Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar » The GOP framing
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      About     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact Rich Miller
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
The GOP framing

Wednesday, Oct 14, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Republican State Sen. Jason Barickman looks ahead to the GOP messaging in next year’s legislative elections

“Do you want a tax increase — period — or do you want reforms to the governance of the state? I think that’s an easy question for voters to answer,” he said.

       

54 Comments
  1. - 47th Ward - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 12:56 pm:

    Do you want a tax increase period, or after the period, would you like your tax increase to come with anti-union, anti-middle class “reforms” that will result in lower wages in Illinois? Because we in the IL GOP are working hard to give you both.

    I think that’s what he meant to say.


  2. - Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 12:57 pm:

    Senator,

    You’ll be “Green” on the tax increase.

    You’re welcome.


  3. - Capitol Fax Follower - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 12:57 pm:

    47th Ward: spot on


  4. - Tom - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 12:58 pm:

    If there is no tax increase, then no budget, then no recognizable state government, then no state governance to reform.


  5. - Frenchie Mendoza - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 12:58 pm:

    Until I see the numbers — any numbers — that show Rauner’s turnaround agenda will actually be short-term effective (and not 10-15 years effective), Barickman is full of it. Just like he was with the NRI stuff.


  6. - Lil Squeezy - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:00 pm:

    It would be a pity if we increased the number of uninformed voters.

    Now lets go misinform some voters!


  7. - Anonymous - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:08 pm:

    You bet I want a tax increase on the rich


  8. - hisgirlfriday - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:14 pm:

    So based on this talk from him and Radogno it appears Republicans have deduced unionism abolition isnt coming so they’re skipping straight to the tax increase blaming before it happens and before any budget is passed? Swell.


  9. - Ducky LaMoore - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:14 pm:

    Do you just want to pay higher taxes? Or do you want lower wages to go with those higher taxes? Vote Republican!


  10. - Honeybear - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:15 pm:

    What I want is a functioning state government! NOT hostage taking and hostage executing when your so called “reforms” aren’t swallowed whole. Quit doubling down! What is wrong with you people?


  11. - Anon221 - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:16 pm:

    From the article:
    “State Sen. Jason Barickman has a simple response to constituents who are frustrated by Illinois’ failure to pass a new budget: I know your pain.”

    Whose pain are you privy to, Senator? Whose pain do you identify with? Some of your constituents passed the point of “pain” months ago.


  12. - Gooner - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:16 pm:

    I suspect many of you are overestimating IL voters.

    Brickman is right and the GOP has a good chance of pulling it off.

    “We just want a few reforms.” I suspect a lot of voters will want “reforms” without giving the details much thought.


  13. - Educated in the Suburbs - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:17 pm:

    A “tax increase period” sounds like taxes will be higher 7 days out of every 28, and for the three days prior to the period’s beginning, everyone will be cranky and out of sorts every month.


  14. - Rod - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:17 pm:

    Since it is Senator Barickman asking the questions and I assume the answers he wants to all of his questions would be consistent with those Governor Rauner would want to see, my answer to: Do you want a tax increase? Yes period. Do you want reforms to the governance of the state? No period.

    My answer to the question do I like the idea of paying more taxes? No I don’t like it. My answer to the question is Illinois is governance in need of reform is yes, but not reformed the way Senator Barickman wants to do it or Governor Rauner wants to do it.


  15. - Gooner - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:18 pm:

    One more reminder — a high number of voters think we can balance the budget with a few painless cuts of political hacks.

    When it comes to budget issues, many voters have an unrealistic perspective.


  16. - out of touch - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:18 pm:

    The question of tax increases is “when” not “if”. He’s going to be sad about holding the budget hostage when he realizes that his (and many of his GOP colleagues’) vote to increase taxes is much closer to his re-election bid than it would have been otherwise. The longer this impasse protracts, the more Rauner will need the tax $, and that greater need may just equal a greater demand for GOP votes on the tax increase.


  17. - 29th Warder - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:20 pm:

    The messaging is going to be Democrat = Madigan. It hasn’t worked well with mail in individual districts before, but that might be different with a statewide TV campaign


  18. - Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:22 pm:

    I guess conceding you are voting for, possibly, the largest tax increase in Illinois history will be salvaged by…

    … the attempting to dismantle unions thru angling for ending prevailing wage and eliminating collective bargaining?

    What is the positive for the voter?

    “I voted to raise your taxes, lower services, and I’m trying and trying to make sure unions are eliminated in Illinois. All unions.”

    Again, at the door, with the lit in hand, what are the positives?

