Capitol - Your Illinois News Radar » Blagojevich most vulnerable?
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Blagojevich most vulnerable?

Thursday, Dec 22, 2005

Governing Magazine’s Josh Goodman is preparing a story for February and gives us a sneak peek in his blog:

For a preview of the 2006 governors elections that I’m writing for the February issue of Governing, I’ve spoken with the University of Virginia’s Larry Sabato and Nathan Gonzales of the Rothenberg Political Report. Here’s their analysis, as well as information I’ve gleaned from other sources […]

There’s no clear consensus as to which Democratic governor is most vulnerable next year. Sabato leaned toward Illinois Governor Rod Blagojevich, although he also mentioned Ted Kulongoski of Oregon and Brad Henry of Oklahoma. Blagojevich has been coping with ethics charges and could face moderate Republican Judy Baar Topinka in the general election.

Gonzales also named Blagojevich, but he said he has heard Michigan’s Jennifer Granholm, who faces a Republican willing to spend his personal fortune to unseat her, mentioned too.’s Chris Cillizza ranks Granholm as being in the most trouble, with Kulongoski second. Ed Rendell of Pennsylvania and Jim Doyle of Wisconsin will also have credible opponents, although none of these Democrats is probably in as much trouble as Ehrlich and Schwarzenegger.

- Posted by Rich Miller        

  1. - Anonymous - Thursday, Dec 22, 05 @ 6:05 am:

    Polls and pundits aside, unless Pat Fitzgerald comes up with the goods on the Virility King or he is caught with the proverbial dead woman or live boy, we are to be saddled with “pay to play” for four more years here in Illinois. Unfortunately, egos the size of Texas and unethical behavior are not reasons to fire a governor, even it those two things hurt more people in the state than his programs help others. There is a lack of conscience here along with thick skin that nothing can penetrate.

    Interestingly, our illustrious governor’s antics are common knowledge in other states, according to my connections. They have made fun of him on radio in Florida. But I’ve never heard of the problems of the troublesome governors in the other states mentioned in your article. I guess that makes us voters in Illinois look either gullable or ignorant. We should have looked deeper, folks.

  2. - Rele Tahrd - Thursday, Dec 22, 05 @ 6:38 am:

    I can’t believe I’m typing this because it may read as if I have some sort of positive feeling about Blah-Blah, but if you quote enough experts they will end up with a listing all the governors. The only experts are me, Rich and a couple of the rest of you.

    Now that my Christmas/holiday/seasonal non-slanderous thought has come and gone in one paragraph, I know who I think is the most vulnerable, but I am not from Cook or a collar county and I hear how people are truly disgusted with this guy. I’ve heard him trashed in other states, too. I think the powers in those states want him to look ridiculous to pre-empt serious discussion of any of his myriad future-mortaging-for-today’s-personal-political-benefit schemes.

    Like: Spending hundreds of thousands of dollars to stage dozens of events in an upcoming travelling Rx show, timed coincidentally during a political campaign, telling senior citizens to break the law is not what the greatest generation or any Illinois citizen really needs from the governor.


  3. - Paul Powell - Thursday, Dec 22, 05 @ 8:14 am:

    This whole administration is phony. At a downstate mall two weekends ago the guv’s people were promoting AllKids or whatever that program is called. A local television crew was to shoot some footage for their news. David Phelps IDOT expert appears shortly before TV, waits on TV, signs up a family while the cameras roll and as soon as the shoot is over, he leaves. And you think people aren’t observant. I’m telling you this bunch from top to bottom comes across as phony. When the families involved tell these kinds of tales to their families and friends and they pass them on as they did to me it snowballs and shows the depths of how really pathetic they all are. Visiting the Veteran’s Home this week in Marion was interesting. The guv’s people should visit there and not say who they work for to get a good feel for their mood about him. Sadly, they don’t really want to know. It is not good!

  4. - VanillaMan - Thursday, Dec 22, 05 @ 9:34 am:

    Ehrich, Henry and Schwarzenegger are fish out of water. Their states naturally do not elect governors in their party, even if they do a great job in office. This is the lead reason why Romney didn’t run in his state. Each of them have done a good job in office, have taken strong stands on issues, and have shown that they are not bipartisan hybrids. They could win if they convince voters that they don’t agree with them, but know better to lead their states - a tough sell.

    Granholm and Blagojevich have self inflicted problems. Both looked promising upon inauguration, but failed to mature.

    Granholm is ripe for picking off, but has no real challenger to take advantage. Blagojevich is in more trouble if JBT wins the primary, because she is a veteran campaigner well known and liked by a majority of voters.

