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Morning Consult “poll” has Pritzker’s job approval at 51-43

Thursday, Apr 28, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* These Morning Consult results are always a bit questionable because their methodology is opaque and they survey over several months, in this case January 1 through March 31, 2022. Anyway

Across the country, all but eight governors are backed by 50% or more of their state’s voters. And in nearly all cases, the Democrats among them are getting higher approval ratings than Biden, while more often than not drawing more cross-party support than the president and Democratic senators.

But when considering each state, the average GOP governor has a higher approval rating than the average Democratic governor (58% to 51%), boosted by the popularity of a handful of blue-state Republicans.

Thoughts?

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32 Comments
  1. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 2:34 pm:

    Not under water and over 50%

    Not a bad place to be rolling into May for a November election


  2. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 2:38 pm:

    ===But when considering each state===

    It’s a good thing that each governor only needs to win the state they govern… if I consider that…

    When I get to vote for Idaho’s governor then I’ll consider whatever it is that whole paragraph wants to tie together


  3. - well... - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 2:38 pm:

    51 percent while he’s running constant ads promoting himself and the Republicans haven’t started running negative ads yet. I wouldn’t be comfortable if I was him.


  4. - Lucky Pierre - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 2:40 pm:

    Only 8 Governors have higher disapproval ratings and JB is not in a bad place in a Blue state with a supermajority Democratic legislature like Illinois?

    The 11 most popular Governors are all Republicans.


  5. - Fav Human - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 2:42 pm:

    To quote a former Democratic Governor:

    “It’s the economy”.

    But only at 51% in IL isn’t super great either. JB needs turnout, some good economic news and to hope for a dork opponent.

    At least his commercials seem to be getting better.


  6. - Commisar Gritty - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 2:42 pm:

    It’s a midterm, the party in power always takes a hit in the polls. Especially if that party in power seems incapable of passing anything without it heing through reconciliation.

    Dems need to message on what they have delivered, not just what manchin & sinema have blocked. They need to be shouting this message loudly and frequently. They do not have the synchphantic propaganda machine that the Republicans enjoy.


  7. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 2:47 pm:

    ===Only 8 Governors have higher disapproval ratings and JB===

    Good thing JB isn’t running against them.

    Pritzker might get… Darren Bailey…

    ===The 11 most popular Governors are all Republicans===

    Narrator: Pritzker only needs to win in Illinois

    Pritzker is over 50%, not under water, and one GOP candidate signed a thingy about school and recently wanted to be clear about abortion

    Until Pritzker needs to win Texas to be Illinois’ governor, your bot analysis is like when someone spills coffee on a laptop.., it’s on the fritz.


  8. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 2:48 pm:

    === 51 percent while he’s running constant ads promoting himself and the Republicans haven’t started running negative ads yet. I wouldn’t be comfortable if I was him.===

    Can’t beat someone with no one

    Irvin is the best shot, but Irvin might enter the General Election more fractured than Rauner was after Ives.


  9. - Baloneymous - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 2:57 pm:

    “But only at 51% in IL isn’t super great either.”

    Pat Quinn’s approval rating was in the 30s before the 2014 election. Rauner’s approval rating was 25% in 2018 at one point.


  10. - Grandson of Man - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 3:04 pm:

    Not too bad, better than expected. JB has many accomplishments on which to campaign and ask for a second term, especially the fiscal improvement and increased funding for education, child care, public safety, etc.


  11. - Downstater-in-Chicago - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 3:07 pm:

    Anybody know what Rod’s approval rating was at this point in 2006? Had to be under 51%, right? (I can’t find approval polls from them, but he was under 51% in the election polls all year).


  12. - Fixer - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 3:09 pm:

    “ Republicans haven’t started running negative ads yet.” They’re too busy trying to find a way to blame each other for things they’re going to blame Pritzker for in the general.


  13. - New Day - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 3:13 pm:

    if I were JB with these numbers facing this field in such a terrible political environment nationally, I’d feel pretty darned good right about now. Bet his internals are even better than these suspect Morning Consult numbers.


  14. - TheInvisibleMan - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 3:19 pm:

    “The 11 most popular Governors are all Republicans.”

    And Republican Charlie Baker would be thrown out of the ILGOP at the speed of light, and most of those other top 10 states too. He’s pro-choice for one, and understands climate change.

    I look forward to the day when the ILGOP would be able to produce a candidate like Charlie Walker.


  15. - Fav Human - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 3:24 pm:

    Republican Charlie Baker would be thrown out of the ILGOP at the speed of light

    Kind of like Dan L was tossed?


  16. - New Day - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 3:32 pm:

    “Kind of like Dan L was tossed?”

    Who????


  17. - Demoralized - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 3:34 pm:

    If I were the Governor I would be pretty happy with those numbers right now. If you believe the Republicans the state is 3 breaths away from death and we all need to be saved. Seems like a few people disagree with the Republican hyperventilation about everything.


  18. - Benjamin - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 3:36 pm:

    ==JB needs turnout, some good economic news and to hope for a dork opponent.==

    I feel like that last one’s just about a lock.


  19. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 3:38 pm:

    ===JB needs turnout, some good economic news and to hope for a dork opponent.===

    … or an abortion ruling limiting or gutting Roe.


  20. - Skeptic - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 3:52 pm:

    “some good economic news” So lower unemployment, a budget surplus, paying down debt and an improved credit rating count as … doomsday?


  21. - JS Mill - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 3:59 pm:

    =“ Republicans haven’t started running negative ads yet.” =

    Lol, I guess Irvin’s ads are “positive”? How dark can the ILGOP get? Nevermind…


  22. - Fav Human - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 4:01 pm:

    Dan L –> Dan Lipinski, primaried twice


  23. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 4:05 pm:

    ===Dan Lipinski, primaried twice===

    Won one… now Illinois is saddled with Newman.


  24. - Yellow Dog Democrat - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 4:40 pm:

    51-43 in a Deep Blue State is pretty darn good for JB, that was during the last big omicron wave.

    I think his numbers probably only get better now that Fauci has declared the pandemic over, a budget has passed, tax breaks are on the way, and Republicans continue to stuggle to figure out who they are.


  25. - Jibba - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 4:54 pm:

    This is not a surprise to anyone paying attention to the majority, not the vocal minority. Mirrors polls on approval for covid rules. Most Dems are clearly happy enough with JB, so he wins if they turn out. Anyone happy with JB right now is not going to be swayed by the upcoming negative ads.


  26. - New Day - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 5:00 pm:

    Dan L…right. How quickly I forget.


  27. - paradox - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 6:05 pm:

    Not a great pollster, dont really care


  28. - DuPage - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 7:31 pm:

    If Pritzker loses it will be because of the refusal of Kim “let’em go” Foxx refusing to enforce the law. Shoplifting is not even enforced in Cook County if the value of the goods stolen is less than $950. Pritzker has to walk a tightrope of supporting other Democrats but not support or agree with some of their actions.


  29. - Arsenal - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 8:37 pm:

    == Only 8 Governors have higher disapproval ratings and JB is not in a bad place in a Blue state with a supermajority Democratic legislature like Illinois?==

    Correct, and someday you’re going to learn your lesson for asking rhetorical questions like this.


  30. - Arsenal - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 8:41 pm:

    == But only at 51% in IL isn’t super great either. ==

    “In IL”, what’s that mean? What were Bruce Rauner’s approval ratings in 2018? Or Pat Quinn’s in ‘14- or ‘10?

    These are a lot better numbers than governors “in IL” have had for several terms now.


  31. - Candy Dogood - Thursday, Apr 28, 22 @ 11:09 pm:

    Job approval can be an important metric and this are pretty good numbers, all things considered.

    Folks planning on spending Ken Griffin’s money shouldn’t be too excited by this number. Job approval is a different kind of calculus than the decision a voter makes between the only two candidates on election day and they’re still relying on lying to and gas lighting the voters of Illinois to get to 50%+1 and that can have diminishing returns. It’s easier to misrepresent a constitutional amendment than it is to try to distance your nominee from the other things your party is doing in other states to strip people of rights and try to make it illegal to teach kids about slavery while trying to turn public schools into institutions that promote homophobia.

    JB Pritzker just needs to articulate what he has done. Democrats nationally just need to articulate what they have done — and then without naming names or being specific tie their opponents to what the Republicans have done.


  32. - NonAFSCMEStateEmployeeFromChatham - Friday, Apr 29, 22 @ 8:38 am:

    ==Anybody know what Rod’s approval rating was at this point in 2006? Had to be under 51%, right? (I can’t find approval polls from them, but he was under 51% in the election polls all year).==

    Per Wikipedia, a Rasmussen poll on Apr. 24, 2006 actually had JBT with a 44-38% lead over Blago.

    But that was shortly before Governor Elvis started warming up the attack ads and when he made “What’s She Thinking” become a household phrase.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2006_Illinois_gubernatorial_election#Polling


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