    If the Social Service providers and Advocates, Unions, and Democrats can’t slam dunk this in 2016 just through the damage done to Social Service groups and Rauner’s own PowerPoint slides.

    But, they all need to work together. Huge ask, especially since guys like Ken Dunkin will be running under the guise of IllinoisGO…

    But, if the tweet makes Sen. Barickman feel better, then it does, I guess.


  19. - Jack Stephens - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:22 pm:

    Jason,

    Illinois citizen here…..no problem with a tax increase. Reforms are good too. What are proposing? Be specific.

    Thanx,
    Jack


  20. - Louis Capricious - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:25 pm:

    Um, that message suggests that the question of whether to raise more revenue for the state will not have been settled by the time of the next general election - nearly halfway into the NEXT fiscal year.

    Are the Republicans seriously considering a strategy that contemplates continuing on this current trajectory - with no additional revenue - until at least halfway through FY 2017?


  21. - Jack Stephens - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:25 pm:

    Oh, and Jase……

    Most Illinois Citizens support draconian cuts in Wealthy Welfare according to the poll last November. The only poll that really matters.

    Toddles,
    Jack


  22. - Team Sleep - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:26 pm:

    29th - that’s what I’ve been saying since Rauner took office.

    “It didn’t work before!”

    So?! It was also just quips and Cap Fax fodder before. It was hard to take the old ILGOP seriously when they were operating in NEGATIVE revenue figures.

    Since someone else used a sports analogy in another post, here’s one: the Red Sox couldn’t beat the Yankees in the playoffs. Then came 2004 and they came back to conquer the mountain.

    These comments are eerily similar to what everyone on this site was saying last year around this time. And then Governor Rauner was elected.


  23. - Jocko - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:28 pm:

    Can Barickman (or anyone in the yellow army) produce ONE piece of reform legislation that will result in 4 Billion in savings…eliminating the need for a tax increase?


  24. - How Ironic - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:28 pm:

    @- Team Sleep - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:26 pm: “These comments are eerily similar to what everyone on this site was saying last year around this time. And then Governor Rauner was elected.”

    Yes, but had the Gov run on how he’s been managing the state thus far, he would have lost by a country mile. All of this nonsense was presented after he took the oath. The destroying unions, runaground ™ agenda, no-discussion budget etc.

    Don’t leave that part out in your ‘recollection’.


  25. - Team Sleep - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:28 pm:

    Jack - just curious, but why on Earth wasn’t the “millionaire’s tax” referendum BINDING?!


  26. - JS Mill - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:33 pm:

    I like Jason, most of us tend to like our local legislators it is the “others” we don’t like. NRI was embarrassing though.

    This message went out to those on his email list and it is low brow stuff, typical for many pols.

    I asked him recently if he knew of any examples where economic growth was spurred when incomes were reduced and unemployment increased. I have not heard back yet. Not holding my breath.


  27. - Cheryl44 - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:42 pm:

    I want Rauner to resign. It’s clear he has no idea how to govern.


  28. - lib dem67 - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:44 pm:

    With our reversion to a lower state tax rate why are state tax collections down? Statewide unemployment is higher in 2015 than 2014. Will some Laffer/Kemp supply sider explain why this is occurring. Better yet, why are Dems not pointing out that is happening.


  29. - Jack Stephens - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:47 pm:

    @lib:

    But Bruce is spending millions to convince me that lower wages are a good thing for me!

    Snark/off


  30. - Schwarber's Ball - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:47 pm:

    Nip this nonsense in the bud. Why doesn’t someone very publicly challenge Barickman, Rauner, any GOP with the following: “OK, assume we adopt each and every plank of your turnaround agenda, Governor do your constitutionally required job and present a budget, have it balanced, and please show your math,”


  31. - Johnny Q. Suburban - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:50 pm:

    Cynical? Yes. Disingenuous? You bet. Did it work last fall? Absolutely.


  32. - Arsenal - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:54 pm:

    Wow, calling Democrats the tax hike party! How innovative!

    == the Red Sox couldn’t beat the Yankees in the playoffs. Then came 2004 and they came back to conquer the mountain.==

    Yeah, ’cause they did something different than they’d been doing before.


  33. - Team Sleep - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 1:57 pm:

    Which was what, Arsenal?! They added Curt Schilling, traded Nomah and replaced Grady Little with Tito Francona. They changed it up and gave themselves more firepower. Same with this. Before now, the “Fire Madigan!” slogans were, well, just slogans. HRO staff didn’t have the money behind the efforts to make them stick. Now it’s a different time and story.


