Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar » Some big money just didn’t work
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Some big money just didn’t work

Thursday, Nov 8, 2012

* The Sunlight Foundation took a look at the best and worst returns on investment for outside groups making independent expenditures. Here is their ist of the top spenders’ best ROI…

SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION PEA-FEDERAL
84% of $15,202,306 spent in the general election ended in the desired result.

SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION)
70% of $14,318,192 spent in the general election ended in the desired result.

MAJORITY PAC
69% of $34,359,657 spent in the general election ended in the desired result.

WOMEN VOTE!
69% of $6,072,693 spent in the general election ended in the desired result.

* The worst…

NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND
0% of $10,955,688 spent in the general election ended in the desired result.

AMERICAN CROSSROADS*
1% of $103,559,672 spent in the general election ended in the desired result.

* Crossroads GPS had a 13% ROI

US CHAMBER OF COMMERCE
5% of $31,937,037 spent in the general election ended in the desired result.

AMERICAN FUTURE FUND
5% of $23,613,532 spent in the general election ended in the desired result.

The NRA’s “Institute for Legislative Action” had a slightly better ROI than its “Political Victory Fund,” at 10.25 percent. The Now Or Never PAC, which played extensively in the Joe Walsh campaign had an ROI of just 14.3 percent. FreedomWorks, which also advertised against Tammy Duckworth, had an ROI of 24.5 percent.

On the other side, Planned Parenthood’s “Action Fund” had a 97.8 percent ROI.

* The 17th Congressional District made it into the top three IE races. The result…

IL-17 (House)
Total outside money: $8,843,981
General candidate fundraising: $4,233,575

Candidate // General election outside support // Candidate fundraising
**winner BUSTOS, CHERI (D) $4,289,889 $1,964,893
SCHILLING, ROBERT T. (R) (Incumbent) $4,543,956 $2,268,682

* The Sun-Times looked at the congressional races by dollars spent per vote. For instance, each vote Walsh won “cost” $70, including IEs. More

Bill Foster, who ousted longtime Republican Judy Biggert in the west suburban 11th Congressional District, won with the biggest margin, according to vote tallies, with 58 percent of the vote. It cost about $30 per vote for Foster, given the $4.3 million spent by or on his behalf and the 139,849 votes cast for him.

Spending on Biggert’s side exceeded $6.3 million. Ending up with 101,002 ballots cast for her, it averages out to $62 a vote.

Walsh’s challenger, Tammy Duckworth, was a relatively good investment. Duckworth’s totals meant $39 a vote with $4.7 million in spending and 120,774 votes. […]

The closest congressional race of the three was in the 10th Congressional District, where a combination of campaign and outside money added up to $7.5 million for Republican Bob Dold. Dold narrowly lost to challenger Brad Schneider, earning 128,129 votes. That comes out to about $58 per vote for Dold.

By comparison, about $3.9 million went in on Schneider’s side, and he tallied 130,676. That’s about $29 per vote.

- Posted by Rich Miller        

19 Comments
  1. - UISer - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 9:24 am:

    “NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND
    0% of $10,955,688 spent in the general election ended in the desired result.”

    This just made my day. Thanks Sunlight Foundation!


  2. - wordslinger - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 9:36 am:

    Karl Rove has the best gig in America. I wonder how many points he took on the buys, for those results?


  3. - Loop Lady - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 9:38 am:

    NRA loses big! Thank you Rich for this delightful factoid. Can we run Karl Rove out of the country on a rail now? Karl who?


  4. - 312 - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 9:42 am:

    I want to go work for American Crossroads so I can be completely wrong with every decision I make, but still make a boatload of money for it! Where do I sign???


  5. - Empty Chair - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 9:54 am:

    It’s unfair to blame the funders, honestly. There’s a HUGE gap in talent between Democratic political consultants and republican ones. Karl Rove rarely makes ads any more, he is now largely a fundraiser and a numbers guy. He may be involved with buys, but the extent to which his groups are making huge buys nationally, I doubt he saw every ad.

    The reality is Democratic ad makers are more well versed in local polling and know what voters will be receptive to. Republican operatives are increasingly just making funny looking ads or ones that they think will win them Pollies. The targeting and effectiveness of Dem consultants is going to be overlooked by the financial warehouses who were paying them, but they deserve some credit as well.


  6. - Boone Logan Square - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 10:01 am:

    *Insert joke about NRA’s poor aim here.*

    Anyone talk to Daddy Ricketts this week? Bet Rahm looks forward to the next round of haggling over Wrigley Field.


  7. - Bemused - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 10:09 am:

    Nice to see Karl Rove and the NRA on the short side of things. My problem is I suspect those who gave them the money to throw around will continue to do so.


  8. - wordslinger - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 10:12 am:

    From NYT:

    –Joe Ricketts, the owner of the Chicago Cubs, spent close to $13 million to bankroll a super PAC attacking Mr. Obama over federal spending.–

    Something to keep in mind when they make another run for taxpayer funding for Wrigley. Apparently, he has some disposable income laying around, and is down on government spending.


  9. - Arthur Andersen - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 10:12 am:

    Regardless of what (tinfoil) hat Rove might be wearing, it’s no wonder that he almost vapor locked on Fox Election Night when they called it for Barack. Poor Megyn “with a Y” Kelly had to walk all the way back to Nerd Central in her C*M pumps to make sure the pollies got it right. Not their finest hour.


  10. - amalia - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 10:49 am:

    NRA, you just made my day!!!!!


  11. - lake county democrat - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 10:54 am:

    Sheldon Adelson went 0-for-6. As I keep harping on, gerrymandering is a bigger attack on voters than campaign finance issues. I’m happy that Walsh and Dold lost, but I know that for every Dem-gerrymandering Mike Madigan there’s 1.5 GOP-gerrymandering governors in other states like Texas.


  12. - Pot calling kettle - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 10:54 am:

    I think the bottom line is that while both sides have lots of money, most of the groups on the winning side were also able to bring in people. SEIU is a perfect example of that, you see them knocking on doors and making calls. Crossroads, not so much.


  13. - The Captain - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 11:08 am:

    Crossroads got a 1% return on $103 million? No words.

    There’s not a lot of upside to being the one to say this but … a lot of this overreaction is just Dems had a really good night and Republicans didn’t. I’m not sure that Republican operatives could have done a whole lot different that would have changed the outcome. In 2010 there was nothing worse than dealing with the *geniuses* born in 2008 who came to believe that elections are won with unlimited money, volunteers and voter enthusiasm, an environment that would apparently live forever. They were unbearable idiots. I’m guessing Tuesday spawned a new generation of unbearable idiot operatives on the Dem side.


  14. - ZC - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 11:08 am:

    I’ve always said that the first step to reforming money in politics was to beat these outside spending groups silly.

    At the end of the day laws only go so far, you have to affect incentives. If the deep pockets get convinced that they’re pigeons and all they’re doing is buying Rove summer houses, then we’ll see some decline in the amount of money spent. 2012 was a good start in that regard.


  15. - PublicServant - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 11:24 am:

    Plan B is just buy the Dems, guys…


  16. - Eileen left - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 11:46 am:

    Rich guys don’t walk precincts working men and women do. Rich guys don’t volunteer to work in campaigns working men and women do. It just goes to show you that “money can’t buy you love”.


  17. - D.P. Gumby - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 4:51 pm:

    The real ROI is in all the states where Repubs controlled state legislatures, like Indiana w/a Repub veto proof and Wisc Repub winning back State Sen. Repub now control more Govs. than in history. This will have far more impact for future.


  18. - mark walker - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 4:57 pm:

    The star of election night IMO was Karl Rove, walking around with a little white board, explaining why Nate Silver and most pollsters, just didn’t understand Republican voters.

    So Karl the “political genius” blew millions and millions of his clients’ money, and got paid by Fox News.

    Rove, Bachman, Walsh, Cain, and Santorum should all fade away.

    The Edelmans, Trumps, Kochs and Bradleys of the world will never admit personal error, and will keep trying to buy us.


  19. - mcb - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 6:13 pm:

    There’s a big issue with the ROI calculations. No matter who would’ve won, the numbers look the same, just flipped. Doesn’t mean bad buys. They don’t look at the total a candidate got. So 1 PAC spends on one losing candidate, maybe a total of 1 million. Then 10 PAC’s could’ve spent 1 billion on winners. The fact they went together could’ve altered election results. But despite the much bigger dollars, the winner looks like the better buy, despite costing 1000 times as much. A real study would be more like the sun times, dollars per votes. But also need to look at the percentage of the campaign fund made up by the group. Just because you spend a million on one candidate, it could only be 2 or 3 percent of what they got.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Question of the day
* Facebook appears to be earning its reputation as evil
* Small ball
* Community Care Program fight extends to task force membership flap
* We can't even put on a decent bicentennial celebration
* Dynegy looking for two separate subsidies for its coal-fired plants
* *** UPDATED x1 - ILGOP responds ***  New website features Speaker Madigan's softer, gentler side
* Our sorry state
* A tale of two states
* *** UPDATED x1 - Carrigan apologizes *** Heat cranks up on AFL-CIO president
* *** UPDATED x2 - Pritzker camp responds - Unappropriated spending was $2.8 billion *** This Is Illinois
* Porter to ILGOP: Madigan forked us, so don't blame Rauner
* The damage done to higher education
* Today's number: $30,363 per job
* Still no GOP opponent for Frerichs
* What goes around, comes around
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............
<


Loading


* GUEST VIEW: More state lawmakers jumping ship -.....
* Editorial: Advice for Democrats in Campaign 201.....
* Gov race funds top $100 million — due to Rauner.....


* The 10 things to know going into this NBA season
* Helmet maker vows fight against Hernandez concussion lawsuit
* Not having to get door 1 plus of new status, Kagan says
* 17-year-old charged as an adult in shooting of 2-year-old
* New University of Illinois school to grant full scholarships
* Chicago-area woman gets 2 years for posing as counselor
* Demonstrators stage silent protest outside Ravens stadium
* Dodgers' dominant bullpen is baffling foes in NL playoffs
* Man wanted in Illinois charged with killing upstate NY woman
* 'Johnny Appleseed' trees to mark Illinois bicentennial

* New University of Illinois medical school to grant full scholarships
* 'Johnny Appleseed' trees to mark Illinois bicentennial
* Statehouse Insider: A poor rating, but sorta good news
* John Schmidt appointed to appellate court
* Illinois 200th birthday celebration kicks off Dec. 3 in Springfield
* Christian County GOP leader to challenge Andy Manar for state Senate seat
* AFSCME: Illinois prison-inmate assaults on officers up 51 percent
* Ameya Pawar drops out of Illinois governor's race
* Springfield, chamber cautious on economic development idea
* IDOT wants feedback on highway rest areas

* Chicago officially struts its stuff for Amazon
* U of I's new med school taking applications
* What New York can deliver Amazon
* Durbin, think tank attack GOP proposal to drop state, local deduction
* New York's Amazon campaign draws big names


* 6 wounded in Monday shootings across Chicago
* Man shot in East Chatham
* Georgia Nicols horoscopes for Oct. 17, 2017
* Dear Abby: Canoodling stops so wife can take call
* Rodgers out; Jaguars’ Ivory, Saints’ ‘D’ in
* String of burglaries reported in South Shore
* Yankees get back in ALCS with 8-1 win in Game 3
* Gov race funds top $100 million — due to Rauner, Pritzker deep pockets
* Kyle Hendricks maintains his faith in Cubs’ bullpen
* SWEET: Trump punts on Senate ‘blue slips’ for judges; Chicago impact


* 5 shot on West, Northwest sides
* The Trump administration has no plan for dealing with a North Korean electromagnetic pulse weapons attack
* For Years, UN was warned of threat to Rohingya in Myanmar
* Robin Lopez on NBA's wild offseason: 'fairly unprecedented'
* McCain condemns 'half-baked, spurious nationalism' in clear shot at Trump
* Connor Murphy has been odd man out in Blackhawks' defense rotation
* Warm, dry weather to linger through Saturday in Chicago area
* North Korea says 'a nuclear war may break out any moment'
* Blackhawks winger Patrick Kane excited for Nick Schmaltz's return from injury
* 'The Daily Show' lands in Chicago to film this week


» WBEZ Investigation: CPS Secretly Overhauled Special Education At Students’ Expense
» How's The Illinois Economy? For Rauner Administration, Depends On The Audience
» Online Locator Tool Aims to Make Recycling Easier
» State Week: Prison Assaults, Pawar's Exit
» Lawmakers Urged To Override Life Insurance Veto
» Ameya Pawar Ends Campaign for Governor
» Union Says Prison Inmate Assaults On Guards Up 51%
» Union Says Attacks On Prison Guards Are Up
» Illinois Issues: Land of Lincoln, New Jersey Compete For Worst Fiscal Condition
» Chicago Adds 376 Cops, 594 To Go


* Hugh Hewitt: Trump's baked-in support
* New University of Illinois medical school to grant full scholarships
* 'Johnny Appleseed' trees to mark Illinois bicentennial
* Statehouse Insider: A poor rating, but sorta good news
* Our View: Time to explore a new path for economic development in Sangamon County
* Our View: It’s time to explore a new path for economic development in Sangamon County
* Andy Shaw: Critical redistricting case from Wisconsin could impact Illinois
* Guest Column: The Illinois FOIA is failing the public
* Faith Coalition for the Common Good: Principles, politics, persistence and pride
* Ed Rogers: Is tax reform happening?


* Andrew Cordell Cairel
* Haunted Mansion event set Oct. 28
* Black Hawk offers CPR class
* Dr. Sandra Toy McKinley
* Library celebrates Fall Fun Day
* Laura Macke
* Lectures cover Luther's Reformation
* Gary L. Winchester
* Foundation hosts trivia night Oct. 27
* Simon Eliseus "Si" Suchman


* AP News Guide: The rise and fall of the Islamic State group
* NFL Overreactions: Romo will leave the booth, save Packers
* Rude welcome: Irving set for return to 'rowdy' Cleveland
* Woodyard's stop helps Titans end 11-game skid against Colts
* Greenpeace faults many tech giants for environment impact

* Measure extends term of FSOC independent m...
* Hultgren Comments on CAT Closure, Hurrican...
* Rep. Randy Hultgren announces 2017 Congres...
* Democratic 14th Congressional District can...
* GOP congressmen say Rauner 'let down' Illi...
* Democratic candidates square off in Kendal...
* Rival: Kinzinger not conservative - MyWebT...
* Hultgren 'disappointed' about potential re...
* Naperville's Lauren Underwood to run for R...
* Dissident artist Ai Weiwei and US Rep. Ran...

* NFL Doubles Down on Politics with Endorsem......
* SWEET: Trump punts on Senate 'blue slips' ......

* SWEET: Trump punts on Senate 'blue slips' ......

* Black Ensemble Theater To Host 17th Annual Black Excellence Awards
* EXTRA: Rauner "gettin' his kicks" down Route 66; or at least a part of it
* Should we respect people who want to use “Merry Christmas” as a weapon?
* Community Alert: Car Thefts In 19th District
* "Carrie 2: The Rage" Now On Stage At The Arkham Theater
* The Daily Show live, and more of the best things to do in Chicago this week
* “The Driver’s Side” – News From The Motorist’s Perspective
* Boy Scouts open doors to girls
* State Central Committeeman to IL conservatives: We are fools not to back Rauner
* Letter to Editor: Good things happening in US, despite what Fake News says


* Illinois Awarded Funds to Offer Advanced Training on Detecting Impaired Driving
* Illinois EPA Announces Upcoming Household Hazardous Waste Collection Events
* IEMA Highlights Emergency Preparedness for People with Access and Functional Needs in May - Ready Illinois website offers preparedness tips for people, caregivers
* First Lady Launches Illinois Family Connects
* Governor and Lt. Governor Unveil 2016 Journal of Local Government Shared Service Best Practices

  
* T-Mobile and Sprint want to merge without selling their assets
* Alphabet X lab retains Project Loon, despite incorporation
* In global market share fight, Huawei Mate 10 may send Apple into third place
* T-Mobile Galaxy Note 8 BOGO deal set to expire October 17
* Sprint and T-Mobile said to cling to as much spectrum before conceding to government
* Latest iOS 11.1 beta and watchOS, macOS, tvOS betas have WPA2 KRACK fix
* Facebook acquires anonymous teen compliment app tbh, will let it run

* Mid-October White Sox fall ball update
* Inbox: Has White Sox Draft strategy evolved?
* Podcast: 2017 White Sox Outfielders Review
* Sox Century: Oct. 15, 1917
* Sporcle Saturday: White Sox Postseason Home Runs
* Sox Century: Oct. 13, 1917
* Zavala, Polo open eyes in AFL performances


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0
WordPress




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller