Non-college whites, white men, independent women, evangelicals and seniors were Rauner’s constituencies
Thursday, Nov 8, 2018
* From Fox News…
Full methodology is here.
* According to this analysis, JB Pritzker defeated Gov. Rauner among men 48-45, among women 59-33 and scored in the high 50s in all age groups except 65+, which Rauner won 50-40.
Rauner won white men 55-37, but Pritzker won white women 49-43. Pritzker won among African-Americans 91-6 and among Latinx 69-23.
Pritzker won all of the broad education categories, but Rauner won among whites who aren’t college educated 50-39. The two split college-educated whites 47-47.
Eight percent of Republicans and 12 percent of Republican women (you will recall they were targeted heavily by the Conservative Party) went for Sam McCann, and Rauner took 83 percent of GOP voters. Pritzker won 90 percent of Democratic voters.
According to the research, Pritzker won independent men 40-34, but lost independent women to Rauner 57-34. Not sure what’s up there.
Pritzker won moderates 52-39, while Sam McCann took 11 percent of conservatives to Rauner’s 73 percent.
Rauner won white evangelical/born again Christians 61-35 with no recorded support for McCann (very small sample size there, though).
Of those who voted to express support for President Trump, McCann took 9 percent to Rauner’s 78.
We’ll get to other results in a bit.