* We Ask America…
Bill Daley 1.8%
Chuy Garcia 3.9%
Valerie Jarrett 6.6%
Jerry Joyce 3.2%
Lori Lightfoot 9.6%
Garry McCarthy 16.8%
Susana Mendoza 1.4%
Rick Munoz 1.4%
Toni Preckwinkle 4.6%
Paul Vallas 10.1%
Willie Wilson 15.1%
Other candidate 8.7%
* Approve/disapprove of Mayor Emanuel’s job performance since taking office…
No opinion/Neutral 14.9%
* “Would be more likely, or less likely to support a candidate if he or she were handpicked by Mayor Emanuel as his successor?”…
More likely to support 21%
Less likely to support 45%
No difference 33%
Conducted September 4, 2018 of 1,128 likely voters. MoE ±3 percent.
* From the pollster…
Voters are showing preferences, although our educated guess is that few are locked in to their choices.
Garry McCarthy had the strongest showing, albeit at a 17 percent clip—followed closely by Willie Wilson and Paul Vallas.
Candidates not listed in the results were lumped together in the OTHER CANDIDATE option.
Mayor Emanuel’s job approval rating was a split decision—a phenomenon probably attributable to his announcement that he would not seek re-election. A more significant finding can be found in the question pertaining to the possibility of him backing a ‘hand-picked’ successor. Nearly 79 percent said he would either have no effect or a negative effect on whether or not voters would support him or her.
The big names added to the mix (Toni Preckwinkle, Susana Mendoza, Bill Daley) barely blipped the radar screen.
I’m told the landline/mobile phone split was right about 50/50.