Mostly because I’m assuming she’ll have to engage substantively on the issues at some point. She wasn’t exactly called upon to do this very much the last 5 years, so I’m guessing it ain’t exactly a strength.
I hope slim and none. I bet lots of Republican losers from that district will be looking at that race. Jeanne Ives? This will be a race of true believers and I think Castin will b able to sleep easy. Why not just bring in Allen Keyes? Maybe Cronin might run although the way DyPage cut up by redistricting maybe he is not in the 6th
Trump will almost certainly lose this district, and I doubt there will be a significant number of Democratic president/Sanguinetti voters to make up the difference. Rauner may have won the 6th last year, however that was largely due to Pritzker being a poor fit for the collars. Rauner is not exactly popular here and were she to run it would open all sorts of attacks on the Rauner administration’s shortcomings.
And that’s not getting into Sanguinetti herself. I have yet to see anything to suggest she would be a compelling candidate to Casten/Clinton voters. She is to the right of Rauner on certain issues (namely abortion), and I doubt that will play well here especially with women voters.
She also has to worry about the primary. If Ives or some other scorched earth conservative jumps in, then Sanguinetti will have a real fight on her hands.
Reasonable. Sure, he will try to hang Trump on her, and if she is smart, she will hang AOC and some others on him.
I would say quite winnable if the campaign is good. His last time wasn’t that great, and while Roskam tried hard, I can’t say his was anything to brag about either.
- I live in the district - Friday, Apr 19, 19 @ 2:34 pm:
I give Evelyn the win at 51-49. The district leans Republican, but it was poor messaging trying to tie Casten to Madigan, coupled with an anti-Roskam bias in 18. Change the message, tying Casten to AOC coupled with a clean primary and Evelyn is a winner in 2020.
===The district leans Republican, but it was poor messaging trying to tie Casten to Madigan, coupled with an anti-Roskam bias in 18. Change the message, tying Casten to AOC coupled with a clean primary and Evelyn is a winner in 2020.===
==“Evelyn sat idly by while Bruce Rauner drove Illinois to the brink of junk bond status. What was she thinking?”==
“Sat idly by.” I don’t think so. She was Lt. Gov. She helped guide the SS Disaster that was Rauner’s term.
- I live in the district - Friday, Apr 19, 19 @ 3:35 pm:
“You know Trump will be on the ballot… right? ”
I do, and that is a factor - but working that election, and the emotion of the voters - he might as well been on the ballot in ‘18 as well. Take away the Pritzker VBM program, a lot of incumbent D’s on the ballot being challenged by underfunded R’s with no name ID, and you might swing the I/soft R vote to Evelyn rather than a straight ticket D - I will stick with my 51-49 Sanguinetti
- A State Employee Guy - Friday, Apr 19, 19 @ 4:03 pm:
50-50. Candidate with name recognition and what I’m sure will be a truckload of financial support going up against a newbie who hasn’t had time to plant his flag by doing anything of substance in a district that only went 50% for Clinton in 2016?
Steel yourselves, Casten campaign. Gonna be a rough one.