* From the governor’s office…

       

12 Comments - Montrose - Thursday, Nov 12, 20 @ 2:54 pm: I’m curling up in a ball and not coming out until Spring. - Wensicia - Thursday, Nov 12, 20 @ 3:00 pm: It’s astonishing how fast and far it has spread in just a few weeks. - Hard D - Thursday, Nov 12, 20 @ 3:00 pm: Not in Orland Park nobody gets sick,just ask Mayor Pekau we are protected by Mother Nature from all Viruses. Everyone should come to Orland Park and stay here till Covid is gone. - Anon - Thursday, Nov 12, 20 @ 3:15 pm: And this exponential increase in metrics is all because of irresponsible behavior and a failure to follow the safety protocols that have been laid out by our governmental leaders and health experts? It just doesn’t add up. - Shane Falco - Thursday, Nov 12, 20 @ 3:17 pm: It’s not just the mayor in Orland Park, the Dist.#135 School Board has their heads buried in the sand with him. - Rich Miller - Thursday, Nov 12, 20 @ 3:23 pm: ===It just doesn’t add up. === So, what do you think it is, big brain? Is some furrin country flying over and spreading the COVID on unsuspecting Illinoisans? - EssentialWorkingMom - Thursday, Nov 12, 20 @ 3:28 pm: ==And this exponential increase in metrics is all because of irresponsible behaviour…== This virus is spreading between people who aren’t doing anything to help prevent the spread. Viruses don’t care about safety protocols, or politics, the virus is doing what it does best. Spread to new hosts. It’s the people who don’t care about protecting other people and/or who care more about protecting their right to not wear a mask or to continue to congregate in large groups, and ignore all of the science (which is what our government leaders and health experts are following) that is creating this exponential growth. But please, by all means, continue down your naysaying path of disbelief until this virus impacts someone close to you. And then expect the medical professionals to work overtime and risk their lives to save that person who is close to you. /s - Thomas Paine - Thursday, Nov 12, 20 @ 3:43 pm: Really it is just an increase in one number, the R0. The rate we are spreading the disease from 1.00 on September 10th (1 person infects one other person, on average) to 1.27 today (1 person infects 1.27 other people) today. The increase in the R0 led to an exponential increase in infections. A week later, an exponential growth in hospitalizations. A few days later, an exponential growth in ICUs and vetilators, a few days later, exponential growth in death. Like a clock, one gear drives all the rest. - Please show your work - Thursday, Nov 12, 20 @ 3:56 pm: Per IDPH statistics (https://www.dph.illinois.gov/covid19/covid19-statistics), there were 295,440 positive test results/confirmed cases on 10/1 and 536,542 as of today. That doesn’t work out to +250% or +209%, let alone 459%. Where are the numbers to support the Powerpoint slide? - Jibba - Thursday, Nov 12, 20 @ 4:31 pm: Please show your work: That looks like daily cases. - Perrid - Thursday, Nov 12, 20 @ 4:39 pm: Please show your work, I imagine they’re talking about new cases, maybe smoothed over a 7 day period. If you just use the exact numbers from 10/1 and 11/12, you get 2,166 and 12,702, respectively, do the percent difference ((12657-2166)/2166)*100, and you get 484%. It doesn’t match exactly obviously, which is why I think they may be using 7 day smoothed numbers. I can’t find those and I’m not going to calculate them myself. More importantly, why are you wasting your time questioning the numbers? When the people spending all of their time working on this tell you it’s bad, the default should be to believe them. Come on now. - Please show your work - Friday, Nov 13, 20 @ 10:27 am: Just trying to follow the science, which tends to cite sources. They’re cited on the “surrounding states are bad” slide in the same presentation, so why not here? A 459% increase in anything should raise *some* eyebrows, shouldn’t it? Is it bad? Yes, it is, but be intellectually honest about it. Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.