Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar » Poll: All ballot proposals have strong support
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      About     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact Rich Miller
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Poll: All ballot proposals have strong support

Monday, Oct 27, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Before we begin, here are the requirements for passing a constitutional amendment come November…

A proposed amendment shall become effective as the amendment provides if approved by either three-fifths of those voting on the question or a majority of those voting in the election.

The math is a bit tricky because people tend to skip over those questions. But anything with over 60 percent support right now is looking good, and both proposals have that.

I’ve pulled out all of the language about registered voters on this Paul Simon Public Policy Institute poll memo because I think they’re meaningless. We want to look at likely voters, so I rewrote it a bit. Also, keep in mind that this poll is ancient: September 23 through October 15. However, since there is no well-funded and active opposition to any of these questions, the responses are probably in line with current thought…

• Right to vote. Reflecting the current national debate over voting rights, respondents were asked if they favored or opposed the following provision: “No person shall be denied the right to register to vote or to cast a ballot in an election based on race, color, ethnicity, status as a member of a language minority, national origin, region, sex, sexual orientation, or income.”

Among likely voters, the results were 69.3 percent favored/strongly favored and 21.3 percent opposed/strongly opposed.

• Rights of crime victims. Respondents were asked, “Would you favor or oppose a constitutional amendment that would strengthen the Crime Victims’ Bill of Rights by increasing victims’ access to proceedings and increasing protections against harassment?”

Among the likely voters the results were 69.6 percent favored/strongly favored and 15.6 percent opposed/strongly opposed.

* The ballot questions are merely advisory, so any result over 50 will help it in the GA…

• Higher minimum wage. This question asked if voters would favor or oppose a proposal to raise the minimum wage in Illinois from $8.25 per hour to $10 per hour.

Among likely voters, 68.6 percent favored or strongly favored the proposed increase while 26.8 percent opposed or strongly opposed.

Partisan differences appeared: 89.9 percent of the Democrats favored or strongly favored while 67.0 percent of the Independents favored or strongly favored. Among likely Republican voters, 55.2 percent opposed or strongly opposed.

• Birth control: Tapping one of the most contentious political conflicts in the nation today, the respondents were asked, “Would you favor or oppose an advisory proposal to require all health insurance plans in Illinois to cover prescription birth control?”

Among likely voters, 59.3 percent strongly favored or favored while 32.6 percent opposed or strongly opposed. The most likely Democratic voters favored the measure by an 81.4 percent favor to 11.7 percent margin. The Republicans were nearly the opposite with 64.3 percent opposed or strongly opposed versus 28.1 percent who favored or strongly favored. The Independents were closer to the Democrats with 61.2 percent favorable and 33.0 percent opposed.

• Millionaire tax increase. In an attempt to measure support for the so-called “Millionaire’s Tax,” respondents were asked, “Would you favor or oppose an advisory proposal to add a 3 percent tax on all income above $1 million a year to provide additional funding to public schools?”

Among likely voters, 65 percent who favored or strongly favored and 30.2 percent opposed or strongly opposed.

83.3 percent of the Democrats favored or strongly favored the millionaire’s tax, with only 13.2 percent opposing. Two-thirds [66 percent] of the Independents favored or strongly favored, and 27.2 percent opposed. A strong majority [58.6 percent] of the Republicans opposed or strongly opposed this measure while only 36.2 percent of the Republicans most likely to vote favored or strongly favored.)

691 interviews with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points.

       

9 Comments
  1. - Under Further Review - Monday, Oct 27, 14 @ 4:27 pm:

    Does the failure of a voter to complete the portion of the ballot concerning amendments act as a “NO” vote?


  2. - Anonny - Monday, Oct 27, 14 @ 4:31 pm:

    Is this Madigan trying to justify his ballot initiative program?


  3. - Grandson of Man - Monday, Oct 27, 14 @ 4:37 pm:

    I voted yes for all of the questions here and am glad to see that there is strong support for the millionaire tax. It doesn’t surprise me that lots of people think the wealthy should bear a little more of the tax burden. It would help.


  4. - allknowingmasterofracoondom - Monday, Oct 27, 14 @ 4:39 pm:

    I think the millionaires tax question would pass with 100% yes if there was a way to actually isolate the revenue from such and make certain it goes to education. How could anyone say no to more education funding. The problem is so many voters just don’t trust what the GA will do with additional funding.


  5. - scurvydog - Monday, Oct 27, 14 @ 4:48 pm:

    My issue with the millionaire’s tax is that it feels like a reactionary political ploy instead of being a well thought out plan. If they can propose an additional 3% tax, why not 5%, or 15%? $700,000 is pretty close to $1M, why not lower the cutoff to $700,000? It’s a slippery slope and I fear most voters will be OK with arbitrarily getting the pitchforks out instead of voting for more responsible leadership.


  6. - ChrisB - Monday, Oct 27, 14 @ 5:28 pm:

    I had no idea what a yes vote for the Crime Victims Bill of Rights meant, so I left it blank.

    By the time I got to the Madigan questions, I voted no, just out of spite. The ballot was long enough, and I was mildly annoyed he added to the length of an already too long ballot. Both non-binding measures should pass easily, but there is a tiny chance others feel the same way I do and it could backfire.


  7. - 1776 - Monday, Oct 27, 14 @ 5:49 pm:

    The illinois chamber poll said the millionaire tax was losing.


  8. - Federalist - Monday, Oct 27, 14 @ 6:50 pm:

    The millionaire tax certainly does not affect me but it is a very silly, silly idea. “Scurvydog” makes many good points.

    And no one with a lick of common sense believes this will go to education- or at least for more than one or two years. One way or another it goes to the general pot and the politicians will divide it up and spend it as they will.


  9. - Quiet Sage - Monday, Oct 27, 14 @ 10:11 pm:

    The great differences between Democrats and Republicans on these questions are astonishing to me. There was never such a vast ideological difference between the parties in the past, in which there were many more liberal to moderate Republicans and conservative Democrats. It is very interesting that Independents are closer on every polled issue to the majority Democratic position. When all three groups are considered together, the hard Republicans clearly represent a minority viewpoint removed from the mainstream. This is true whether the issue is birth control, minimum wage, or millionaires’ tax, in other words, on both social and economic issues. In view of their great distinctiveness, hard Republicans are becoming almost a minority sect in American life, akin in some ways to the Amish, though of course vastly more numerous.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Showcasing The Retailers Who Make Illinois Work
* Open thread
* Isabel’s morning briefing
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today's edition
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Live coverage
* Pritzker calls some of Bears proposals 'probably non-starters,' refuses to divert state dollars intended for other purposes (Updated)
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Loading


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
April 2024
March 2024
February 2024
January 2024
December 2023
November 2023
October 2023
September 2023
August 2023
July 2023
June 2023
May 2023
April 2023
March 2023
February 2023
January 2023
December 2022
November 2022
October 2022
September 2022
August 2022
July 2022
June 2022
May 2022
April 2022
March 2022
February 2022
January 2022
December 2021
November 2021
October 2021
September 2021
August 2021
July 2021
June 2021
May 2021
April 2021
March 2021
February 2021
January 2021
December 2020
November 2020
October 2020
September 2020
August 2020
July 2020
June 2020
May 2020
April 2020
March 2020
February 2020
January 2020
December 2019
November 2019
October 2019
September 2019
August 2019
July 2019
June 2019
May 2019
April 2019
March 2019
February 2019
January 2019
December 2018
November 2018
October 2018
September 2018
August 2018
July 2018
June 2018
May 2018
April 2018
March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller