Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar » Do better, Fox 32
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      About     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact Rich Miller
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Do better, Fox 32

Tuesday, Sep 20, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Fox 32

* The headline has since been changed, but not the story

A voter opinion survey done for Republican Darren Bailey’s campaign shows Gov. JB Pritzker with a lead. But it’s closer than the landslide, 16 percentage points, Democrat Pritzker won by four years ago. […]

A survey done Sept. 8-10 for the current Republican nominee found Pritzker at 44%, Bailey 37% and libertarian Scott Schluter 8%.

Some might question the results since, before asking 500 likely voters which candidate for governor they prefer, the poll asked:

“…would you rather vote for a strongly conservative Republican candidate that will take the fight to the rich elite and tackle the big issues like fixing our economy and fighting crime or would you vote for a billionaire Democratic candidate who will focus on fighting the cultural issues like abortion rights?”

Some?

Also, the “boutique data and research agency” asked nine questions before getting to the head-to-heads.

Kinda reminds me of the Jesse Sullivan “surge” that never happened but that a handful of reporters somehow fell for.

       

29 Comments
  1. - Demoralized - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 9:48 am:

    They asked that question and then Pritzker still polls ahead of Darren Bailey? Bailey has serious problems then.


  2. - Larry Bowa Jr. - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 9:50 am:

    None of Fox’s news-adjacent entities feels any duty to reflect reality for its consumers. That’s not the product their viewers want anyway.


  3. - Ron Burgundy - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 9:50 am:

    Wow, what awful push polling. Did they ask the 44% that said JB if they were sure afterward?


  4. - Commissar Gritty - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 9:53 am:

    Fox News: “Do you want to vote for a God-fearing Christian man of God (Jesus, obviously. Not one of those gross ones) or a demonic baby eater who will kill your grandparents?”

    Also Fox News: “We’re fair and balanced, why don’t people believe us?”


  5. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 9:58 am:

    So, as a reader or consumer of this poll I’m suppose to take these “facts” (yeah, I typed “facts”, bear with me) when looking at the race;

    === A survey done Sept. 8-10 for the current Republican nominee found Pritzker at 44%, Bailey 37% and libertarian Scott Schluter 8%.===

    And… this too;

    === It found 29% of voters have a favorable view of Bailey, 39% unfavorable. The numbers for Pritzker: 48% favorable; 45% unfavorable.===

    So, I’m suppose to believe a race is within 7 points, with Pritzker *above* water, Bailey *under* water, and it’s “tight”?

    Huh?

    They can’t even look their “facts” and see a trend, if it’s an honest look.

    Geez, Louise.


  6. - Arsenal - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 9:58 am:

    Is the libertarian even gonna be on the ballot?


  7. - Vote Quimby - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 9:59 am:

    Over half of the respondents were over age 55, 71 percent are white, 71 percent have no minor children in the household, 71 percent are not in a union… and it still shows Bailey getting beat. Good luck.


  8. - Timzilla - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 10:06 am:

    I enjoy that they call abortion rights a “cultural issue”


  9. - Jerry - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 10:08 am:

    And the funny part are the so-called “Christians” like Darren “these people” Bailey who push the “culture war”. Nothing says small government like who you can marry or if you can have children or not.


  10. - Sue - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 10:15 am:

    No Doubt JB will win and Illinois will continue to lag it’s neighbors in economic opportunity all while crime will escalate and the State will lose out


  11. - Incandenza - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 10:15 am:

    Has Fox 32 never heard of a push poll?


  12. - Steve - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 10:16 am:

    -libertarian Scott Schluter 8%.-

    If you believe Scott Schluter is polling at 8% , in Illinois, you need to put down the crack pipe.


  13. - Dance Band on the Titanic - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 10:17 am:

    Is this a “purge” surge?


  14. - Demoralized - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 10:19 am:

    @Sue

    If the majority of people believed what you say then don’t you think JB would lose? Maybe people don’t share your outlook on life? Ever think of that. Don’t whine because you can’t get what you want.


  15. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 10:20 am:

    === Illinois will continue to lag it’s neighbors in economic opportunity all while crime will escalate and the State will lose out===

    What are the lottery numbers?

    If you truly believe this drivel, how can you in good conscience stay in or do business in Illinois?

    Sincerely.

    All I hear is that “Folks are prisoners to Democrat party bad, it hurts Illinois”

    Here your driveby is a ridiculous Nostradamus prediction, that if you believe it’s true, why on earth would you subject yourself or business interests to such “badness”?

    This poll, as bad or silly as it is, has Pritzker above water and the known quantity of Bailey under water.

    Is the poll right about it being “close” AND right that Bailey is unliked at a large clip… while “keeping it close”?


  16. - Very old soil - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 10:22 am:

    Sue, is that why college graduates are leaving our neighboring states and moving to Illinois


  17. - Moe Berg - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 10:31 am:

    Have to note that the Political Editor who put that story out has been covering Illinois politics for at least 40 years. He knows better.

    The best you can say about his motivation is that it was just to generate clicks and controversy; the worst is that it was an in-kind political contribution in keeping with the political aims of the parent company’s owners.


  18. - Chris - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 10:46 am:

    === If you truly believe this drivel, how can you in good conscience stay in or do business in Illinois?===

    Seems like a good question for Prof(i)t.

    Come to think of it, you don’t have to ask Dan, as the answer is in his (modified) name.


  19. - Baloneymous - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 10:47 am:

    “Do better, Fox” is something that could be said on an hourly or at least daily basis.


  20. - Homebody - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 10:51 am:

    == a strongly conservative Republican candidate that will take the fight to the rich elite and tackle the big issues like fixing our economy==

    I’m 40 years old. “strongly conservative Republican candidates” have spent the entirety of my life doing the opposite of those things.

    Poll might as well ask if I would like a glass of ice cold magma.


  21. - Nuke The Whales - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 11:08 am:

    ==Kinda reminds me of the Jesse Sullivan “surge” that never happened but that a handful of reporters somehow fell for.==

    A depressingly high number of political reporters do not report on politics to inform the general public. They do it to be super into politics and impress other people who are also super into politics. They’re Trekkies and getting to write on campaign surges that might happen is like writing your own fan script and hoping it gets picked up.


  22. - Chicago Cynic - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 11:17 am:

    Mike Flannery, really dude? OMG, this “poll” is so so bad. You don’t need to know much to realize when the libertarian nobody has ever heard of is at 8%, it’s time to put it down and move on. What a waste of 1s and 0s.


  23. - Roadrager - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 11:37 am:

    Forget a thumb, the polling agency Bailey’s campaign contracted pounded both fists on the scale and still couldn’t forge a good outcome from it.


  24. - Correcting - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 11:42 am:

    “libertarian Scott Schluter 8%”

    Into the garbage it goes.


  25. - MisterJayEm - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 11:48 am:

    “A new voter opinion survey shows that ‘this guy who’s really awesome’ trails ‘that guy who really sucks’ by less than a landslide.”

    That’s some mighty fine journalisming, Fox32.

    Mighty fine.

    – MrJM


  26. - Benjamin - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 12:10 pm:

    They tilted that playing field so hard to Bailey and they can’t even get him into striking distance. The best they can do is getting him into striking distance of being within striking distance.


  27. - Pundent - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 12:13 pm:

    =No Doubt JB will win and Illinois will continue to lag it’s neighbors in economic opportunity all while crime will escalate and the State will lose out=

    I guess Google didn’t get the memo on hopelessly lost this state is or why young people are clamoring to live in state like Indiana where women’s rights don’t mean much.


  28. - ste_with a v_en - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 1:06 pm:

    Saying the PAC ad was the Bailey ad may have been journalistic oversight, but in a way it’s true.


  29. - Flapdoodle - Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 2:35 pm:

    Photo of Bailey shows he at least knows a good joke like this poll when he sees one . . .


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* Isabel’s afternoon roundup
* Feds to provide more migrant funding... Just $19.3 million for Illinois
* Question of the day
* It’s just a bill
* Bill to expand IVF/infertility insurance coverage overwhelmingly passes Senate
* Open thread
* Isabel’s morning briefing
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Loading


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
April 2024
March 2024
February 2024
January 2024
December 2023
November 2023
October 2023
September 2023
August 2023
July 2023
June 2023
May 2023
April 2023
March 2023
February 2023
January 2023
December 2022
November 2022
October 2022
September 2022
August 2022
July 2022
June 2022
May 2022
April 2022
March 2022
February 2022
January 2022
December 2021
November 2021
October 2021
September 2021
August 2021
July 2021
June 2021
May 2021
April 2021
March 2021
February 2021
January 2021
December 2020
November 2020
October 2020
September 2020
August 2020
July 2020
June 2020
May 2020
April 2020
March 2020
February 2020
January 2020
December 2019
November 2019
October 2019
September 2019
August 2019
July 2019
June 2019
May 2019
April 2019
March 2019
February 2019
January 2019
December 2018
November 2018
October 2018
September 2018
August 2018
July 2018
June 2018
May 2018
April 2018
March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller