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Ogden & Fry: Pritzker fave/unfave at 54-41
Wednesday, Jul 7, 2021 - Posted by Rich Miller * Via Politico…
I’ll have more on this poll in a bit, but I wanted to start out with this bit since Politico didn’t mention the governor’s actual statewide result. * Methodology…
They did a test question of how respondents voted last year and were pretty close on the Biden vs. Trump result, 56.1-38.4 (57.5-40.5).
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- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Jul 7, 21 @ 10:47 am:
Bailey has his work cut out for him.
- Hmm - Wednesday, Jul 7, 21 @ 10:57 am:
That seems really high for an elected official in their third year.
- Asteroid of Caution - Wednesday, Jul 7, 21 @ 11:06 am:
Can you imagine the sweet blissful ignorance of the 21? I want to be offended but find myself increasingly jealous.
- Cheryl44 - Wednesday, Jul 7, 21 @ 11:20 am:
With all due respect to you, Asteroid, I think it should be physically painful to be that ignorant.
- The Dude Abides - Wednesday, Jul 7, 21 @ 11:24 am:
Barring some significant change I see JB getting a 2nd term.
- Steve Rogers - Wednesday, Jul 7, 21 @ 11:30 am:
Not all of the 21 may be ignorant, they could be “unsure.” If only 5% are unsure about the job JB is doing, then that bodes well for reelection.
- Lucky Pierre - Wednesday, Jul 7, 21 @ 11:31 am:
very interesting 42% identify as conservative or somewhat conservative
41% identify as liberal or somewhat liberal
16% don’t disclose their ideology
Sounds more like a purple state to me than one lead by the most progressive Governor in America
- Frank talks - Wednesday, Jul 7, 21 @ 11:31 am:
Where was Rauner 16 months out from re-election? 52% are Pretty good numbers coming out of a devastating pandemic. Be interesting to see full cross tabs. Downstate vs collars.
Also does Duckworth have an actual real opponent yet?
JB polling at 52% and Duckworth cruising along makes the top of ticket strong. Let’s see if JB can bring everyone else along?
- Bruce( no not him) - Wednesday, Jul 7, 21 @ 11:36 am:
“unsure or never heard of him” is kinda broad combination. I can hear of someone but be unsure if I’m going to vote for them.
And actually, I find it refreshing that it only 21 undecided at this time. Sounds like most have already made up their minds. Or they are just messing with the poll.
- Candy Dogood - Wednesday, Jul 7, 21 @ 11:42 am:
It’s numbers like these that will cause the GOP to do everything they can to double down on processes that suppress votes, voters, and voter enthusiasm.
We should probably just brand this “The Three Suppression.”
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Jul 7, 21 @ 11:49 am:
=== Sounds more like a purple state to me than one lead by the most progressive Governor in America===
Can’t beat someone with no one.
- Flying Elvis'-Utah Chapter - Wednesday, Jul 7, 21 @ 12:06 pm:
Yeah, well, wait for that well-funded “moderate” Republican to announce his/her candidacy.
That’ll change everything.
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Jul 7, 21 @ 12:09 pm:
=== Yeah, well, wait for that well-funded “moderate” Republican to announce his/her candidacy.
That’ll change everything.===
This mythical creature of a candidate better have 9-figures worth of cash no figuring to anything Trump… as they navigate the primary AND try to keep Trumpkins on board.
Should I bring popcorn?
- Publius - Wednesday, Jul 7, 21 @ 12:39 pm:
It didn’t work out well for “moderate” Republican Jack Ryan in 2004. It did work out well for his opponent Barack Obama.
- Pundent - Wednesday, Jul 7, 21 @ 12:48 pm:
=very interesting 42% identify as conservative or somewhat conservative=
Just because you identify as a conservative doesn’t mean you’re insane. People that understand what conservatism really is know that the ILGOP is currently far from it.
- Asteroid of Caution - Wednesday, Jul 7, 21 @ 1:19 pm:
– It didn’t work out well for “moderate” Republican Jack Ryan in 2004. –
A whole bunch of things went wrong with that campaign, most having nothing to do with moderate policies or financing.
- Roman - Wednesday, Jul 7, 21 @ 1:50 pm:
Pretty encouraging numbers for JB.
One potential nugget for the GOP is the *very* unfavorable column. The covid mitigation policies have the right energized. Maybe that turns out some Republican voters who normally skip midterms? Of course, that alone is not nearly enough to win.
- Lurker - Wednesday, Jul 7, 21 @ 2:46 pm:
LP, I think more are thinking like me though. Conservative as can be but doubt I will ever vote for a Republican again.
- Skeptic - Wednesday, Jul 7, 21 @ 3:06 pm:
“One potential nugget for the GOP is the *very* unfavorable column.” That’s the point people are making. Those are the Republicans that get nominated, and are also the Republicans that don’t stand a chance in the election.
- Guy - Wednesday, Jul 7, 21 @ 3:16 pm:
==It didn’t work out well for “moderate” Republican Jack Ryan in 2004.==
That had more to do with sex clubs than policy.
- filmmaker prof - Wednesday, Jul 7, 21 @ 3:40 pm:
The GOP just found a much stronger candidate in Alan Keyes than Jack Ryan. /s
- EssentialStateEmployeeFromChatham - Wednesday, Jul 7, 21 @ 5:44 pm:
====It didn’t work out well for “moderate” Republican Jack Ryan in 2004.==
It also didn’t work out well for “well-funded” Democrat Blair Hull in ‘04 either.
- Grandson of Man - Wednesday, Jul 7, 21 @ 5:56 pm:
JB has done basically what he campaigned on. He lost the Fair Tax, but nobody is infallible. He has accomplished quite a lot so far and has the resume for a first termer. He has quite the set list of campaign issues, with a chance to add more. Does that mean he would win? No, he could lose (see the Fair Tax), but still, it’s a good place to be in.