Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar » Campaign roundup: Why we are what we are; Roskam and Obama; PJ-S strikes again; Early voting
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Campaign roundup: Why we are what we are; Roskam and Obama; PJ-S strikes again; Early voting

Thursday, Oct 30, 2008

* Nate Silver has a “big picture” analysis of Illinois that seems just about right

If the suburban Chicago vote is split roughly evenly between the two parties, then two things are guaranteed to happen. One, it will be a hotbed for Congressional races, as it is again this year.

But two, it allows the Chicago city vote to swamp the downstate, rural vote. The city proper has no more people than downstate — actually, slightly fewer — but when it goes for the Democrat by 50 or 60 points, and downstate goes for the Republican by 15 or 25 points, that gives the Democrat an insurmountable advantage.

He also has our vital stats in a nifty graph, which you can find at this link.

* Now, onto some congressional races. The Sun-Times offers up an explanation for why Republican Congresscritter Peter Roskam has created a pro-Obama website…

Freshman Rep. Peter Roskam — who supports Republican John McCain over Obama — has launched ObamaVotersForRoskam.com. […]

Roskam’s spokesman said the Web site was appropriate because 30 percent of Roskam supporters are voting for Obama.

* There’s more to it than that…

Rep. Peter Roskam, R-Wheaton, is putting out an urgent appeal for last-minute contributions, noting Mr. Obama’s 14-point lead in his west suburban district.

* Roll-Call

Republicans still worry privately that the freshman star could be collateral damage to an Obama wave.

* The Obama campaign responds

“While we’re pleased that Barack Obama continues to attract support from across party lines … he believes Congressman Roskam would continue President Bush’s failed policies and is supporting Jill Morgenthaler for Congress,” said Obama spokesman Justin DeJong. […]

The Obama quote says, “First of all, I am a member of the mutual admiration society with Senator Roskam. He is always terrific.” […]

After praising Roskam - typical form for Senate floor debate - Obama said, “Having said that, have I said that he’s wrong? I love him, but he’s wrong.”

The Tribune has a Roskam story today, but reports nothing new.

* Meanwhile, the Peoria Journal Star allowed Aaron Schock to completely get away with saying that his back-dating of a notary stamp was a “clerical mistake” when his own father testified that it was a deliberate act. Today, the newspaper goes after Colleen Callahan on this

Half of the six people touted by Democratic congressional candidate Colleen Callahan’s campaign Monday as “Republican voters” who support her told the Journal Star they classify themselves more as independents.

Such a scandal.

* Wondering where to go to beat the early voting lines today? Here is a list of the least busy early voting wards in Chicago…

10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 16, 22, 25, 26, 27, 30, 31, and 32

And the Cook County suburbs…

Barrington, Norridge, Elmwood Park, Cicero, Stickney, Alsip, Blue Island and Lemont

Not much of a suprise, especially in the city. White wards with big Latino populations and strong Latino wards have historically experienced much lower (or quickly fallling) turnout.

* On the other hand, there are a whole lot of Latinos in Kane County, which experienced its 40,000th early voter yesterday

That is more than 10,000 ahead of the number of voters Kane County Clerk John Cunningham estimated would vote early — and at the time Rogers cast his ballot, there still was a day and a half of early voting left.

Late Wednesday, Cunningham and Deputy County Clerk Jay Bennett estimated the numbers could go as high as 47,000 voters by the end of today, the last day to vote early in Illinois. […]

The surprising number means about 19 percent of Kane County’s 214,000 registered voters already have voted.

Background

A new report by the [\Illinois Coalition for Immigrant and Refugee Rights] says Illinois now has more than three-quarters of a million foreign-born citizens and that most live in Chicago’s suburbs. Hoyt says nearly one of every eight registered voters in Kane County is now Latino. […]

Sonia Sánchez, 18, is leading a nonpartisan get-out-the-vote canvass in her hometown, Aurora. That’s the largest city in Illinois’s 14th Congressional District, where Oberweis is running. And it’s grown more Latino over the years. The ICIRR is coordinating this canvass and others like it in battleground Congressional districts surrounding Chicago.[emphasis added]

* African-American early voting has been huge

Fired up about Barack Obama and fearing long lines on Election Day, black voters are turning out in droves in the south suburbs to cast their ballots early this year.

As of Wednesday, well over 8,000 votes had been cast in both Matteson and South Holland - more than in places such as Oak Park, Schaumburg, Oak Lawn and Evanston.