  34. - Georg Sande - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 2:04 pm:

    Barickman is exactly right.


  35. - Ducky LaMoore - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 2:13 pm:

    ===“We just want a few reforms.” I suspect a lot of voters will want “reforms” without giving the details much thought.===

    I would gladly accept human decency in the absence of “reforms.”


  36. - Norseman - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 2:17 pm:

    Gee Barickman, isn’t your purchaser advocating both? Explain that message to your voters.

    I’ll let Munger tout some of the Dem retort that will be their message.

    - More than 25,000 people with developmental or intellectual disabilities have lost access to services they rely on.
    - Counties struggled to keep 911 Emergency call centers operating in the absence of funding.
    - More than 130,000 college students have had their grant funding cut off.
    - Agencies providing shelter for domestic violence victims have shut their doors.

    I’ll add another couple.

    - Your city services had to be cut back because of Rauner’s impasse forcing higher unemployment or higher taxes.
    - You have to pay your bills, but Rauner’s government operates with IOUs.


  37. - DuPage Bard - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 2:24 pm:

    What Democrats are passing a tax increase?


  38. - cdog - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 2:58 pm:

    Barickman seems to have missed the first few lessons on the fiscal situation in Illinois. I don’t think “no tax increase” is one of the options.

    Remember the talking point, we are severely over-taxed with the income tax in Illinois. How can we even dream of raising taxes to work on our $9B deficit!!! /s

    In a somewhat regional geographic order, from NW to SE, single filer status at a somewhat decent level of income.

    NE — 6.86% over $30K income
    KS — 4.6% over $15K
    MN — 7.05% over $25K (and higher)
    IA — 6.8% over $30K (and higher)
    MO — 6% over $9K
    WI — 6.27% over $22K (and higher)
    IL — 3.75%
    KY — 5.8% over $8K (and higher)
    MI — 4.25%
    IN — 3.3%
    TN — 6%

    We are beat by one state. If you make over $30K per year, Illinois is a tough place to live and pay income taxes. /s

    http://taxfoundation.org/article/state-individual-income-tax-rates-and-brackets-2015


  39. - Earnest - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 3:10 pm:

    If they can continue to keep the collective bargaining out of the conversation, I think it’s a winning message. I’ve started noticing articles and editorials that mention “reforms” both specific and general, and they rarely mention the collective bargaining piece.


  40. - Dilemma - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 3:14 pm:

    It would seem the Democrats could begin messaging a general opposition to any additional taxes. The Governor asked for these rates, and they expect him to propose a balanced budget. At the point where the governor has to explain why he needs additional taxes, they should oppose them tooth and nail unless he gives them something in return.


  41. - Juvenal - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 3:23 pm:

    “You’ve sacrificed sure footing for a killing stroke.”

    - Ra’s al Ghul


  42. - cdog - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 3:31 pm:

    note - TN 6% tax on interest and div only


  43. - X-prof - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 3:35 pm:

    @cdog. Not exactly beat by IN, since Indiana counties levy income taxes in addition to the state income tax. Since there are no county income taxes in IL, the total state + local income tax is higher in IN than IL (with the exception of a few counties where it is very close). On average, income tax is considerably higher in IN. Bottom line: IL has the lowest income tax in our region. See here for details: http://www.in.gov/dor/reference/files/dn01.pdf


  44. - Liberty - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 3:57 pm:

    Republicans still think the budget can be balance by stopping waste and abuses.


  45. - The Whole Truth - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 4:14 pm:

    cdog/ X-prof-
    You might want to take a look at a bigger part of the picture.
    Illinois collected more per capita than surrounding states and was #14 nationwide for FY13. The state income tax reversion to 3.75% since doesn’t look to materially affect the rankings.

    http://taxfoundation.org/blog/how-much-does-your-state-collect-taxes-capita?


  46. - cdog - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 4:22 pm:

    TWT
    So we need to enact TA Agenda items that have no real effect on cash flow (or any real effects on anything for many years), not raise taxes, and then default?

    oh, I guess that’s an option. I personally thinks that not a good one.


  47. - Ghost - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 4:32 pm:

    seems a bit cowardly to say “reforms” instead of saying eliminating roghts to negotiate salary, medical, hours and pension benefits.

    if you are aftaid to say what the reforms actually are then you know deep down you dont have support; otherwise why try to trick people with inaccurate labels…


  48. - walker - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 5:37 pm:

    Let’s not confuse political messaging with fact-based reality.

    This messaging could work, to the extent we lack understanding of the current situation, how state government works, and accurate financial forecasts. Winning political contest is almost always more about image and emotional connection, than about reason.


  49. - Norseman - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 6:59 pm:

    walker, I understand your point, but the problem for the GOP this time is that their anti-tax message is going to get a little complicated when a lot of them vote for it and Rauner signs it. Of course they’ll say it could have been worse without whatever reform is done.


  50. - X-prof - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 8:30 pm:

    Sorry TWT, it appears that you’re the one missing the big picture. We’re not claiming that Illinois is a low-tax state overall, we’re saying that the Illinois income tax is exceptionally low. That means we depend proportionally more on regressive sales and property taxes. The net effect is that we are a high-tax state for middle and low income earners, but an exceptionally low-tax state for the very wealthy.


  51. - walker - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 8:35 pm:

    Norseman: Agree it will become more difficult for GOPers who vote for a tax increase, but they’ll stick with the “It’s all the Democrats’ fault.”

    Think they’re better off after voting for the increase, than if the government is still obviously failing next cycle. It might take a while, but the Governor owning it across the board will eventually come.


  52. - X-prof - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 8:37 pm:

    … The other effect is that the state is unable to meet its fiscal responsibilities, no matter whether you use the governor’s or the GA’s spending plan.


  53. - The Whole Truth - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 9:21 pm:

    X-prof-
    How is making Illinois an even higher taxed state than it already is going to help? We pay more per capita in individual income taxes than surrounding states….$1202 per capita vs. Indiana at $722 per capita according to the Census Bureau.
    We could realize $1.2B in savings for state salaries if we matched Indiana’s per capita expenditure for the same line item.
    Another $1B or so could be saved taxpayers if we matched state/local government administration per capita costs to those of Indiana.
    Merely raising taxes won’t solve our problems….it will only make them worse without spending curbs and a way to increase our workforce. See the BLS charts linked above. There simply aren’t enough of the “very wealthy” to make up what is needed.
    A budget shortfall of $4B would require over $300 from every man, woman, and child in the state…a good deal more than that per capita if you consider only the (decreasing) number in the work force. Before we’re asked for that, there needs to be evidence something will change for the better, not a guarantee of the status quo.
    The Census data can be found at:

    http://factfinder.census.gov/faces/nav/jsf/pages/index.xhtml

    Look for tables LGF001 or SLF001 and see for yourself…a little math is required to get the per capita numbers, but it’s worth the trouble. Look at any state you like…


  54. - The Whole Truth - Wednesday, Oct 14, 15 @ 9:33 pm:

    Perhaps a better big picture snapshot can be made comparing State/Local Revenue vs. State/Local Expenditures.
    According to the Census Bureau link above, Illinois expended over $800 per capita more than it took in as revenue. Indiana spent $189 per capita less than it took in, Iowa was about even, and Missouri spent $278 per capita more than it took in. Once you consider the $100B Illinois pension debt due over the next 30 years, you have another $3B+ per year to account for somehow. A $4B budget shortfall and another $3B per year for pensions figures to $542 additional for every person in the state just to get even. Again, when you consider the workforce as the ones paying the taxes, that per capita figure is even higher. Before we start coughing that up, there has to be some changes in how we do business in the state.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Isabel’s afternoon roundup
* Pritzker says he 'remains skeptical' about Bears proposal: 'I'm not sure that this is among the highest priorities for taxpayers' (Updated)
* It’s just a bill
* It sure looks like lawmakers were right to be worried
* Flashback: Candidate Johnson opposed Bears stadium subsidies (Updated x2)
* $117.7B Economic Impact: More Than Healthcare Providers, Hospitals Are Economic Engines
* Open thread
* Isabel’s morning briefing
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Live coverage
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Loading


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
April 2024
March 2024
February 2024
January 2024
December 2023
November 2023
October 2023
September 2023
August 2023
July 2023
June 2023
May 2023
April 2023
March 2023
February 2023
January 2023
December 2022
November 2022
October 2022
September 2022
August 2022
July 2022
June 2022
May 2022
April 2022
March 2022
February 2022
January 2022
December 2021
November 2021
October 2021
September 2021
August 2021
July 2021
June 2021
May 2021
April 2021
March 2021
February 2021
January 2021
December 2020
November 2020
October 2020
September 2020
August 2020
July 2020
June 2020
May 2020
April 2020
March 2020
February 2020
January 2020
December 2019
November 2019
October 2019
September 2019
August 2019
July 2019
June 2019
May 2019
April 2019
March 2019
February 2019
January 2019
December 2018
November 2018
October 2018
September 2018
August 2018
July 2018
June 2018
May 2018
April 2018
March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller