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Rate the new Bailey video

Monday, Jan 10, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I checked with Comcast and no cable order has been placed for this spot as of yet. Bailey’s campaign has not responded to an inquiry about where the video is running

* Script…

TV News Reader: Chicago public school parents and students are in limbo once again.

Voiceover: The corrupt Chicago liberals are at it again. Closing down schools, ignoring parents, hurting our kids. Haven’t we suffered enough? Darren Bailey is the change we need. He’s fought Governor Pritzker to protect our freedoms. As governor, he’ll keep our schools open, stop the corruption, turn Illinois around. Darren Bailey, the proven conservative for governor.

* Related…


       

74 Comments
  1. - Fixer - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 9:51 am:

    Mr. Local Control wants the state to intervene in a decidedly local matter. Color me shocked.


  2. - OneMan - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 9:54 am:

    I guess I fail to understand (for want of a nice way of putting this) why what Chicago does with its schools is really a problem of mine.


  3. - Tom - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 9:54 am:

    ALG and Stryker are a good firm and pollster. They poll extensively in Illinois. You may not like Bailey’s politics and I don’t but I give them a hat tip on his hard work and running a good campaign for his base. Trust me. He is the one to beat in that primary. Next Monday should see the entrance of Irvin but today it is Bailey’s to lose.


  4. - just hanging on - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 9:55 am:

    Schools are seeing teachers get sick, there are not enough staff to cover these. Principals are in classrooms, but those that choose to make it work are. Kids learn better in the classroom, and right now Chicago kids are 2 grade levels behind the rest of the state. Do I think this will be a big factor in our election, yes I do. I think just like the fair tax, we will start to see ads popping up on this topic with in the next month.


  5. - Ron Burgundy - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 9:57 am:

    B-. Issue is certainly a fair one, though at times this struck me more as a general election ad than a primary one. Did notice that all the people Bailey appears in person with are Caucasian besides his running mate. Of course none of this matters if no one sees it.


  6. - Arsenal - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 9:58 am:

    It’s a good issue for Bailey. There’s a danger in focusing in on CTU too much, and Bailey is a ham-fisted messenger, but it’s a good issue.

    Question is, how many people actually see this ad?


  7. - well... - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 9:58 am:

    First campaign ad and the candidate’s voice is absent? Maybe they think Chicago area voters won’t support someone who sounds like “gap-toothed hick #3″ in Mississippi Burning?


  8. - JS Mill - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 10:00 am:

    Dishonest ad and that is being nice. It makes me laugh when Bailey the socialist thinks he is “conservative”.

    @Just hanging on- so kids and staff are getting sick (true, our number went through the roof from Friday to Monday) and you think school closings will hurt in the election?


  9. - Bruce( no not him) - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 10:05 am:

    Actually not bad. His whole shtick of “us vs Chicago” plays well downstate.
    I don’t agree with his politics, but downstate, he pushes a lot of buttons.


  10. - Ok - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 10:06 am:

    I wish people cared that teachers are getting sick more than whether their child goes to school today, but that is not how the psyche works.


  11. - Huh? - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 10:07 am:

    Just how will beetle force CPS to keep schools open? Exactly what is the “corruption” he is trying to root out?

    Spouting words like “corruption” or “turn Illinois around” is a second helping of the ruiner word salad.


  12. - Arsenal - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 10:09 am:

    ==He is the one to beat in that primary. ==

    I think that’s right, at least for now. There’s a chance for Irvin/the Griffin candidate, but they have some catching up to do.


  13. - Stix Hix - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 10:11 am:

    –As governor, he’ll keep our schools open–

    Our schools are closed today (Monday) due to icy rural roads. Bailey gonna fix that too?


  14. - Donnie Elgin - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 10:12 am:

    A decent ad, rate it as B. It Will resonate with many parents statewide. CTU shutting down CPS
    highlights how the voice of parents seems like an afterthought when it comes to school decisions.


  15. - TJ - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 10:15 am:

    The messaging from the GOP is simple. Chicago = Democrats, therefore anything bad in Chicago is proof that Democrats are bad. Be that gun violence and other types of crime, fiscal distress, tax complaints, governmental corruption, and now school closures.

    That does play well downstate and in the collars.


  16. - Grandson of Man - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 10:17 am:

    “Voiceover: The corrupt Chicago liberals are at it again. Closing down schools”

    Lightfoot is fighting to keep schools open. The ad is phoned-in tripe for the base. Facts are irrelevant. Rated D.


  17. - Suburban Mom - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 10:17 am:

    Feels like a different planet. I want schools open too, but every parent I know is terrified right now putting their kids on the bus in the morning.


  18. - Candy Dogood - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 10:20 am:

    Illinois is not Virginia and there are lots of different things that sway elections and the biggest challenge that Democrats have isn’t as much issue related as it is lack of voter enthusiasm. Public policy and election positions that is one version or another of muddling through is not the sexist campaign to be running and more often than not simply because of our politics works in our society muddling through is the product of governments and large private organizations alike.

    The voters this ad targets don’t live in Chicago and the people that live in Chicago that might find some agreement with this ad probably identify as liberals. Schools closing because of unions demanding safe work places for their employees and students isn’t really a downstate problem. I’m also not sure if this video is an indication that none of the B roll they’ve taken of Darren Bailey has him in an urban setting or talking to anyone other than white people in rural settings or if it was a deliberate choice to run an ad talking about Chicago Public Schools while showing images of farm fields and Darren Bailey talking exclusively to white people.

    Either way, not a great question to be asking. Maybe all of the pictures and footage of him from Chicago area events feature a domestic terrorist so they can’t use them?

    In Illinois the major handicap that the GOP faces is that whatever the Democrats have done that is unpopular may not be more unpopular that stripping women and minorities of their human rights. The wedge issues that the GOP has used to keep various groups of extremists under their tent also have the opposite effect.

    Bruce Rauner supported a woman’s right to choose to the extent where he signed a bill that allows women to be able to exercise their reproductive rights regardless of their income and ability to pay for services. Bruce Rauner was the last Republican to win statewide in Illinois and that seems to have angered the GOP more than it has to inspire them to change their tune.

    There is absolutely nothing about this ad that is going to appeal to people who have voted for Democrats in 2020 and 2018. If this is an attempt to replicate the GOP strategy in Virginia it’s a very bad attempt by someone that doesn’t understand how the GOP won in Virginia, or won in Illinois in 2014.


  19. - Roman - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 10:20 am:

    B+ for Bailey. Chicago-trolling is gold among the voters who will dominate the GOP primary.

    And Stryker’s concerns are legit. It’s hard to quantify the political fallout caused by Covid anxiety and fatigue, which seems to have Stryker and plenty of other Dem pollsters flummoxed.


  20. - JS Mill - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 10:22 am:

    =–As governor, he’ll keep our schools open–=

    I guess we can also assume there are no more summer breaks or christmas breaks either? Since he is keeping them open…


  21. - Frank talks - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 10:24 am:

    It is a smart focus. Whether you live in Chicago or not it’s on the news constantly. While CTU may have friends in Chicago outside of the city, folks are not amused.


  22. - Mischievous - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 10:26 am:

    == The ad is phoned-in tripe for the base. Facts are irrelevant. ==

    Which is exactly what makes the ad work. Reminder: this is not your father’s GOP.


  23. - Oswego Willy - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 10:27 am:

    It’s a solid “B”

    It hits all the notes necessary in a GOP primary in Illinois, it also goes after She-Caw-Go and unions, both winners, and as polling now is showing, union moves are not in-line with public thinking currently, labor overall needs to decide;

    There are some labor groups that have abandoned the idea of protecting members; safety, well-being, health is overridden by political posturing to the Right, including on the virus, testing…

    … and another labor group willing to hold out for their idea of safety, well-being, health at the cost of parents’ patience in the instance here with teachers and schools.

    Is a lack of a coherent mission dividing not only how labor is seen now, but the “ills” of labor are the things to blame democrats?

    This ad kinda allows the festering to continue.


  24. - don the legend - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 10:28 am:

    I give it a “B”.


  25. - vern - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 10:32 am:

    On its own, the ad is a C-. Visuals are mostly stock footage and headlines. Message is fine for a primary audience, but nothing that’ll distinguish him from the pack. I’ll be surprised if there ends up being a big buy behind this one.

    Unfortunately, the C- has to get docked to an F for plagiarism. There’s gotta be another phrase Illinois Republicans can come up with besides “turn Illinois around.”


  26. - Lucky Pierre - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 10:48 am:

    Just reinforces once again that Illinois Democrats care more about government unions and other special interest groups who fund their campaigns than the interests of minority children snd their working class families.


  27. - allknowingmasterofraccoondom - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 10:50 am:

    It is an A-. It is current, and a huge pain point for people.

    I give it the minus because Bailey is in it. I still can’t believe this guy is running for governor. And, from what I have heard, he actually thinks he can win it.


  28. - Pundent - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 10:51 am:

    Darren Bailey knows that he has no chance of being governor, this add makes that clear. You can’t refer to the voters who would need to elect you as “the corrupt Chicago liberals.”

    The real question is, what will the IGOP do about this? So far the answer has been not much of anything. And that only underscores the much larger problem the party faces. Darren Bailey is in it for the likes on Facebook and “owning the libs.” In that world losing is winning. And if Bailey takes that message into a general election it will continue to be disastrous for the ILGOP.

    An “A” for Darren Bailey is an “F” for the party.


  29. - JSI - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 10:54 am:

    It does seem as if “Corrupt Chicago Politicians” would have been more widespread received opposed to “Corrupt Chicago Liberals.” Also, I think I would’ve taken out “proven conservative.” And yeah, I’m a conservative.


  30. - LBJ - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 10:55 am:

    “It hits all the notes necessary in a GOP primary in Illinois”…absolutely right (no pun intended).


  31. - Moved East - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 11:01 am:

    According to a Rhode Island study in that state, only 11% of students who were chronically absent (more than 15 day missed in a school year) made it to their second year of college, while 51% of students without chronic absenteeism made it to their second year.

    CPS website states there were 340,658 students enrolled in the 2020-21 school year. So, there are 340,658 students who are being “forced” into possible similar lifetime outcomes as those Rhode Island students who were chronically absent.

    These are 340,658 students who will take jobs throughout Illinois. Whose income may be stunted because of lack of schooling; thus the State receives less tax money. Students who will not have the education to create the business that brings jobs and money to Illinois and benefits all of us.

    So, Fixer and One Man, the lack of schooling of 340,658 students in this State does affect us, and it is definitely fair game for a gubernatorial candidate to talk about.


  32. - Dankakee - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 11:04 am:

    Lori has to be sick right now. She functionally shares the same position on schools as Bailey.


  33. - Arsenal - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 11:16 am:

    ==Just reinforces once again that Illinois Democrats care more about government unions and other special interest groups who fund their campaigns than the interests of minority children snd their working class families. ==

    Well, except for the fact that Pritzker defied AFSCME on vaccine mandates, and Lightfoot is defying CTU right now.

    But other than getting literally all of the facts wrong, it’s a good point.


  34. - Oswego Willy - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 11:17 am:

    ===Just reinforces once again that Illinois Democrats care more about government unions===

    … and yet it’s AFSCME and this vaccination fight with JB that kinda throws a wrench into that.

    It’s those like you that see the bad labor does is “Democrat” but forget that some “bad” is the Right minority of members driving the bus that is also alienating.

    The good for the GOP is that duality is a blanket that is labeled “Democrats” conveniently.

    It’s very smart in a primary, and pollling has this too, but your simpleton take neglects to look at the box labor has put allies in, no matter the side of the aisle.

    You think Bailey is siding with the state against the Democrat labor idea of vaccines and the workplace?

    The ad works because it’s the simpleton thought to labor.


  35. - Fixer - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 11:18 am:

    Moved East, given the consistent wavering by Bailey of if he even wants Chicago to remain part of Illinois, as well as his recent complaints regarding local control in determining things like mask mandates, in person learning, etc, it’s hard to take his tripe here as anything but cheap political theater.

    If candidate Bailey can point to what specifically he’d do in this situation to resolve the matter, that’d be one thing. This, though? This isn’t doing anything beyond feeding red meat to his base.


  36. - Donnie Elgin - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 11:23 am:

    “Schools closing because of unions demanding safe work places for their employees and students isn’t really a downstate problem”

    You are 100% correct the current CTU/CPS fight is a manufactured one that is possible only because of the political pull of CTU. The virus spreads evenly across the state, there are many poor downstate students, lots of minority kids in places downstate. Just no CTU.


  37. - Cheryl44 - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 11:28 am:

    If Bailey is for it, I assume it’s a bad idea.


  38. - Demoralized - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 11:33 am:

    Hasn’t Darren Bailey spent the last 2 years arguing against mandates?


  39. - Moved East - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 11:37 am:

    Fixer, to paraphrase Tommy Lee Jones in Lincoln “ I was under the misapprehension (Bailey’s) chosen profession was politics.” Red Meat and political theatre are what this blog is all about and why we are here. I don’t like Bailey and think he would be a terrible governor. I am sure that he has no ideas to solve the problem. None of that changes the rating of this ad from an A and its resonance with voters across the state.


  40. - Grandson of Man - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 11:38 am:

    “Well, except for the fact that Pritzker defied AFSCME on vaccine mandates, and Lightfoot is defying CTU right now.”

    Exactly. Just like when Illinois Democrats repeatedly defied the union and enacted pension cuts. It won’t get through the programming.


  41. - Oswego Willy - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 11:42 am:

    ===Hasn’t Darren Bailey spent the last 2 years arguing against mandates?===

    The duality of “freedom” and the anti-She-Caw-Go / “Unions”, it’s the confusing part to have honest discussion(s) to either Trumpkins or “Republicans” that can’t see the cult-like devotion to the rote narratives

    The ad works because there’s no sense of any irony, the polling works because any bad at those being polled will play well, and this ad has the focus where the shiny object the target audience like last to bash.


  42. - Annonin' - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 12:07 pm:

    Mr. Local Control has it going
    Can we get a quick body count on those who are rounded up and dragged to school?
    Griffie should love it too.


  43. - JS Mill - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 12:09 pm:

    = . CTU shutting down CPS
    highlights how the voice of parents seems like an afterthought when it comes to school decisions.=

    Why would parents have a voice in something they are not qualified or licensed to make? Being a parent does not make a person an expert in education or anything else. I have two kids. I won’t be determining their treatment if they become ill.


  44. - TheInvisibleMan - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 12:10 pm:

    needs more tannerite.


  45. - duck duck goose - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 12:17 pm:

    I think that the key takeaway is that Darren Bailey agrees with the liberal, Democratic mayor of Chicago.


  46. - Jibba - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 12:49 pm:

    As a primary ad it is a solid B or better, but for anyone other than the GOP base it is a snoozer of a word salad. When “corrupt” is the second word, I tune out. Had to try really hard to keep listening to all the platitudes.

    As an aside, I had to play it 4 times to understand the words “He’s fought…” bad narration?


  47. - Roadrager - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 12:55 pm:

    ==As governor, he’ll keep our schools open, stop the corruption, turn Illinois around.==

    I’m old enough to remember how our state had to turn around from the last turnaround. Vote Bailey, he’ll keep Illinois running in circles.


  48. - Lucky Pierre - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 12:58 pm:

    Except for the Mayor, zero Democrats who represent Chicago in the city council, state legislature, state government or congress have called out CTU and their leadership for this outrageous illegal strike.

    Pretty much proves my point about the power of government unions


  49. - Oswego Willy - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 1:05 pm:

    ===Except for the Mayor===

    Maybe the mayor is a Raunerite/Trumpkin all along?

    The idea that Dems and labor and the ills of covid is ridiculous as Republicans and the anti-Vaxxers continue on the other side, with folks, Republicans, backing AFSCME on that too.

    You can’t grasp, or refuse to grasp, that you want it politically favorable because of the purity of this instance.

    It’s playing to simpletons who may also want AFSCME to win against vax mandates.


  50. - Langhorne - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 1:09 pm:

    Is that his cell phone on his belt?
    Is he practicing for when open carry is the law of the land?
    Does he wear socks with sandals? Short sleeve shirt with a suit coat?

    Stop corruption, turn illinois around. What does that even mean?
    If there are no real-world examples to at least suggest what you mean, then they are just hollow buzzwords. JB’s ad gives some factoids to use at the diner.

    “I am for Darren Bailey”, said the voter, because “he’s against closing schools, chicago liberals, and corruption. And will turn this state around.” Starting w having an overseer over chgo?

    Darren is the guy rauner was pretendin’ to be when downstate. Debates should be wonderful.


  51. - Jocko - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 1:22 pm:

    ==He’s fought Governor Pritzker to protect our freedoms.==

    By not wearing a mask to session and being told to leave? That’s like me ‘fighting’ city hall by prank calling during a town meeting.


  52. - Dotnonymous - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 1:22 pm:

    Would have been better…with guns ablazin’.


  53. - Lucky Pierre - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 1:23 pm:

    If you can’t grasp that almost two years into a pandemic, the science is clear.

    State and Federal health experts have proven that schools are the safest place for the Kids to be.

    Their learning has suffered immensely by kowtowing to unions instead of the kids best interests


  54. - Rich Miller - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 1:23 pm:

    ===By not wearing a mask to session and being told to leave?===

    You obviously did not watch the ad. Do better.


  55. - Oswego Willy - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 1:30 pm:

    === State and Federal health experts have proven that schools are the safest place for the Kids to be.===

    What exactly is CTU asking?

    (Hint: they had it in tweets, their actual words)

    You’re as dishonest to the discussion as Lightfoot.

    Thing is, I don’t see this as good, I don’t see this as good for CTU either. There is no good.

    Your ridiculousness needs a one-side vision, like Bailey.

    Simpleton thinking… that’s polling well.

    If Lightfoot had an ounce of political acumen she could’ve staved off the needless fight, but Lightfoot can’t help it.


  56. - JS Mill - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 2:00 pm:

    =If you can’t grasp that almost two years into a pandemic, the science is clear.=

    So are you saying Bailey grasps the science? if that is the case why does he run around without a mask all the time?

    The ad is an “A” for the likes of LP. For the thinking crowd, it is a sure fire “F”.


  57. - Rudy’s teeth - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 2:04 pm:

    It’s a plus that there’s a voiceover during the video. Bailey’s voice is grating at best. Where’s the pic of Darren at the Palmer House? Waving from the escalator…

    Can’t wait for reporters to grill him on the issues. So far, he’s controlled the narrative. Time for some q/a sessions from the media.


  58. - Lucky Pierre - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 2:29 pm:

    I have never commented on the Democrat’s dream Republican candidate Darren Bailey


  59. - Arsenal - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 2:35 pm:

    ==Their learning has suffered immensely by kowtowing to unions instead of the kids best interests ==

    But who’s “kowtowing” to the unions? CTU teachers want more testing and metrics for when to close schools. Lightfoot refused to give them that, so they didn’t report to work.

    The current situation is all because the mayor *refuses* to give the union what they want (which isn’t even remote learning in the first place).

    So, who is kowtowing? Can you please, for the first time, engage with the actual facts, rather than just back-filling from your pathological hatred of Democrats?


  60. - Ducky LaMoore - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 2:37 pm:

    Canned ham for the frothing masses. It’s a good ad for a GOP primary. I love the voiceover guy; half Bill Kurtis, half Zap Brannigan.


  61. - TheUpperRoom - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 2:40 pm:

    The message isn’t awful, except it doesn’t take into account people’s health. If he had focused on how children staying home from school hurt working class people who have to stay home from work to watch their kids, or pay more for child care, that would be an issue both sides of the political spectrum could get behind. I don’t think anyone actually wants schools closed. But we want people to be safe too.


  62. - Boone's is Back - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 2:51 pm:

    D. What does CTU have to do with his role as Gov?


  63. - Demoralized - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 3:10 pm:

    ==I have never commented on the Democrat’s dream Republican candidate Darren Bailey==

    Then why the heck have you commented 4 times on a post about Darren Bailey? Seems to me that you are either: 1) commenting about Darren Bailey; or 2) are providing useless unrelated commentary (this one has my vote).


  64. - JS Mill - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 3:27 pm:

    To the ad, seems odd that Bailey not doing his own voice overs. It is appreciated though, because I can hardly even understand him.

    Are we sure he was born in Illinois? /s sort of.


  65. - Pundent - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 3:33 pm:

    =I have never commented on the Democrat’s dream Republican candidate Darren Bailey=

    Well for once it’s good to see that you can see what’s plainly obvious to the rest of us. But I have a feeling that this won’t be the start of a new years trend.

    And to the IGLOP, when you’re lost LP you really do need to be worried.


  66. - Chris White - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 3:41 pm:

    #HatedIt


  67. - Unconventionalwisdom - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 4:14 pm:

    Naturally Bailey hyperventilates.

    But the issue is real. People are tired of schools not being open and paying big property tax bills.


  68. - Lucky Pierre - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 4:22 pm:

    My comments were about only one elected Democrat demanding Chicago schools open, while getting trashed by most commenters and contrasting that with universal Republican insistence on in person learning

    Can’t wait to see Illinois Democrats wake up and backtrack on this like they are on doing on their crime bill


  69. - Oswego Willy - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 4:24 pm:

    - Lucky Pierre -

    Maybe Bailey should campaign with Lightfoot and Bailey’s ambassador to Chicago?


  70. - Lucky Pierre - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 4:42 pm:

    Maybe the Democrats and the unions should just listen to scientists and the data and reopen the Chicago public schools for in person instruction.

    Nowhere else in the country has the teachers Union shut down in person instruction

    Administrations have shut down in person learning in functioning districts where the tail doesn’t wag the dog

    https://districtadministration.com/school-closings-tracker-where-covid-shut-down-schools-again/


  71. - Oswego Willy - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 4:59 pm:

    ===Nowhere else in the country has the teachers Union shut down in person instruction===

    You think Lightfoot has approached all this in good faith?

    Well, you thought Rauner was an honest broker… lol


  72. - Proud Sucker - Monday, Jan 10, 22 @ 5:13 pm:

    “reopen the Chicago public schools”

    How, with scab teachers? Where will 20,000 scabs be found?


  73. - Moral Majority - Tuesday, Jan 11, 22 @ 4:58 am:

    Definitely full of sound and fury. The question is does it signify anything?


  74. - Receding Hairline - Tuesday, Jan 11, 22 @ 6:24 am:

    C+.
    The ad has a decent and simple message. Maybe it’ll yield a better result than the 300 votes, 5th place finish, his campaign manager finished with when he ran for Trustee…


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