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Campaign notebook

Monday, Nov 7, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Illinois early vote totals…


* Chicago early vote totals…

The most up-to-date Early Vote and Vote By Mail totals in Chicago, night of Sunday, November 6, 2022.

The Early Vote total stands at 134,014 ballots cast.

Additionally, 103,205 Vote By Mail ballots have been returned to the Board – total VBM applications stands at 208,962.

The grand total is 237,219 ballots cast so far in Chicago for the November 8th General Election.

FOR COMPARISON:

    - As of June 26, 2022 (1 day out from the 6/28/22 Primary Election): 98,512 ballots cast

    - As of November 1, 2020 (1 day out from the 11/3/20 Presidential Election): 756,935 ballots cast

    - As of November 4, 2018 (1 day out from the 11/6/18 General Election): 274,756 ballots cast

Chicago is now up to 20 percent of the statewide total, which is about where it was in 2018.

* False alarm

On Friday afternoon, lawyers representing Champaign County Board member Jim McGuire filed a lawsuit alleging that Champaign County deputy clerk Michelle Jett mishandled official ballots. Attached to the lawsuit is a sworn affidavit from an election judge in County Clerk Aaron Ammons’ office, which included pictures of ballots on the passenger seat and floor of Jett’s car.

The judge threw out the order after Jett and the county provided evidence they were sample ballots being used to test voting machines.

…Adding… More

Champaign County Clerk and Recorder Aaron Ammons has agreed to tweak a procedure concerning pre-election printer testing at polling places, bringing to an end to an emergency lawsuit and partisan skirmish that stretched into this past weekend.

A hearing set before Judge Anna Benjamin Monday started nearly an hour late while lawyers hammered out an agreement that then eliminated the need for the hearing.

The resolution of the lawsuit filed by Champaign County Republican Party Chair Jim McGuire against Ammons and Ammons’ director of operations, Michelle Jett, calls for all paper used to test election printers to be secured and preserved from the time of testing until 60 days following the election.

* We talked about this story last week

At issue is an attempt by Dan Proft, a longtime Republican operative and onetime losing candidate for Illinois governor, to inject himself into a potential legal settlement being sought by Brett Corrigan, a Bailey family friend who worked for the campaign for more than a year before leaving around mid-September. Corrigan’s attorney described his client’s complaint as an “internal HR,” or human resources, matter but didn’t provide any additional details. […]

Corrigan declined to comment and referred all questions to his attorney, Scott Kaspar of Orland Park. Kaspar said Corrigan attended Bailey’s private Full Armor Christian Academy in downstate Louisville, Illinois, and lived with Bailey’s family on their farm in nearby Xenia. Corrigan on the campaign trail served largely as a “body man” for the Republican governor candidate, who is also a state senator, closely following Bailey at events and assisting Bailey as he needed. Since June 2021, state campaign finance records show, he was paid $18,861 by Bailey’s campaign.

But around mid-September, Corrigan left Bailey’s campaign — whether he was fired or left on his own is a matter of dispute, his attorney said. Corrigan now serves a similar role for GOP attorney general candidate Tom DeVore, whose campaign Corrigan joined almost immediately after leaving Bailey’s.

Bailey told reporters yesterday that he wouldn’t answer any questions about the matter because Corrigan was still a student at Bailey’s school.

* New Illinois poll published on FiveThirtyEight has Pritzker up by 20

Caveat: That pollster had a not great 2020 cycle and is rated as B-.

* From the Veep’s visit…


* Here we go…


…Adding… CD17’s Crystal Ball House rating was just moved from Tossup to Leans Republican.

* Isabel’s roundup…

    * Crain’s | Conservative activist behind faux newspapers is done living in Illinois: “I no longer have a place in Chicago or Illinois,” Proft wrote in an email to Crain’s, “nor will I until and unless the political leadership changes and that new leadership reforms the way we fund schools and structure and fund public sector pensions and in so doing reduces the usurious property taxes Illinois families pay.”

    * Illinois Review | Kathy Salvi on the campaign trail gives three reasons to vote for her: Monday night, Kathy Salvi, 2022 Republican candidate for US Senate, gave a rousing speech at a rally in Lombard Monday night. Salvi gave three reasons Illinoisans should vote for her Tuesday: Economy, Crime and Education - all topics that are motivating voters to the polls.

    * Patch | Raoul Vs. Lawyer DeVore For Attorney General: Illinois Election 2022: As expected, Raoul and DeVore plan to take very different paths as Attorney General and have targeted their opponent’s philosophies of lawmaking on key issues facing Illinoisans. Perhaps, most notable is the controversial SAFE-T Act, the sweeping criminal justice reform package that was passed by lawmakers and that is set to go into effect on Jan. 1. Neither Raoul nor DeVore responded to multiple requests from Patch to complete a pre-election questionnaire dealing with issues facing Illinois voters in Tuesday’s general election.

