SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Johnson predicts GOP remap lawsuit will fail

Tuesday, Jun 21, 2011

* Congressman Tim Johnson just rented an apartment in Litchfield, which is in the middle of his new congressional district. He talked about the move and his pending run for reelection with the Champaign News Gazette

“I’ve said before that the (redistricting) process was flawed, that it wasn’t transparent and, frankly, it’s kind of an embarrassment to the Legislature and to good government. But nonetheless I’m not going to go to somebody in Bond County and say, ‘I think this is a flawed process and I hate it but I want you to vote for me.’ The reality is this is the district. We’re going to file a lawsuit but it’s not going to succeed, so you’ve just got to go forward with the way it is.” [Emphasis added.]

That won’t make him too popular with the powers that be, I’m sure.

* Johnson, by the way, has picked up a new Republican primary opponent. Samuel Thomas Spradlin, a Springfield truck driver, has a website, but no plans to raise much money

“His campaign war chest is approximately $200,000,” Spradlin said. “I’m sure he can make that $2 million overnight. And I’d be lucky to raise $2,000. That’s the truth.”

* Related…

* Let’s Talk About Redistricting

* Redistricting’s Bottom Line Might Surprise You: Democratic gains in just two states, Illinois and California, will almost completely offset the party’s losses elsewhere. On the GOP side, gains in North Carolina, Texas and Georgia almost offset Republican losses in Illinois and California.

* Some Lake County Board Members Cry Foul Over Redistricting

* Mike Boland considers congressional run

* Congressman Shimkus Fears Loss of Ethanol Credits

* Schock pushes bill to end ethanol support

- Posted by Rich Miller        


22 Comments
  1. - Precinct Captain - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 1:08 pm:

    Johnson will cruise to the nomination. Johnson’s politics can sometimes be bizarre over the issues he chooses to be a maverick on, but at least he seems somewhat thoughtful on things. One look at that opponents website and it’s clear he’s not thought out things on a lot of issues.


  2. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 1:16 pm:

    –That won’t make him too popular with the powers that be, I’m sure.–

    I don’t think that’s ever bothered Johnson too much. He used to give Lee Daniels and Chris Freveletti fits in Springfield.


  3. - Cincinnatus - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 1:44 pm:

    The party much sue. They will lose. These aren’t the droids you’re looking for…


  4. - Yellow Dog Democrat - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 1:48 pm:

    Frerichs would have been a great candidate for that district.

    I know Hoffman is weighing a run.

    Have we heard from Kelleher?


  5. - Team Sleep - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 1:55 pm:

    He speaks the truth. That money could be better used defending Bobby Schilling or helping Bob Dold in his new area. Those two races - plus the thought of Randy Hultgren & Judy Biggert attracting tough opponents in an Obama year - will require a lot of the GOP’s time and money. This is akin to throwing money in the trash can and then complaining you don’t have money for dinner.


  6. - K3_Spfld_Chi - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 2:05 pm:

    “That won’t make him too popular with the powers that be, I’m sure.”

    If the Illinois Rep Party had much power to begin with . . . Johnson wouldn’t be popular with them.


  7. - Cincinnatus - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 2:22 pm:

    “… an Obama year…”

    Meaning in a year Obama is running, right? Certainly you don’t think Obama will have coat tails.


  8. - Team Sleep - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 2:30 pm:

    Yes, Cincy, and he will have coattails in Illinois in 2012. Sorry. If that map survives, the Illinois GOP Congressional delegation would be lucky to have 7 members (Roskam, Biggert, Johnson, Hultgren, Shimkus, Manzullo/Kinzinger & Schock). If there’s a brutal Dem primary in the 17th CD, Bobby Schilling might have a chance. That’s going to be a tough district in which to repeat his strong performance from 2010.


  9. - Cincinnatus - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 2:45 pm:

    You really think that the map changes will be swamped by Obama’s coattails in Illinois? I think that the remap would have the same effect on the election whether or not Obama was on the ticket. In fact, given Obama’s approvals, I think it would be more likely to suppress the support of Democrats in general. Can you make a prediction on what would be a bad year for Democrats in Illinois, by that I mean what result would you expect in the three cases of Obama positive, Obama neutral, and Obama negative? Actually, that would be a good QOTD.


  10. - Vote Quimby! - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 3:01 pm:

    ==lucky to raise $2,000==

    Spradlin was working the crowd at the Sangamon County Fair and came up to our table after the chili cook-off. He gave each of us his card, each of which had whiteout on the district number and handwritten “13″….dang those late maps!


  11. - Whistler - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 3:33 pm:

    Where are you guys assuming Biggert runs? 11?


  12. - Team Sleep - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 3:34 pm:

    Cincy, if Obama’s numbers lag next November, we can hope for 9 seats out of the 18. That’s about as good as it would get. In that scenario, Bobby Schilling and Bob Dold would win or Bobby Schilling wins and we find a good candidate who can win the new “open” 8th CD. But even that would be a tough road to hoe. My conservative estimate would even be 8 - Bobby Schilling survives and we lose the new 8th & 9th CDs.


  13. - Team Sleep - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 3:35 pm:

    Whistler - yes, that is my assumption. I don’t think she would run against Mike Quigley.


  14. - Cincinnatus - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 3:53 pm:

    Judy will run in CD11.

    Thanks for the analysis, Team Sleep. That scenario sure seems like the Dems didn’t really do what they wanted to do. Anyone else care to chime in?


  15. - VanillaMan - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 8:28 pm:

    Well I have heard the old elephants crying and acting all morose, but I don’t agree with their black mood.

    2008 was an aberration that will not be repeated. Drawing lines influenced with those numbers gives a portrait that is probably off.

    I don’t care though. This is Illinois. You want a future in the GOP? Don’t bother here. No one is going to listen.


  16. - Dan - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 8:35 pm:

    Biggert won’t have a chance in CD11. Might be better off going up against Roskam.


  17. - Dirty Red - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 9:22 pm:

    Boland is still “considering”? He’s been “considering” for well over a year.


  18. - franny - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 10:29 pm:

    He’s been “considering” for over a year all over the district though. At least it implies he’s talking to people and not just nose diving into it. I’ve heard many say Koehler just nose dived and his announcement was very sloppy. Will Lee’s announcement was a huge nose dive. Announcing at Koehler’s event? If I were Koehler I’d be annoyed.


  19. - G. Willickers - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 11:17 pm:

    @ Vman: “2008 was an aberration that will not be repeated. Drawing lines influenced with those numbers gives a portrait that is probably off.”

    Rich reported some time back that they looked more at 2010 since it was such a conservative year. Tea partiers like Dold and Schilling are going to have to hope for another low Dem turnout.


  20. - G. Willickers - Tuesday, Jun 21, 11 @ 11:23 pm:

    @ Team: “Cincy, if Obama’s numbers lag next November, we can hope for 9 seats out of the 18. That’s about as good as it would get. In that scenario, Bobby Schilling and Bob Dold would win or Bobby Schilling wins and we find a good candidate who can win the new “open” 8th CD.”

    Raja’s been working the general area of the 8th for about half a year already but no one’s heard a peep out of any Republican considering a run in the new 8th. Duckworth will also be a force to be reckoned with having almost ousted Roskam in the ruby red old 6th CD (it was still Henry Hyde’s district at that point).

    The winner of that high-powered primary will come out looking like a dragon slayer/ rising star/ insert accolade here.

    The GOP? Still crickets in the new 8th as Raja and Duckworth suck all the oxygen out of the room (and Duckworth’s not even “in” officially).

    It’d be interesting if the GOP comes up with another minority to go against the winner between Raja and Duckworth, but a Dem will take the new 8th in 2012 and might’ve even done so in 2010 had it been a district then.


  21. - reform - Wednesday, Jun 22, 11 @ 8:20 am:

    Cinci
    Let’s check back after the general election next year to see whether Obama has coattails. Can we agree that if Democrats pick up 3 or 4 congressional seats, that Obama probably helped?


  22. - Conservative Veteran - Wednesday, Jun 22, 11 @ 8:42 am:

    Rich Evans is running for Congress, in the 8th District. He’s a conservative activist who worked for Eric Wallace, Jim Oberweis, and Kathy Salvi.

    Based on the 2010 election, I think that a Republican will be elected president, next year, although Democrats will gain 5-10 seats, in the U.S. House.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* In which I agree with the governor
* Stuff you may not know about Illinois pensions
* It's just a bill
* Question of the day
* AG Madigan wants expansion of hate crime law
* Déjà vu all over again
* Rauner defends grand bargain parameters
* "We are proud to call him one of our own"
* Springfield holds its collective breath as strike talk mounts, budget impasse continues
* *** LIVE *** House session coverage
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............
<


Loading


* LaHood, Bustos could reach out more to voters d.....
* Our opinion: Hey, lawmakers! Budget mess not a .....
* Our opinion: Hey, lawmakers! Budget mess not a .....
* Op-ed: Overly generous compensation drives Illi.....
* The Sunday Spin: Politics with Rick Pearson Ful.....
* Democratic State Sen. Daniel Biss Inches Toward.....
* Rauner’s office: Gov spends 55% of Illinois nig.....
* Jim Dey: Thinking ahead, Ammons endorses Prussing..
* Highest pay in nation not good enough for Illin.....


* Parking near Wrigley Field about to get more expensive
* Tight budget might mean no sheriff's patrols on Rock River
* Authorities shooting deaths of 2 was murder-suicide
* Father of dead Navy SEAL refused to meet Trump at ceremony
* 2 young girls found dead after Chicago house fire
* Lawyer for ex-Rep. Jackson seeks shorter supervision period
* Urbana man who killed son pleads guilty to 2nd-degree murder
* School seminar near Chicago sparks civil rights, race debate
* 3rd suspect in shooting death of Chicago toddler denied bail
* Illinois man charged in Iowa killing of girl has trial moved

* Sanctuary issue draws dueling demonstrations to Capitol
* Rauner's office: Gov spends 55% of Illinois nights at Mansion
* Report: State senator's law firm dealings under scrutiny
* Durbin wants open look at Russian involvement in election
* Trump puts moderate GOP governors in awkward spot
* Economic stakes high for Springfield in labor showdown
* AFSCME authorizes strike, but still wants to bargain with Rauner
* AFSCME members authorize leaders to call strike
* Madigan forms Illinois House panel to address school funding
* Ex-U.S. Rep. Jackson gets about $138,400 in annual benefits

* Like our roundup? Share it around.
* For Chicago museums, it pays to be on public land
* Exelon hunts more state nuke subsidies following Illinois win
* Let's pass a law: No Illinois budget, no one gets re-elected
* After Seaway, what a true community bank looks like


* In era of great young shortstops, do Cubs have 2 of game’s best?
* Pregnant nominee Natalie Portman says she’ll skip Oscars
* White Sox tip Rockies 7-3 for first Cactus League victory
* CPS teachers on their own for basic classroom supplies
* Oscar Fashions: Whose wearing what; ribbons make a statement
* ‘The Columnist’ types tale of journalism in a different era
* Man killed in single-vehicle crash on Edens near Glencoe
* Only one Bulls player deserves to wear No. 1 … Jimmy Butler
* Fun and bonding in White Sox clubhouse
* Laura Washington: Trump transgender order ‘about being cruel’


* Police say more than 100 Jewish cemetery headstones damaged in Philadelphia
* Tyler Saladino battling for a job in crowded White Sox infield
* Police: Mardi Gras crash suspect's alcohol level 3 times legal limit
* Sunday's recap: Cubs 1, Indians 1
* Denzel Valentine, Nikola Mirotic making most of latest opportunities
* Man was drunk when his minivan hit, killed pedestrian in Lansing: Prosecutors
* Joe Maddon impressed with Jason Heyward's modified swing
* Did the 2011 White House correspondents' dinner spur Trump to run for president?
* 'Knock them right in the face': Baylor coach's tone-deaf message on sexual assault scandal
* 1 dead in crash on Edens near Tower Road


» Chicagoans Rally To Support Trans Rights After Trump Rescinds Student Protections
» Rauner Has Plan To Keep Government Running In Case Of Strike
» Congressman Rush Declares His Offices As Sanctuaries
» Weekend Funerals For Young Victims Of Chicago Violence
» CPS Relents, Returns $15 Million to Poorest Chicago Schools
» Doctors Discuss Alternatives To Opioids For Pain
» State Week: Will AFSCME Strike?
» Illinois Lawmakers: NEIU Student Workers Can Only Keep Jobs If State Passes Budget
» Civil Rights Investigation Into Cicero Schools Not Its First
» Indivisible Illinois Activists Concerned About Bobby Rush's Absence From Congress


* Sanctuary issue draws dueling demonstrations to Capitol
* Angie Muhs: It's time to name another Reader Advisory Board
* Bernard Schoenburg: Duckworth names 'thoughtful' former boss to downstate post
* Statehouse Insider: It's not the money, it's the appearance
* Our View: It's time for penance at the Capitol
* Rauner's office: Gov spends 55% of Illinois nights at Mansion
* Community Foundation: Sister's legacy lives on through scholarship fund
* Report: State senator's law firm dealings under scrutiny
* Durbin wants open look at Russian involvement in election
* Charles Krauthammer: Trump and the ‘Madman Theory’


* SIUE’s Venessa Brown receives 2017 Insight Into Diversity Giving Back Award
* LIVE! Nebraska
* Pedestrian killed in Oakland
* Alex Heeb can be reached at 618-208-6451 or on Twitter @alexheebs.
* Calhoun commissioners examine burn bans
* Midland looks at adding ag tech classes
* Two dead in murder/suicide in Herrin
* Father of slain Navy SEAL from Peoria refused meeting with Trump
* ENGAGEMENT
* ANNIVERSARY


* IN Current Conditions
* Police say drunk driver caused Mardi Gras crash that hurt 28
* Leonard scores 25, leads Spurs to 119-98 rout of Lakers
* Parking near Wrigley Field about to get more expensive
* Greenwell sparks No. 13 Duke women 95-71 over Tar Heels

* Protesters converge on US Rep. Randy Hultg...
* GOP congressman appears to distance himsel...
* US Representative Randy Hultgren visits ne...
* Hultgren criticizes immigration ban, Roska...
* Hultgren to join veterans' forum at Geneva...
* Hultgren to participate in veterans forum ...
* Protesters Demand Town Hall Meetings From ...
* Majority of IL Congressional Delegation Op...
* Group upset with Trump wants Town Hall mee...
* US Congressman tours new Aurora Specialty ...

* Political math is not economic math - Wash......
* Durbin wants open look at Russian involvem......

* Senator Duckworth discusses infrastructure......

* This morning students at Swarthmore College are sitting-in, demanding that the administration divest in fossil fuel.
* Democratic Party suicide?
* Maryville East Coming Down Quickly
* #LibertysPromise
* The Democratic establishment.
* 81% of AFSCME Illinois state workers vote for strike authorization.
* Reading and slave insurrection.
* You’re not welcome here.
* Mem Fox’s read-aloud commandments.
* A win for Illinois special education students. We’re not done yet. Contact your Illinois legislators now.


* Governor Bruce Rauner Honors Carnegie Hero From Buffalo Grove
* Governor Addresses State Board of Education to Emphasize Importance of Strong Accountability Standards
* Stars and Legends to Perform at 2017 Illinois State Fair - First Round of Grandstand Headliners Announced for Springfield Fair
* Earthquake Education Kiosk Unveiled at University Mall in Carbondale - IEMA, Central U.S. Earthquake Consortium project will help southern Illinois residents reduce damage, injuries from earthquakes
* Governor Takes Bill Action

  
* MWC 2017: Google Assistant Expands Beyond Pixel to New Android Smartphones
* Google Photos is getting an ad spot during the Oscars
* Samsung Galaxy Tab S3 specifications
* Major U.S. carriers confirm LG G6 availability this spring
* The whole world is officially invited to witness the March 29 Galaxy S8 ‘Unpacking’ in NYC
* Watch Samsung’s first teaser for the Galaxy S8 launching in March
* Samsung’s Galaxy S8 debuting in New York City on March 29 at Unpacked event

* Asche gets White Sox started in Quintana's debut
* Collins, Moncada make Sox debuts in Cactus opener
* Fulmer looks to keep learning throughout spring
* Fulmer's strong start highlights Cactus opener
* Fulmer's strong start highlights Cactus opener
* White Sox trio nursing injuries as spring play begins
* Quintana eager to face USA, teammates in Classic


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0
WordPress




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller