .....
* Illinois House passes slew of bills but none ar.....
* [ May 29, 2017 ] Cook County Clerk David Orr La.....
* [ May 29, 2017 ] Madigan Says Dems Cooperating .....
* Illinois House OKs stricter gun crime sentences..
* Legislature approves ads for license plate rene.....
* No agreement in Illinois ahead of Wednesday dea.....
* World War II Veteran Marches to Springfield to .....
* Illinois House OKs bill to automatically regist.....


* Illinois House full of action but no budget choice debate
* The Latest: Illinois House OKs stricter gun crime sentences
* Military vets hope 74-hour baseball game breaks world record
* Arrest made in slaying of Illinois man in Wisconsin
* Holiday weekend shooting kills 15-year-old Chicago boy
* Illinois Legislature OK's automatic-voter registration
* Superintendents to call for full budget in Springfield
* Chicago-area mayor joins Rauner push for property tax freeze
* Fewer grads from public medical schools staying in Illinois
* Fewer grads from public medical schools staying in Illinois

* House votes to slow down expansion of Medicaid managed care
* Illinois House approves new college grant program
* Legislature approves ads for license plate renewal reminders
* Illinois legislature OKs automatic-voter registration
* Superintendents to call for full budget in Springfield
* Odds against Springfield casino after amendment blocked
* All options remain on table as budget talks continue
* Illinois farmers may soon be growing industrial hemp
* U of Illinois trustees' retreat to address free speech
* Big retirement payouts tiny part of big pension mess

* Like our roundup? Share it around.
* The place where media pain hurts most: Springfield
* For the GOP, it's all about the Benjamins
* Online lender Avant's reboot still hasn't yielded profit
* Mike Keiser knows where golf is alive and well. (It's not Illinois)


* Bill targeting repeat gun offenders passes, but motion stalls it
* 18-year-old man shot to death in Longwood Manor
* Ray Pfeifer, NYC firefighter, voice for 9/11 health care, dies at 59
* The Tiger Woods we once knew is long gone — but his story isn’t over
* White Sox notebook: Cabrera stays hot, Shields nears rehab start
* 54-year-old dies in motorcycle crash on I-55 near Indian Head Park
* Woman, 24, shot in Woodlawn
* 30-year-old man dies more than a week after shooting in Lawndale
* 2 people shot in Elgin
* AP exclusive: Suspected drug thefts persist at VA centers


* All aboard: Joliet Rocket steamin' into town
* Cheap out: Five fun things to do for free
* Quigley says Russia probe is 'in its infancy'
* Warriors' Kerr says he's still 'not ready' to coach, Finals return is 'up in the air'
* Giants, Nationals brawl after Bryce Harper is hit by pitch
* The case for affordable housing in Jefferson Park
* Tiger Woods says reaction to medication led to arrest
* Cubs prospects update: Thomas Hatch shows a glimpse of his power pitching
* Monday shootings leave 4 dead, 3 wounded
* Melky Cabrera's 4 RBIs drive 5-4 White Sox victory over Red Sox


» Illinois Budget Fight Could Affect 2018 Elections
» New Lawsuit Accuses Imprisoned Former Speaker Of Sex Assault
» 17-Month Old Semaj Crosby’s Death Linked To Systemic, Family Failures
» 17-Month-Old Semaj Crosby’s Death Linked To Systemic, Family Failures
» Senate Passes Workers' Compensation Bills — Most Republicans Reject It
» State Week: Tax Hike Getting Cold Shoulder
» Popular Music Store Finds New Home On Navy Pier
» For West Side Students, Playing Outside Is Protesting Against Gun Violence
» Offline And On Paper: Chicago Teens Make Zines In An Ephemeral World
» Judge Refuses To Dismiss Murder Case Against Chicago Cop Who Shot Laquan McDonald


