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4,015 new cases, 53 additional deaths, 1,932 in hospitals, 4.9 percent positivity rate

Thursday, Oct 15, 2020

* These are the worst numbers in a long time. You have to go back to June 14 to see hospitalization numbers like this. Press release

The Illinois Department of Public Health (IDPH) today reported 4,015 new confirmed cases of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Illinois, including 53 additional confirmed deaths. On September 4, 2020, IDPH reported 5,368 new cases of COVID-19 after a slowdown in data processing delayed reporting of some additional aggregate numbers. Cases not reported in the previous several days were included in the September 4, 2020 total. The slowdown did not affect the reporting of positive or negative results to individuals in any way.

    Adams County: 1 female 80s
    Bureau County: 1 male 70s
    Carroll County: 1 female 70s
    Champaign County: 1 female 60s
    Christian County: 1 female 60s
    Clark County: 1 male 70s, 1 female 90s
    Clay County: 1 male 70s, 2 females 80
    Cook County: 1 male 60s, 1 female 70s, 3 males 70s, 3 females 80s, 1 male 80s, 2 males 90s
    DuPage County: 1 female 60s, 1 female 80s, 1 male 80s, 1 female 90s
    Fayette County: 1 male 80s
    Jackson County: 1 female 70s
    Jefferson County: 1 female 90s
    Kane County: 2 males 80s
    Kendall County: 1 male 60s
    Knox County: 1 male 20s
    Lawrence County: 1 male 80s
    Marion County: 1 male 70s, 1 female 80s, 1 male 80s
    McLean County: 1 male 60s
    Moultrie County: 1 male 70s
    Peoria County: 1 female 90s
    Richland County: 1 female 60s
    Rock Island County: 1 female 70s
    Saline County: 1 female 70s
    Shelby County: 1 male 70s
    St. Clair County: 1 female 80s
    Tazewell County: 1 female 70s
    Wabash County: 1 female 60s
    Wayne County: 1 male 70s
    Will County: 1 male 50s, 1 male 70s, 1 male 80s, 1 female 90s
    Winnebago County: 1 male 80s, 1 male 90s

Currently, IDPH is reporting a total of 331,620 cases, including 9,127 deaths, in 102 counties in Illinois. The age of cases ranges from younger than one to older than 100 years. The preliminary seven-day statewide positivity for cases as a percent of total test from October 9 – October 15 is 4.9%. Within the past 24 hours, laboratories have reported 67,086 specimens for a total of 6,531,009. As of last night, 1,932 people in Illinois were reported to be in the hospital with COVID-19. Of those, 388 patients were in the ICU and 147 patients with COVID-19 were on ventilators.

Starting today, IDPH is including both molecular and antigen tests in the number of statewide total test performed in Illinois. Previously, due to the limited number of antigen tests and limited information about antigen test accuracy, antigen tests were not included in the total number (which comprised less than 1% of total tests performed). Antigen tests, like BinaxNOW™, are now becoming more readily available, therefore, IDPH will include both molecular and antigen tests in its total number of tests starting October 15, 2020.

Following guidance from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, IDPH is now reporting separately both confirmed and probable cases and deaths on its website. Reporting probable cases will help show the potential burden of COVID-19 illness and efficacy of population-based non-pharmaceutical interventions. IDPH will update these data once a week.

*All data are provisional and will change. In order to rapidly report COVID-19 information to the public, data are being reported in real-time. Information is constantly being entered into an electronic system and the number of cases and deaths can change as additional information is gathered. Information for a death previously reported has changed, therefore, today’s numbers have been adjusted. For health questions about COVID-19, call the hotline at 1-800-889-3931 or email dph.sick@illinois.gov.

- Posted by Rich Miller        

25 Comments »
  1. - Chatham Resident - Thursday, Oct 15, 20 @ 12:44 pm:

    Region 3 (Quincy/Springfield) positivity has gone up a full percentage (5.4% to 6.4) between last Friday and Monday (the most recent numbers released today). One to watch.

    The city of Springfield among other places need to announce the total shutdown of all bars on Halloween weekend, if not sooner.


  2. - MidState Anon - Thursday, Oct 15, 20 @ 12:46 pm:

    Devore’s area getting rocked hard lately. Wonder what his “proposal” will be…


  3. - lake county democrat - Thursday, Oct 15, 20 @ 12:49 pm:

    –Starting today, IDPH is including both molecular and antigen tests in the number of statewide total test performed in Illinois. Previously, due to the limited number of antigen tests and limited information about antigen test accuracy, antigen tests were not included in the total number (which comprised less than 1% of total tests performed). Antigen tests, like BinaxNOW™, are now becoming more readily available, therefore, IDPH will include both molecular and antigen tests in its total number of tests starting October 15, 2020.–

    I don’t know if they mean the antigent tests are only 1% of today’s total or if they mean historically they’ve only been 1%. If the latter, I hope today’s all-time highest new cases is at least partially attributable to increased testing. Disheartening regardless.


  4. - Someone you Should Know - Thursday, Oct 15, 20 @ 12:59 pm:

    Holy Mother of god (I would have used other words, but I like posting here) :)


  5. - Nagidam - Thursday, Oct 15, 20 @ 1:04 pm:

    ===I hope today’s all-time highest new cases is at least partially attributable to increased testing.===

    Increased positive test numbers as a stand alone metric are useless. If you test more you will see more positive results. The rate metric is the real concern. If you are testing more but your positivity rate climbs that is the real problem. Seems like 10 days ago IL had a 3.3 positivity rate. 4.9 today.


  6. - Masked - Thursday, Oct 15, 20 @ 1:04 pm:

    Failure on so many levels and not just government’s


  7. - Because I said so.... - Thursday, Oct 15, 20 @ 1:14 pm:

    I am literally in line to be tested at this moment.

    This is a national failure of epic proportions! But keep listening to that guy in the White House. He fiddled as we die.


  8. - Club J - Thursday, Oct 15, 20 @ 1:41 pm:

    *** The city of Springfield among other places need to announce the total shutdown of all bars on Halloween weekend, if not sooner.****+

    I can’t see this happening. You hardly hear about any places being checked anymore. Picking up take out bars are back to full capacity with no more social distancing at the Bar area. Winter is going to hit and businesses will be back on outdoor dining. With only themselves to blame.


  9. - Sonny - Thursday, Oct 15, 20 @ 1:54 pm:

    What a complete and utter failure. Where are the UIUC tests that were promised across the state? It’s been two months.


  10. - Last Bull Moose - Thursday, Oct 15, 20 @ 1:55 pm:

    Do we need Covid blankets like they did for AIDS deaths?


  11. - Rich Miller - Thursday, Oct 15, 20 @ 1:56 pm:

    ===Where are the UIUC tests that were promised across the state?===

    Ask the feds.


  12. - harp5339 - Thursday, Oct 15, 20 @ 2:08 pm:

    The way I read the statement about antigen tests was early on they only comprised less than 1% of testing, so they didn’t include them. Now that they have grown in use by an unspecified amount, it is enough that they are relevant.

    While as someone else mentioned this wouldn’t account for the increase in positivity rate, but to me this does cloud the data not knowing the percentage of each type of test. Now we have a number that takes into account a rapid results test, and the PCR test which takes days to get results. So of these 4000+ positive tests, how many were from yesterday and how many from 10 days ago?

    To the hospitalizations not being this high since mid-June, at least beyond that date the number of ICU patients fell over the next several weeks. I’ll cling to that tiny bit of hope I guess.

    == Failure on so many levels and not just government’s ==

    Amen.


  13. - Nathan - Thursday, Oct 15, 20 @ 2:15 pm:

    == Region 3 (Quincy/Springfield) positivity has gone up a full percentage (5.4% to 6.4) between last Friday and Monday (the most recent numbers released today). One to watch. ==

    You think that’s bad, Region 4 (DuPage/Kane counties) went from a 7-day rolling average of 4.9% on October 5th to 7.0 today.


  14. - Thomas Paine - Thursday, Oct 15, 20 @ 2:23 pm:

    One day positivity rate of 6 percent statewide.

    Public health offcials warned us at the beginning of this and in the early summer months, that unless we cracked down hard on transmissions, did everything we could to wipe out the virus, we were in for a brutal winter.

    Instead, we eased restrictions, opened bars and restaurants, restarted sports, invited kids back to college campuses, and reopened schools.

    This is the consequence, none of it shocking.

    Community transmission is rampant now, in every part of the state. More time spent co-mingling indoors will drive up the R-naught.

    The only silver-lining seems to be that stringent crackdowns on non-essential businesses seem to have a pretty quick effect. There is every reason to believe that if we closed indoor bar and restaurant service, gyms, we could beat things back down before Thanksgiving when, frankly, we know a lot of people are going to be spreading the disease.

    The goal ought to be to reduce the number who are infectious as much as possible before Thanksgiving.


  15. - lake county democrat - Thursday, Oct 15, 20 @ 2:40 pm:

    TP - generally with you, but has their been a lot of transmission traced to gyms? I thought they and airlines have been a surprising success - maybe knowing how dangerous their spaces were they did a better job with ventilating.


  16. - Nathan - Thursday, Oct 15, 20 @ 2:41 pm:

    Sorry, I meant Region 8 (Kane/DuPage)


  17. - illinifan - Thursday, Oct 15, 20 @ 2:50 pm:

    Shut downs are only as good as the citizens and local officials support. A lot of people are tired and rolling the dice. They are losing. Many local officials refuse to support efforts to mitigate due to politics. As a result we all lose. I don’t think we will listen until we start showing lines of peoples out the hospital doors and trucks holding the bodies. Sorry for the pessimism.


  18. - Master Shake - Thursday, Oct 15, 20 @ 2:59 pm:

    It’s time for the IDPH to shut down all in person schools across the board. Every day they wait is going to cause more pain and suffering, especially as we head into the Halloween->Thanksgiving->Christmas->NYE chain of potential superspreading events.


  19. - Independent - Thursday, Oct 15, 20 @ 3:25 pm:

    Of all the years for Halloween to fall on a Saturday….


  20. - Rich Miller - Thursday, Oct 15, 20 @ 3:30 pm:

    ===Of all the years for Halloween to fall on a Saturday===

    2020 gonna 2020.


  21. - BilboSwaggins - Thursday, Oct 15, 20 @ 3:35 pm:

    —Increased positive test numbers as a stand alone metric are useless. If you test more you will see more positive results. The rate metric is the real concern. If you are testing more but your positivity rate climbs that is the real problem. Seems like 10 days ago IL had a 3.3 positivity rate. 4.9 today.—

    It’s called a second wave, and we’ve been warned about this over and over and over again by public health experts throughout the summer. Now it’s here and people still want to blame testing or whatever.

    Close bars, mandate masks.


  22. - illinifan - Thursday, Oct 15, 20 @ 3:38 pm:

    Love the long tubes being created to shoot the candy out to the kids. Halloween socially distanced. We can do a lot but distanced. Saw pics of the youngest at school. Chairs outside all well over six feet apart and indoors masked and more than six feet so if schools look for a way the kids can do in person. We just need to live creatively instead of whining about what we can’t do.


  23. - Rich Miller - Thursday, Oct 15, 20 @ 3:42 pm:

    ===mandate masks===

    Did you just get here? There’s been a mask mandate since May.


  24. - BilboSwaggins - Thursday, Oct 15, 20 @ 4:43 pm:

    —Did you just get here? There’s been a mask mandate since May.—

    I know, I didn’t mean to come off as dismissive of that. I suppose more broadly what I meant was better enforcement at the local level, where things are much more iffy depending on where you are.


  25. - Candy Dogood - Thursday, Oct 15, 20 @ 10:12 pm:

    Just in general now would probably be a good time to do a complete shut down of pretty much everything for three weeks. Give everyone 48 hour notice.

    Without drastic measures we’re going to be saying good by to thousands of our friends, family, and neighbors.


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