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More from that Fox/AP analysis

Thursday, Nov 8, 2018

* Let’s return to the Fox News/AP Illinois election analysis. Here are most of the responses which had at least 779 respondents (some were much lower)

* Trump job approval

    Approve 40%
    Approve strongly 23%

    Disapprove 60%
    Disapprove strongly 49%

* Direction of the country

    Right direction 34%
    Wrong direction 66%

* Impact of Trump admin’s trade policies on national economy

    Help 32%
    Hurt 55%
    No difference 12%

* Impact of Trump admin’s trade policies on local economy

    Help 26%
    Hurt 48%
    No difference 26%

* Views of the Affordable Care Act

    Repeal the law entirely 17%
    Repeal parts of the law 25%
    Leave the law as is 17%
    Expand the law 41%

* Immigration policy - immigrants living in the U.S. illegally

    Offered a chance to apply for legal status 68%
    Deported to the country they came from 31%

* Do you think the way Democrats talk about politics these days is leading to an increase in acts of violence, or don’t you think so?

    Yes, it is 42%
    No, it is not 57%

* Do you think the way Republican talk about politics these days is leading to an increase in acts of violence, or don’t you think so?

    Yes, it is 62%
    No, it is not 38%

* Do you think the way Democrats/Republicans talk about politics these days is leading to an increase in acts of violence, or don’t you think so?

    Yes, both 20%
    Democrats but not Republicans 23%
    Republicans but not Democrats 42%
    No, neither 16%

Discuss.

- Posted by Rich Miller        

16 Comments »
  1. - hisgirlfriday - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 12:53 pm:

    This tells me Republicans are gonna have a really hard time in this state as long as Trump looms over everything.

    The question is how long the stench lasts.

    Is this a blip or was Rauner simply the Schwarzenegger fluke in the IL GOP’s version of the Cali GOP death spiral?


  2. - anon2 - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 1:04 pm:

    The blue wave in the suburbs means a long spell in the desert for the GOP. No party can lose both the City and the ‘burbs and win.


  3. - VanillaMan - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 1:10 pm:

    LOL
    In Texas, Mr. Spock is clean shaven, and in Illinois, he has a goatee.

    Beam me up Scottie, there’s no future here.


  4. - Not quite silent majority - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 1:10 pm:

    When the GOP (Rauner leading the charge) went full on Proft it signaled their death in the burbs. The far right and the far left don’t stand a chance in suburbia. If you think Pritzker’s stands are too far left, you might check your own compass


  5. - Perrid - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 1:12 pm:

    Not too much surprising me of these that you posted Rich, not in a blue state like IL. The “Sex, party with leaners” table was interesting. Rauner got more Republican/Independent women than Men. Shows what I know, because I expected men to be more conservative.

    Also, in the “Ideology” table, a bigger percentage of Very Liberal voters voted for Rauner than Somewhat Liberal (21% vs 11%), which I don’t understand at all.

    Pritzker got the Catholic and Other Christian vote, which surprises me. I would have flipped Catholic and Protestant. I don’t really get how you vote for JB if you’re mad at Rauner over HB40 or lying to the Cardinal, but OK.


  6. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 1:16 pm:

    ===if you’re mad at Rauner over HB40 or lying to the Cardinal====

    The signing of HB40 was bad enough, but lying before you do it… that coulda made a big difference to vote JB to retire Rauner for good.

    Some said… a Dem would’ve signed it too…

    … but would they have lied to a Cardinal before doing it?

    Dunno. But Rauner did.


  7. - El Conquistador - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 1:21 pm:

    I’m left with the question “how do any GOPers get elected?”


  8. - AlfondoGonz - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 1:32 pm:

    The Democratic party has taken a step back since the Obama’s provided such a shining example of how to focus on ideas and lead in a inclusive way that is always dignified.

    The Democratic party would have to take a few dozen more steps back to catch down to the current GOP, whose platform seems to have become “tax cuts for rich and trigger libs”


  9. - Skeptic - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 1:44 pm:

    “whose platform seems to have become “tax cuts for rich and trigger libs” You forgot “Blame Madigan” and fearmongering.


  10. - Anonymous - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 1:51 pm:

    apparently Fox news is now credible for Cap Fax readers


  11. - Perrid - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 2:04 pm:

    @anonymous, Rich posted the methodology link, and it seems legit to me. Also said that Fox did it with the AP.
    https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-voter-analysis-full-methodology-statement


  12. - Lucky Pierre - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 2:12 pm:

    That is sarcasm Perrid

    if it the poll went the other way it would be discredited here


  13. - Archpundit - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 2:19 pm:

    ===apparently Fox news is now credible for Cap Fax readers

    Fox polling operation is well done. It has a small house effect which you can read about on 538, but nothing out of the ordinary.


  14. - LakeCo - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 3:42 pm:

    ==whose platform seems to have become “tax cuts for rich and trigger libs”==

    You also forgot “be afraid of brown people” and “win at any cost.”


  15. - Demoralized - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 4:40 pm:

    ==if it the poll went the other way it would be discredited here==

    Yay. Still playing the victim. Exactly how much longer is that going to last now that the election is over?


  16. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 4:44 pm:

    “Lucky Pierre”

    When does the new programming kick in?

    Raunerism got walloped on Tuesday.

    It was in all the papers.

    If you’re not going to help now, when will you?


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