Live-blogging the results, Part 3
Tuesday, Feb 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller * 9:42 pm - With 82 percent reporting, we’ve got a “wow” situation developing…
With 83 percent in, GOP lt. guv candidate Jason Plummer is making his move…
Downstate is really hurting both McKenna and his running mate Murphy. Democrat David Miller is holding a few thousand-vote lead over Raja Krishnamoorthi in the Democratic comptroller’s race. Scott Lee Cohen has a commanding 20,000-vote lead over Art Turner for Dem lt. guv. Oh, man, there’s gonna be trouble. And Gov. Quinn is holding steady with his 2-point edge over Dan Hynes. Not looking good for the challenger there. * 9:46 pm - 86 percent…
Half of DuPage is still not counted, so keep that in mind. Murphy and the DuPage guv candidates could make a run there. And 160 Cook County precincts have yet to be counted. Could be a long night. * 9:54 pm - David Hoffman has conceded the Democratic US Senate race. * 9:56 pm - DuPage’s numbers have just jumped up to 86.5 percent counted, so we’ll have a readjust soon. * Quinn and Hynes are now within 6,000 votes or so with 87 percent counted…
90 percent counted and Dillard moves up…
91 percent…
* I didn’t notice this earlier, but AP has an interactive map of the results as they come in and which counties have not yet reported full results. Click here. * 93 percent…
93 percent…
* 10:13 pm - With 99 percent of the vote counted, Dan Seals leads Julie Hamos in the 10th CD Dem primary by 662 votes. * Ethan Hastert has conceded to Sen. Randy Hultgren in the 14th CD Republican primary. Big upset there, man. * 10:15 pm - 93 percent counted…
93…
* 10:22 pm - State Sen. Dan Cronin won big in the DuPage County Board Chairman’s race. With 96.5 percent of the votes counted…
* 10:24 pm - 94 percent…
94…
94…
94…
* 95 percent reporting…
* 10:35 pm - Jim Ryan has conceded and said he thinks Sen. Dillard will “probably” win the race. * 10:39 pm - Champaign County is finally reporting most of its results and Bill Brady leads Dillard in that county by 3,000 or so votes. We’ll get a reset in the AP numbers soon. However, the Dillard people point to the uncounted votes in Cook and DuPage as what will put them over the top. * 10:45 pm - There are 416 precincts still to be counted in the Democratic gubernatorial race and Dan Hynes trails Gov. Pat Quinn by 5,154 votes. So, Hynes needs to win every precinct by an average of 12.39 votes to come even. Just a little math to show you how tough this is for him right now. * Here’s that reset I mentioned above. 96 percent counted…
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- GOP4EVER - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 9:44 pm:
Half of DuPage still hasnt reported yet.
- Anonymous - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 9:46 pm:
Judy Garcia on WGN TV, reporting from Dillard HQ, just said if there’s a run-off they like that here.
Run-Off?
Bring back Dick Kay.
- GOP4EVER - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 9:46 pm:
and still 200 precincts in suburban cook to report yet
- IS - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 9:48 pm:
Dillard will pull this off–50% DuPage is still out where Brady is sucking wind: http://www.dupageresults.com/results/2010_02_results/republican-1.htm
- Hisgirlfriday - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 9:51 pm:
Looks like we have a Hoffman concession coming up.
- Park - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 9:51 pm:
looks like a ‘go to sleep, wait for the early news’ night.
- Jandtheargonauts - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 9:52 pm:
Upset special in 14th CD - Hultgren winning against Hastert. He was outspent 2 to 1; but is winning big in DuPage and Kane Counties and won out in Henry County.
- TaxMeMore - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 9:54 pm:
Brady is getting killed in DuPage, but Ryan is leading there with Dillard barely up on McKenna.
If the outstanding precincts are in DuPage and downstate this is going to be a fun night to watch the difference between Dillard and Brady.
- Downstate - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 9:54 pm:
Rich, you keep say uh oh in regards to Cohen. I haven’t heard anything about him except what comes through his ever increasing number of mailers and his TV ads. Are you implying that he’ll be a headache for the Dems in the morning? If so, why?
- Pre - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 9:54 pm:
Dupage Updated their page:
http://www.dupageresults.com/results/2010_02_results/republican-1.htm
- Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 9:55 pm:
1) Hastert, nice name, no depth in the race …
2) They HAVE to be holding back DuPage … Cronin wins, Nybo wins … trying to “count” for Dillard?)
- Bookworm - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 9:55 pm:
No, Brady is not a Tea Party type… they don’t like his approach to campaign finance and regard him as too much of an “insider” since he’s been in Springfield for what, 18 years now?
- i'm just saying... - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 9:57 pm:
DuPage has just went from 51 to 86 if anyone can extrapolate this one……..
- GOP4EVER - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 9:57 pm:
i think the DuPage County bomb is about ready to drop to the AP. They just updated the county website.
- Robroy - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 9:57 pm:
B the C, Brady is not a teabag. A downstate state senator and business dude. Heard the Tea folks were going big for Adam AN G F SKI.
- Amalia - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 9:58 pm:
Downstate, do you not recall 1986 for the Dems? Who the heck
is Scott Lee Cohen? granted, if the republicans get Plummer,
who seems like a super right guy, they will have similar
problems, but, with SLC, I just see pawnbroker people.
- Ravenswood Right Winger - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 9:59 pm:
Quinn up by 7000 votes, 86% precincts reporting per Fox 32 news
- Keep Smiling - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 9:59 pm:
Carol Marin needs to take a breath. She’s making this far more difficult to watch then it should be.
- fed up - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:00 pm:
Hynes appears to be closing the gap. less than 6k gap with 87% reporting according to ABC
- wordslinger - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:00 pm:
Quinn and Hynes in a dead heat with 87% in.
- 47th Ward - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:00 pm:
Good concession speech by Todd Stroger, pledged to work with Preckwinkle, show her the ropes, support the party, etc.
Cliff Kelley, God bless him, said on WGN that this was the first time in his lifetime the County Board president wasn’t backed by the machine. He must have still been in prison in 1990 when Phelan edged Kusper for the win. WGN also has JACK Ryan on. Not sure why.
As others have noted, the local tee-vee coverage is predictably awful. Thanks for keeping this interesting and informative Rich.
- Its Just Me - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:02 pm:
Bill Brady vs. Pat Quinn? That would be a tough decision for me.
- IS - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:02 pm:
Carol Marin might murder Alisson Rossetti tonight…
- Hisgirlfriday - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:05 pm:
99% in and Hamos and Seals are split by 662 with 3 precincts left. Guess Seals has it. Darn. Hope he can FINALLY get it done this year in the 10th.
- Downstate - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:05 pm:
Oh, Cohen, he’s that guy. Now I understand.
As for Plummer, he won’t be a liability, except that his running mate will have to stand on a milk crate to look him eye to eye. His shoulders are 6 feet tall. He’s got to be at least 6′6″ if not taller.
- IS - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:05 pm:
Note to candidates: Skype not good–you like you are in the international space station.
- Annoyed... - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:05 pm:
Where in Illinois are votes total left for the Dem. guv’s race to be tallied? Is it somewhere where Hynes or Quinn can expect to pick up votes?
- GOP4EVER - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:06 pm:
great site, tells you what areas of the state have yet to report
http://www.politico.com/2010/maps/#/IL
- IS - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:07 pm:
Ha…power outage at Quinn’s HQ
- Keep Smiling - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:07 pm:
Hoffman gave a fabulous concession speech. If Giannoulious flames out before the GE, he’s definitely ready to go.
- Pre - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:09 pm:
Dupage is up to 96% reporting.
- Annoyed... - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:09 pm:
Thanks for the link to that map. It looks like Quinn will win this, just barely.
- Arthur Andersen - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:10 pm:
Champaign, Ford, and (per Brady) Tazewell still out..
- WOW! - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:12 pm:
Thanks for the politco link. Parts of McLean, Champaign and Vermillion county still out. This might not be over for Brady just yet. 70% of Champaign not reporting.
- Keep Smiling - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:12 pm:
Alexi is giving a nice acceptance speech. But boy, is he in for a ride against Kirk.
- Pre - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:12 pm:
Love that map! Thanks.
- Mary, Sterling - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:13 pm:
Dillard?!?! I’ll have to go with the Dems.
- Bob, Not for Sterling - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:14 pm:
Quinn?!?! I’ll have to go with the Repubs!
- Hisgirlfriday - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:16 pm:
Amalia, is Scott Lee Cohen really a worse result than say if Rickey Hendon won?
But I admit I am bummed for Art Turner. Cohen just had all the constant commercials and he couldn’t compete.
Looks like Alexi is staking out the populist plank big time for the general in this victory speech.
- Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:16 pm:
Rich, if you lived in the 14CD, the Hastert loss is not THAT big … “the kid is not the old man” rand true
- Annoyed... - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:16 pm:
Me too! If it’s Quinn, I’m going with the GOP.
- Rayne of Terror - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:16 pm:
Only 2 precincts haven’t reported in McLean Co.
- fed up - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:18 pm:
If Quinn pulls it out he could always flip flop again and just retire.
- Amalia - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:18 pm:
His Girl Friday, you are correct, Ricky Hendon woulda been bad too. but this SLC win just makes the dems look dumb, or that
someone has poisoned the well for any Dem Gov. cand. with
some odd person in second, and that’s an important place, what
with Quinn moving up. Plus, I feel badly for Art Turner, who is
a long time good guy.
- Keep Smiling - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:18 pm:
Well, they must be precincts of great import.
- Annoyed... - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:21 pm:
Hynes has won practically the entire state, but his problem is and always was Chicago. Quinn had the party’s backing. If the trend holds, Quinn will win most of Chicago and thus this race.
- Downstate - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:22 pm:
Amelia,
Oh I remember ‘86 and the Illinois Solidarity Party. Got to meet the “official” Democratic candidates that year at an event. That’s the nuclear option of worst case scenarios. I was wondering if Cohen was as bad as say Ricky Hendon?
- Mary, Sterling - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:22 pm:
Bob, must you be so cantankerous?!
- Pre - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:23 pm:
Brady within 1,000
- DG - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:24 pm:
If SLC wins, it would be a great incentive to get rid of the Lite Gov. position
- fed up - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:24 pm:
Rickey Hendon would of sank the Dem ticket for sure. He did a nice job of torpedoing Turner though.
- wordslinger - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:26 pm:
Doing the math quickly in my head, based on the govnerors races, it looks like about 250,000 more voters pulled GOP ballots than Dem. That’s interesting.
Channel 7 is just burying everyone else in TV coverage up here. They’re the only ones who have crews at all HQs in the major races. Channel 9 is talking to candidates on the phone! That makes for scintillating TV.
- DM - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:27 pm:
I am so glad Hoffman lost.
Poetic justice (and $500,000 poorer to boot of his own money he spent trying to buy the election)
- Hisgirlfriday - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:29 pm:
Man if Brady walks away with this, what does this say about the relevance of the DuPage County GOP in Illinois? He’s only pulling 5 percent there!
Brady just had a phone interview on WGN now. Jim Warren seemed to admit the Chicago media had dropped the ball on not covering him to this point.
- IrishPirate - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:29 pm:
Wordslinger,
based on the Governor race about 100,000+ more people pulled Dem ballots.
Unless my math is as off as the people I voted for.
- Annoyed... - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:31 pm:
I think Dillard might still pull this one off. This stuff couldn’t get any better!
- Keep Smiling - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:31 pm:
Why is Jim Ryan’s son giving Jim Ryan’s concession speech? Hello?… Jim?
- IrishPirate - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:32 pm:
Quinn V Brady would be the:
unelectable force meeting the unelectable object.
Should be horrible to watch.
- Ilrino - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:33 pm:
Brady Quinn. A great quarterback.
- Bookworm - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:34 pm:
If Brady were truly “unelectable” he wouldn’t have done as well as he did tonight… he was 3rd or 4th in most of the pre election polls. The Dems discount him at their peril.
- ZC - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:36 pm:
It’s Cook County but just a note that Joseph Moreno has been unseated for his board seat. Couldn’t happen to a nicer guy.
- IS - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:36 pm:
Dems, meet your lite guv. I think its going to be tough to control this guy: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g42wNS2FoYM
- Rich Miller - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:36 pm:
Everybody relax. Nobody’s won this yet. The general election can start tomorrow.
- Pre - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:36 pm:
Champaign County is only reporting 30% right now.
- UI Chancellor - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:37 pm:
Champaign County is up at 90% now
- Rich Miller - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:37 pm:
===Champaign County is only reporting 30% right now. ===
No. They just reported. http://www.champaigncountyclerk.com/elections/results/2010/docs/feb/SUMMARY.HTM
- Champaign County - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:38 pm:
Anyone who knows Mark Shelden, knows he holds his number until the end for relevance, he does this every election.
- WOW! - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:38 pm:
Anybody notice that 95% of Champaign county dem vote is in but only 30% of GOP vote?
- Peggy SO-IL - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:38 pm:
Go Bill Go!
- Pre - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:39 pm:
Thanks, Rich. I’ve got about a dozen windows open and its slowing doing this crap computer.
- Congress Works For Us - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:39 pm:
Going down to the wire in the Governors race… now, do these totals include absentee ballots? Will we even know the result in the next 24 hours?
- Annoyed... - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:39 pm:
Rich, do you see anyway that Quinn can lose at this point?
- Hisgirlfriday - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:40 pm:
ABC7 had a great breakdown of the cost per vote.
Andy McKenna spent $44 per vote.
- Sam - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:42 pm:
I just extrapolated some of the numbers and I still think Dillard wins by about 1500 votes.
- Gregor - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:43 pm:
Not huge surprise, but welcome back Judy Baar Topinka.
I am astonished at how poorly Jim Ryan has done, but his campaign was weak and cheaply run.
- Deep South - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:44 pm:
Sam, I think Brady’s got it.
- Bill-O' the Clown - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:44 pm:
Just read a bit about the 1986 debacle.
How the heck is that possible?
Generic campaign ads and tons of money?
- Boone Logan Square - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:46 pm:
Does the GOP have any special rules about recounts?
- Anonymous - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:46 pm:
Brady’s back on top
- WOW! - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:47 pm:
where you getting numbers Anon?
- Ashamed to be from Illinois - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:48 pm:
Brady back in the lead
- Ashamed to be from Illinois - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:49 pm:
SunTimes Where else
- ANON - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:49 pm:
It’s just amazing that polls in the GOP race almost unanimously showed no candidate breaking 20%, all bunched within 5 points….and that’s the way it finishes. Statistically a tie. Unreal.
- Bookworm - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:49 pm:
Ashamed, maybe you won’t have to be ashamed anymore
- Anonymous - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:50 pm:
Politico is just a little ahead of the Sun Times numbers
- foster brooks - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:50 pm:
Looks like brady wins repl guv race
- Bill-O' the Clown - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:51 pm:
97%… Quinn up by 5200
96%… Brady up by 1200
- Six Degrees of Separation - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:51 pm:
The extremely low (7%) turnout in Kendall County didn’t help Ethan Hastert, but this was not the time for a kid with no elected experience at any level to enter the game on his dad’s controversial name. And Hultgren’s been around awhile and has his own name recognition and incumbency in the statehouse. Still, with both of the 14th candidates promising unity, the lay of the District, and the national mood, it wouldn’t surprise me if Bill Foster decides to mail it in from now til November…he doesn’t seem to have a real passion for his job anyway.
- Hisgirlfriday - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:51 pm:
DuPage is almost completely done and Brady’s on top.
I think that’s bad for Dillard unless he has a lot of votes left in the remaining Cook ballots.
- Amalia - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:51 pm:
Seals wins, interviewed on ABC 7. WOW!!!!!!!!!!!
- Downstate Weed Chewing Hick - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:52 pm:
Didn’t realize I was anon for a while.
- IrishPirate - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:53 pm:
Brady is getting 20+ percent in a multiple primary.
Might be enough for the primary.
Ain’t that hot if you look at the general.
As for Pat “I want to continue being Governor in the WORST way” he ain’t exactly all shiny comin’ outta dis either.
As Richard the Miller said time enough to speak to that after the final results.
- Six Degrees of Separation - Tuesday, Feb 2, 10 @ 10:53 pm:
These razor thin margins for governor represent less than a half a vote margin per precinct. There’s gonna be a lot of “if only’s” tomorrow.