The primary is three weeks from today. In the 14th congressional district, the Republican primary race is clearly a 2-person race between Jim Oberweis and Sue Rezin, as campaign spending and internal polling reveals.
The other 5 candidates are on the ballot, but the best they can do is play spoiler since all but one, Ted Gradel, have very little money. And all Gradel’s money will do is play spoiler, too.
So who will finish 1st in the 14th in 3 weeks? Oberweis or Rezin?
=== When you are 30 points ahead, you do not run attack ads against your opponent by name on TV commercials, or send negative mailers. … Between those two FACTS===
Strategy is not a fact.. You may want it to be, but it isn’t.
Paper endorsements are like yard signs, they don’t vote, and are only good (like with Lightfoot this last time) within striking distance.
I am very curious how many people have early voted so far in Illinois and if there are lots waiting to see who might drop out after Super Tuesday. I went to early vote the day after the last Dem debate and was told early voting was very slow in my neck of the woods.
- Grandson of Man - Tuesday, Feb 25, 20 @ 10:06 am:
Pretty spoiled about Illinois pro sports, with Chicago championships, and having winning withdrawal. Must have winning. Looking forward the White Sox season that’s full of promise for the future.
“With zero percent of votes counted, nobody has won the election!” –Newsies hyping Election 2020.
Winning Chicago teams? Most likely not the Bears; Pace spoke today of Mitch’s skills and development; compared Mitch to Drew Breeze(??); Pace is delusional or lying about Mitch’s future.
As for Spring coming, that’s after my flowers try to sprout, then it snows again.
Thankful the storm has been downgraded, spring is almost here.
—————
Unless you’re in Springfield or elsewhere particularly east-northeast. At least 2-4 inches expected by tomorrow afternoon in Springfield; at least 3-6 in Bloomington. Springfield already had less than an inch of a heavy wet, slushy snow–with the biggest flakes I’ve ever seen–during this morning’s commute.
- SouthernCentrist - Tuesday, Feb 25, 20 @ 10:45 am:
Rod’s ARDC hearing to try to keep his law license was this morning. Didn’t bother to show up, which is an aggravating factor in punishment. Couldn’t argue against the fact that he was convicted, but sent his criminal defense lawyer to… argue against his convictions.
With all that white hair, maybe Blago can star in Medicare Advantage commercials. Will put his reality television experience to good use.
- OpentoDiscusssion - Tuesday, Feb 25, 20 @ 2:01 pm:
If Oberweis wins that seems to almost assure that the DEMS will retain this seat.
This used to be a pretty solid Republican area but it has been redistricted and now has about a 13% Hispanic vote (and growing).
This Hispanic vote is easily the tipping point it what otherwise might be a close election. And Oberweis is a poor candidate who often puts his foot in his mouth.
- njt - Tuesday, Feb 25, 20 @ 9:21 am:
Thankful the storm has been downgraded, spring is almost here.
- Al - Tuesday, Feb 25, 20 @ 9:25 am:
Is Weld going to be on the primary ballot?
- Moby - Tuesday, Feb 25, 20 @ 9:25 am:
I-L-L…
- John Lopez - Tuesday, Feb 25, 20 @ 9:34 am:
The primary is three weeks from today. In the 14th congressional district, the Republican primary race is clearly a 2-person race between Jim Oberweis and Sue Rezin, as campaign spending and internal polling reveals.
The other 5 candidates are on the ballot, but the best they can do is play spoiler since all but one, Ted Gradel, have very little money. And all Gradel’s money will do is play spoiler, too.
So who will finish 1st in the 14th in 3 weeks? Oberweis or Rezin?
- Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Feb 25, 20 @ 9:41 am:
=== Republican primary race is clearly a 2-person race===
Last polling had Rezin down 30 points, and Oberweis hitting a 46% threshold in a 6 person field.
Do you have any hard numbers, polling, information that has shown a 30 point gap shrinking, or Oberweis, in a 6 person field, dropping from 46%?
Hope is not a strategy. Any information to show this is tightening would be enlightening
I’d think someone down 30 points three weeks ago, and closing the gap would drop information proving such momentum.
Thanks.
- hisgirlfriday - Tuesday, Feb 25, 20 @ 9:45 am:
@AI - Weld is not on the GOP primary ballot. Trump has a nominal challenger who did not slate delegates - Rocky de la Fuente.
- Annonin' - Tuesday, Feb 25, 20 @ 9:45 am:
ChopperJim with a lead? Did these people suffer a nasty fall? oh well he will lose inNovember so why worry
- John Lopez - Tuesday, Feb 25, 20 @ 9:46 am:
When you are 30 points ahead, you do not run attack ads against your opponent by name on TV commercials, or send negative mailers.
Between those two FACTS, and Rezin being endorsed by the Tribune and the Daily Herald, the Oberweis camp is spooked and have reacted accordingly.
http://mchenrycountyblog.com/2020/02/23/il-14-both-sue-rezin-and-jim-oberweis-called-out-on-residency-questions
- Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Feb 25, 20 @ 9:51 am:
=== When you are 30 points ahead, you do not run attack ads against your opponent by name on TV commercials, or send negative mailers. … Between those two FACTS===
Strategy is not a fact.. You may want it to be, but it isn’t.
Paper endorsements are like yard signs, they don’t vote, and are only good (like with Lightfoot this last time) within striking distance.
Be well. I’m taking a much needed nap.
- hisgirlfriday - Tuesday, Feb 25, 20 @ 10:03 am:
I am very curious how many people have early voted so far in Illinois and if there are lots waiting to see who might drop out after Super Tuesday. I went to early vote the day after the last Dem debate and was told early voting was very slow in my neck of the woods.
- Grandson of Man - Tuesday, Feb 25, 20 @ 10:06 am:
Pretty spoiled about Illinois pro sports, with Chicago championships, and having winning withdrawal. Must have winning. Looking forward the White Sox season that’s full of promise for the future.
- Streamwood Retiree - Tuesday, Feb 25, 20 @ 10:24 am:
Early voting is way too early. A week before the election is early enough to schedule your voting for a convenient time. Especially for a primary.
- revvedup - Tuesday, Feb 25, 20 @ 10:33 am:
“With zero percent of votes counted, nobody has won the election!” –Newsies hyping Election 2020.
Winning Chicago teams? Most likely not the Bears; Pace spoke today of Mitch’s skills and development; compared Mitch to Drew Breeze(??); Pace is delusional or lying about Mitch’s future.
As for Spring coming, that’s after my flowers try to sprout, then it snows again.
- Leatherneck - Tuesday, Feb 25, 20 @ 10:34 am:
- njt - Tuesday, Feb 25, 20 @ 9:21 am:
Thankful the storm has been downgraded, spring is almost here.
—————
Unless you’re in Springfield or elsewhere particularly east-northeast. At least 2-4 inches expected by tomorrow afternoon in Springfield; at least 3-6 in Bloomington. Springfield already had less than an inch of a heavy wet, slushy snow–with the biggest flakes I’ve ever seen–during this morning’s commute.
- SouthernCentrist - Tuesday, Feb 25, 20 @ 10:45 am:
@Moby
I-N-I
- Proud Sucker - Tuesday, Feb 25, 20 @ 11:00 am:
Unlike Sue, I live in the 14th /s
The Twp folks I know are all, reluctantly, pushing Jim fully knowing he will be crushed by Underwood. They are just paying back past debts.
- Ron Burgundy - Tuesday, Feb 25, 20 @ 11:33 am:
Rod’s ARDC hearing to try to keep his law license was this morning. Didn’t bother to show up, which is an aggravating factor in punishment. Couldn’t argue against the fact that he was convicted, but sent his criminal defense lawyer to… argue against his convictions.
- Rudy's teeth - Tuesday, Feb 25, 20 @ 1:59 pm:
With all that white hair, maybe Blago can star in Medicare Advantage commercials. Will put his reality television experience to good use.
- OpentoDiscusssion - Tuesday, Feb 25, 20 @ 2:01 pm:
If Oberweis wins that seems to almost assure that the DEMS will retain this seat.
This used to be a pretty solid Republican area but it has been redistricted and now has about a 13% Hispanic vote (and growing).
This Hispanic vote is easily the tipping point it what otherwise might be a close election. And Oberweis is a poor candidate who often puts his foot in his mouth.
- John Lopez - Tuesday, Feb 25, 20 @ 6:48 pm:
Speaking of Jim Oberweis, here is Sue Rezin’s latest TV commercial just released.
http://mchenrycountyblog.com/2020/02/25/il-14-sue-rezins-newest-commercial-goes-on-attack-on-jim-oberweis
What does everybody think? Video embedded in article.
- Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Feb 25, 20 @ 6:51 pm:
- John Lopez -
How about *email* Rich and *maybe* he’ll do a post.
Or advertise here, your own blogging, lol
:)
- Pundent - Tuesday, Feb 25, 20 @ 7:22 pm:
=What does everybody think?=
I think you should take out ad space or walk a precinct. Your campaigning, masquerading as commenting.
- Woodstock Wally - Wednesday, Feb 26, 20 @ 3:39 pm:
haha -John Lopez- Who even are you?