    * Block Club Chicago | With Fewer Polling Places And Translators, Non-English Speaking Voters Could Be Discouraged, Advocates Say: Community organizers said they’ll do heavier lifting this election to help voters with language barriers cast ballots amid shakeups to the voting process. Nearly half of Chicago voters will have a different polling place for the election Nov. 8 than they did in the June primary, said Max Bever, Chicago Board of Election Commissioners spokesman. There will also be 97 fewer polling places citywide, and the board has struggled to hire poll workers, especially those who are bilingual, he said.

    * Pantagraph | Chilly, breezy Monday across central Illinois. What about Election Day?: Cooler today than Sunday, but near normal for this time of year. Seasonable temperatures tonight as well. What temperatures are expected for Election Day? Any chance of rain? Find out in our updated forecast video.

    * Shaw Local | Controversial mailer with SAFE-T Act concerns sent to DeKalb residents: Earlier this week, DeKalb resident Eric Petruchuis said he was angry when he learned his photo had been included in a publication circulating around town beneath a headline that read, “Under the SAFE-T Act, these suspects would be released into your neighborhood.” His photo was on a page with 15 other mugshots, along with full names and bullet points of the charges allegedly pending against them. No other details were published with the arrest photos. One problem, for Petruchuis at least, is it wasn’t accurate. While Petruchuis had been arrested in October, and spent a night in the DeKalb County Jail, the charges were dismissed the next day, according to court records and the DeKalb County state’s attorney’s office.

    * Patch | Election Day Blood Moon Last Total Lunar Eclipse Over IL Until 2025: The Election Day lunar eclipse will turn the moon an eerie red in the hours before polls open across Illinois on Tuesday. It’s the last total lunar eclipse until 2025, and that alone makes getting up early to see it worthwhile. Skies over Illinois should be partly cloudy on Tuesday during the height of eclipse activity when the moon takes on a reddish or coppery hue. If you’re not keen on watching the whole thing, the blood moon lasts from about 4:16 a.m. to 5:41 a.m. local time.

    * Telegraph | Haine, McRae criticize Julian, Huddleston on ‘pledges for votes’: The texts, from campaign workers for Julian and Huddleston, stated they would “uphold Illinois law which allows women to make their own healthcare choices with their doctor.” Neither Julian or Huddleston responded to a request for comment. Haine and McRae argued promising specific legal rulings during a campaign is unethical.

       

23 Comments
  1. - Oswego Willy - Monday, Nov 7, 22 @ 2:51 pm:

    ===“I no longer have a place in Chicago or Illinois,” Proft wrote in an email to Crain’s, “nor will I until and unless the political leadership changes and that new leadership reforms the way we fund schools and structure and fund public sector pensions and in so doing reduces the usurious property taxes Illinois families pay.”===

    Narrator: Proft is never coming back.

    What, Illinois has to “do better” to bring back the “pink slime newsman”?

    The checks cash the same, EFTs are global, the goal is to grift off the likes of a - Lucky Pierre - that stay in Illinois, have nothing great to say about Illinois… but just can’t *leave* Illinois.

    Proft makes them feel good… while he lives in Florida

    El Oh El

    Now if Proft can dodge the $40 mil plus that he might face (and/or Uihlein) in fines…


  2. - Big Dipper - Monday, Nov 7, 22 @ 2:51 pm:

    ==he wouldn’t answer any questions about the matter because Corrigan was still a student at Bailey’s school.==

    Can suing the head of your school negatively affect your grades lol?


  3. - Anon324 - Monday, Nov 7, 22 @ 2:53 pm:

    In re: Crain’s on Proft–does this mean his acolytes will stop editing his Wikipedia page to say he still lives in Chicago? I realize it’s small potatoes, but it’s rather amusing to see the number of times it has been edited to say he only lives in Naples, and then re-edited shortly after to say Chicago and Naples.

    Dan Proft: the girl from Mean Girls who “just has a lot to say” but doesn’t even go here.


  4. - Ron Burgundy - Monday, Nov 7, 22 @ 3:02 pm:

    -new leadership reforms the way we fund schools-

    Florida Man who no longer lives or owns property in IL thinks “we” includes him for Illinois school funding purposes.


  5. - Arsenal - Monday, Nov 7, 22 @ 3:02 pm:

    It’s like there’s this weird curse where every Republican who tries to beat Pritzker is exiled to Florida.


  6. - Hot Taeks - Monday, Nov 7, 22 @ 3:06 pm:

    I guess the question is whether Chuy gets 50% +1 in the first round of voting for Mayor. He is the odds-on favourite over Lightfoot but I have a feeling it will be closer than expected.