* House votes to slow down expansion of Medicaid managed care
* Illinois House approves new college grant program
* Legislature approves ads for license plate renewal reminders
* Illinois legislature OKs automatic-voter registration
* Superintendents to call for full budget in Springfield
* Odds against Springfield casino after amendment blocked
* All options remain on table as budget talks continue
* Illinois farmers may soon be growing industrial hemp
* Our View: Remember the reason for Memorial Day
* Responsible Budget Coalition: Illinois needs revenue to thrive


* ‘We have to remember the sacrifices’: Crowds come out for Memorial Day Parade
* Colp honors 100 veterans, 4 Congressional Gold Medal recipients
* American Legion Post 2505 remembers fallen soldiers
* Upcoming Services
* Moline man hits light pole, faces four misdemeanor charges
* 'They are our best and brightest': Memorial Day observances at Rock Island National Cemetery
* Belleville man charged in Family Dollar armed robberies
* Cubbie Conversation, May 29, 2017
* Rodgers: Community support 'restores your hope in the human spirit'
* Rodgers: Community support can't help but 'restore your hope in the human spirit'


* Chinese honor WWII Flying Tiger at Arlington Heights cemetery
* Genesee Theater to host 'Soft Rock Heroes' concert
* Riderless horse pays tribute to Arlington Heights fallen heroes
* Man pulled from Schaumburg pool in critical condition
* Preservationists scrambling to raise money to save Wheaton mansion

* Second Democrat announces bid to unseat Hu...
* Sweet: Hultgren, Roskam, Kinzinger avoid b...
* Dems shift financial debate to spotlight T...
* Batavia resident announces candidacy for 1...
* FBI firing, health care fuel voter anger -...
* Teacher raised in Yorkville running agains...
* Protesters continue die-in at US Rep. Rand...
* Jim Walz Will Challenge Randy Hultgren for...
* PHOTOS: Protesters stage die-in at Randy H...
* US Rep. Randy Hultgren's office the scene ...

* Trump says he favors more money for health......

* 'Inexcusable:' Durbin, Duckworth slam HUD ......

* EXTRA: How time passes
* The Weekend In Chicago Rock
* The wheels of justice turn slowly for Laquan McDonald. Nearly three years and counting.
* In Jefferson Park the opposition isn’t about density. Here is a test about the issue of density: What ward do the richest people in Chicago live in and how does it compare in density to the ward where the poorest people in Chicago live?
* Republic Steel Memorial Day Massacre. Chicago. 1937.
* Chicago is a union town, charter schools are no exception.
* HB 2808 will do to the rest of the state’s special education what already happens in Chicago.
* Pie & Brand: Hate, Anger, Violence & Carrying On
* TrackNotes: Clouds Over The Preakness
* Losers!


* Illinois Awarded Funds to Offer Advanced Training on Detecting Impaired Driving
* Illinois EPA Announces Upcoming Household Hazardous Waste Collection Events
* IEMA Highlights Emergency Preparedness for People with Access and Functional Needs in May - Ready Illinois website offers preparedness tips for people, caregivers
* First Lady Launches Illinois Family Connects
* Governor and Lt. Governor Unveil 2016 Journal of Local Government Shared Service Best Practices

  
* New iPhone ads take on your phone… your bad, bad phone
* MetroPCS and T-Mobile Galaxy S7 gets May security patch
* Which image was taken by the DxOMark-enhanced OnePlus 5?
* Join Talk Android as a writer!
* LG working with Qualcomm on Snapdragon 845 for LG G7
* Join Talk Android as its assistant video editor!
* Apple Neural Engine will put AI to facial, speech recognition

* Melky HRs, but pint-sized hit is game-winner
* Sale 'appreciative' of White Sox tenure
* Late rally gives White Sox edge over Red Sox
* Quintana to duel former teammate Sale
* Late rally gives White Sox edge over Red Sox
* Sale's next opponent knows his best the best
* 2 White Sox make Prospect Team of the Week


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0
WordPress




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller