Question of the day
Tuesday, Aug 15, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Which statewide candidate do you think will get the highest percentage of the vote this November? Here’s a list of the contenders (Greens ommitted because I doubt any of them are in the running for highest percentage) in case you need prompting. Bonus points for picking the percentage that the highest finisher will get: Blagojevich-Topinka; Madigan-Umholtz; White-Rutherford; Hynes-Pankau; Giannoulias-Radogno
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- Louis G. Atsaves - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 9:40 am:
Lisa Madigan: 74% - 25%.
- the Other Anonymous - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 9:41 am:
It’s hard to make a choice between Madigan, White, and Hynes. Nevertheless, I’ll go with Madigan, mostly because Pankau and Rutherford are still respectable candidates. Umholtz, on the other hand, will only get the support of die-hard anti-Madigan folks.
Of course, it’s sometimes hard to underestimate the number of die-hard anti-Madigan folks.
- Little Egypt - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 9:43 am:
JESSE WHITE - without a doubt. And by a huge percentage. I’m not good with projections but it will be a BIG win for Jesse.
- Anonymous - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 9:59 am:
Blago - 54
Lisa - 60
Jesse - 57
Dan - 57
Alexi - 52
- HANKSTER - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 10:01 am:
Dan Hynes 61%
- Wumpus - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 10:07 am:
Little Lisa sends Stewie to a Keyesian defeat 76-23-1 (for Wumpus)
- SouthernILRepub - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 10:13 am:
Lisa wins big but she will only get mid 60s because Stu will get at least the standard Republican 30%. Unlike Keyes he will not tick anyone off.
- RickG - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 10:19 am:
Madigan, with 77. Rutherford is at least giving more than token opposition to White, and the others are closer.
- Anon - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 10:19 am:
Lisa Madigan, hands down.
Her hapless Repub opponent appearently isn’t even running against her, he looks to be running against Blago. Some confusion there appearently.
Umholtz’s wife reportedly does some contract legal work with Madigan’s AG Office. The guy’s clearly not serious and having the ineffective MaryAlice Ericksen, the IL GOP’s Co-Chairman, as his main advisor/manager is more evidence.
Madigan will probably exceed 70%. All of the Dems win. White and Hynes also exceed 60%.
The Repubs may have the weakest statewide ticket in history.
- values matter - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 10:27 am:
Hynes 62
White 61
Madigan 60
Giannoulias 53
Blagojevich 51
- Ravenswood Right Winger - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 10:29 am:
Lisa Madigan 71%. Jesse White will be closer than the experts think. (Cue Lee Corso voice).
- Ravenswood Right Winger - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 10:30 am:
Lisa Madigan 71%. Jesse White-Dan Rutherford will be closer than the experts think. (Cue Lee Corso voice).
- VanillaMan - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 10:32 am:
Madigan, then Hynes and White. Blagojevich and Giannoulias will lose.
- Squideshi - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 10:40 am:
Rich Whitney is in the running for the highest percentage. Illinois voters are fed up with corruption in both establishment parties.
- Veritas - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 10:44 am:
Jesse White: 62%
- (618) Democrat - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 10:49 am:
Blagojenvich 54%
White 62%
Madigan 59%
Hynes 56%
Giannoulias 54%
- Ashur Odishoo - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 10:54 am:
Topinka 52%
White 58%
Madigan 60%
Hynes 55%
Radogno 52%
Odishoo 52%
Ashur Odishoo
Candidate
State Representative 11th District
- Anon-mouse - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 11:24 am:
Blagojevich - 50%
White - 56%
Madigan - 68%
Hynes - 66%
Giannoulias - L
- Carl Nyberg - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 11:25 am:
No matter who wins the gov race s/he will get the lowest percentage of any of the winners.
I think Madigan gets the highest percentage b/c she’s got strong positive feelings about her and her opponents campaign is sort of a running joke.
Rutherford is strong enough he will get votes from people who like Jesse White, but kinda suspect no Chicago Dem could run the Sec of State Office without a little corruption.
Hynes benefits from being perceived as solid. But I don’t think he inspires public affection.
- Anon - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 11:26 am:
Blagojevich 52%
White 60%
Madigan 65%
Hynes 58%
Giannoulias 51%
- Tom - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 11:31 am:
Madigan will get the highest percentage, in the low 70s. The Boy Banker will get the lowest of the five Dems but still win. The all-Chicago slate will sweep to the chagrin of Mike Madigan.
- Left Leaner - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 11:44 am:
Madigan will get the highest - probably around 65%. NOBODY knows who Stu Umholtz is!?
- Ron Burgundy - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 12:24 pm:
No contest here… Lisa Madigan gets at least 2/3 of the vote against Stu-who? …
- Yellow Dog Democrat - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 1:44 pm:
Jesse White - 71%
Dan Hynes - 65%
Lisa Madigan - 57%
Alexi Giannoulias - 54%
Rod Blagojevich/Pat Quinn - 48%
You’re right, Lisa Madigan should get two-thirds of the vote. But remember that alot of the GOP base just will not vote for a woman over a man, especially a Chicago Democrat, and alot of Republicans will vote against her just because her father is party chairman.
Rich - what’s the prize for smallest margin of error? Don’t tell me a CapFax coffee mug — I’m still waiting for my first one.
- Lovie's Leather - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 2:46 pm:
Jesse White - 68%
Lisa Madigan - 64%
Dan Hynes - 61%
I want to say Lisa is gonna get the biggest percentage, but White is way too popular. I know Little Miss doesn’t have much of an opponent, but White has popularity. Hynes has a real opponent, but his race isn’t what you’re gonna call a squeaker….
- Anon - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 2:52 pm:
Dan Hynes’s opponent almost endorsed him during her first press conference.
- Establishment Republican - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 3:08 pm:
The Ouija Board says:
Madigan- 68%
White- 64%
Hynes- 60%
Radogno- 55%
Topinka/Birkett – 48 %
And the wildcard selection-
Peraica- 51%
- Buck Flagojevich - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 3:55 pm:
Madigan @ 57 - 43%.
- Justice - Tuesday, Aug 15, 06 @ 5:03 pm:
Bus - 9
Blagojevich - 0
- T.J. - Wednesday, Aug 16, 06 @ 4:47 am:
Hynes 71%
- Big Tom - Thursday, Aug 17, 06 @ 12:57 am:
I think a better question is, which candidate will finish their term without having to resign due to a conviction? and, which candidate will be indicted first?