    Rendell and Doyle are at the point Blagojevich was in April 2005, so they have a little more time to pull off a re-election win. Wisconsin has been trending Republican for a decade, so Doyle has to be in top shape. Rendell is just sloppy, but Pennsylvania still leans Democratic enough for his re-election. With a weak Senate incumbant on the ballot, (Santorum), Rendell is better positioned to catch residual benefits from this failing Congressman.

    Merry Christmas!

  5. - Ray Coleman - Thursday, Dec 22, 05 @ 11:32 am:

    I am encouraged by the comments posted on this blog. Those of us who want good government are encouraged to have a sense that the public is being properly informed about where a candidate really stands on the issues and not be sucked in by the rhetoric and grandstanding. Bottom line Blagojevich does not deserve a second term. I am disapointed that Eisendrath got in the race so late, but he serves a good purpose, and that is to continue to expose Blagojevich as the phony he truly is.

  6. - Goodbye Napoleon - Thursday, Dec 22, 05 @ 3:58 pm:

    Calizza is great on handicapping congressional races, but doesn’t know the states as well. This governor and next year’s race is totally uncharacteristic for this state.

  7. - Anonymous - Thursday, Dec 22, 05 @ 8:01 pm:

    These people are as dumb as the prognosticators who said the Sox would finish third in the AL Central last season or that the Bears were among the worst teams in the NFL. Real people in Illinois love Rod Blagojevich and they gladly pay higher taxes because they trust Mr. Blagojevich’s wisdom. The polls are flawed because they can’t get ahold of the people working 2 jobs to make ends meet, who are the people who will benefit from AllKids and who will propel Mr. Blagojevich to a decisive win in 2006. You people are worse than Chuck Goudie, who is so misleading and is even more biased than Fox News Channel. You will all be eating crow next November.

  8. - 6 Degrees of Separation - Thursday, Dec 22, 05 @ 9:42 pm:

    Anon 8:01-

    Will all the people working the early morning shift at Burger King and the afternoon shift at Wal-Mart find enough time on election day to get to the voting booth? Now THAT is the question!

  9. - WAY DOWNSTATE - Friday, Dec 23, 05 @ 7:16 am:

    Has anyone heard that Blago’s guys are bringing in a out-of-state firm at 430 million to study and change work schedules at IDOC?Is it the holidays and they hope no one will notice?

  10. - girl friday - Friday, Dec 23, 05 @ 7:42 am:

    That’s very interesting ‘Way Downstate – 7:16’. I just ran across an old memo from former Director of Highways Vic Modeer (dated February 9, 2004) that states “The Governor has hired the McKinney Consultant Group to review IDOT to save money. They get 10% of all savings.” I wonder if the firm that was hired to “study and change work schedules at IDOC” also receives a percentage of what they save.

  11. - roy slade - Friday, Dec 23, 05 @ 8:30 am:

    Anon 8:01: Down in Southern Illinois- we shoot crows- using kitty cats like yourself for bait.

    Only those people who were hired to work in state government (without any real qualifications and skills) will vote for blago- the rest are laughing and concerned at your problems with lack of trust, ethical issues, and debt problems.

    It’s not too late to stop drinking the coolaide- however I expect that you will go down with the boat- grasping for a life line next December in a coded state job.

    Good luck- you had three years to “change government”- and I am sure there will be people in Springfield “pointing the fingers” at the holdovers who produced nothing, did nothing, and were grossly overpaid to do so for the past three years.

  12. - WAY DOWNSTATE - Friday, Dec 23, 05 @ 8:52 am:


  13. - BOBIO - Wednesday, Dec 28, 05 @ 2:58 pm:

    Gov Blago is the silliest looking most disingenuous politician I have seen. He needs to lose an election to get a dose of reality so that when he runs again he can actually become a real person instead of the phony character he has evolved into.

Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.

* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* Rauner: "Madigan has rigged the Democratic primary for Pritzker"
* New Ives radio ad claims Democrats are trying to help Rauner, while Brady does Rauner robocall
* *** UPDATED x1 - DGA responds *** Elections board says DGA should file disclosure for Ives ad
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY: Jones; IEA/IFT; Reis; Mitchell; Edgar
* ISRA, Drury both try to claim Raoul inserted "poison pill" into gun bill
* Pro-life group launches GOTV effort for Lipinski
* *** UPDATED x1 *** Rauner opens new online track against Ives
* Erika Harold still can't remember comments, but says "I was wrong"
* Rauner calls Madigan "a unified force of bad, of evil"
* Sen. Duckworth gets involved in another state central committee race
* *** UPDATED x2 *** Has Pritzker gone to ground?
* Illinois House Bill HB 4900 Wastes Government Resources
* McCann, barred from SGOP caucus meeting, claims Rauner threatened to "destroy you and your family"
* *** UPDATED x1 *** Caption contest!
* Obama mailer kerfuffle in Lipinski district
* Rauner attended Quincy campaign event after Quincy veterans' home presser
* After spending millions in Dem primary, Rauner accuses "Washington liberals" of "hijacking" the GOP primary
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Yesterday's stories

Visit our advertisers...








* Recognize these names? Meet the Macon County do.....
* Leave the gun. Take the cannoli: Let ‘The Godfa.....
* Silverstein in tough primary fight following se.....
* Ives Appears to Gain Surge of Support Days Befo.....
* Illinois lieutenant governor candidate linked t.....
* Substitute teacher shortage hitting Southern Il.....
* Illinois commemorates Pulaski Day - Annanews..
* Rauner, in Champaign, says Dems trying to help .....

* Illinois lawmaker seeks to abolish townships to lower taxes
* Police presence across Illinois upped for St. Patrick's Day
* EXCHANGE: Local married couples work together peacefully
* EXCHANGE: Woodworker carves out a niche with patience
* Man gets 65 years for killing Cook County investigator
* Father of once missing suburban Chicago children in custody
* Plans for solar panel field in Illinois hit financial issues
* Wheaton College, players sued in alleged attack of player
* UI president seeks mandatory training on sexual harassment
* 1,100 Chicago-area students get hour detentions for walkouts

* Madigan backs Dem central committee incumbent in 13th
* Trump factor looms large in Illinois governor primary campaigns
* Ray LaHood brokers deal for O'Hare expansion
* McCann says Rauner threatened to 'destroy' him in 2015 over vote
* Rauner looking into state buying vacant nursing home in Quincy
* Luciano: What if Downstate dumped Chicago and formed new state?
* AP review: Push for gun laws faces resistance in most states
* Top Democrats go on attack at final governor primary debate
* Illinois Senate passes gun bills, participates in walk out
* Students stage school walkouts to protest gun violence

* Amazon search team in Chicago next week
* Pension mess? You'd hardly know it from 2018's gubernatorial candidates.
* The Best New Event Spaces in Chicago 2018
* March madness arrives in guv, assessor races
* Chicago office landlords are paying more to land tenants. Here's why.

* Police arrest man suspected of grabbing girl at Roosevelt Red Line station
* 60 years later, Kim Novak reflects on Hitchcock’s ‘Vertigo’
* The Illinois Butterfly Monitoring Network: And the making of Doug Taron
* 3 wounded, 2 seriously, in shooting at Harvey strip club
* MAP: Chicago weekend shootings tracker for March 16 – 19
* 3 men killed, 3 others wounded in citywide shootings since Friday afternoon
* Jaguar adds another cat
* Man shot during robbery in Ashburn
* Police: Man exposed himself to girl, 15, while trying to lure her into car
* 3 cellphone robberies reported at Illinois Medical District Blue Line station

* For 'Black Panther' fans, what to know about the suburban hamlet of Wauconda
* Cubs' Javier Baez returns to Sloan Park; Kris Bryant enjoys homecoming in Las Vegas
* Elgin cops to release videos from police shooting of armed woman: 'The public has a right to know'
* Country Club Hills suspended 3 firefighters for 'inappropriate' internet use, records show
* Man shot by Merrillville police suffered from mental illness, 'needed help' in hours before death, family says
* Police investigating fraudulent charges made on Palos Hills school district credit card
* Aurora man gets seven years for shooting acquaintance in the face, fleeing police
* 'I used bad judgment': 14th Congressional District candidate facing forgery charge in Wisconsin
* Mundelein trader defrauded investors of $750,000, prosecutors say
* Facebook bans Trump campaign's data firm, Cambridge Analytica, for taking user data

» State Week: Rauner's Gun Veto; Dem's Mean Debate
» Rauner: Replace Legionnaires’-Stricken VA Home With New ‘Ultra-Modern’ Facility
» IL Check Cashing Fees Raised on Payroll Checks, Lower on State Assistance
» Money And The Legal Weed Debate In Illinois
» Illinois Legislature Bans Credit Freezing Fees Charged by Equifax, Others
» State Senators Stage Walk Out, Vote On More Gun Regulation
» Could Rent Control Come To The Second City?
» School Walkouts: Teens Say ‘We’re Fighting For Our Lives’
» West Side Teens March For Students Killed In Florida — And Chicago
» Gov. Rauner Vetoes Gun Dealer Licensing Measure

* Madigan backs Dem central committee incumbent in 13th
* Ed Rogers: As a Republican, I see a 12-alarm fire raging. Why can't Trump?
* Trump factor looms large in Illinois governor primary campaigns
* Ray LaHood brokers deal for O'Hare expansion
* McCann says Rauner threatened to 'destroy' him in 2015 over vote
* Eugene Robinson: Trump's craven surrender to the NRA
* Thumbs Up: To the history-making Southeast Spartans basketball team
* Rauner looking into state buying vacant nursing home in Quincy
* Luciano: What if Downstate dumped Chicago and formed new state?
* AP review: Push for gun laws faces resistance in most states

* What you may have missed: First Gig, opioid ID proposal, Rauner gun veto, National Walkout,
* Southern Illinois Wellness Expo: Three health conferences merge into new event at JALC
* Four of six children now at home following Columbia crash that killed mother
* Your guide to St. Patrick's Day
* MARK-TO-MARKET: Wage growth, inflation concerns recede…for now
* Substitute teacher shortage hitting Southern Illinois hard; lobbyists working with legislators to change rules
* Curves changes ahead
* FEMA to assess flood damage in Vermilion County
* Oakwood considers drainage, demolitions
* Book examines local TV's first decade

* Immigrant reunited with child months after separation by US
* The Latest: St Patrick's Day Parade lights up New York City
* Indianapolis, Fort Wayne hospitals end visitor restrictions
* UK probing Facebook after Cambridge Analytica suspension
* With torn ligament, SZA powers through performance

* Primary candidates vie for Democratic nomi...
* ICOs Draw Fire at US Congressional Hearing...
* What to Expect When Congress Talks ICOs To...
* 14th District candidates agree: Global war...
* 7 Democrats talk strategy for winning Tues...
* 14th District Dems voice opinions on immig...
* Chelsea Handler shares 14th Congressional ...
* This RSS feed URL is deprecated
* River Town Chronicles: Randy Hultgren is T...
* 7 Democrats talk strategy for winning prim...

* This RSS feed URL is deprecated...
* Guest lineups for the Sunday news shows - ......
* Guest lineups for the Sunday news shows - ......
* Guest lineups for the Sunday news shows - ......

* This RSS feed URL is deprecated...

* Sublime new-music choir the Crossing makes its local debut
* Democrat Governors Association interferes in IL GOP primary
* So why hasn't Illinois ratified the ERA?
* In the 17th Illinois state representative district, Chow ignores IEA cease and desist order. She is not IEA endorsed.
* 87th Street in March 2018
* What Culture Wrestling: Why WWE Struck Accidental Gold On WWE RAW This Week #Raw
* Lt. Gov. candidate at 95th on Friday
* Some school officials were too anxious to control student dissent at walkouts
* 4 Story, 20 Unit Building Proposed For Vacant Lot On Agatite
* The Week In Chicago Rock

* Illinois Awarded Funds to Offer Advanced Training on Detecting Impaired Driving
* Illinois EPA Announces Upcoming Household Hazardous Waste Collection Events
* IEMA Highlights Emergency Preparedness for People with Access and Functional Needs in May - Ready Illinois website offers preparedness tips for people, caregivers
* First Lady Launches Illinois Family Connects
* Governor and Lt. Governor Unveil 2016 Journal of Local Government Shared Service Best Practices

* Huawei MediaPad M5 Pro review: the Android fan’s iPad Pro
* Samsung Galaxy S10 Facial recognition, iPhone SE2 leak & more – Pocketnow Daily
* Lumia 1020 Throwback! Can HMD & Nokia disrupt like this again? (video)
* Spotify IPO will have no underwriting banks
* Google Pay working on Wear OS in three more countries
* Ex-chairman of Qualcomm board leaves company
* iPhone X ad for Face ID features vanity bug

* Your guide to pronouncing all those tricky White Sox names
* Spring Stats Glance
* Dunning among top prospect performers
* Sox lose to Cubs 6-3, but Avi shines
* Jones steaming toward back-end bullpen role
* No shocks in seven Sox cuts
* Moncada, Anderson building bond for future

Main Menu
Pundit rankings
Subscriber Content
Blagojevich Trial
Updated Posts

March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005


RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0

Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller