Where’s the fire?
Wednesday, May 29, 2013
* Carol Marin’s column today attempts to convince Bill Daley to run for governor...
Um, that Braveheart guy died at the end of the movie. Daley seems to understand this. Check out his quotes…
I think he’s right to be cautious here. The polls aren’t in his favor in a three-way race.
But, Carol is right on one thing. If you want the office, then go for it and stop with the Hamlet act.
On the other hand, if you don’t have the fire in the belly, it’s best not to run. Do those quotes show any real fire? Not seeing it.
* Meanwhile, Crain’s published an op-ed today that purports to show how Illinois Republicans can take the state back. I don’t disagree with the conclusion, but the premise that it’s all about Downstate turnout and little to nothing about ideology is fatally flawed…
The trouble with this analysis is that it focuses solely on the importance of generic Downstate turnout and ignores the fact that three moderate Republicans won statewide in 2010: Mark Kirk for US Senate, Judy Baar Topinka for comptroller and Dan Rutherford for treasurer.
* The piece also ignores something that it trumpets…
You don’t do well in many of the collars by running hard to the right. Suburban women may be more conservative, but they’re not generally that conservative. And they also tend to be independents who are willing to take a Democratic ballot if the Republican alienates them.
* Yes, the Republicans absolutely need a much better turnout game. But they also need better candidates and a non-divisive general election message.