Out of the 44 early voting sites in suburban Cook County, only Wheeling and Orland Park had seen more traffic.

* Related…

* Bean has cash advantage over Greenberg

* Greenberg makes final charge to unseat Bean

* Greenpeace trying to get 8th District’s attention

* 10th District rematch a familiar affair

* Kirk, Seals square off in debate

* 11th Congressional race stays heated to the end

* GOP rookie Ozinga, Democratic veteran Halvorson in attack mode over 11th District seat

* Manzullo faces two challengers

* Green issues a focus in 6th District

* Obama flood may drown Illinois Republicans

* Bernard Schoenburg: Would-be Congressman Schock spreads cash around

- Posted by Rich Miller        

8 Comments
  1. - wordslinger - Thursday, Oct 30, 08 @ 11:50 am:

    On Fox news this morning, they said some people on the South Side yesterday waited in line four to six hours to vote early.

    Why in the world would you do that?


  2. - OneMan - Thursday, Oct 30, 08 @ 12:21 pm:

    Keep in mind your Kane county numbers likely exclude Aurora since it has it’s own election commission.


  3. - Stuck with Sen. CPA - Thursday, Oct 30, 08 @ 12:23 pm:

    A good deal of the Latino population in Kane County is in Aurora, which has its own Election Commission. Early voting turnout in Aurora is about 10 percent compared to 19 in Kane.


  4. - western illinois - Thursday, Oct 30, 08 @ 12:29 pm:

    I should alos point out most of downstates population is URBAN -its QC Rockford Bloonington and so on. I would also Generally voting dem ONLY the southern tip is becoming more GOP and it has only a tiny part of downstates population Basically the GOP is only Midd to older white males in rural areas who farm and hunt…and a couple of billionares


  5. - Some Guy - Thursday, Oct 30, 08 @ 12:39 pm:

    I really like Silver’s work in general and thought that was a solid piece overall. One nitpick: he badly underestimates the number of counties McCain will win. While the state has gone blue the last 20 years, about two-thirds of its counties have had the GOP gain votes. They’re just getting absolutely slaughtered in 7 counties in NW IL, though. In 2004, 44 different counties gave Bush at least 60% of the vote.


  6. - fan of Nate Silver...and the Cubs - Thursday, Oct 30, 08 @ 12:44 pm:

    Rich left out the absolute best line from the Nate Silver piece:

    “what kind of odds could you have gotten in 1908 that a black dude would get elected president before the Cubs won the Series again?”


  7. - Peoria Pal - Thursday, Oct 30, 08 @ 7:13 pm:

    Keep in mind this is the same set of sad sacks at the PJS that have failed to mention Krupa sent Gordon an unconditional, hand written promise not to sleaze up the campaign. Cross’ crew tossed that promise out the window when the polls showed them losing.
    There is little wonder why this newspaper is sliding down hill very quickly


  8. - Jessica - Thursday, Oct 30, 08 @ 11:14 pm:

    I voted early today and in total it took 1 hour and 40 minutes here in Elgin.

    Speaking of voting early, you would be outraged to know that the election lady handing out the Con-Con papers was asked to explain what it is and her response was “I’m not supposed to say anything to sway your vote…but you aren’t in the booth yet…the main thing would be having a meeting to talk about changing state workers’ pensions, and people estimate it would cost $80 million dollars.”

    There were audible gasps from at least five people (she had many people’s attention because before she was asked that question she had been announcing the handouts to about 30 of us waiting in line). I heard at least three people say they hadn’t heard of it but would vote against it now.

    I took down her name and tomorrow I plan on figuring out who I should report her to. That was clearly illegal.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Rauner calls on White House to end child separations at U.S. Southern border
* Pritzker campaign, Campaign Workers Guild clash over intern compensation
* Possible sale of Lincoln artifacts gets national attention
* Uihlein gives $1.5 million to Liberty Principles PAC
* *** UPDATED x4 *** Rauner claims he’s done more for black people than any other governor
* Does Walgreens post office move mean the end of HQ2 bid?
* *** UPDATED 4x - Pritzker buys FB ads, Rauner responds, a correction *** Gov campaigns, Illinois Congressionals respond to border policy
* *** LIVE COVERAGE ***
* *** UPDATED 1x - Pritzker hits back *** Rauner goes statewide with “Porcelain Prince” ad buy
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............
<


Loading


* Gov. Rauner says he's done more for African.....
* Rauner Tries To Flush Pritzker Down The Toilet .....
* Rauner says Trump should stop splitting families..
* Illinois Governor's Race Goes Down the Toil.....
* Pritzker campaign, Campaign Workers Guild clash.....
* 80+ years later, Meredosia woman sees the openi.....
* Rauner and Emanuel laud each other at U of I an.....
* DuPage proposes small cell antenna ordinance..
* Stretch of road between US 51 and Wyckles to cl.....
* Illinois politicians seek answers to family sep.....


* Guilty pleas in illegal shipping of hazardous waste
* 3rd ex-Wheaton football player pleads guilty in hazing case
* Illinois governor says Trump should stop splitting families
* Lawsuit: Chicago police falsely ID thousands as gang members
* Section of I-55 buckles in central Illinois' heat wave
* Southern Illinois board sets meeting on removing president
* Excerpts from recent editorials in newspapers in Illinois
* Illinois candidate apologies for decade-old blackface photo
* Lawsuit: Many wrongly listed in Chicago gang database
* Second person dies after shooting near Chicago university

* Illinois politicians seek answers to family separations at border
* 80+ years later, Meredosia woman sees the opening of another new bridge
* Chatham man wins Illinois Bicentennial coin design contest
* Rauner to consider allowing medical cannabis for opioid patients
* Bipartisan work yields gun bills, fate rests with Rauner
* Rauner names Justin Blandford curator of Governor's Mansion
* Rauner names Williamsville woman interim HFS director
* Both Rauner and Pritzker have donated to Mansion renovations
* Both candidates for governor have donated to Mansion renovations
* Illiopolis boy helps push bill to cover hearing aids for kids

* Starbucks pumps the brakes in its home market
* Theranos didn't just harm investors
* Medicare readmissions program not causing observation stay spike
* Trump administration finalizes rule to expand association health plan access
* What's with the lighthouses on Michigan Avenue?


* 5 charged in ‘smuggling scheme’ after fatal crash in Texas
* Former West Loop tanning salon owner Marc Winner sentenced to 13 years for rape
* Abreu could be first at first White Sox All-Star in 22 years
* Fla. woman charged with identity theft after being caught with stolen rental car
* We can’t take the obsolete message of ‘You Can’t Take it With You’
* Near West Side shooting wounds 1
* Sharpton, other leaders plan to visit children at border
* Gov. Rauner says he’s done more for African Americans than any other governor
* Surviving the heat, fishing Chicago: Sprawling raw-file Midwest Fishing Report
* GE’s 100-year run on Dow ends; Walgreens added


* Former West Loop tanning salon owner given 13 years in prison for sex assault of ex-employee
* 'This is how we do it in Chicago!': CPD investigating whether alderman posed as cop during parking flap
* Family questions actions of paramedics who covered teen with sheet while tending other gunshot victims
* Drew Peterson asks U.S. Supreme Court to hear appeal of murder conviction in 3rd wife's death
* McHenry postal worker accused of stealing $3,500 from piece of mail
* Demonstrators demand reinstatement of Oak Lawn nurse dismissed by Advocate
* 10 finalists make for a fun-size tweet poll this week
* That's fine, U. of C., but ACT and SAT tests aren't just for colleges
* Disabato: Illinois recruit Branden Comia bids emotional farewell to Sandburg
* Group of Methodists signs letter charging Sessions with ‘child abuse,’ ‘immorality’ and ‘racial discrimination’


» Lawmakers To Hold Public Hearing Over CPS Sexual Abuse Cases
» Eddie Russell Jr.‘s Family Sues Peoria; Helping Veterans Graduate; Inmates And Mental Health Care
» Morning Shift Live From the Streeterville Farmer's Market
» Eddie Russell Jr.; Veterans in College; Inmates and Mental Health
» June 18, 2018 - Full Show
» Illinois Bicentennial Coin Unveiled
» Austin Texas, Like Chicago, Is Struggling With Pedestrian Safety
» Push To Bridge Gender Wage Gap Continues
» Pediatrics For Transgender Kids; ‘Pay What You Can’ Yoga Studio; Illinois Politics
» Dad-isms: Jokes and Lessons Our Fathers Taught Us


* Illinois politicians seek answers to family separations at border
* 80+ years later, Meredosia woman sees the opening of another new bridge
* Chatham man wins Illinois Bicentennial coin design contest
* E.J. Dionne: GOP moderates fold to Trumpism
* Rauner to consider allowing medical cannabis for opioid patients
* George Will: Congress suffers arthritic knees from genuflecting to presidential power
* Bipartisan work yields gun bills, fate rests with Rauner
* Bernard Schoenburg: Gov. Rauner owns Sangamon farmland — with somebody
* Bernard Schoenburg: Rauner owns Sangamon farmland — with somebody
* Angie Muhs: New reporter will focus on local business coverage


* Belleville sex offender convicted of exposing self to child for second time
* Storms sweeping across Central Illinois; winds could gust up to 50 mph
* Whitey's sales aid Bethany programs
* PHOTOS: Camp Invention at Mount Zion Intermediate School
* Habitat hosts open house
* Old Carbondale Water Treatment Plant is getting new life as next home of 710 Bookstore
* Five at 5: Local pet activist faces cruelty charge, and four other stories you should see
* 'American Pickers' star plans kid pickers event
* NAACP schedules annual Freedom Fund banquet
* Radio station WQUD moves up the dial


* Woman charged in Des Plaines man's slaying in Chicago
* US prepares for return of war dead remains from North Korea
* The Latest: Trump taunts SC Rep. Sanford in GOP meeting
* Cancer-causing agent found near Cougars' stadium called not alarming
* Fox News Channel faces backlash from Hollywood creators

* Director Peyton Reed on the 'Ant-Man a...
* Northrop Grumman opens offices in Arlingto...
* Will Laurence Fishburne Become Black Golia...
* Bill for Anti-Semitism Awareness Proposed
* 'Ant-Man and the Wasp' Unveils a N...
* Laurence Fishburne's Bill Foster
*
Roskam: Trump administration needs to imme...
* Senior Republicans are attacking Trump'...
* Zero tolerance immigration policy? 'We...
* Foster wants answers on ICE arrests in Chi...

* City receives $500K to clean up contaminat......
* Congress flails as family separation crisi......
* New GOP plan: Hold kids longer at border —......
* Illinois politicians seek answers to famil......
* State Of New Jersey Common Pension Fund D ......

* Power Breakfast...
* Illinois politicians seek answers to famil......
* Here's What Trump Actually Achieved Wi......
* Rep. Foster Pens Letter Demanding Answers ......
* "heartbreaking," area politician......

* Chicago’s future.
* Jeff Sessions explains the difference between Nazi Germany and the U.S. under Trump.
* The documentary Uncle Fun: You're the One and more of the best things to do in Chicago this weekend
* Prog-rock wizards the Mugicians never released a note—but they may still unearth their dazzling early-80s demos
* CRG Officially Breaks Ground On 4555 N. Sheridan
* The pattern to Rahm's sexual predator, filthy schools, and special ed scandals
* Judicial Inquiry Board files complaint against Judge Jessica O'Brien
* Rahm’s priorities. Public schools? No. A billion dollar tunnel.
* A Charles White retrospective on the centenary of his birth in Chicago.
* Report Reveals Rampant Wage Theft Among Top U.S. Corporations


* New Illinois 104 Bridge Opens in Meredosia
* IL Department on Aging Recognizes World Elder Abuse Awareness Month
* 2017 Wabash County Tentative Multiplier Announced
* Liquor Control Commission Underage Compliance Report for Cook County
* Liquor Control Commission Underage Compliance Report for Will Count

  
* Facebook Messenger is getting autoplay video ads
* Nuance partners with Nexgen on voice recognition tools for first responders
* Android Messages gets a little closer to iMessage with desktop support
* Google Podcasts app now available on Android
* HPE unveils GreenLake Hybrid Cloud, a pay-per-use managed service
* GitHub and Medium take down database of ICE employee LinkedIn accounts
* Beta version of Microsoft Edge natively blocks those annoying ads

* Abreu widens lead in AL All-Star vote at 1st
* Thou shall steal: Cleveland Indians, Chicago White Sox lineu...
* Carlos Rodon looks to help White Sox halt 5-game losing streak
* White Sox's Jose Abreu leads AL first basemen in All-Sta...
* Lincoln-Way Marching Band To Perform At Chicago White Sox Game
* Hiraldo leads DSL Blue Jays to 3-2 win over DSL White Sox
* Abreu widens lead in AL All-Star vote at 1st


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
June 2018
May 2018
April 2018
March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0
WordPress




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller