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“It’s about motivating your people to come out to vote and demobilizing the opponent’s voters”

Monday, Jul 18, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From the Southern Illinoisan

As for Trump’s impact on state legislative races, lawmakers and observers say it could vary widely by region.

While his presence on the ballot might help Republicans in Southern Illinois, it could hurt them in the Chicago suburbs, said Chris Mooney, director of the Institute of Government and Public Affairs at the University of Illinois.

The key will likely be which candidate and party inspires more voters to come to the polls – or to stay home, Mooney said.

“It’s not about changing people’s minds,” he said. “It’s about motivating your people to come out to vote and demobilizing the opponent’s voters.”

Yep. And Democrats will attempt to “nationalize” this race by putting Trump up front in certain areas. Republicans will want to make it more state-focused (meaning: Madigan).

* For example

Today, the House Republican Organization released two TV ads in Southern Illinois to further highlight Gary Forby and John Bradley’s history of backing Mike Madigan’s Chicago agenda.

Gary Forby has been Mike Madigan’s lieutenant in the Senate for over a decade. He voted for Madigan’s phony budgets 14 times and rubber stamped $13 billion in deficit spending. Instead of working to cut waste, Forby voted to double the income tax and expand the sales tax.

John Bradley claims to fight for Southern Illinois, but does Madigan’s bidding in Springfield, voting for billions in debt and tax breaks for a company that closed shop in Southern Illinois and shipped jobs to Chicago.

Gary Forby and John Bradley serve Mike Madigan, and Southern Illinois pays the price.

Watch “Madigan’s Senator” here
Watch “The Madigan Thing” here

Script (Madigan’s Senator):
For decades, Mike Madigan’s had an iron grip on Springfield.
And…our own state Senator, Gary Forby.
Forby’s helped Madigan drive Illinois into the ditch.
Raising our taxes while shortchanging our schools.
14 times Forby backed Madigan’s phony budgets.
Thirteen billion in deficit spending.
He voted to double income tax and expand the sales taxes.
And Forby rubber- stamped Madigan’s bailout for Chicago Public Schools.
Gary Forby: Mike Madigan’s senator — not ours.

Script (The Madigan Thing):
ANNC: John Bradley says one thing here…
BRADLEY AD: “I’m John Bradley, I’ll never stop fighting for Southern Illinois.”
ANNC: But does another thing there — the Madigan thing.
And when Bradley does the Madigan thing, we pay the price.
Massive debt, higher taxes, a bailout for Chicago Schools.
Bradley even supported tax breaks for a company that closed shop here and shipped our jobs to Chicago.
John Bradley doing the Madigan thing — the wrong thing for Southern Illinois.

* Related…

* Rauner still needs Trump, despite differences

* Illinois delegation at GOP convention gets security warning: “We need to work together. All of us together. The Illinois Republican Party, we’re not your enemy. We’re your friend,” Schneider said.

* Trump delegates and GOP regulars: An arranged marriage

* Some Trump RNC Delegates Surprised About Paying Their Own Way To Cleveland

* Unorthodox Illinois Republican delegation heads to Trump convention without Rauner, Kirk

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  1. - RNUG - Monday, Jul 18, 16 @ 11:25 am:

    All politics is local - Tip O’Neill

    Definitely going to be true this year …

  2. - illini - Monday, Jul 18, 16 @ 11:48 am:

    RNUG - exactly the point I have made many times on this site when commenting on these Southern Illinois races.

    We have seen what the Rauner Millions can do, or can’t do as the case may be, and we all know that these three are in his sights. Guess we will have to see how good his aim is!

  3. - Thoughts Matter - Monday, Jul 18, 16 @ 12:31 pm:

    trump delegates - who did you think was paying your way? Taxpayers? It’s a private party. Political donations? Your candidate told us at nauseam that he was paying his own way.

    If you were surprised by that, can’t wait to see how you react to the convention formalities, frivolouries, and boring speeches.

    Also just because you managed to quell the neverTump organized campaign, doesn’t mean Republican voters are required to vote for him in November.

  4. - Grass Bowl - Monday, Jul 18, 16 @ 12:50 pm:

    Rich - do you think the Phelps race is already over?

  5. - Grandpa - Monday, Jul 18, 16 @ 3:52 pm:

    Bradley is a good man, I remember him standing up to Blago. and helping to take him down. I know John and he is good people.

  6. - illini - Monday, Jul 18, 16 @ 5:04 pm:

    Yet all the Downstate R’s ( both incumbent and current candidates ) are beholden to the Rauner Millions and will follow his lead.

    Just take a look at the D-2’s and see the money the ILLGOP is putting into these campaigns. A lot of money for paid staff and campaign workers. Great way for college kids to get some campaign experience!!!!!

  7. - Rock Island Rocky - Monday, Jul 18, 16 @ 5:37 pm:

    In down ticket races the Trump issue will be trumped by the major delta of this election cycle in Illinois: Rauner’s money.

    This is going to be the first cycle in a long time the Republicans out spend the Democrats on state house races.

    The districts maps make it difficult for the Republicans to take over but they sure can eliminate the Dems super majorities.

  8. - walker - Monday, Jul 18, 16 @ 6:31 pm:

    It’s early, but we’re seeing some signs of Trump as a net negative for GOP in the north and northwest suburbs of Chicago. These areas swing a lot of elections.

    OTOH, a very large number of first-time D Primary voters, but no clues yet what that might mean come November.

Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.

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