READER COMMENTS CLOSED FOR THE WEEKEND
Saturday, Sep 16, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Head to Illinoize for all your commenting goodness. *** UPDATE *** Go check out Mike Flannery’s latest story about “the check.” *** UPDATE 2 *** Bollywood Friday was pretty good this week. Don’t miss it.
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This just in… IEA says “none of the above” *** Updated x1 ***
Saturday, Sep 16, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Blagojevich already has the IFT’s nod, so this decision by the state’s largest teachers union is a blow to Topinka. The state’s largest education employees union is taking the unprecedented step of making no recommendation for governor of Illinois. Comments will be opened on Monday. *** UPDATE *** AFSCME also took a pass. Two influential unions that endorsed Gov. Rod Blagojevich when he was elected four years ago have decided not to endorse anyone this time around in the governor’s race. Redfield’s right to an extent, but we’ve all known for some time that AFSCME wouldn’t endorse Blagojevich. The governor definitely wasn’t expecting it, but JBT was really hoping to get this nod for the general, as she had in the primary. The AFSCME decision was probably more of a win for Blagojevich, despite what the Topinka campaign says, because of the intense animosity between himself and the union’s leaders and members. The AFSCME decision demonstrates better than just about anything else that Badabinka hasn’t yet convinced the big boys and girls that she can pull this off. She needs to do something right now or that same “inevitability factor” that helped elect George Ryan and sank Glenn Poshard (among others) will take firm hold.
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Right now, anyway, the trend is not her friend
Friday, Sep 15, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller I love trend charts. Topinka probably won’t love this one, though. The top graphic depicts poll results (dots) and the polling trends (lines) since mid-April. Blagojevich is in blue, Topinka is in red. The graph and the results below it are from Pollster.com. a great new site that has now added an Illinois page. ![]() This is overly simplistic, of course. The race will obviously tighten up when Topinka finally starts running negative TV ads (although her campaign is currently “dark” downstate and hasn’t bought any ads for this weekend in Chicago), and the guv is still far enough below 50 to be troublesome to an incumbent. No matter what any poll says today, the election is not tomorrow. But, as the title of this post says, the trend ain’t her friend. [I closed comments on this pretty quickly because it was posted so late in the day. But like all the posts, you can comment all weekend and they will magically appear on Monday morning.]
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Shameless plug
Friday, Sep 15, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller
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Friday, Sep 15, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller
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Friday horror show *** Updated x1 ***
Friday, Sep 15, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller The ICC voted to accept the results of the reverse auction, but won’t issue the results until late on a Friday afternoon. What does that tell you? After enjoying a decade-long electricity rate freeze, residential customers of Commonwealth Edison should brace for a significant increase, an estimated 25 percent, in their monthly bills, according to the results of an energy auction to be disclosed on Friday. There was word yesterday that the hike could be a lot more than 25 percent. Either way, I’m wondering if there will be some political fallout here. Like it said in the article, ComEd’s rates have been frozen for a decade. But the company seems to have made a nice profit regardless. I don’t know exactly who is right and who is wrong, but I’ve learned over the years to rarely, if ever, trust the Illinois Commerce Commission to make the right choices. And by delaying its announcement until a Friday afternoon, the ICC has once again shown itself to be a bunch of political hacks unworthy of trust. [Hat tip: CUB blog] *** UPDATE *** CBS2 has more.
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Friday, Sep 15, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller
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Question of the day *** Updated x1 ***
Friday, Sep 15, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller The ArchPundit posted some sharp comments about the Topinka campaign this week. The main point he was making is that Topinka lacks any sort of compelling theme or narrative to her campaign. In Illinois, Rod is the master of the narrative. It’s perfect for him because he has no attention span so summing it up in two sentences works great. […] Today’s question: Do you agree with this? Try not to get all hackery in comments. Address the question, please. *** UPDATE *** The ArchPundit expands and clarifies his remarks in comments. Let me say quickly as I’m headed out of town for the weekend–I generally like Judy as a person and I think she’s funny and genuine, but that’s a criticism in that it works on political junkies like those who read this site, but it’s horribly undisciplined for a campaign like this. Mixing the two like McCain or someone can work. Judy is all over the place in her messaging.
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Governor finally speaks *** Updated x1 ***
Friday, Sep 15, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller [Bumped up for discussion purposes.] I heard that the Tribune was thinking of sending a reporter out to Rockford for the governor’s fly-around. Looks like they did. Gov. Rod Blagojevich said “there’s really nothing to any of this” when asked Thursday about his acceptance of a $1,500 check for his daughter from former campaign treasurer Michael Ascaridis within two weeks after Ascaridis’ wife got a state job. This was the first time that the governor has commented himself about the $1500 check from Michael Ascaridis to his daughter and the somewhat questionable circumstances surrounding the state hiring of Beverly Ascaridis. “Every single rule and law, disclosure law, has been complied with,” Blagojevich said. […] Some Blagojevich insiders contend that Mrs. Ascaridis was angry about not getting a promotion, which is how they explain her trip to the FBI with the $1500 check. Meanwhile, the Daily Herald has a story that quotes Lt. Gov. Pat Quinn claiming that Blagojevich “does the right thing all the time,” but once again the paper’s web site is down. OK, the site is up now.
*** UPDATE *** I missed this one. The Post-Dispatch editorial board weighs in. There’s an unwritten rule in political scandals that says the more complicated a deal is, the less likely it is to get public attention. It’s when things get simple that the problems start. […]
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Lots more of that “reform and renewal” stuff
Friday, Sep 15, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller They’re really taking this “get his name out there” schtick way too far. As Scott Frillman flipped through the stack of stuff his third-grade son brought home from the start of the school year, one item in particular caught his attention. And Eric Krol takes a whack at the guv in his column today. After telling readers that Blagojevich has long proclaimed himself to be a “friend of the working class,” Krol writes… His actions in office don’t seem to be exactly endearing him to his target audience lately.
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It’s official
Friday, Sep 15, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller The Illinois Family Institute officially throws in the towel by announcing that it won’t appeal that scorching appellate court ruling which denied the group ballot access for its advisory referendum.
Despite their loss, they do have a very large mailing list now.
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6th District roundup
Friday, Sep 15, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Strange days on the campaign trail. The 6th Congressional District race took a pair of strange turns Thursday with flaps over an erroneous endorsement and a campaign contribution from controversial talk-show host Rosie O’Donnell. Oops. From the Pioneer Press, Tammy Duckworth’s spokesperson accuses Peter Roskam of “hiding behind the national party.” The tone of rhetoric between Democrat Tammy Duckworth and Republican Peter Roskam, candidates in the 6th Congressional District, escalated last week when a mailer accused Roskam of “lying” landed on voters’ doorsteps. And Hiram writes about the lack of substance from Roskam’s campaign. Also check out “Duckworth also counting on party big shots” from the Suburban Life chain.
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Morning shorts
Friday, Sep 15, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller * Are the Obama’s cashing in? An admittedly biased source asks some tough questions. * Rockford Register-Star’s editorial board grows weary of the debate over debates. * Huntley: Lots to answer before schools get more money * “An animal-protection group has criticized Illinois public health officials for being slow to implement a law approved last year that was intended to prevent dog attacks and reduce the number of stray animals.” * Big box down — foie gras ban next?… Foie gras ban may be next * Editorial: Mayor didn’t play race card in Council’s big-box dispute * Hynes to Obama: Run for president * Dems ‘confused,’ Obama writes in latest book * State chamber chief laments apathy of voters in Illinois * For all those predicting a national Dem sweep, there’s this to think about: ut most Republican incumbents hold a cash advantage over challengers, and money for ads and direct mail in the final days of a campaign is a serious advantage. This week, for example, on the same day the Democratic National Committee announced it was committing $12 million to support congressional races, the chairman of the Republican National Committee sent out word he would spend five times that amount to defend GOP candidates — a record breaking $60 million in the next seven weeks. * Ray Hanania: Daley Kicks Off Campaign With Fire and Brimstones
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Going for the soft coverage - Updated x1
Thursday, Sep 14, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller After avoiding reporters for close to a week, the governor did a fly-around today for his campaign. But not everyone got the heads up. this is from a print reporter in Springfield FYI, And a radio guy told me that radio reporters in the Quad Cities and southern Illinois were not clued in. *** UPDATE *** From a southern Illinois radio guy. Just so you know, we WERE clued in — at 3:38. He was on the podium at 3:58. 20 minute heads’ up on what turned out to be a pretty busy day here bomb threats, interstate traffic crashes, armed robberies, etc). Wow. He was on time.
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Dem poll has big Bean lead - Updated x1
Thursday, Sep 14, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Roll Call has obtained a poll comissioned by the DCCC which has Congressman Melissa Bean in front of David McSweeney by 19 points, 47-28, according to Political Wire. The fact that an incumbent is below 50 in a Democratic poll done in a Republican-leaning district should raise some concerns, so this isn’t over. But, remember, there are three candidates in this race, so 50 percent plus one vote is not the final goal. [Hat tip to a reader.] *** UPDATE *** As a commenter rightly pointed out, another Democratic poll had Bean ahead by just 3. [pdf file]
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A mail storm - Updated x1
Thursday, Sep 14, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller 6th District Democratic congressional candidate Tammy Duckworth’s people estimate that the Republican National Congressional Committee has dumped 600,000 pieces of mail into the district so far. The national Democrats, meanwhile, are not keeping pace. What follows are just a few of GOP mailers. If you click on the images you’ll get pdf files of the complete mailers. The first one below is made to look similar to a letter from the Social Security department. ![]() *** UPDATE *** Things aren’t gonna get any saner in this election, that’s for sure. From a Roskam press release: Sixth District Congressional candidate Senator Peter Roskam calls on his opponent, Tammy Duckworth, to return all campaign contributions and repudiate the anti-Christian comments of one of Hollywood’s most liberal entertainers and Duckworth supporter, Rosie O’Donnell. Duckworth received a maximum contribution of $2,100 from O’Donnell who co-hosts ABC’s “The View” talk show.
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This just in… Hynes says Obama should run - Updated x2
Thursday, Sep 14, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Comptroller Dan Hynes will make a “formal announcement” of his support for a Barack Obama presidential candidacy today. Hynes lost to Sen. Obama in the ‘04 primary, but the two became close buds after the race. Thoughts? *** UPDATE *** Hynes has a new press release. Click the pic below for the full thing. *** UPDATE 2 *** The AP has a story up. In a highly unusual move, State Comptroller Daniel Hynes Thursday urged U.S. Sen. Barack Obama to run for the presidency in 2008.
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Question of the day
Thursday, Sep 14, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller I have a bunch of mailers that I need to upload, but until then here’s your question… You may have noticed the news feed in the center column about Treos and Blackberries. I put that there because so many of my subscribers spend a lot of time on the road, particularly during session, and many of them have those gadgets, as do I. I want to do a little more along these lines, perhaps bring somebody in to do a regular post on technology and gadgets. I scan through several tech/gadget sites/blogs during the course of the week, but I’m wondering if you have a favorite site.
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Big box roundup
Thursday, Sep 14, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Mark Brown does his usual excellent job summing up what happened and what’s at stake. The City Council had a different vibe Wednesday while the attempt to override Mayor Daley’s veto of the big-box ordinance was falling three votes short. There are also three very good posts over at Illinoize on the subject. * Bill Baar: It’s not Wal-Mart, stupid; how about important issues? * Levois: The bix box veto and the aftermath * John Ruberry: Second verse on the big box bill
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A gaffe and a gift - Updated x1
Thursday, Sep 14, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller The gaffe fallout begins. Choking back sobs of grief and anger, an Englewood woman who saw her 10-year-old niece killed by stray gunfire said Wednesday that Republican Judy Baar Topinka is unfit to be governor because she joked about using a rolling pin as an assault weapon against Gov. Blagojevich. And the gift fallout continues. Topinka had this to say when asked yesterday about her ridiculous rolling pin comments. “It is a diversion,” Topinka said of the gun victims’ remarks. “And you’re going to see more diversions or as many diversions as it takes to try and bring me into this argument so as to get you off his tail on the $1,500.” And CBS2 had this bit on their broadcast yesterday. “The law says if you have any gift over $500, you need to report that right away, you don’t report it after the FBI’s all over you and forces the issue,†Topinka said. I don’t want to pick on Shiela Nix because she’s doing what she can, with what she has, and she’s usually very good at what she does. But that quote sounds even goofier than it looks on the screen. Go watch the clip at CBS2 or click the play button below. Sound quality is poor here, I’m afraid. Meanwhile, Kristen McQueary sums it up nicely. So which do you prefer? The blunt-but-offensive gal who excels at theatrics? Or the calm-but-robotic guy who won’t give a straight answer? *** UPDATE *** After days of staying completely away from reporters, Gov. Blagojevich will make an appearance today in Rockford. We’ll see if the boys and girls there play homers or ask some tough questions. They’ve got some good ones there, so I’m betting he doesn’t get a total pass.
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Morning shorts - Updated x1
Thursday, Sep 14, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller * Editorial: Secretive state ethics law needs dose of transparency * Bernie has yet another tale of reform and renewal. About 173,000 state-licensed professionals have been sent postcards, including a nice note from Gov. ROD BLAGOJEVICH, inviting them to renew their licenses - when the time comes - by computer. * “A high-ranking state agriculture official adamantly denied Wednesday the emerald ash borer infestation in Campton Township is as widespread as the highway commissioner says, and refuted suggestions the government is doing little to stop it.” * Ex-janitor testifies against Cecil Turner * Editorial: Power of a racketeer’s pension * “The Springfield and unincorporated Sangamon County smoking ban goes into effect 3 a.m. Sunday - unless you happen to be a state worker in a leased building.” * Friends say name tollway after Knuepfer * Road to tollway lease full of bumps * Gauen: Ryan lesson apt to be lost as big bucks drive campaigns *** UPDATE *** The downside to having a hospital named after your father? Headlines like this: FBI probe alleged beating by Stroger guards
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This just in: City council fails to override “big box” veto - Updated x1
Wednesday, Sep 13, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Chicago’s City Council members today failed to override Mayor Richard Daley’s veto of the so-called “big-box'’ ordinance that would have required mega-retailers in the city to pay their workers higher wages. UPDATE: From a press release. Statement from SEIU president Tom Balanoff on today’s Living Wage Ordinance veto override vote: “The mayor and the aldermen had the power to set a higher standard for wages for the working people of this city. Instead they used their power to welcome wealthy corporations paying poverty wages into this city.
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Privacy breach at the Department of Corrections - Updated x2
Wednesday, Sep 13, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller The Department of Corrections sent out a memo to employees this week warning them of a security breach involving private information. For whatever reason, an IDOC report containing the names, salaries and Social Security numbers of employees was found at an “outside location,” according to the memo. The Department claims it is investigating and says it has no reason to expect that the info was “misused.” A source within IDOC said yesterday that the State Police had been notified. They were being pretty tight lipped over there yesterday about what the heck this report was doing in the public realm. I’m having some trouble with my FTP software, but when that’s fixed I’ll upload the entire memo. Here it is. [pdf file] UPDATE: AFSCME has more on its website. UPDATE 2: AFSCME’s executive director Henry Bayer is accusing the department of not “taking all feasible steps to minimize employee losses.” A letter from Bayer to DOC Director Roger Walker is here. [pdf file]
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Levine to plead guilty six days before election day
Wednesday, Sep 13, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller This is cutting it awful close. A millionaire campaign contributor charged with swindling a medical school and masterminding a scheme to shake down hospitals for kickbacks indicated Wednesday that he plans to plead guilty. What a freakin’ nightmare that’s gonna be.
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Numbers dump… plus, will the Greenie get dumped? - Updated x1
Wednesday, Sep 13, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Rasmussen has finally moved its poll results out from behind the firewall - three days after Gov. Blagojevich’s campaign released the subscriber-only results. Anyway, as you’ll recall, Rasmussen had Blagojevich ahead of Topinka 48-36. Here’s the analysis:
There was no mention of Green Party candidate Rich Whitney. And speaking of Whitney, The Southern had a story today on Whitney’s possible appearance at a Carbondale debate later this month. When contacted Tuesday Shelia Nix, campaign spokesperson for Blagojevich, declined to comment about the Whitney’s inclusion or if the governor still plans to participate. The paper’s editor, James Bennett, had more in his blog. Blagojevich’s spokesperson said the governor’s acceptance was based on a one-on-one-chance to debate Topinka. UPDATE: The state’s IIS Radio service had a report this afternoon on the Tribune poll. Click the play button.
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Survey says…
Wednesday, Sep 13, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller From a press release: The Illinois Campaign for Political Reform (ICPR) now allows voters to learn through its website (ilcampaign.org) where candidates stand on important campaign and government reform proposals. * Responses listed by candidate are here. * Responses listing all candidates for the same office are here.
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Wednesday, Sep 13, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller
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Question of the day
Wednesday, Sep 13, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller What is the most expensive gift you’ve ever received? Excluding your parents, but including other relatives, like brothers and sisters, and, of course, friends.
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More bad news for the GOPs - Updated x1
Wednesday, Sep 13, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller [Updated and bumped up for discussion purposes.] The Tribune releases more numbers. The percentage of Illinois voters who call themselves Democrats is at its highest pre-election level in more than a decade, posing a problem for Republicans trying to win the governor’s mansion and key congressional seats, a Tribune/WGN-TV poll shows. UPDATE: Yellow Dog Democrat combed through SurveyUSA’s crosstabs to check the percentages of Illinoisans identifying themselves as Democrats and Republicans against the Tribune’s latest poll. This is what he found: Month - D/R
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Forecast: Racey - Updated x1
Wednesday, Sep 13, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Back in July, Chicago Federation of Labor President Dennis Gannon threatened “World War III” if Mayor Daley vetoed the “big box” ordinance. Daley has now responded in kind. Armed with the votes he needs to sustain his first veto, Mayor Daley accused organized labor on Tuesday of forcing the issue on a big-box minimum wage ordinance only after giant retailers started coming to impoverished black neighborhoods. So, he takes a swipe at Gannon and plays the race card at the same time. Politically, this was a very adept move, considering that Daley faces at least two African-American opponents. Still, accusing organized labor of racism is more than just a little over the top. And considering that Todd Stroger just played the race card himself, it looks like the coming fall and spring campaigns are gonna be truly nasty. UPDATE: Right on cue, this e-mail just arrived from Tony Peraica’s campaign. MEDIA ADVISORY: Peraica to Demand Investigation, Justice in the alleged racially-charged beating of a 77-year old man at Cook Core Center
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More check fallout - Updated x1
Wednesday, Sep 13, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller This move might possibly not be as desperate as it looks. Democratic Gov. Rod Blagojevich, beset by questions about personal gifts from people he has appointed to state government positions, attempted on Tuesday to turn the issue on his election challenger, questioning why Republican Judy Baar Topinka’s own disclosure forms list no gifts of any kind. There could be a method to the seeming madness. [Emphasis added.] Gov. Rod Blagojevich’s campaign on Tuesday offered fuller details behind gifts he has received while in office, with a spokeswoman saying that Blagojevich’s friends and family bought him meals and other items that may have exceeded $500 over the course of a single year. Topinka denies that she ever got any $500 gifts. But I wonder whether the governor’s campaign will now try to come up with evidence that Topinka has accepted multiple meals, etc. that total over $500. Maybe I’m wrong, and if I am then that was one of the most ridiculously desperate press stunts ever. Meanwhile, Carol Marin weighs in. For the record, my kids have never gotten a $1,500 check for their birthdays from a single one of our friends. Not when they were little, not when they got bigger. Not once. And the Peoria Journal-Star ran an editorial yesterday that I missed.
UPDATE: I missed Higgins’ cartoon today. It’s about the check. Richard Roeper also led his column today with the controversy. Let’s say you have a friend who makes $45,000 a year.
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McSweeney comes out swinging - Updated x2
Wednesday, Sep 13, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller It has begun: Republicans began rolling out their initial blitz aimed at Democratic U.S. Rep. Melissa Bean with a TV ad attacking her on health care and two mail pieces criticizing her on immigration and gas prices. Anyone have these mailers? Also, you can see video from the last candidate’s forum in the race on this page. UPDATE: Thanks to a very good pal, I now have the two McSweeney mailers. Both are pdf files. Immigration and energy policy. And check out the awful photos of Bean that McSweeney is using. UPDATE 2: Apparently, that lousy photo came from Bean’s own site. lol
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Morning shorts
Wednesday, Sep 13, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller * I knew this would happen sooner or later. “A Web site that compares Democratic Ald. Todd Stroger to the nerdy TV character “Urkel” and calls him “Toddler,” among other insults, is drawing fire from black leaders who say it’s racist and secretly being run by Republican operatives.” * Topinka’s assault-weapon comment called flippant - news conference is planned for today * Rutherford cites “pattern of impropriety” in White office * ” House Speaker Dennis Hastert is hopeful that the recent sentencing of former Gov. George Ryan in a corruption scandal will not derail Illinois Republicans.” [Video at the page.] * Madigan: End Ryan’s pension Ryan, however, would be entitled to a “timely refund” of $235,500 withdrawn from his state and Kankakee County paychecks over 36 years in public service, Madigan concluded. Still, that’s far less than the $16,420 a month the 72-year-old Republican is getting now. * Topinka backs new bridge * Roskam gets Cabinet-level support - Commerce secretary stumps for hopeful * Dan Webb named chairman of Winston & Strawn * Dean. Emanuel Reach Deal * McPier posts record operating profit last year * IHSA sticks with 4 classes
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