Is this not the legacy of Rauner on Illinois Republicans? My way or I’ll make things tough on you? How many diverse thinking victims decided to spend more time with their families. We are only left with mostly the Rauner enablers who now are the senior party members.
- Not for Nothing - Wednesday, Jan 22, 20 @ 10:50 am:
Isn’t it easier to write “Durkin, Brady and Sommer?” /s
HGOP has the least tenure as a direct result of Rauner. They were the caucus carrying his water until they weren’t and then they left. I think it started with a big group leaving midway though Rauner’s term.
- Louis G Atsaves - Wednesday, Jan 22, 20 @ 11:05 am:
So long as a the majority party draws the map and picks their own voters, the disparity will continue. Yes, agaiust all odds, voters so picked will rebel, but more often than not the majority of races are uncontested for a not so good reason. The map. Rich did a great job of reporting on the Senate President race and the desire of certain senators to continue serving on committees that will help draw up new legislative maps during that entire recent process. Picking their own voters? Reform? In Illinois? Nah . . .
Steve, I had no idea you’d post a paper on political theory based on actions from the early 20th century.
My, that changes everything.
- The Way I See It - Wednesday, Jan 22, 20 @ 11:12 am:
An awful lot of R experience headed for the door after the impasse and the threat of Rauner vengeance. The man fundamentally broke the Republican party. Gonna be a long path back and following the path of Trump and 51st staters is just going to take them further into the wilderness.
Lol, the HDems median v. average years served is a great example of why median is a better stat than average. Madigan’s long tenure skews the average service time by about a third, which tends to distort the picture these.
Big ol nothing burger. The medians are quite similar over the past few years. The Senate median for both parties is somewhere between 2-3 elections, depending on how the election calendar breaks out and the House median is 3 elections for democrats and 2 for republicans. Leadership positions are almost always going to distort averages so those don’t really tell us much.
==So the Dems have held the GA for the better part of 4 decades because they don’t hustle?==
Some definitely do. Some definitely don’t. Rauner’s generosity is growing in legend the longer he’s been away. If he wasn’t spoken about on this board, he wouldn’t be spoken of at all.
Hustling is good. It’s important. You can hustle and lose. To money.
= So long as a the majority party draws the map and picks their own voters, the disparity will continue. =
In 2018, the Dems won seats in both the state house and Congress that were drawn to be GOP districts…
- Joe Bidenopolous - Wednesday, Jan 22, 20 @ 11:30 am:
==Lol, the HDems median v. average years served is a great example of why median is a better stat than average. Madigan’s long tenure skews the average service time by about a third, which tends to distort the picture these==
Don’t forget Mary Flowers and her 35 years…those help skew the average too. Take out those two alone and the average drops by more than a year.
==So long as the majority party draws the map and picks their own voters, the disparity will continue.==
I’d say that the Madigan-Cullerton remap wasn’t intended to maximize Democratic seats, and it didn’t.
It was designed to benefit Madigan, Cullerton, and their favorites, and it did.
The tables — nice work by Amdor — indicate a downward trend in tenure since the last election. You might say that the discussion of term limits is being whittled down to a particular term limit of a particular official.
A couple more years and I don’t imagine we’ll hear a whole lot about term limits out of the GOP.
Perhaps as an aside, short legislative terms can be indicative of legislative salaries not being sufficient. Illinois already pays significantly better than some of it’s neighbors, but in general my belief is that being an elected official ought to have enough salary connected to it that it is sufficient enough to allow a person to focus on representing their constituents without fear of significant negative economic impacts.
Frequently legislators across the country with long tenures rely on outside income to support themselves which closes the door for working poor, lower class, or at least the bottom half of the middle class from being able to be representatives.
In Illinois County Supervisors in down state rural counties make more than our state legislators do and with fewer work commitments which causes many of the candidates to effectively self finance to keep their seats and causes for a humorous amount of yard signs in lieu of other more effective and labor intensive campaign tactics.