  7. - Ron Burgundy - Monday, Nov 7, 22 @ 3:09 pm:

    So we have Bailey’s campaign potentially facing litigation over an “HR issue” from a 17 year old minor (maybe 18 now?) who attends his school and used to live with Bailey’s family while touring the state working for Bailey? And this young man is being represented by an attorney presumably friendly to Bailey since they’ve appeared at events together?

    Nothing to see here. /s


  8. - Oswego Willy - Monday, Nov 7, 22 @ 3:09 pm:

    Chicago hitting that 20% of early voting is an interesting surge from where it was, it’s the “surge” of the early voting creeping up to where it fits normal models.

    Now it’s up to actual organized GOTV to find pluses, not merely voters who hadn’t voted.

    That “blood moon” is spooky, will the results be spooky too


  9. - JoanP - Monday, Nov 7, 22 @ 3:10 pm:

    = It’s like there’s this weird curse where every Republican who tries to beat Pritzker is exiled to Florida. =

    Bailey on November 9: “I’m going to Disney World [banned punctuation]”


  10. - Hannibal Lecter - Monday, Nov 7, 22 @ 3:11 pm:

    === I guess the question is whether Chuy gets 50% +1 in the first round of voting for Mayor. He is the odds-on favourite over Lightfoot but I have a feeling it will be closer than expected. ===

    I think you are getting ahead of yourself. I don’t think anyone can make a prediction at this point with any kind of accuracy. We will see if Chuy actually follows through to get on the ballot.


  11. - JoanP - Monday, Nov 7, 22 @ 3:11 pm:

    = That “blood moon” is spooky, will the results be spooky too =

    I expect someone will figure out a way to fit the “blood moon” into an odd conspiracy theory.


  12. - JS Mill - Monday, Nov 7, 22 @ 3:23 pm:

    =Bailey told reporters yesterday that he wouldn’t answer any questions about the matter because Corrigan was still a student at Bailey’s school.=

    Dumbest reason yet given for not commenting on something. Unless bailey’s campaign is a school (it is not) then there is no confidentiality here to protect.

    And I thought bailey said it wasn’t “his” school?

    =usurious property taxes Illinois families pay=

    Another guy who does not understand the meaning of words. Usury refers to interest.

    Another Illinois exile heard from. Florida is becoming the modern day French Guiana.


  13. - Manchester - Monday, Nov 7, 22 @ 3:44 pm:

    Note to Dan Proft - don’t let the door hit you where the good Lord sit you. Now quit meddling in IL.


  14. - 47th Ward - Monday, Nov 7, 22 @ 3:51 pm:

    If you are Catalina Lauf, can you please give Rich permission to use that photo that I can’t stop thinking about?


  15. - TR - Monday, Nov 7, 22 @ 4:44 pm:

    Interesting to note that pollster who has JB up 20 points overstated Durbin’s margin by 6 points, but got Biden’s Illinois margin exactly right in 2020. So a little bit of a Dem bias.


  16. - Arsenal - Monday, Nov 7, 22 @ 4:46 pm:

    ==Interesting to note that pollster who has JB up 20 points overstated Durbin’s margin by 6 points==

    If they’re as wrong about JB, his race will still be called by 7:30, lol.


  17. - Joe Bidenopolous - Monday, Nov 7, 22 @ 4:50 pm:

    =Chicago hitting that 20% of early voting is an interesting surge from where it was, it’s the “surge” of the early voting creeping up to where it fits normal models.=

    Went to vote in the city today and my ward’s polling place had a line of about 100 people in it. Anecdotally, I know that a few other ward locations are like that today too.

    Me though, I nope’d on out of that line. I’ll vote tomorrow and give the E-day judges some love


  18. - Shibboleth - Monday, Nov 7, 22 @ 4:53 pm:

    =I expect someone will figure out a way to fit the “blood moon” into an odd conspiracy theory.=

    I’ve already had at least one friend from high school say it’s a prophecy from God that Republicans will sweep.


  19. - supplied_demand - Monday, Nov 7, 22 @ 5:03 pm:

    Would have liked the Crain’s reporter to ask if Proft intends to be active in Illinois elections even though he has moved. Once he acknowledges he would, ask why.


  20. - Amalia - Monday, Nov 7, 22 @ 5:10 pm:

    every single story about Dan Proft should be written with this… Florida resident Dan Proft. grifter.


  21. - Flapdoodle - Monday, Nov 7, 22 @ 5:11 pm:

    JoanP @ 3:10 — “Bailey on November 9: “I’m going to Disney World [banned punctuation]””==

    Seems to me he already lives in Fantasyland.


  22. - Unionman - Monday, Nov 7, 22 @ 5:46 pm:

    I heard someone collecting signatures for Tunney for mayor and Conyers-Irvin for city treasurer


  23. - Darrell Hampsten - Monday, Nov 7, 22 @ 8:08 pm:

    Proft should update his LinkedIn profile then …
    https://www.linkedin.com/in/dan-proft-8349b91/


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


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